Estimates of mobile population111

Estimates of Mobile Population

Data from Mapping and Line Listing

India

Nepali Mobile Population

Mapping Data at Transit

India

Transit Sites

Gaddachouki / Banbasa

Dhangadi / Gourifanta

Line listing at Transit Points - Methodology Mapping carried out by team of 5 people each in the transit points. Line listing of mobile population carried out over three months Line listing of mobile population carried out during the time mobility

takes place (first bus to last bus of the day). Line listing carried out through a combination of methods.

Not counting those who cross the border daily or those who come for local trading or truckers.

Data is collected from as many people as possible regarding their source, destination and other details.

Approximately 70% of the total population who cross over provided information about themselves at Gaurifanta / Dhangadhi

Approximately 90% of the total population who cross over provided information about themselves at Gaddachouki / Banbasa

Data presented here is analysis of over three months.

Estimates of Mobile population at Gaurifanta

Those from Accham, almost all go to Mumbai. Those from Kanchanpur, people go to both Mumbai and

Delhi Overall, 3 times more people go to Mumbai than those

who go to Delhi

Total Mobile

Going Delhi % to Delhi

Going Mumbai

% to Mumbai

Going Others

% to Others

Source - Accham 1742 159 9 1275 73 308 18

Source - Kanchanpur 713 307 43 217 30 189 27

Source - Others 5913 1043 18 3387 57 1483 25

Total 8368 1509 18.0 4879 58.3 1980 23.7

Mobile population at Banbasa / Gaddachouki

From Kanchanpur, More people go to Delhi than Mumbai, overall 4 times more people cross over from Kanchanpur than Accham

From Accham and Kanchanpur, 4 times more people go to Delhi than those who go to Mumbai

Total Mobile

Going Delhi % to Delhi

Going Mumbai

% to Mumbai

Going Others

% to Others

Source - Accham 1511 248 16 331 22 932 62


Source - Others 9339 2876 31 472 5 5991 64

Total 16680 5082 30.5 997 6.0 10601 63.6

Estimates of Mobile population (combined-both transit sites)

Those from Accham, more people go to Mumbai than Delhi. Those from Kanchanpur, more people go to Delhi than Mumbai Overall, more number of people go to Delhi than to Mumbai from the

two source districts

Total Mobile

Going Delhi

% to Delhi

Going Mumbai

% to Mumbai

Going Others

% to Others

Source - Accham 3253 407 13 1606 49 1240 38


Source - Others 15252 3919 26 3859 25 7474 49

Total 25048 6591 26.3 5876 23.5 12581 50.2

Buses from the transit points

The number of buses that leave from the two transit points for each destination also gives us an indication of the volume of mobile population in that direction

Buses Leaving from Gaddachouki/Banbasa

S.no Destination No.of buses

1 Delhi, Gurgaon 15

2Haridwar, Mathura, Agra, Lucknow 11

3Punjab, Shimla, Karnal, Jaipur, Haldwani 11

Grand Total 37

Buses Leaving from Gourifanta

S.no. LocationNo.of buses

1 Delhi, Gurgaon, Noida 7

2 Other areas 27

Grand Total 34

Projection Analysis – Methodology 1

As 70% of the mobile population was listed at the Gaurifanta transit point, an additional 30% of the population has been calculated proportionally in each category.

Similarly as 90% of the mobile population was listed at Gaddachouki, an additional 10% of the population has been calculated proportionally in each category.

The results of the above calculation is shown in the next three slides.

Projection of Mobile population at Gaurifanta for three months (Total)

Increased 30% in all categories

Total Mobile

Going Delhi

% to Delhi

Going Mumbai

% to Mumbai

Going Others

% to Others

Source - Accham 2265 207 9 1658 73 40018

Source - Kanchanpur 927 399 43 282 30 24627

Source - Others 7687 1356 18 4403 57 192825

Total 10878 1962 18 6343 58 2574 24

Projection population at Banbasa / Gaddachouki for three months (Total)

Increased 10% in all categories

Total Mobile

Going Delhi

% to Delhi

Going Mumbai

% to Mumbai

Going Others

% to Others

Source - Accham 1662 273 16 364 22 102562

Source - Kanchanpur 6413 2154 34 213 3 404663

Source - Others 10273 3164 31 519 5 659064

Total 18348 5590 30 1097 6 11661 64

Projection of Mobile population (combined-both transit sites) for three months

Added 30% in all categories for Gaurifanta transit and 10% for those in Gaddachouki transit.

