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Estimating the Effect of Tort Reform on Medical Malpractice Costs CAS Spring Meeting May 16, 2005...
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Transcript of Estimating the Effect of Tort Reform on Medical Malpractice Costs CAS Spring Meeting May 16, 2005...
Estimating the Effect of Tort Reform on Medical Malpractice Costs
CAS Spring Meeting
May 16, 2005
Robert J. Walling, FCAS, MAAA
A Brief Recap
A Historical Recounting
Favorable operating results and investment returns Rating agency pressure on domestics Aggressive expansion, competition and depressed rates Strained insurer balance sheets Unanticipated increase in large claim frequencies and
severities Decreased investment returns post-9/11 Reduced coverage availability Reduced coverage affordability Reduced access to healthcare
Widespread, but not Uniform
A Call for Greater Efficiency
Thecurrent
system iswoefully
inefficient
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Maine Med Mal MedicalMalpractice
Group A & H PrivatePassenger Auto
Liability
WorkersCompensation
Line of Business
Penn
ies
per D
olla
r of P
rem
ium
Losses ( Claimants' Share) Losses ( Attorneys' Share) ALAE ULAE Commissions Taxes, Licenses & Fees Other Acquisition Expense General Expenses
Tort Reforms Impact on Efficiency
Damage caps by themselves do not improve system efficiency
Several other elements of MICRA should help Some newer reforms may help too
Attorney fee caps Birth Related Neurological Injury Funds (NICA) Prelitigation screening “I’m Sorry’ laws
I’m Sorry Laws
Physicians want more communication Patients feel physicians are “hiding something” In most states, expressions of regret or empathy are
admissible as evidence Lexington, KY VA Hospital “I’m Sorry” laws,
– Enacted in CA, CO, FL, MA, OR, TN, TX, WA– AZ, ME and others are considering– Providers/staff can say “I’m sorry this happened to you”– CO only, “I’m sorry I did this”
without admissibility
I’m Sorry Laws Insurers are:
– Training providers on how to apologize (mandatory)– Coordinating with claims
Initial results are significant– Reduced severities– Reduced loss adjustment expense– Reduced attorney involvement
(CO: 2 lawsuits in 433 claims)– Improved patient satisfaction– In many cases, much improved efficiency
Impact of “I’m Sorry” Laws Focus on claims <$35,000 Company’s can match apology with aggressive
claims settlement strategy (e.g. COPIC) Increase efficiency at all costs (including higher
pure loss severity) Reduces ALAE on small claims 35-65%
(3.5%-6.0% cost reduction overall) Actually increases small claimant net damages
“I’m Sorry” Impact Complexities
Data– What claim types are best suited for improvements
due to apologies?– Differing results by company and state
Other– Court interpretations– Lack of historical data in any state– Can actually run contrary to other reforms
(e.g. prelit panels)
Sliding Scale Attorney Fees
CA’s MICRA:– 40% first $50,000, – 33% next $50,000, – 25% on next $500,000, and – 15% > $600,000
Impact of Attorney Fee Caps
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20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0-25 25-50 50-100
100-150
150-200
200-250
250-350
350-500
500-1000
1m-2m
2m+
Size of Loss
Incu
rred
Los
ses
($M
)
Uncapped LossesCapped Losses
$500K Non-EconDamage Cap reducescosts 15%($88M)
(80)
(60)
(40)
(20)
-
20
40
60
0-25 25-50 50-100
100-150
150-200
200-250
250-350
350-500
500-1000
1m-2m
2m+
Mill
ions
Size of Loss
Cha
nges
in N
et D
amag
es ($
M)
Change in FeesChange in Losses
Impact of Attorney Fee Caps
Caps on Fees restore 75% of Net Damages ($66M)
Attorney Fee Cap - Impact Complexities
Data– Many states do not have detailed claim histories– Most states do not have economic vs. non-econ detail
Look to available data– Nobody has data on current average fees (Rand-33%)
Other– Judicial challenges can reduce impact– Many final laws allow “exceptions”– Are there other “soft” impacts?
Prelitigation Screening Panels
Benefits of Prelitigation Screening Panel or Medical Review Board– Can eliminate frivolous claims– Can reduce ALAE on claims with payment and w/o– Decision of panel can cut off further actions– Create opportunity for counseling
Impact of Prelitigation Panels
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
0 1-25 25-50 50-100 100-150
150-200
200-250
250-350
350-500
500-1000
1m-2m
Size of Loss (No LAE)
Cla
im S
ever
ity ($
K)
Prelit state Non-Prelit
Impact of Prelitigation Panels
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 1-25 25-50
Size of Loss (No LAE)
Cla
im S
ever
ity ($
K)
Prelit state Non-Prelit
Prelitigation Panel - Impact Complexities
Data– At least two states of data needed
Other– Rare to have only a single statutory difference– Implementation of panels can be very different– Judicial challenges can reduce impact– Courts can reduce panel protections– Are there other “soft” impacts?
Birth Related Neurological Injury Funds
Government insurance mechanism No Fault system (reduces attorney involvement) Broader benefits Broader funding base Low frequencies, high severities Florida (NICA) and Virginia (BRNICP)
Typical NICA Legislative Costings
Changes in eligibility – Birth weight– Physical “and” mental injuries versus “or”– Survival requirements– Mandatory coverage
Changes in benefits– Housing allowances– Specialized equipment
NICA Impacts
2006 Average Claim Costs by Category
65%6%
4%
6%4%
6% 2% 3% 2%1%1% 0%
Nursing Hospital/Physician Incidental HousingVans Lost Wages Physical Therapy Medical EquipmentPrescription Drugs Legal Insurance Medical Review/Intake
NICA Impacts
1. Estimated Annual Claim Frequency 10
2. Estimated % Claims Below 2,000 grams 25%
3. Estimated Number of Claims Eliminated 2.5
4. Estimated Claim Severity 1,948,479
5. Estimated Annual Loss Reduction 4,871,198 due to introduction of 2,000 birth weight limit
NICA - Impact Complexities
Data– Very limited claims history (NICU admissions help)– Very inflation sensitive– Very mortality sensitive– What mortality table is comparable?
Other– Eligibility issue can be politically sensitive