Estimation of open channels hydraulic parameters with the stochastic particle collision algorithm
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Transcript of Estimation of open channels hydraulic parameters with the stochastic particle collision algorithm
TECHNICAL PAPER
Estimation of open channels hydraulic parameterswith the stochastic particle collision algorithm
Yoel Martınez Gonzalez • Jose Bienvenido Martınez Rodrıguez •
Antonio Jose da Silva Neto • Pedro Paulo Gomes Watts Rodrigues
Received: 31 March 2012 / Accepted: 20 October 2012 / Published online: 29 August 2013
� The Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and Engineering 2013
Abstract In the present work, the 1D flow and transport
equations for open channels are numerically solved and
coupled to a recently developed global search optimization,
the particle collision algorithm (PCA), to estimate two
essential parameters present in flow and transport equa-
tions, respectively, the bed roughness and the dispersion
coefficient. The PCA is inspired in the scattering and
absorption phenomena of a given incident nuclear particle
by a target nucleus. In this method, if the particle in a given
location of the design space reaches a low value of the
objective function, it is absorbed, otherwise, it is scattered.
This allows the search space to be widely explored, in such
a way that the most promising regions are searched through
successive scattering and absorption events. Based on real
data measured in the Albear channel, Cuba, the bed
roughness and longitudinal dispersion coefficient were
successfully estimated from two numerical experiments
dealing, respectively, with flow and transport equations.
The results obtained were supported by the high correla-
tions achieved between simulations and observations,
demonstrating the feasibility of the approach here
considered.
Keywords Particle collision algorithm � Inverse
problem � Parameter estimation � Flow and transport
equations � Bed roughness � Dispersion coefficient �Albear channel
List of symbols
A Cross-sectional area (m2)
C Substance concentration (kg m-3)
D Longitudinal dispersion coefficient (m2 s-1)
Dq Bulk discharge, seepage, or lateral input (m2 s-1)
g Acceleration due to gravity (m s-2)
h Local flow depth (m)
ke Longitudinal coefficient of expansion or contraction
n Roughness coefficient (m1/6)
NT Number iterations (–)
q Input or lateral discharge (m2 s-1)
qest Estimated seepage loss (m3 s-1)
Q Flow discharge (m3 S-1)
R Hydraulic radius (m)
S0 Longitudinal bed slope (–)�t Mean traveling time (s)
T Top width (m)
U Mean velocity (m s-1)
XH Sensitivity coefficient (–)
Technical Editor: Francisco Cunha.
Y. Martınez Gonzalez (&) � J. B. Martınez Rodrıguez
Instituto Superior Politecnico ‘‘Jose Antonio Echeverrıa’’,
Cujae, Calle 114 No 11901 e/. Rotonda y Ciclovıa, Marianao,
La Habana, Cuba
e-mail: [email protected]
J. B. Martınez Rodrıguez
e-mail: [email protected]
A. J. da Silva Neto
Instituto Politecnico da Universidade do Estado do Rio de
Janeiro, Rua Alberto Rangel, s/n, Vila Nova, CEP: 28630-050,
Nova Friburgo, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
e-mail: [email protected]
P. P. Gomes Watts Rodrigues
Department of Computational Modelling, Instituto Politecnico
da Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro,
Estrada Lumiar-Sao Pedro, Km 4, Sao Pedro da Serra,
CEP: 28616-970, Nova Friburgo, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
e-mail: [email protected]
123
J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. (2014) 36:69–77
DOI 10.1007/s40430-013-0069-z
Greek symbols
vx Velocity component (m s-1)
r2t
Concentration variance (kg2 M-6)
s Integration variable (s)
H Vector of parameters (–)
Wobs Measured values (–)
Wsim Computed values(–)
w Variable (–)
1 Introduction
Open channel hydraulics has always been a very interesting
domain of scientific and engineering activities because of
the utmost importance of water for human life. According
to Szymkiewicz [19], the main sources of difficulties in the
modeling of such water courses are a proper description of
the flow processes and their mathematical representation,
as well as the solution of the derived equations and the
identification of the parameters involved.
