ETS 85 Report
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Transcript of ETS 85 Report
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PREPARED BY: REX MABANTA
RALPH STEPHEN BARTOLO
REYNANTE LUMAWAN
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Analysis of Variance ANOVA) is a hypothesis-testing technique used to test the equality oftwo or more population (or treatment) meansby examining the variances of samples that
are taken.
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Most of the time ANOVAis used to compare theequality of three or more means, however whenthe means from two samples are compared using
ANOVA it is equivalent to using a t-test tocompare the means of independent samples.
ANOVA is based on comparing the variance (orvariation) between the data samples to variationwithin each particular sample. If the betweenvariation is much larger than the within variation,the means of different samples will not be equal.If the between and within variations areapproximately the same size, then there will beno significant difference between sample means.
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Steps in hypothesis testing for ONE WAYANOVA1. Formulate the null and the appropriatealternative hypothesis.2. Specify the level of significance to be used.3. Critical value
4. Establish the critical regions.5. Compute the actual value.6. Make a statistical decision, which is to rejectthe null hypothesis when the computed valueof f distribution is
( k-1,N-k); otherwise
null hypothesis is not rejected.7. Draw the appropriate conclusion.
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Formulas for ONE WAY ANOVA:
Ti=
=1ij
T. = =1 i
MS=and Fcomp =
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Balanced ONE WAY ANOVA
N=kn
SSA= . . .=1=1 2 SSbet= 1 =1 i2.
SSE=
x .
=1
=12 SSerror=
2
=1
=1ij -
1 =1 i2
SST=
x . .=1
=1
2 SST=
2
=1=1
ij -.
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Unbalanced ONE WAY ANOVA
=1
SSbet=
=1
-.
SSerror= 2=1=1 ij-
=1
SST= 2=1=1 ij- .
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Observation
No.
Treatment 1 Treatment 2 Treatment 3
1 54 31 46
2
46 38 42
3 68 42 38
4 58 44 55
5
60 26 50
6 52 36 48
T
i
Mean
X
2
T.
N
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ANOVA Table
Source of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean
Square
Computed f
Treatments SSA k-1 MSA=1
f=MSA/MSE
Error SSE N-k MSE=
Total SST N-1
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Sample problem for a balanced ANOVA
Observation
No.
Treatment 1 Treatment 2 Treatment 3
1 54 31 46
2 46 38 42
3 68 42 38
4
58 44 55
5 60 26 50
6 52 36 48
Given the hypothetical data below, test the hypothesis Ho:1= 2= 3 vs. the
alternative H1: at least one pair of means is not equal, using an = 0.05 level of
significance.
l
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Solution:
1. Hypothesis: Ho:1= 2= 3vs. the alternativeH1: at least one pair of means is not equal
2. Significance Level: = 0.05
3. Critical value: (v1,v2)Observation No. Treatment 1 Treatment 2 Treatment 3
1 54 31 46
2
46 38 423 68 42 38
4 58 44 55
5 60 26 50
6 52 36 48
T.=834 338 217 279
Mean=46.33 56.33 36.17 46.50
X
2
=40554 19326 8077 13153
T
i
2
=239174 114244 47089 77841
N=18
n=6 n=6 n=6
bl
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ANOVA Table
ource of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean
Square
Computed f
Treatments SSA 2 MSA=1
f=MSA/MSE
Error SSE 15 MSE=
Total SST 17
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4. Critical Region: ff0.05(2,15)= 3.685. Computation:
SSbet= 1 =1 i2 . =2391746 -834218 =1220.33
SSerror=
2
=1
=1ij -
1
=1i2
=40554-39862.33=691.67
SST= SSbet+ SSerror=1220.33+691.67=1912
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Source of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean
Square
Computed f
Treatments 1220.33 2 610.165 f=13.233
Error 619.67 15 46.111
Total 1912 17
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6. Decision:
Since f=13.2333.68, the hypothesis of
equal means is rejected.7. Conclusion: There is enough evidence to
conclude that the means are not equal.
