EU Poultry meat production - apcapt.com · EU-28 1 192 988 1 217 859 + 2.1 % Ukraine 79 540 110 792...
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DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 22.11.2017 Last update: Period: 2016 2017 % Chg EU-28 1 192 988 1 217 859 + 2.1 % Ukraine 79 540 110 792 + 39.3 % Hong Kong 90 482 108 524 + 19.9 % Ghana 57 225 99 020 + 73.0 % Benin 89 997 88 132 - 2.1 % Philippines 97 619 86 758 - 11.1 % Saudi Arabia 89 352 73 163 - 18.1 % South Africa 206 620 62 984 - 69.5 % Other 482 152 588 487 + 22.1 % POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Sep Prices World Quotations Production Trade EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2015 / 16 ) World Trade + 0.6% Overall Poultry Meat Placings Broiler + 1.2% + 5.2% Period: 2016 2017 % Chg EU-28 687 041 605 701 - 11.8% Brazil 384 833 309 269 - 19.6 % Thailand 221 193 196 574 - 11.1 % Ukraine 35 037 56 535 + 61.4 % Chile 24 340 17 097 - 29.8 % China 12 379 13 858 + 11.9 % Argentina 4 697 4 800 + 2.2 % South Africa 58 2 144 +++ Other 4 504 5 426 + 20.5 % POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Sep EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2015 / 16 ) 11 354 11 656 12 121 12 360 12 694 12 783 13 261 13 775 14 384 14 482 14 596 11 330 11 588 11 767 11 901 12 229 12 282 12 751 13 284 13 792 13 893 13 989 100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 0 4 000 8 000 12 000 16 000 20 000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f 1000 Tonnes EU Poultry meat production ( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations ) EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %) EU W E E K P R I C E S 46 last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR BROILER €/100 kg carcase weight Broiler 81% Turkey 14% Duck 3% Others 3% Production of poultry meat 2016 - Consumption per capita in retail => 23.5 (kg) 183.17 170 175 180 185 190 195 € / 100 kg BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION Avg. 2012-16 2016 2017 183.17 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 | 15 | 16 | 17 | € / 100 kg E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S EU US BR 149.65 95.04 183.17 E V O L U T I O N S I N C E PL 2 268 22% UK 1 791 18% FR 1 669 16% DE 1 525 15% ES 1 524 15% IT 1 366 14% EU Main Producers ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2016 Total EU = 14 400 (+5% over 2015) 6 MSs = 70% of total production 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Placings of broiler chicks ( 1 000 pieces ) 2015 2016 2017 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 900000 1000000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Production forecast of broiler ( Tonnes ) 2015 2016 2017 887 821 855 807 846 875 900 687 606 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Sep 16 Jan-Sep 17 EU Imports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) 1 016 1 265 1 431 1 428 1 504 1 489 1 616 1193 1 218 0 250 500 750 1 000 1 250 1 500 1 750 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Sep 16 Jan-Sep 17 EU Exports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct 2016 2017 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct 2016 2017 EUR / USD EUR / BRL Brazil Brazil United States United States EU EU China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Thailand Thailand Turkey Turkey Ukraine (up to Aug) Ukraine (up to Aug) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2016 (up to September) 2017 (up to September) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to September) Source : GTA Excl. Live animals China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Japan Japan Mexico (up to Aug) Mexico (up to Aug) EU EU South Africa South Africa Philippines (up to Aug) Philippines (up to Aug) Russia (up to Aug) Russia (up to Aug) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2016 (up to September) 2017 (up to September) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to September) Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Transcript of EU Poultry meat production - apcapt.com · EU-28 1 192 988 1 217 859 + 2.1 % Ukraine 79 540 110 792...
DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 22.11.2017
Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA.