The mathematical formulation of these models includes
a number of parameters that may assume a range of
reasonable values, and therefore the determination and
use of better estimates for such parameters are crucial for
simulation accuracy. The determination of these estimates
may be done through trial and error, which, besides being
highly time consuming, may lead to values that allow the
model calibration for only a single and particular sce-
nario, in a way that the model may not be validated for
other conditions. Furthermore, such strategy may lead to
multiple and acceptable solutions. Alternatively, this cal-
ibration may be performed by computational algorithms,
such as those based on inverse problem techniques. These
techniques have been used successfully in different sci-
ence fields. For water resources modeling purposes,
however, not many applications may be found in the lit-
erature. For example, Shen et al. [21] used a modified
Newton method to estimate the nonpoint sources of fecal
coliform to establish allowable load for the Wye River,
USA. Shen [20] adopted the same methodology to esti-
mate parameters of an estuarine eutrophication model,
developed for the management of the Rappahannock
River estuary, USA. Other studies have made use of the
gradient method, conjugate direction method and varia-
tional method to estimate the parameters usually present
in groundwater modeling [23, 25]. On the other hand,
instead of parameters, the salinity boundary conditions
were estimated by Yang and Hamrick [24] for a three-
dimensional tidal hydrodynamic and salinity transport
model. In a similar way, Strub et al. [22] proposed a
novel algorithm for the estimation of open boundary
conditions in river systems where tidal forcing is present.
The solution of an inverse problem may be made
through optimization algorithms, which attempt to mini-
mize (or maximize) the objective function value. Basically,
there are two classes of optimization methods: determin-
istic and stochastic. Deterministic methods move with the
setting in the sense of the objective function optimal,
making use of particularities of functional, whereas sto-
chastic methods work by choosing random configurations
with the goal of sweeping, stochastically, the entire search
space, seeking for the global optimum.
This paper presents the results of inverse solutions for
parameter estimation in the 1D flow and transport equa-
tions applied to an open channel. Sections 2 and 3 describe,
respectively, the direct problem (1D flow and advection–
dispersion equations) and the numerical approaches
developed for its solution. Section 4 describes the inverse
problem, whereas in Sect. 5 the case study is presented. In
Sect. 6 the results and discussions are presented. Finally,
the concluding remarks are given in Sect. 7.
2 Direct problem
2.1 Flow equations
As supported by Strelkoff [18], the equations that govern
the 1D unsteady flow in open channels (Saint–Venant
equations) may be expressed formally as:
oQ
oxþ oA
otþ q ¼ 0 ð1:aÞ
1
Ag
oQ
otþ 2Q
A2g
oQ
oxþ 1� Q2T
A3g
� �oh
ox
¼ S0 �Q Qj jn2
R2mþ1A2� ke
2g
o
ox
Q
A
� �2
þDq �Q
A2gq ð1:bÞ
where g is the acceleration due to gravity, h the local flow
depth, A the cross-sectional area, Q the flow discharge, T the
top width, S0 the longitudinal bed slope, R the hydraulic
radius, n the roughness coefficient, m an exponent (i.e., in
Manning equation m = 1/6), ke the longitudinal coefficient
of expansion or contraction and q is the input (q \ 0) or
lateral discharge (q [ 0). The term Dq = 0 is taken for bulk
discharge (i.e., lateral spillway), Dq ¼ QA2g
q for seepage and
finally Dq ¼ ðU�vxÞAg
q for lateral input, where U is the mean
velocity and vx the velocity component of the lateral input.
Equation (1.a) is exact for a rough channel with arbitrary
shape and alignment. Equation (1.b) may be modified for
representation of the term oox
QA
� �2. For example, if it is
possible to assume that vx = 0, which is equivalent to
assume that contributions are perpendicular to the channel,
Eq. (1.b) may be rewritten formally as:
70 J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. (2014) 36:69–77
123
1
Ag
oQ
otþ 2� keð Þ 2Q
A2g
oQ
oxþ 1� 1� keð ÞQ
2T
A3g
� �oh
ox
¼ S0 �Q Qj jn2
R2mþ1A2þ u� 1ð Þ Q
A2gq ð1:cÞ
where the parameter u = 0 for a bulk discharge, u = 0.5 in
the presence of seepage and u = 1 for lateral contributions
to the channel. To establish an approximation to the
equations describing the steady and spatially varied flow, it
is necessary that qA/qt = 0 and qQ/qt = 0. Integrating
Eq. (1.a) and substituting it in Eq. (1.c) yields the following
ordinary differential equation.