Approximately these are the total number of people who crossed over in the three month period.

Total Mobile

Going Delhi

% to Delhi

Going Mumbai

% to Mumbai

Going Others

% to Others

Source - Accham 3927 480 12 2022 51 1426 36


Source - Others 17960 4520 25 4922 27 8518 47

Total 29226 7552 26 7439 25 14235 49

Projection of Mobile population (combined-both transit sites) for One year

Figures for three months calculated for one year. Approximately, 1,00,000 Nepali Mobile population cross over into

India in a year through the two transit points [1]

Out of that, approximately 12000 come to Delhi as destination and 8500 come to Mumbai from the two sites of Accham and Kanchanpur.

Total Mobile

Going Delhi

% to Delhi

Going Mumbai

% to Mumbai

Going Others

% to Others

Source - Accham 15707 1918 12 8086 51 5702 36


Source - Others 71839 18078 25 19689 27 34072 47

Total 116906 30208 26 29758 25 56940 49


Mapping Data at Destination - Delhi

India

Delhi and Mapping sites

5

Locations MappedS.No Name of AREA (Sub Location) - NCR- 6 Noida1 Kashmiri Gate a Mamura (Sector-66)

a. Nepali Park b Harola Market(Sec-5)b. Guru Nanak Market c Noida sec-9c. Chavi Ganj d Khodad. Mori Gate e Mayur Vihar (1,2,3)

7 Okhlaa Jantajeevan Camp

2 Chandni Chowk b Mazdoor Janta Colonya. Old Lajpat Rai Market c Tehkhandb. New Lajpat Rai Marketc. Bhagirath Place 7 Naraina

a Naraina village 3 Kingsway Camp b Rajivgandhi Camp

a. Mukherji Nagarb. Nirankari Colony 8 Gurgaonc. Malik Pur a Sarhaul Gaon, Sec 18d Indira Vikas Colony b Nathupure Sant Nagar/Burari c Shukralif Outerm Lane d Sikanderpur

4 Jhilmil (East Delhi) 9 J.J.Colonya. Chitra Vihar Inderpurib. Sonia Camp a AB & WZ blockc. Ambedkar Camp b C, D, E & F blockd. Maharaj Pure. Old/New Seema Puri 10 Kapas Hera

f. Karkarduma Villageg. Ghondli 11 Kirti Nagar h. Shalimar Garden

12 Zamrudpur 5 Azadpur

a. Transport Center 13 Garhi. East of Kailsh b sanjay gandhi tpt nager

14 Harkesh Nagar

Estimated Mobile population

Estimates from 20 locations around NCR Filtering out categories like single, within India for 5years

leaves us with an impact population of: 3650 If we do not have these criteria, the impact population

will become approximately 30,000 in Delhi.

Total (range)

Single With family

% age who are in India for less than 5 years

% age who are in locality for less than 5 years

People from Nepal

24000-26000

9000-10000

15000-16000

70 - 75 % 60 – 65 %

People from Accham/ Kanchanpur

6000-7000

2500 - 3000

3500-4000

70 – 75 % 60 – 65 %


Data at Destination - Mumbai

India

Estimated Mobile population The Reaching Across Border Project carried out by FHI

reached approximately 40,000 Nepali Population in Mumbai (3 years).

The project worked with all Nepalis at certain specified areas (did not curtail impact population by source districts).

The project worked at 4 districts of Nepal as source sites Based on the above figures, the approximate number of

impact population for EMPHASIS would be 3360. If we relax the criteria for impact population, another

25,000 can be reached in Mumbai.

Bangladeshi Mobile Population

Data at Destination – West Bengal

India

Estimated Mobile population Approximately 7000 people cross over the

border undocumented. Approximately 65000 people from Bangladesh

are found in the locations mapped. Approximate number of people who have come

from Jessore and Satkhira is 9750 If we relax the criteria, approximate impact

population would be 10,000.

Conclusion

Conclusion

Need to relax limiting Impact population criteria In tune with revised NACO strategy Makes intervention feasible. Broaden intervention to reach all

Nepalis/Bangladeshi in a destination/transit site, while also focusing on the continuum.

Thanks

Estimates of mobile population111

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