European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011...

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

• €4M contribution from European Commission

• Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners


• EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

• €4M contribution from European Commission

• Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners

(KNMI, Met Office, URV, NMA, Meteo Swiss, DWD, SMHI, UEA/CRU, Météo France)


• Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information



• Need: according to user-consultations byJRC/EEA, EUMETNET, WMO-GFCS,and our own Climate Liaison Team

LONG-TERM CLIMATE DATA + ASSESSMENTS



• Need: according to user-consultations byJRC/EEA, EUMETNET, WMO-GFCS,and our own Climate Liaison Team

LONG-TERM CLIMATE DATA + ASSESSMENTS

…describing climate variability and change at European scale

…placing high-impact extreme events in a historical context


• EURO4M develops two core services (which are closely linked):

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Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins


EURO4M


EURO4M

ESA-CCI


EURO4M

ESA-CCI

MACC


1) satellite data (CM-SAF)

2) in-situ observations (ECA&D, HadCRU, GPCC)

3) regional reanalysis of past weather (new!)

Reference historical databases


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GPCC and CM-SAF (DWD)


ECA&D/E-OBS (KNMI)

Example of E-OBS map for 31st of last month


Data rescue and digitization (MEDARE)


ECMWF-ERA Interim (80 km) HIRLAM (20 km) MESAN (5 km)

2m Temperature 2m Temperature 2m Temperature

Source: SMHI & Météo France



spatially extensive but short


long-term records but sparse


complete but expensive and some bias



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focus on trends and variability in impact relevant indicators

include uncertainty estimates

first bulletin on EU-temperaturedue in March 2012


Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

In-situNOAA


ERA-InterimECMWF

MSUUAH

Courtesy: John Christy (top), Adrian Simmons (bottom)

In-situNOAA



Assessment requiresimpact relevant indicators(EEA, IPCC/ETCCDI, WMO-GFCS)

In-situNOAA



31 days withT-max > 25°C against 9.5 days in a normal July

Source: ECA&D http://eca.knmi.nl



16 nights with T-min > 20°C against 0.5 night in a normal July

Source: ECA&D http://eca.knmi.nl



From: EEA/JRC/WHO impact indicator report, 2008; Source: ECA&D, http://eca.knmi.nl

Trends in impact indicators since 1976:


ETCCDI worldwide indicatoractivities

Working together

GH Africa Workshop(WCRP/World Bank)

04/2010

Indonesia, Malaysia,Thailand, Philippines

(NL) 12/2009

Southeast Asia (USA)

12/2007

Mexico (UK)03/2009

West IndianOcean (France)

09/2009

Central Africa (USA) 4/2007

South America (Ecuador) 01/2011


EURO4M EUMETGRID

4-year project (funding assured) Project with regular extensions (funding uncertain)

Focus on research and development Focus tools and methodologies for operational services

9 partners in consortium only Open to all ECSN members and targeted at RA VI

Top-down gridding with common method Bottom-up stitching national grids together

Based on central data archive ECA&D (selected stations only) Based on complete national archives (highest possible detail)

Includes DARE and digitization activities DARE is part of other projects outside EUMETGRID

In situ, satellite and reanalysis data Prime focus on in situ data

Bulletins with impact relevant indicators of extremes Various user applications

Relies on existing infrastructure only New infrastructure development (distributed databases, WIS)

Near-real time monitoring of extreme events Monitoring linked to WMO Pilot RCC on monitoring (DWD)

Initiated by EU Initiated by NMHSs

Building block for future GMES Climate Service Core of future EUMETNET Climate Capability

Liason with ERA-CLIM, ESA-CCI and future FP7 projects Keen eye on role in operational GMES Climate

GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ???

How do we convince EUMETNET of synergy, and need for funding climate?


SunCloud project: Motivation • Lack of long-term surface solar radiation (SSR, W/m2) series (Fig. 1).

• Sunshine measurements (Fig.2 ) can be used as a proxy of SSR data.

• Excellent relationship between SSR and sunshine data.

• Consequently, ECA&D sunshine data (Fig. 3) are very useful to study changes in radiation reaching the Earth’s surface during the last decades.

Fig. 1. Distribution of the longest SSR series in Europe.

Fig. 2. Campbell-Stokes sunshine duration recorder. Fig. 3. Current ECA&D sunshine duration data availability .


Trends in radiation reaching Earth’s surface• Previous research has reported decadal changes in SSR / sunshine duration

during the last century in different regions across the World.

• For example over Western Europe, Sanchez-Lorenzo (2008) found substantial decadal variations during the 20th century in sunshine duration series using a set of only 79 stations. A new reassessment of the trends is needed using a most comprehensive data set.

Sanchez-Lorenzo et al. (2008)

European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011...

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