oh
ox¼
S0 � Q Qj jn2
R2mþ1A2 þ /þ 1� keð Þ QA2g
q
1� 1� keð Þ Q2TA3g
ð2Þ
This equation may model the flow in a channel with
arbitrary shape and alignment, in the presence of input and/
or lateral discharge. In this equation, the flow discharge
may be expressed as
QðxÞ ¼ Qðx0Þ � qðx� x0Þ ð3Þ
where x0 is a given initial position. The mean seepage loss
in a reach of length Dx = x – x0 may be written as
q ¼ 1
Dx
Zx
x0
qðxÞdx: ð4Þ
2.2 Advection–dispersion equation
According to Fischer et al. [7], the 1D governing equation
for the transport of a conservative substance in open
channels is written as
oC
otþ UoC
ox¼ D
o2C
ox2ð5Þ
where C is the substance concentration and D the longi-
tudinal dispersion coefficient.
3 Numerical approaches
3.1 Flow equations
If the boundary conditions are assumed constant over the
simulation period of time, the system of equations (1) may
be replaced by Eq. (2), an ordinary differential equation,
which may be solved, for example, by the Runge–Kutta
method, adopted in this work.
3.2 Advection–dispersion equation
Equation (5) has been solved analytically for different
initial and boundary conditions [7]. The development of
these solutions has been closely associated with the intro-
duction of procedures with a reasonable accuracy to esti-
mate the longitudinal dispersion coefficient. Such is the
case of the method known as routing procedure [6], from
which a reasonable estimate of the coefficient D was
developed. Employing the concentration distribution at the
injection point, x1, it predicts the concentration distribution
of an injected substance at a given point, x2, where x2 [ x1,
through
Cðx2; tÞ ¼Zþ1
�1
UCðx1; sÞffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi4pDð�t2 � �t1Þ
p exp½Uð�t2 � �t1 � t þ sÞ2�
4Dð�t2 � �t1Þ
( )ds
ð6Þ
where s is the integration variable; �t1 and �t2 are the mean
traveling times, at x1 and x2, respectively. The mean
traveling time has the following generic definition [9]
�t ¼Rþ1
0CtdtRþ1
0Cdt
: ð7Þ
Although Eq. (6) indicates that the integration limits are
�1\s\þ1; in practice the integration only needs to
be developed over the interval t1 B s B t2, where t1 and t2are, respectively, the beginning and the end of the
substance plume observed at x1. That is, for s B t1, C(x1,
s) = 0 and s C t2, C(x1, s) = 0.
Usually, as a first approach, D may be estimated by the
change of moment method [7] given by
D ¼ U2
2
r22 � r2
1
�t2 � �t1
� �ð8Þ
where r2 is the variance of the time series concentration in
a certain position of the water course. Equation (8) has
limitations to be adequately applied. It requires uniform
cross sections and a given distance from the injection point,
which may guarantee a complete mixing of the substance
over the cross section.
4 Inverse problem
4.1 Objective function
The inverse problems are generally ill posed, mainly due to
the non-uniqueness or to the amplification of the noise in
the experimental data [4, 16]. There are several errors
associated with this kind of problem. These errors may
come from the measurements, from the effect of scaling
and/or interpolation and due to uncertainties regarding the
initial and boundary conditions.
As a criterion for determining the optimal set of
parameters, usually an objective function is adopted, which
J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. (2014) 36:69–77 71
123
is given by the sum of quadratic residues between calcu-
lated and measured values of the observable variable [3, 4].
Here, a variation of this function is adopted, which was
successfully applied by Mesa [11] to estimate the param-
eters usually present in hydrogeologic modeling and
expressed by
FðHÞ ¼
ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi1
NT
XN
j¼1
½WisimðHÞ � Wi
obs��2
vuut ð9Þ
subject to Hi�H�Hs, where F(H) is the objective
function, H is the vector of parameters, Hi and Hs are,
respectively, the vector of lower and upper bounds of
parameters, NT is the total number of observed data, i rep-
resents a given position and time instant, Wobs are the
measured values and Wsim are the computed values. To
solve the inverse problem, some methods may be applied.