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Problem:Susan Sound predicts that students will learn mosteffectively with a constant background sound, as opposed to anunpredictable sound or no sound at all. She randomly dividestwenty-four students into three groups of eight. All students
study a passage of text for 30 minutes. Those in group 1 studywith background sound at a constant volume in thebackground. Those in group 2 study with noise that changesvolume periodically. Those in group 3 study with no sound atall. After studying, all students take a 10 point multiple choicetest over the material, using an = 0.05 level of significance..Their scores follow:
group test scores
1) constant sound
74 6 8 6 6 2 9
2) random sound 55 3 4 4 7 2 2
3) no sound 24 7 1 2 1 5 5
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x
1
x2
x3
7 5 2
4
5 4
6
3 7
8 4 1
6 4 2
6
7 1
2 2 5
9 2 5
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Solution:
Hypothesis: Ho:1= 2= 3
H1: at least one pair of means is not equal
2. Significance Level: = 0.05
3. Critical value: (v1,v2)x
1
x2
x3
7 5 2
4 5 4
6 3 7
8 4 1
6 4 2
6 7 1
2 2 5
9 2 5
T.=107
48 3227
T
i
2
=4057
2304
1024 729
=13.375 6 4 3.375x
2
=595322
148 125
N=24
n=8 n=8 n=8
ANOVA T bl
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ANOVA Table
ource of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean
Square
Computed f
Treatments SSA 2 MSA=1
f=MSA/MSE
Error SSE 21 MSE=
Total SST 23
4 C iti l R i f f (2 21) 3 47
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4. Critical Region: ff0.05(2,21)= 3.475. Computation:
SSbet=
1
=1i2
.
=4057
8-107
24=30.084
SSerror= 2=1=1 ij - 1 =1 i2=595-507.125=87.875
SST= SSbet+SSerror=30.084+87.875=117.959
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Source of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean
Square
Computed f
Treatments 30.084 2 15.042 f=3.594
Error 87.875 21 4.185
Total 117.959 23
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6. Decision:
Since f=3.5943.47, the hypothesis ofequal means is rejected.
7. Conclusion: There is enough evidence toconclude that the means are as she predicted,in that the constant music group has thehighest score.
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A researcher is concerned about the level of knowledgepossessed by university students regarding United Stateshistory. Students completed a high school senior levelstandardized U.S. history exam. Major for students was also
recorded. Data in terms of percent correct is recorded below for32 students. Compute the appropriate test for the dataprovided below, using =.01
Education Business/Management Behavioral/Social Science Fine Arts
62 72 42 80
81 49 52 57
75 63 31 87
58 68 80 64
67 39 22 28
48 79 71 29
26 40 68 62
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Education
Business/Manag
ement
Behavioral/Social
ScienceFine Arts
62 72 42 80
81 49 52 57
75 63 31 87
58 68 80 64
67 39 22 28
48 79 71 29
26 40 68 62
T.=1600 417 410 366 407
Ti2=641594 173889 168100 133956 165649
X2=101164 26863 25540 21978 26783
Mean=228.56 59.57 58.57 52.28 58.14
N=28 n=7n=7 n=7 n=7
Solution:
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Solution:
1. Hypothesis: Ho:1= 2= 3= 4H1: at least one pair of means
is not equal
2. Significance Level: = 0.01
3. Critical value: (v1,v2)Source of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean
Square
Computed f
Treatments SSA 3 MSA=1
f=MSA/MSE
Error
SSE 24 MSE=
Total SST 27
4 Critical Region: f f (3 24)=4 72
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4. Critical Region: ff0.01(3,24)=4.725. Computation:
SSbet=
1
=1i2
.
=641594
7-
1600
28=91656.29-91428.57
=227.72
SSerror= 2=1=1 ij - 1 =1 i2=101164-91656.29=9507.71
SST= SSbet+SSerror=227.72+9507.71=9735.43
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Source of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean
Square
Computed f
Treatments 227.72 3 75.90 f=0.19
Error 9507.71 24 396.15
Total 9735.43 27
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6. Decision:
Since f=0.194.72, the hypothesis of
equal means is not rejected.7. Conclusion: There is insufficient evidenceat the 0.01 level of significance to reject theclaim that the means are equal.
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Problem for unbalanced ONE WAY ANOVABelow are the test scores from one of my algebra classes. The scores for each examhave been ranked numerically, just so no one tries to figure out who got what scoreby finding a list of students and comparing alphabetically.
