Equity Value range ( m) - DHH International · set to be an ideal operator to capture the untapped...
Transcript of Equity Value range ( m) - DHH International · set to be an ideal operator to capture the untapped...
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
March 24th
, 2016 III
The Internet service platform of the emerging markets of Europe A hosting and SaaS service provider for SMEs in the European emerging digital economies
Dominion Hosting Holding is building a multi-national, multi-service group of web hosting and technology
companies to offer digital solutions, aimed at small and medium enterprises, in Italy and emerging Eastern and
Central European economies.
Established in July 2015, the initial group, comprising of three companies, manages over 200,000 registered
domains in Slovenia, Italy, Croatia and Serbia, with 2015 aggregated net sales of €3.5m and a clear leadership
position in Slovenia and Croatia.
Promising markets poorly served by large industry players
The targeted European digital emerging companies such as Italy, the Balkans and Central and Eastern Europe
show ample unlocked potential compared to the more digitally advanced European economies. DHH will fill this
gap by offering localized domain & hosting services, complemented by high-quality customer care and new value-
added cloud applications, which larger competitors do not effectively provide.
Meticulous M&A activity
DHH has a well-defined acquisition plan to capture revenue-generating digital companies active in domain &
hosting services and other products targeted at SMEs in their local geographies, at an early stage of
development. DHH will leverage on its integrating skills and competencies, in order to spur, in the investee
companies, the acceleration of organic growth and the launch of new business applications locally developed.
Shared services would then be spread across the network of local businesses resulting into an integrated business
offering to culturally diversified geographies, where there is a need of English-language applications for export
and innovation-oriented SMEs.
Value creation for a growth stock
DHH in view of a possible IPO looks to satisfy the requisites of a growth stock. Expected accelerated growth
derives from the unique approach of building an aggregator in the digital emerging European geographies. DHH is
set to be an ideal operator to capture the untapped demand for user-friendly digital suites in the emerging non-
English speaking countries, whose SMEs need a web bridge to the rest of Europe and other Western economies.
Key projections – Net sales (€m) - As-is and acquisition scenario
3.54.1
4.55.0
2015PF 2016E 2017E 2018E
Equity Value range (€m)
Base Scenario Acquisition Scenario
10.0
8.0
4.9
Source: EnVent Research
Luigi Tardella – Co-Head of Research [email protected] Viviana Sepe – Research Analyst [email protected] EnVent Capital Markets Ltd. - 25, Savile Row - London W1S 2ER – UK Phone +44 (0) 20 35198451
This document may not be distributed in the United States, Canada, Japan or Australia or to U.S. persons.
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Overview of Dominion Hosting Holding (DHH)
Growth company, profitable, strongly cash flow positive, with almost zero
debt
International operator, with strong presence in Italy and market leader in
Slovenia, Croatia and Serbia
Experienced and committed management team with a strong track record in:
1) Bootstrapping successful technology businesses. Four companies
established in the last ten years, developing them from zero to multimillion
dollar businesses
2) Executing cross border acquisitions. Six successful international acquisitions
in the last three years
3) Listing and managing companies on the public stock markets: Two IPOs on
the Italian Stock Exchange in the last five years
Mission
Established in July 2015, DHH aspires to be a reference point in the hosting and
SaaS industries in European emerging digital economies in which Internet
penetration is still in an initial phase such as Italy, the Balkans (Slovenia, Croatia,
Serbia, Bosnia, Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Greece) and Central-Eastern
Europe (Bulgaria, Romania, Slovakia, Hungary).
DHH is operating a market consolidation, on the belief that these disregarded
geographies have a great potential for growth.
The opportunity
The emerging digital markets of Europe are still behind with regards to Internet use
and to its integration with digital technology.
Source: Company data
1. INVESTMENT CASE
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DHH, gaining a leadership position in these markets, wants to take advantage of the
natural growth trend that is already in place in filling the gap with the more mature
geographies.
The global challenge
The emerging digital markets of Europe can be also seen as experimental markets
to test and to successfully launch global digital businesses, thanks to the amount of
human talent present in these geographies and to the lower labor cost that is very
competitive.
Key milestones
July 2015 -> Establishment of DHH
October 2015 -> Investment in Domenca / Domovanje in Slovenia
November 2015 -> Investment in Plus Hosting in Croatia and Serbia
December 2015 -> Investment in Tophost in Italy
Year one achievements
After less than one year of operations DHH encompasses:
4 companies
45 people
90,000 customers
200,000 domains
A small but multinational company:
1/3 of revenues in Italy
1/3 of revenues in Slovenia
1/3 of revenues in Croatia and Serbia
Market leadership positions in Slovenia, Croatia and Serbia
Net sales in 2015 were €3.5m, with €500k of EBITDA and €400k of free cash flow.
Historical background
All the companies acquired by DHH were stable, profitable and strongly cash flow
positive.
Since being founded, each company grew organically reaching the current size, with
little or no use of debt and with strong cash flow.