In this investigation, a recently developed stochastic
method, the particle collision algorithm (PCA) [14] is
adopted. To the best knowledge of the authors, there is no
register in the literature of the application of this method to
hydraulic problems.
4.2 Global search algorithm based on PCA
Taking into account the interaction phenomena of neutrons
in nuclear reactors, the PCA is inspired by the scattering of
an incident nuclear particle (when it is scattered by an
objective nucleus) and absorption (when it is absorbed by
the objective nucleus). In this model, the particle core
reaches a low value of the objective function and is
absorbed. By contrast, a particle that reaches a high value
core of the objective function is scattered. This allows the
search space of the problem to be widely sampled and most
promising regions are explored through successive scat-
tering and absorption events.
First, an initial approach of the solution must be defined
and then modified through a stochastic perturbation. The
accuracy of these possible solutions is compared and then a
decision is made to maintain or alter the current solution by
another potential solution. If the new solution is better than
the old one, the particle is absorbed and exploration occurs
in the vicinity for an even better solution to be found
(exploitation). In this local search, small stochastic per-
turbations are generated in the solution, in an iterative
process.
If the new solution is worse than the old solution, then
the particle is scattered. The probability of scattering is
inversely proportional to its fitness, a particle of lower
fitness will be more likely to be scattered. Thus, in the
PCA, a solution may be accepted with certain probability,
even if its fitness is lower than the old solution. Such
flexibility may prevent convergence to local optima. Here,
fitness is considered with respect to the objective function
value.
This version of the PCA, despite its simplicity, has been
successfully used in engineering applications, especially in
radiative transfer problems [8] and optimal design of
nuclear reactors [15], just to mention a few.
5 Case study and previous investigations
In this contribution, the 1D flow and transport equations for
open channels are numerically solved and coupled to a
recently developed global search optimization, the PCA, to
estimate some hydraulic parameters of the flow and
transport of Albear channel, which is the main aqueduct of
Havana city, Cuba. This channel has presented serious
problems due to a dome structure cracking, root penetration
and seepage losses [1]. Despite these problems, there have
been poor estimations of the parameters of interest due to
the small number of available data.
In the early 1950s, Pacho Pardo [12] established a curve
relating the channel discharge with the flow depth
(Q = Q(h)), measured in a given channel section. Further,
to study the influence of the reservoir (Palatino reservoirs)
that receives all transported waters by the channel, this
author conducted 24 h of simultaneous measurements, both
in a channel section and in the reservoirs. The results
showed a clear flow variation, despite the channel depth
being kept unchanged (h = 1.96 m). Moreover, for depths
above 4.20 m, measured at the Palatino reservoirs, there
was a damming effect on the flow inside the channel.
More recently, [13] made an investigation to assess the
hydraulic behaviour of the Albear channel. Their work
involved a tracer study. Two salt (Sodium Chloride, NaCl)
solution tanks were discharged at the entrance of the
channel, with a total salt mass of 112 kg. At the same
point, the water discharge was measured. It exhibited little
variability between 5:30 am and 12:00 pm, before and after
salt injection, respectively, staying around 1.189 m3 s-1.
The measurements of salt concentrations and the flow
depth were made in five stations along the channel, iden-
tified as North, Square, 12, 18 and 22. The relative posi-
tions of these stations are shown in Table 1.
By 2001, capital rehabilitation in the Albear channel [1]
was made. The only post-rehabilitation analysis reported in
literature is attributed to Alfonso [2], when the incoming
waters to the channel were measured under different con-
ditions, at the same time of the flow depth at the entrance of
the channel, with the aim of establishing a diagnosis of the
channel conveyance capacity.
Assuming a uniform flow regime and applying the Man-
ning equation [5] for the measured data, it is found in Alfonso
[2] that the bed roughness coefficient that could better fit the
72 J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. (2014) 36:69–77
123
observations should be 0.0115. Applying the same principle
to the results of Pacho Pardo [12], this coefficient takes the
value of 0.0132 m, reflecting the roughness achieved in the
channel 60 years after its construction. Not surprisingly, the
channel, once rehabilitated, has improved flow conditions,
based on the fact that the barriers (mainly roots) were
removed and the walls repaired. At the time of the mea-
surements made by Alfonso [2], only 6 years had elapsed
from the rehabilitation.
