European Transport Megaprojects

Activities and Progress

Content

Agenda

Common Emerging Themes

Developments and Further Actions

1.

3.

4.

Current Status 2.

Meetings involving the Transport Workgroup

3

Agenda

TIMELINE

2011 2012 2013

Leeds, UK October 2011

Athens, Greece February 2012

Bratislava, Slovakia May 2012

Brussels, Belgium November 2012

Lisbon, Portugal January 2013

Brussels, Belgium June 2013

Last Meeting

• Brief discussion of results and emerging themes

• Discussion of potential methods for analysis regarding the common emerging themes

• Planning and future developments

• Next steps, dissemination processes

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Agenda

Content

Agenda

Common Emerging Themes

Developments and Further Actions

1.

3.

4.

Current Status 2.

Transportation Megaprojects

Transport megaprojects are usually very visible due to their specific characteristics and impact on societies, which normally result in changes in mobility and land use.

Transport megaprojects could be infrastructural projects such as highways and tunnels, bridges, railways and seaports.

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Current Status

Transportation Case Studies

• Czech Republic: VMO Ring Road, Brno

• German/Polish border: A2 Motorway, Nowy Tomvsi

• Germany: HSR Nuremburg-Ingolstadt

• Greece: Athens Ring Road

• Norway: Tunnel Rogfast

• Portugal: HSR Vigo-Oporto-Lisbon-Madrid

• Scotland: Edinburgh Tram Network

• Spain: HSR Madrid-Barcelona-Figueres

• Spain: HSR Seville-Madrid

• Sweden: Norra Lanken, Stockholm

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Current Status

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Excel Case Studies

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Current Status

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External Stakeholders

Internal Stakeholders

Political Project

Environment

Legal Project Environment

Themes Themes Statements

Excel Case Studies

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Current Status

Economic Project

Environment

Project Management

Technology

Project Impacts

Regional / National Strategy

Others

Themes Themes Statements

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Content

Agenda

Common Emerging Themes

Developments and Further Actions

1.

3.

4.

Current Status 2.

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Common Emerging Themes

Big question:

Why do the forecasts of megaprojects fail?

• What can we do to improve the process?

• Why forecasts are inadequate?

• Which policies have an impact on project?

Main objective: which impact stakeholders have on project performance and forecasts?

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Common Emerging Themes

Planning process: How it influences the implementation of megaprojects?

Bottom up and top down approaches: Characteristics, implications and impacts on megaprojects, as well as stakeholder management. Which megaprojects were top down and which ones were bottom up implemented?

Issues of transport megaproject:

o Forecasts: how are they included in the planning process?

o Policies: There is any International/national/local policy?

o Logistic chains: Freight movements, which could influence

o Planning coherence: cooperation between different government bodies – lack of a systemic approach

o (Coherence between) transportation planning, land use (spatial) planning, energy planning, ICT planning and economic planning.

o Context (regional, political and economic): the relation with the context during planning. How megaproject changes the context and it gives a different meaning?

Discussion

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Common Emerging Themes

Methods:

• Statistical analysis (but we have “small” data)

• Qualitative analysis (why this happen? Relation it with the context)

• Qualitative vs. Quantitative are correlated?

Discussion

Content

Agenda

Common Emerging Themes

Developments and Further Actions

1.

3.

4.

Current Status 2.

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Developments and Further Actions

Papers to be submitted in…

• ORGANIZATION, TECHNOLOGY & MANAGEMENT IN CONSTRUTION Comparison between several transport case studies – cultural, differences, stakeholders (internal vs. external) and changes in scope.

Title: “Rail and Road Megaprojects: A Systematic Comparison of Stakeholder and cultural issues Impacts”

• Journal (e.g. TRANSPORT POLICY) or Conference (to be defined) Using the information gathered in the worksheets and case studies analyzed. Case Study about the Iberian High Speed Rail, comparing Spain and Portugal. Analysis regarding to Project Management and Stakeholders.

Title: “Issues Stakeholder impact on transportation megaprojects acceptability”.

Title: “The role of stakeholders in megaprojects during its planning stage: The Portuguese high speed rail network”

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Developments and Further Actions

Next steps:

• Gather all the common emerging themes worksheet and disseminate them

• Possible STSM – finish some of the papers or integrated in the new horizontal group

• Create a horizontal group Regarding to risks, uncertainties in forecasts and how they are dealt within the planning and management process of a megaproject

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687–698 BRUZELIUS, N. et al. (2002). Big decisions, big risks. Improving accountability in mega projects. Transport Policy. 9: 143-154 FLYVBJERG, B. (2007). Cost Overruns and Demand Shortfalls in Urban Rail and Other Infrastructure. Transportation Planning and Technology. 30 (1): 9-30 FLYVBJERG, B. et al. (2003). Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge. UK FRICK, K. T. et al. (2008). Decision-Making on Mega-Projects. Cost-Benefit Analysis, Planning and Innovation. Transport Economics, Management and Policy.

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