Euro Zone-1
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Transcript of Euro Zone-1
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7/30/2019 Euro Zone-1
1/2
ECONOMICS | RESEARCH
1
CURRENT ECONOMIC INDICATORS EURO ZONE
March 20, 201
Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13
Euro area 2.6 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.8
Germany 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8
France 2.2 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.2
Italy 3.4 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.0
Spain 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.9
'Core' euro area HICP
1.5 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.3
M1 5.0 6.5 6.7 6.3 6.7 -
M3 2.6 3.9 3.8 3.4 3.5 -
Private sector credit growth -1.2 -1.5 -1.6 -0.8 -1.1 -Private sector loan growth -0.9 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.9 -
Unemployment rate, % 11.6 11.7 11.8 11.8 11.9 -
Unemployment, m/m change (000s) 157 237 111 33 201 -
Industrial orders - - - - - -
Industrial production -1.9 -0.8 -0.8 0.9 -0.4 -
Retail sales (ex autos) -1.6 -0.5 0.2 -0.8 1.2 -
Euro area composite PMI (50 = no change) - - - - - -
Euro area manufacturing PMI (50 = no change) - - - - - -
Euro area services PMI (50 = no change) - - - - - -
German Ifo business climate 101.4 100.1 101.5 102.5 104.3 107.4
French INSEE business sentiment 86 85 86 87 87 87
Italy ISTAT business confidence 88.5 87.8 88.5 89.0 88.3 88.5
*Data shown in grey italics are preliminary/'flash' estimates. HICP excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco
Survey data use differing methodologies; therefore index levels of each survey are not comparable across economies.
Survey readings (indices)
HICP inflation, % y/y
Euro area money and credit, % y/y
Labour market
Euro area conjunctural activity indicators, % m/m
Monthly economic indicators*
Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13
ECB refi rate, % 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75
Germany: 2-year government yield, % 0.01 0.03 -0.02 -0.04 0.26 0.02
Germany: 5-year government yield, % 0.53 0.55 0.45 0.39 0.77 0.48
Germany: 10-year government yield, % 1.54 1.60 1.47 1.38 1.65 1.52
Italy: 10-year government yield, % 5.18 4.95 4.51 4.53 4.33 4.76
EUR/USD 1.29 1.30 1.28 1.31 1.33 1.34
Euro TWI (broad measure, index)#
106.62 107.21 106.66 108.23 109.81 111.06
Euro Stoxx 50 2,531 2,503 2,514 2,626 2,715 2,630
Nominal effective exchange rate weighted by 41 largest euro area trading partners. Q1-99 = 100. Rising index denotes euro appreciation.
n per o
Monthly financial indicators**
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7/30/2019 Euro Zone-1
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ECONOMICS | RESEARCH
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CURRENT ECONOMIC INDICATORS EURO ZONE
March 20, 201
The material contained in this report is the property of Royal Bank of Canada and may not be reproduced in any way, in whole or in part, without express authorizatio
of the copyright holder in writing. The statements and statistics contained herein have been prepared by RBC Economics Research based on information from source
considered to be reliable. We make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness. This publication is for the information of i
vestors and business persons and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy securities.
Registered trademark of Royal Bank of Canada.
Royal Bank of Canada.
Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12
Euro area 0.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.6
Germany 0.4 -0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 -0.6
France 0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.3
Italy -0.1 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7 -0.2 -0.9
Spain 0.0 -0.5 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.8
Euro area 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.9
Real labour productivity per hour worked 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.6
Real unit labour costs -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2
Negotiated wages 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2
Businesses 2 16 35 9 10 15
Households (for house purchases) 9 18 29 17 13 12
Real GDP 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8
HICP 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
ECB surveys
Bank Lending Survey: change in credit standards (net balance)
Survey of Professional Forecasters (mean 5-year ahead forecasts, % y/y)
Quarterly economic indicators
Real GDP, % q/q (non-annualised)
Current account (% GDP)
Euro area productivity, costs and wages (% y/y)