These data, however, obtained from a single measure-
ment station—at the entrance of the channel—are not
enough to generalize for the whole channel. Furthermore,
the uniform flow hypothesis must be violated, as demon-
strated by Pacho Pardo [12], where it was shown that the
reservoir levels at the Palatino significantly influenced the
flow inside the channel. In this sense, Alfonso [2] did not
mention what were the flow conditions at the entrance of
the Palatino reservoirs, making it impossible to evaluate
the channel efficiency after restoration.
Thus, the study of Rodrıguez et al. [13] is able to offer
more detailed aspects of hydraulic behaviour prior to the
rehabilitation and a similar study should be done on the
current operating conditions. In this regard, it seems to be
quite opportune to develop a mathematical modeling of the
Albear channel, which could support a rigorous study of its
hydraulic behaviour, including the identification of char-
acteristic parameters and their influence.
6 Results and discussion
In this study, the flow and the transport of a conservative
substance (NaCl) in the Albear channel were simulated
through the solution of Eqs. (2) and (8), considering that the
required conditions for their application were satisfied (see
Sects. 2 and 3). The channel was divided in 306 subintervals,
with a length of 29.7 m each. Considering the prevailing
conditions, the flow regime in the channel is subcritical [5],
so that the boundary condition was considered at the entrance
of the Palatino reservoirs, as a flow depth of 0.74 m, which
was assumed not to be influenced by the Palatino reservoir
level during the simulation interval of time. Equations (2)
and (6) were solved in MatLab�, respectively, by the ode45
and trapz functions. On the other hand, from the observed
data [13], measured at different stations along the channel,
seepage losses (q), longitudinal dispersion (D) and rough-
ness coefficients (n) were estimated. At this point, these
parameters are considered as unknowns, which inevitably
lead to the solution of an inverse problem, which was solved
here coupling the mathematical models to a global search
optimization algorithm, the PCA.
6.1 Sensitivity analysis
Sensitivity analysis plays an important role in many aspects
related to the formulation of inverse problems [3, 4]. This
analysis may be done through the evaluation of the
observable variables fluctuations with respect to selected
parameters. Here, the modified sensitivity coefficient XH is
adopted, which may be expressed formally as [10]
XH ¼ Hj
oWðx; tÞoHj
ð10Þ
where W is the observable variable (which may be mea-
sured), H is the unknown or particular parameter of the
problem and j = 1,2, …, M, in which M is the total number
of unknowns.
The sensitivity of the variable W with respect to the
parameter H, which is to be searched, must be sufficiently
high to allow an estimate within reasonable confidence
bounds [10, 17]. Moreover, when two or more parameters
are estimated simultaneously, their effects on the obser-
vable variable (to be measured) must be independent,
otherwise it may affect the observable variable in the same
way, bringing difficulties to distinguish their influences
separately and leading to poor estimates as a consequence.
To tackle the problem of possible simultaneous esti-
mation for n and q in Eq. (2), a sensitivity analysis of the
local flow depth h, based on observed data [13], is carried
out. The results are shown in Fig. 1.
In each monitoring station (i.e., North, Square, etc.), the
variable is remarkably sensitive to n, which is a measure of
energy loss due to friction. The sensitivity increases as a
result of the increment of depth h, wherever the flow
conditions remain constant. However, for the range of
q and for all stations, sensitivity is almost constant, slowly
decreasing in the flow discharge direction. This trend does
not favour the estimation of this parameter simultaneously
with the roughness coefficient.
These results motivated an assessment of the salt con-
centration (C) sensitivity with respect to both q and D in
the transport model—Eq. (5).
For this analysis, a first estimate—computed with
Eq. (8)—for D varied between 0.05 and 0.35 m2/s.
Table 1 Measurements of flow depth
Stations Distance (m) Depth (m)
North* 0 1.11
Square 628 1.12
12 4,417 1.12
18 6,026 0.93
22 7,751 1.02
Palatino reservoirs 8,894 0.74
* Flow measured as 1.189 m3 s-1
J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. (2014) 36:69–77 73
123
Figure 2 shows the results for the sensitivity coefficients at
two stations. For the station 12, the salt concentration
plume started being detected by 6,000 s, finishing by
7,000 s, whereas for the station Palatino the detection
started by 12,000 s, finishing by 13,000 s.