After the acquisitions, DHH is working to improve the performance of all the
portfolio companies (growth, margins) utilizing the value-added services provided
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by its “Centers of Excellence”.
Value proposition
Each of the local companies, although market leaders in their country, is too small
to effectively support their own specific business processes such as marketing,
business development and internal IT systems (billing, provisioning).
DHH has created at the group level three Centers of Excellence (CoE) providing
specialized value-added services serving the needs of local companies with more
efficiency and greater technical prowess:
1. Growth Center of Excellence
2. Tech Center of Excellence
3. Operations Center of Excellence
The ultimate goal of the Centers of Excellence is to increase the organic growth and
improve the efficiency and the margins of the portfolio companies.
Drivers
Industry drivers
Increasing regular Internet use. In 2014 people in the EU using Internet at least
once per week increased by 14% vs. the previous year, reaching the 75% EU
Commission target set for 2014. E-commerce by EU citizens progressed more than
14% on prior year, reaching a level of 50% of EU citizens, in line with Internet take-
up. (Source: European Commission, Digital Agenda Scoreboard 2015 – Targets
Progress report)
A gap to fill for e-commerce. In Europe 35% of large companies sell online (+6%
over the last five years), while only 14.5% of Small/Medium-sized Enterprises
(SMEs) marketed their products/services online (+3.5% over the last five years).
(Source: European Commission, Digital Agenda Scoreboard 2015 – Targets Progress
report)
SMEs are the engine of growth. European SMEs accounted for 99.8% of enterprises
in the non-financial sector in 2014, generating 58% of the total value added. 93% of
SMEs employ less than ten people. (Source: European Commission, Annual Report
on SMEs 2014/2015)
These businesses often do not have the resources necessary to invest in custom-
made applications to manage the relationship with their customers and their
marketing activities. Demand is strong for a new generation of user-friendly
applications which improve and sharpen the tools used to connect and cultivate the
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relationship with their current and potential customers.
New enterprises are increasingly created by millennials (Generation Y people, born
in the Internet era, between the early 1980s and the early 2000s), who usually
initiate a business first by creating a website and later are yearn to expand the use
of web tools and applications.
New domain names will boost revenues and margins. ICANN, the governing body
of the Internet, has recently approved over 1,300 new domain extensions called
gTLDs (Generic Top-Level Domains). The approval process started at the end of
2013 and is still ongoing. When the new gTLDs become a larger part of the overall
domain market, this will help both revenue and margin growth. New domain
extensions will change the digital landscape and offer customers new opportunities
to present themselves online, expanding the previous limited address space and
increasing the flexibility for personalized names. Along with giving the customer
base a wider mix of domains to differentiate themselves on the web, this will also
give the opportunity to sell domains at a premium price compared with the most
popular .com, generating Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) increases.
Internet power shifting from the Registry to the Registrar. The domain name
industry is composed of Registries, that manage the information on who owns the
domains, and of Registrars, which take the registration request and reserve a
domain at the main Registry. Until now the Registry, which encompasses the entire
universe of .com domains, had obviously a dominant position. Now, with over 1,300
new gLTDs, the power is set to shift from the Registry to the Registrar and this puts
the DHH group of companies in a good competitive position.
Acquisitions at premium multiples. Deal activity for hosting companies is likely to
continue to run at a strong pace, according to Mergers Alliance, with strategic
transactions making up the majority. Consolidation will be the key driver as buyers
seek to achieve economies of scale, improve offerings, acquire technology and
expand internationally. Within this framework, DHH is negotiating with the local
market leaders at acquisition multiples below the industry average, while the
consolidators, such as DHH, are expected to command multiples well over the
industry average (Endurance International Group or Host Europe Group are
examples).
Company drivers
Highly scalable business model. Infrastructure and management costs shared
among a growing number of companies and customers give room for an aggressive
pricing policy and higher operating margins.
Visibility of future revenues. A strong customer loyalty, implying a high client
retention rate, allows for resiliency in the revenue stream. The annual upfront
subscription fee scheme, with automatic renewal, provides for significant recurring
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revenues and immediate cash conversion.
Premium customer service. The reputation of outstanding service, upon which
market leading status in Slovenia and Croatia was built, is the main competitive
advantage and barrier to entry for international giants unfocused on offering
premium localized services.
New products dedicated to SMEs. The launch of new products dedicated to SMEs,
such as applications to increase web visibility and business productivity, facilitated
by the Company’s leading market position and cost, will represent a key driver for
revenue and margin growth.
International expansion. DHH currently offers a custom-local product in four
countries (Slovenia, Italy, Croatia, Serbia). In 2015 foreign operations accounted for
roughly 65% of revenues, with the rest coming from Italy. Targeted markets such as
the Balkans and Eastern Europe have significant untapped potential and can lead
revenue and earnings growth from 2016 and beyond.
Brand awareness. This is crucial, as it usually characterizes companies providing
stable, fast, and reliable web hosting services, which have a true staying power and
will outlast their competitors. DHH companies have been on the market since 10-15
years and have built strong brands, recognized for high quality and customer
service.