Last update:
Period:2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 1 192 988 1 217 859 + 2.1 %Ukraine 79 540 110 792 + 39.3 %
Hong Kong 90 482 108 524 + 19.9 %
Ghana 57 225 99 020 + 73.0 %
Benin 89 997 88 132 - 2.1 %
Philippines 97 619 86 758 - 11.1 %
Saudi Arabia 89 352 73 163 - 18.1 %
South Africa 206 620 62 984 - 69.5 %
Other 482 152 588 487 + 22.1 %
POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Sep
Pri
ces
Wo
rld
Qu
ota
tio
ns
Pro
du
ctio
nT
rad
e
EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2015 / 16 )
Wo
rld
Tra
de
+ 0.6%
Ov
era
ll P
ou
ltry
Me
at
Pla
cin
gs
Bro
ile
r
+ 1.2% + 5.2%
Period: 2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 687 041 605 701 - 11.8%
Brazil 384 833 309 269 - 19.6 %
Thailand 221 193 196 574 - 11.1 %
Ukraine 35 037 56 535 + 61.4 %
Chile 24 340 17 097 - 29.8 %
China 12 379 13 858 + 11.9 %
Argentina 4 697 4 800 + 2.2 %
South Africa 58 2 144 +++
Other 4 504 5 426 + 20.5 %
POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Sep
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2015 / 16 )
11
35
4
11
65
6
12
12
1
12
36
0
12
69
4
12
78
3
13
26
1
13
77
5
14
38
4
14
48
2
14
59
6
11
33
0
11
58
8
11
76
7
11
90
1
12
22
9
12
28
2
12
75
1
13
28
4
13
79
2
13
89
3
13
98
9
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f
10
00
To
nn
es
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)
EUW E E K P R I C E S 46
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
Broiler81%
Turkey14%
Duck3%
Others3%
Production of poultry meat
2016 - Consumption per capita in retail => 23.5 (kg)
183.17
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
g
BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2012-16 2016 2017
183.17
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
| 15 | 16 | 17 |
€/
10
0 k
g
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
149.65
95.04
183.17
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
PL2 26822%
UK1 79118%
FR1 66916%
DE1 52515%
ES1 52415%
IT1 36614%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2016Total EU = 14 400
(+5% over 2015)
6 MSs =
70% of total production
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2015 2016 2017
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )
2015 2016 2017
88
7
82
1
85
5
80
7 84
6
87
5
90
0 68
7
60
6
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Sep16
Jan-Sep17
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1 0
16 1
26
5 1 4
31
1 4
28
1 5
04
1 4
89
1 6
16
11
93
1 2
18
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Sep16
Jan-Sep17
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
Bra
zil
Bra
zil
Un
ited
Sta
tes
Un
ited
Sta
tes
EU EU
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Tha
ila
nd
Tha
ila
nd
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o A
ug)
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o A
ug)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2016 (up to September) 2017 (up to September)
Qty
in
10
00
To
nn
es
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to September)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Jap
an
Jap
an
Mex
ico
(u
p t
o A
ug)
Mex
ico
(u
p t
o A
ug)
EU
EU
Sou
th A
fric
a
Sou
th A
fric
a
Ph
ilip
pin
es (u
p to
Au
g)
Ph
ilip
pin
es (u
p to
Au
g)
Ru
ssia
(up
to A
ug)
Ru
ssia
(up
to A
ug)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2016 (up to September) 2017 (up to September)
Qty
in
10
00
To
nn
es
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to September)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Pric
es
+ 0.6% + 1.2% + 5.2%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 46
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
183.17
€/ 1
00 kg
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
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Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
gBROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2012-16 2016 2017
183.17
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Broiler81%
Turkey14%
Duck3%
Others2%
Forecast and Production of poultry meat
2016 - Consumption per capita in retail => 23.5 (kg)
Source: MSs notifications – Expert group
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Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
| 15 | 16 | 17 |
€/
100
kg
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
149.65
95.04
183.17
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Source: ECB (European Central Bank)
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2015 2016 2017
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )
2015 2016 2017
PL2 26822%
UK1 79118%
FR1 66916%
DE1 52515%
ES1 52415%
IT1 36614%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2016Total = 14 400
(+5% over 2015)
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Source: Eurostat
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11 3
54
11 6
56
12 1
21
12 3
60
12 6
94
12 7
83
13 2
61
13 7
75
14 3
84
14 4
82
14 5
96
11 3
30
11 5
88
11 7
67
11 9
01
12 2
29
12 2
82
12 7
51
13 2
84
13 7
92
13 8
93
13 9
89
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f
1000
Ton
nes
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)Source: Eurostat
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Braz
il
Braz
il
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
EU EU
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Thai
land
Thai
land
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukra
ine (
up to
Aug
)
Ukra
ine (
up to
Aug
)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2016 (up to September) 2017 (up to September)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to September)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Japa
n
Japa
n
Mex
ico
(up
to A
ug)
Mex
ico
(up
to A
ug)
EU
EU
Sout
h Af
rica
Sout
h Af
rica
Phili
ppin
es (u
p to
Aug
)
Phili
ppin
es (u
p to
Aug
)
Russ
ia (u
p to
Aug
)
Russ
ia (u
p to
Aug
)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2016 (up to September) 2017 (up to September)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to September)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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1 0
16 1
26
5 1 4
31
1 4
28
1 5
04
1 48
9
1 6
16
11
93
1 2
18
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Sep16
Jan-Sep17
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2016 /17 )
Period:2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 1 192 988 1 217 859 + 2.1 %Ukraine 79 540 110 792 + 39.3 %
Hong Kong 90 482 108 524 + 19.9 %
Ghana 57 225 99 020 + 73.0 %
Benin 89 997 88 132 - 2.1 %
Philippines 97 619 86 758 - 11.1 %
Saudi Arabia 89 352 73 163 - 18.1 %
South Africa 206 620 62 984 - 69.5 %
Other 482 152 588 487 + 22.1 %
EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2016/17)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Sep
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887
821 85
5
807 84
6
875
900 68
7
606
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Sep16
Jan-Sep17
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2016 /17 )
Period: 2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 687 041 605 701 - 11.8%
Brazil 384 833 309 269 - 19.6 %
Thailand 221 193 196 574 - 11.1 %
Ukraine 35 037 56 535 + 61.4 %
Chile 24 340 17 097 - 29.8 %
China 12 379 13 858 + 11.9 %
Argentina 4 697 4 800 + 2.2 %
South Africa 58 2 144 +++
Other 4 504 5 426 + 20.5 %
EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2016/17)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Sep
