EU DG ECHO - DEVCO Addis MeetingAgriculture Sector Resilience

26th June ‘14

Ethiopia’s headlines

Double digit growth rates through ADLI - slowing?

Population - 90 million and growing (average age 17)

UNDP- HDI ’13 - 173 of 182

Per capita income US$500, life expectancy 55 yrs, adult literacy 40% (<10% whh) and 45% child stunting (PSNP baseline - 50% and 12% wasting)

HoA 3% population receiving 40% food aid. Malnutrition costs Ethiopia US$2.5 billion annually

Ethiopian consume 19ltrs milk, Africa 40ltrs and Europe 200ltrs

Recurrent shocks: drought, flood, conflict, volatile food prices, disease

Drought hazard frequency (1974 – 2007)

Agriculture sector

12 million farmer/ pastoral households - 95% produce and 85% employment

50 agro-ecological zones - adequate and inadequate moisture and pastoral

75% land area is dryland

MoA’s development objective: produce and sell more, nurture the environment, eliminate hunger and protect vulnerable against shocks

Agriculture 15% of budget . State Ministry flagships: AGP, SLMP, CPP and PSNP

GoE - donor funding - 60-40%

Limited integration, coordination and flexibility

Smallholder farming

85% of holdings <2ha and 40% <05ha. Requirement 2.8ha

50% holdings use fertilizer and 23% improved seed

Plots 1-4ha produce 70% cereals. Production doubled in last decade

Improved market access - road network

87% smallholders keep livestock

Soil erosion - 40 to 200 mt/ha on slopes

Vulnerable - landless, women-headed, small plots, elderly and sick

FEWSNET report 20% decline in belg in 30 years. This trend affects 1.5 million farmers

Shocks - drought, food price, flood, pest/ disease

Belg areas

Pastoral areas

2 to 3 million pastoral households

HoA livestock sales - US$ 1 billion

Trends: livestock being concentrated

rangelands: fragmentation,

invasive spp, marginalised

customary managers,

inadequate tenure

policy related challenges

emergence of large, poor

ex-pastoral community

(livestock still important)

acute malnutrition but onset of stunting

Resilience-building

Resilience - ability to bounce back after adversity or hard times, and be capable of building positively on adversity

EHCT recognises the business as usual approach is failing poor Ethiopia

DEVCO might: stress importance of livelihood-based vulnerabilities including trends, seasonality and shocks support holistic approaches linking livelihoods, basic services, DRM, social protection and capacity buildingadopt nutrition as a proxydrive learning to generate evidence that informs programmes and policy align with the PSNP - Ethiopia’s biggest resilience programme?

Photo and graphic credits:

Andy Catley, Kelly Lynch, Cathy Watson