European Grid Development, Market Development and Renewable Energy
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12 March 2008 1New Tasks, New Tools
European Grid Development, Market Development and Renewable Energy
International Energy Conference
Copenhagen, 12 March 2008
Peter Jørgensen
Vice President, Planning
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12 March 2008 2New Tasks, New Tools
Agenda
Third Package - Infrastructure Development
Unique Role of TSO’s
From National to Regional and European Planning
From Planning to Investment Decisions – Incentives and Criteria’s
Public Authorization Procedures
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12 March 2008 3New Tasks, New Tools
Third Liberalization Package - infrastructure development
Unbundling
Avoid distorted investment incentives within integrated companies
Strong national regulators
Review investment plans of TSOs
Monitor network security and reliability
ACER – Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators
Perform regulatory oversight of ENTSO – 10-year investment plans
Decide on regulatory regime applicable to infrastructure
ENTSO – European Network of Transmission System Operators
Identify, manage and finance research and innovation
Coordinate grid operation according to agreed codes
Perform investment planning – coordinated long term planning
Prepare system adequacy forecasts for summer, winter and long term
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12 March 2008 4New Tasks, New Tools
Responsibility of TSO’s- from long term planning to real-time operation and settlement
Market operation and settlement
System operation
Building and maintenance of infrastructure
Planning and R&D
-25 year -1 year -1 month -1 week -1 day Real-time
Operation
Unique strength of TSOs to embrace the full responsibility!
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12 March 2008 5New Tasks, New Tools
From National to Regional Planning- the Nordel example
3 Nordic Grid Master Plans in last 10 years
Reinforcements in 5 prioritized cross sections proposed in 2004
Comprehensive analysis based on common data and models
4 projects decided – 1 pending
Sweden
Finland
Denmark
NetherlandsGermany
Poland
Norway
Balticum
Great Britain
Sweden
Finland
Denmark
NetherlandsGermany
Poland
Norway
Balticum
Great Britain
23
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2625
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221921
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2
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6
5
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1128
3031
2423
7
8
2625
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221921
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1128
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Nordic Grid Master Plan 2008
Nordel Scenarios for 2015 and 2025
Proposals for internal and external reinforcements
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12 March 2008 6New Tasks, New Tools
Nordic Grid Master Plan
Market functioning
Price formation in the integrated NordPool spot market – statistics and modeling
Security of supply
power and energy balances – statistics and modeling
margins to market failure and system failure – statistics and modeling
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12 March 2008 7New Tasks, New Tools
Nordic Grid Master Plan
Reinforcements
Internal and external reinforcements analyzed
Reinforcement of external Nordic interconnections in general shows a positive cost-benefit
Investments
Level for infrastructure investments will be tripled
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12 March 2008 8New Tasks, New Tools
Danish Grid Development
Major reinforcements will be triggered by international power market and off-shore wind
Urgent need for:
New guidelines on the use of overhead lines/underground cables
Efficient and faster public authorisation procedures
Gørløsegård
Bjæverskov
Hovegård
Fraugde
Kassø
Endrup
Idomlund
Askær
Ferslev
Tjele
Trige
Vester Hassing
LanderupgårdHerslev
Konti-SkanKS 1&2
NorgeSweden
Germany
Sweden
Germany
Kontek
Kingstrup
Tjele
Rødsand
Ishøj
Glentegård
København
OVerloaded connectionsOverload > 150 %Overload > 125 <= 150 %Overload <= 125 %
Alternative 1
StorebæltSB 1&2
SkagerrakSK 1&2SK 3&4
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12 March 2008 9New Tasks, New Tools
Detected Bottlenecks during n-1 conditions of UCTE Detected Bottlenecks during n-1 conditions of UCTE “Scenario North”“Scenario North”
DPL
P. E
F
DK2
H
SKCZ
ACH.
NL.
B.
SI
...
.
..
HR
BiH
FYROM
. FRY.
AL.
GR.
BG
.
RO
(UA)..
DE
PL
PTES
FR
DK
HU
SK
CZ
ATCH
NL
BE
SI HR
BA CS
.GR
BG
RO
(UA)
IT
MKAL
DPL
P. E
F
DK2
H
SKCZ
ACH.
NL.
B.
SI
...
.
..
HR
BiH
FYROM
. FRY.
AL.
GR.
BG
.
RO
(UA)..
DE
PL
PTES
FR
DK
HU
SK
CZ
ATCH
NL
BE
SI HR
BA CS
.GR
BG
RO
(UA)
IT
MKAL
(NORDEL)
TIE-LINES
INTERNAL ELEMENTS
source: EWIS study
Obvious need for planning and investment decisions on European level!
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12 March 2008 10New Tasks, New Tools
From planning to investment decisions - incentives and criteria’s for investment decisions
New interconnector capacity may cause considerable redistribution of wealth compared to the net socio-economic benefit - distributed in several countries!
Gen Con Cap Net
Regulation, allocation of congestion rents & compensation mechanisms must support socio-economic optimal investments on regional/European level!
Optimal interconnector capacity differs significantly between private and socio-economic welfare criteria’s
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12 March 2008 11New Tasks, New Tools
SummarySome basic prerequisites for the timely development of infrastructure to support a well-functioning European electricity market, security of supply and massive integration of RES are:
Efficient TSO-cooperation on European and regional level
coordinated and qualified planning procedures and investment decisions
Strong national and European regulation
investment criteria’s based on socio-economic welfare
incentives for investments supporting goals on regional and European level
Politically supported guidelines for new infrastructure
Efficient public authorization procedures