Both q and D controlled the salt concentration distri-
bution. For each station, C is more sensitive to a variation
of coefficients D and q in the vicinity of the extremes of
salt concentration plume. Comparing the two stations, the
sensitivity was higher close to the Palatino reservoirs,
probably as a result of cumulative losses throughout the
channel. Thus, the influence of parameters D and q on the
distribution of salt concentration seems to be correlated.
This indicates that it is inappropriate to estimate D and
q simultaneously. In effect, considering the mean velocity
in the reach x2 - x1 as
U ¼ 1
2
Q x1ð ÞA x1ð Þ
þ Q x1ð Þ � q x2 � x1ð ÞA x2ð Þ
� �ð11Þ
from Eqs. (8) and (11) it is possible to obtain the following
dependence of D on q:
Square Station
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210
q (l/s)
X (
m)
X (
m)
n = 0.0105n = 0.0115n = 0.0125n = 0.0135n = 0.0145
Station 22
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210
q (l/s)
n = 0.0105n = 0.0115n = 0.0125n = 0.0135n = 0.0145
Fig. 1 Variation of the local flow depth sensitivity with respect to
roughness and total seepage losses
Fig. 2 Concentration sensitivity with respect to the dispersion
coefficient and total seepage losses in: a station 12; b station 18;
c station 22 and d Palatino reservoirs
74 J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. (2014) 36:69–77
123
D ¼ k0 � k1qþ k2q2; ð12Þ
where k0, k1, k2 are parameters that characterize the
channel geometry and the flow discharge variability
between x1 and x2.
6.2 Parameters estimation
With the information gathered in the study of Rodrıguez
et al. [13], and the results of the sensitivity analysis, the
parameter estimation procedure adopted in the present
work followed the strategy described next:
• Step 1 Estimate the bed roughness coefficient n,
simultaneously in all reaches, once the seepage loss
q is known, coupling it to the PCA method and Eq. (2).
• Step 2 Estimate the longitudinal dispersion coefficient
D in the reaches between stations defined as North-
Square, Square-12, 12-22 and 22-Palatino, once the
seepage loss q is known, coupling it to the PCA method
and Eq. (6), using the time intervals which had the highest
sensitivity.
A numerical experiment was designed for each reach, in
which the number of iterations N of the PCA varied from
10 to 100. Similarly, the number of iterations M to carry
out a local exploration also varied from 10 to 100.
Therefore, in all cases in which N = M, N 9 N operations
were carried out in a computational effort of # ðN2Þ.
6.2.1 Computation of seepage losses
To compute seepage losses, firstly the mean velocity
between x1 and x2 might be calculated. It is common
practice to consider [7]
U ¼ x2 � x1
�t2 � �t1: ð13Þ
From Eqs. (11) and (13) it is possible to obtain the
seepage losses between x1 and x2 from the flow and salt
concentration data by
q ¼ Aðx2ÞAðx1Þ
þ 1
� �Qðx1Þðx2 � x1Þ
� 2Aðx2Þ�t2 � �t1
: ð14Þ
The variability of seepage losses in all reaches is shown
in Table 2. After this computation, the flow discharge was
calculated according to Eq. (3), resulting in a channel
efficiency of 84.22 %. The last analysis did not consider
the presence of pumping in the Palatino, reported by
Rodrıguez et al. [13].
To do so, the pumped volume must be subtracted from
the flow at the entrance of the Palatino reservoirs and then
the resulting flow compared to the levels measured in the
reservoirs. Figure 3 compares these levels, where a corre-
lation R2 = 0.994 may be observed.
6.2.2 Estimation of the bed roughness coefficient
The search range for the parameter n was [0.01, 0.015 m],
an interval that may expresses the covering material and
factors that may modify it, as aging, root penetration,
obstructions, etc. The initial guess for this case was the
mean value of the search range, 0.0125 m.
The depth measurements made in the stations North,
12, 18 and 22 allowed the identification of the bed
roughness coefficient, n, in the respective reaches.
Table 3 presents the results that minimize the objective
function, as well as the mean value, lH, and the coef-
ficient of variation, Cv. The results indicate that the PCA
was able to make a good estimation of the bed rough-
ness coefficient, which is supported by the sensitivity
analysis conducted in this case. In addition, small values
of the coefficient Cv lead to the conclusion that it was
possible to obtain good estimates with a small number of
iterations of PCA.