Exam 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Scores 21
35
40
42
45
57
59
6060
61
62
64
65
67
68
68
72
73
74
75
76
78
8091
17
45
49
57
57
61
62
6263
64
67
69
74
75
78
78
78
79
80
86
88
89
90
24
52
56
59
59
63
65
6768
72
73
74
75
75
76
80
82
82
83
88
90
90
37
43
52
54
58
60
61
6263
64
67
67
71
72
74
75
77
77
79
37
37
60
65
69
75
75
7676
83
84
85
87
87
89
89
90
21
43
50
51
53
69
69
7072
73
74
74
80
81
89
94
29
31
43
55
62
63
64
6669
71
75
75
77
83
86
91
23
38
43
52
53
56
57
6263
64
65
70
72
73
75
76
80
80
83
Exam 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
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Scores 21
35
40
42
45
57
59
60
60
61
62
64
65
67
68
68
72
73
74
75
76
7880
91
17
45
49
57
57
61
62
62
63
64
67
69
74
75
78
78
78
79
80
86
88
8990
24
52
56
59
59
63
65
67
68
72
73
74
75
75
76
80
82
82
83
88
90
90
37
43
52
54
58
60
61
62
63
64
67
67
71
72
74
75
77
77
79
37
37
60
65
69
75
75
76
76
83
84
85
87
87
89
89
90
21
43
50
51
53
69
69
70
72
73
74
74
80
81
89
94
29
31
43
55
62
63
64
66
69
71
75
75
77
83
86
91
23
38
43
52
53
56
57
62
63
64
65
70
72
73
75
76
80
80
83
N=156 n=24 n=23 n=22 n=19 n=17 n=16 n=16 n=19
T.=10379 1493 1568 1553 1213 1264 1063 1040 1185
Mean=532.97 62.21 68.17 70.59 63.84 74.35 66.44 65.00 62.37
Ti2/ni=692953.65 2229049 2458624 2411809 1471369 1597696 1129969 1081600 1404225
2 =
S l ti
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Solution:
Hypothesis: Ho: Ho:1= 2= 3= 4= 5= 6= 7= 8
H1: At least there is one pair of mean that is not equal.
2. Significance Level: = 0.05
3. Critical value:
(v1,v2)
Source of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean Square Computed f
Treatments SSA 7 MSA=1
f=MSA/MSE
Error SSE 148 MSE=
Total SST 155
4 Critical Region: f f0 05(7 148)= 2 09
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4. Critical Region: ff0.05(7,148)= 2.095. Computation:
SSbet=
=1-
.
=692953.647-690536.160=2417.49
SSerror= 2
=1=1 ij-
=1
=731097-692953.647=38143.35
SST= 2=1=1 ij- .
=731097-690536.160=40560.84
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Source of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean
Square
Computed f
Treatments 2417.49 7 345.36 f=1.340
Error 38143.35 148 257.72
Total
40560.84
155
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6. Decision:
Since f=1.3402.09, the hypothesis of equal means isnot rejected.
7. Conclusion: There is insufficient evidence at the 0.05 level ofsignificance to reject the claim that the means are equal.
Example: A firm wishes to compare four programs for training workers
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p p p g gto perform a certain manual task. Eighteen new employees areassigned to the training programs. At the end of the training period, atest is conducted to see how quickly trainees can perform the task. Thenumber of times the task is performed per minute is recorded for each
trainee, with the following results:
PROGRAM 1 PROGRAM 2 PROGRAM 3 PROGRAM 4
19 10 18 10
10 12 11 13
12 8 18 14
9 11 18
10 9
T.=222 60 51 47 64
2i=12506 3600 2601 2209 4096x2=2854 686 529 769 870
N=18 n=4 n=5 n=3 n=5
Solution:
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Solution:
Hypothesis: Ho: Ho: 1= 2= 3= 4
H1: At least there is one pair of
means that is not equal.2. Significance Level: = 0.05
3. Critical value: (v1,v2)
Solution:
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Solution:
Hypothesis: Ho: 1= 2= 3= 4
H1: At least there is one pair of means that is not equal.
2. Significance Level: = 0.05
3. Critical value:
(v1,v2)
Source of
Variation
Sum of
Squares
Degrees of
Freedom
Mean Square Computed f
Treatments SSA 3 MSA=1
f=MSA/MSE
Error SSE 14
MSE=
Total SST 17
4. Critical Region: ff0 05(3,14)=3.34
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4. Critical Region: ff0.05(3,14) 3.345. Computation:
SSbet=
=1-
.
=2975.63-2738=237.63
SSerror= 2
=1=1 ij-
=1
=2854-2975.63=-121.63
SST= 2=1=1 ij- .
=2854-2738=116
Source of Sum of Degrees of Mean Square
Computed f
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Variation Squares Freedom
Treatments 237.63 3 79.21 f=-9.125
Error -121.63 14 -8.68
Total 116 17
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6. Decision:
Since f=-9.1253.34, the hypothesis of
equal means is not rejected.7. Conclusion: There is insufficient evidenceat the 0.05 level of significance to reject theclaim that the means are equal.