Establish Goals (Fed NAAQS) Develop programs To achieve goals Population P Economy GDP$/yr Energy...

Establish Goals (Fed NAAQS) Develop programs To achieve goals Population P Economy GDP$/yr Energy Use Btu/yr Fuel Cons. T/yr SOX Emiss. T/yr Per Cap Econ (GDP/P) Energy Efficiency (Btu/GDP) Fuel Eny. Factor (T/Btu) Emissions Factor (T/T) Ambient Air Quality Determine Emission Reductions Implement and Enforce Strategies Track and Evaluate Results Linear Causality Framework and Bachmann AQM Loop

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Transcript of Establish Goals (Fed NAAQS) Develop programs To achieve goals Population P Economy GDP$/yr Energy...

Establish Goals(Fed NAAQS)

Develop programsTo achieve goals

PopulationP

EconomyGDP$/yr

Energy UseBtu/yr

Fuel Cons.T/yr

SOX Emiss.T/yrPer Cap Econ

(GDP/P) Energy Efficiency

(Btu/GDP)Fuel Eny.

Factor (T/Btu) Emissions

Factor (T/T)

AmbientAir Quality

DetermineEmission

Reductions

Implement andEnforce Strategies

Track andEvaluate Results

Linear Causality Framework and Bachmann AQM Loop

Page 2: Establish Goals (Fed NAAQS) Develop programs To achieve goals Population P Economy GDP$/yr Energy Use Btu/yr Fuel Cons. T/yr SOX Emiss. T/yr Per Cap Econ.

Linear Causality and Bachmann Air Quality Management Loop

• Current ambient air quality is simulated through monitoring and modeling

• NAAQS are set by the EPA based on health effects of criteria pollutants

• Required emission reductions are determined for areas designated as in non-attainment

• Programs to achieve these goals are developed – State Implementation Plans

• Strategies for reduction in SIP are implemented and enforced

Establish Goals(Fed NAAQS)

Develop programsTo achieve goals

SOX Emiss.T/yr

AmbientAir Quality

DetermineEmission

Reductions

Implement andEnforce Strategies

Page 3: Establish Goals (Fed NAAQS) Develop programs To achieve goals Population P Economy GDP$/yr Energy Use Btu/yr Fuel Cons. T/yr SOX Emiss. T/yr Per Cap Econ.

Linear Causality and Bachmann Air Quality Management Loop

• Strategies for pollutant reduction are implemented and enforced– Potential impact on emissions factor: installation of

scrubbers, other tailpipe solutions– Potential impact on fuel environmental factor: SIP driven

change of fuel mix, increased green tech subsidies– Potential impact on energy efficiency: mandated efficiency

standards (res/comm appliances, car mileage)

EconomyGDP$/yr

Energy UseBtu/yr

Fuel Cons.T/yr

SOX Emiss.T/yrEnergy Efficiency

(Btu/GDP)Fuel Eny.

Factor (T/Btu) Emissions

Factor (T/T)

Implement andEnforce Strategies

Page 4: Establish Goals (Fed NAAQS) Develop programs To achieve goals Population P Economy GDP$/yr Energy Use Btu/yr Fuel Cons. T/yr SOX Emiss. T/yr Per Cap Econ.

Linear Causality and Bachmann Air Quality Management Loop

• Following the implementation and enforcement of strategies in different sectors, ambient air quality is theoretically affected through the linear causality framework

• These results are then tracked and evaluated to determine success

• If NAAQS have still not been met, new emission reductions must be determined and the AQM control mechanism kicks in again

Establish Goals(Fed NAAQS)

SOX Emiss.T/yr

AmbientAir Quality

DetermineEmission

Reductions

Track andEvaluate Results