The experiment that was more accurate regarding the
flow depth simulation was the one in which 50 iterations
were used in the PCA method and 100 iterations in the
local exploration. Despite that, a further evaluation was
made setting N = 200 and M = 500. It resulted in an
objective function slightly lower than that obtained in the
best result of the previous experiment.
Table 2 Computed seepage losses from Eq. (14)
Reach qest (m3 s-1) Flow discharge (m3 s-1)
North-Square (*) 0.012 1.189
Square-12 0.074 1.177
12–18 0.041 1.102
18–22 0.044 1.061
22-Palatino 0.041 1.017
Total 0.213 0.973
* Extrapolated value from reach Torre Cuadrada-Torre 12
Fig. 3 Comparison of simulated and measured levels in the Palatino
west reservoir
J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. (2014) 36:69–77 75
123
6.2.3 Estimation of the dispersion coefficient D
For this coefficient, the search interval was [0.05,
0.35 m s-2], calculated with Eq. (8). Table 4 shows the
best estimates for D in three channel reaches.
Although the adopted combination N 9 M for each
reach was different, it may be noted that the PCA was able
to provide good estimates in all of them, with a slight
increase of D between stations 22 and Palatino. Probably,
this is a consequence of an increase in the flow velocity
near the entrance of the Palatino reservoirs.
An assessment of the estimated parameters quality may
be done by a comparison between measured and simulated
salt concentrations, as shown in Fig. 4 for three stations,
where an excellent agreement may visually be observed.
7 Conclusions
One-dimensional models for open channel flow (steady and
spatially varied) and for the transport of conservative
substances were implemented in Matlab�. Stable and
convergent solutions were achieved.
Table 3 Estimates for the bed roughness coefficient in Eq. (2)
Reach n (50 9 100) lH Cv
North-Square 0.013 0.012 0.027
Square-12 0.013 0.012 0.009
12–18 0.014 0.014 0.015
18–22 0.013 0.013 0.008
22-Palatino 0.011 0.011 0.012
F(H) (m) 0.002 – –
Elapsed time (s)* 890 – –
* Intel (R) Core (TM) 2 processor
Table 4 Estimates for the dispersion coefficient in Eq. (6)
Reach D F(H) Elapsed time (s)
(m2 s-1) (mg l-1)
Square-12 0.194 7.926 48
lH 0.195 N = 100
Cv 0.007 M = 50
12–22 0.221 5.576 24
lH 0.222 N = 50
Cv 0.006 M = 10
22–Palatino 0.609 7.494 90
lH 0.583 N = 100
Cv 0.007 M = 10
Fig. 4 Comparison of simulated (red line) and measured concentra-
tions at stations 12 (a), 22 (b) and Palatino (c)
76 J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. (2014) 36:69–77
123
The patterns of flow and transport were subjected to a
sensitivity analysis of the simulated variables (flow depth
and salt concentration) regarding the searched parameters,
seepage losses (q), roughness coefficient (n) and longitu-
dinal dispersion coefficient (D), leading to the following
partial conclusions:
– The flow depth is remarkably sensitive to the roughness
coefficient variation. This variable also showed sensi-
tivity to the seepage losses, but this sensitivity was
practically constant for a wide range of total seepage
losses, indicating that the estimation of parameters
n and q should be made separately;
– The sensitivity of salt concentration is higher in the
vicinity of both the beginning and the end of the plume
detection. The highest sensitivity was found at the
entrance of the Palatino reservoirs;
– The parameters q and D could not be estimated
simultaneously, because they are correlated.
Acknowledgments The authors acknowledge the financial support
provided by the Brazilian agency CAPES (Coordenacao de Aper-
feicoamento de Pessoal de Nıvel Superior), through the international
cooperation program between Brazil and MES (Ministry of Higher
Education, Cuba). They are also grateful for the information provided
by Aguas de La Habana. Finally, the authors acknowledge Prof.
Wagner Sacco for kindly providing all the details related to the
implementation of the PCA. AJSN acknowledges also the financial
support provided by FAPERJ, Fundacao Carlos Chagas Filho de
Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, and CNPq, Conselho
Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientıfico e Tecnologico.
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