Company builder. DHH’s strategy is to acquire high-tech companies in the fields of
hosting and marketing-technology services aimed at SMEs. This will be
accomplished by combining financial resources, incubation, corporate services,
mentorship, management and network opportunities for potential targets.
Track record in M&A. The Management of DHH has a proven track record of
identifying, executing and integrating acquisitions, with a hyper-focused strategy
leading to meticulous deal scouting and completion.
In the last five years they have successfully executed six cross border acquisitions,
one turnaround and two IPOs on the AIM Italia market.
The key managers are also shareholders of DHH and will be directly involved in
carrying out the Group’s growth strategy.
Challenges
Competition from the tech giants. Large global players, originally focused on
English-speaking markets, are entering local markets with a geo-localized offering.
The best example is GoDaddy, whose sites, domain & hosting products and
customer care are now available in 26 languages and 53 markets globally. However,
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global digital players are typically unable to gain a market leadership position in the
local markets due to their language barriers, poor knowledge of the local
environments and of the local marketing processes. For these reasons, the global
tech giants generally look at the local leaders as possible acquisitions when wanting
to access the local markets (Emailvision or the expansion strategy of Aruba and
Host Europe Group are examples).
Pricing trends of new gTLDs. The business should get a lift of revenue and profits as
new gTLDs grow in the mix of domains sold, but if they were commoditized towards
.com pricing, this advantage could vanish. The maturity of lifecycle in the Registrar
space have caused .com and .net domains to become commoditized, providing little
upside in terms of margins.
Performance of small size players. Mid-term financial sustainability is a risk factor
when evaluating investment into a new venture. However, DHH group companies
are already revenue and profit generating, despite their size.
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Helping European SMEs to grow
their business online
Track record in the execution of
strategic acquisitions to integrate
web hosting companies into DHH
portfolio
DHH as a digital service provider for SMEs
DHH is an aggregator of web hosting companies located in Slovenia, Italy, Croatia
and Serbia offering domain & hosting services. Its corporate mission is to acquire
technology companies in European non-English speaking emerging digital
economies, which provide SMEs with a comprehensive multi-suite of digital
solutions aimed at establishing, building and increasing online presence and
visibility. These markets are currently poorly served by large industry players.
Corporate mission
Source: Company data
Key developments
Set up in July 2015, DHH was founded by Seeweb Srl, an Italian cloud computing
firm and hosting services provider, and Giandomenico Sica, an entrepreneur in the
Italian technology industry.
DHH immediately carried out its corporate strategy by acquiring the leading hosting
providers in the following target geographies: Slovenia, Italy, Croatia and Serbia.
Key acquisitions
October 2015 December 2015November 2015
Source: Company data
2. PROFILE
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Portfolio
Domenca
Domenca, part of the Klaro group, was the first company to offer domain name
registration services to Slovenian customers in local language, starting from 1999. It
is the only company in Slovenia offering all country code TLDs (ccTLDs) and also
provides domain portfolio management services to some of the largest Slovenian
companies.
Highlights:
- Successful turnaround by the founders of DHH in 2012
Domovanje
Domovanje started as a side project of Klaro and was spun off as an independent
company in 2005. The focus of Domovanje is customer service, automation and
standardization of business practices. Its customer base grew over the years and in
2012 the company was among the three largest hosting providers in Slovenia.
Afterwards, Domovanje successfully managed the acquisition of its larger
competitor Domenca.
Today Domenca and Domovanje together represent the leading Slovenian domain
registration and web hosting services provider with 47,000 domains registered and
20,000 customers, with an over 30% market share.
Highlights:
- Established by the founders of DHH
- 47,000 domains
- 30% market share
Plus Croatia
Plus was founded in 2001 in Croatia. Through organic growth and some acquisitions
of small local players, it quickly became the largest hosting services provider in
Croatia with a 23% market share and twice the size of its nearest competitor. Plus is
recognized for its technical competence and high quality of customer service. The
company hosts some of the largest websites in the region.
Highlights:
- 13,000 domains
- 23% market share
Plus Serbia
Plus Serbia entered the market in 2010, has a dedicated business plan for Serbia,
enjoys the highest yoy growth in the whole group and is now among the top ten
registrars for .rs ccTLD.
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Tophost
Tophost, founded in 2004, is the first Italian low-cost web hosting service provider
and the third in terms of number of domains (over 140,000, for a market share of
5%). The company is one of the top three preferred providers thanks to innovative
shared platforms and services and a very competitive pricing. Tophost established
itself very quickly also for an advanced purchasing system, technical infrastructure
and a fully automated activation system.
Highlights:
- Established by the founders of DHH
- 140,000 domains
- 5% market share
- EBITDA increase of over 100% after the acquisition
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Shareholders
Seeweb Srl36.0%
Giandomenico Sica20.0%
Matjaž Jazbec 10.8%
Uroš Čimzar 10.8%
Matija Jekovec 10.8%
Martin Romih 10.8%
Koštial Tomaž 0.7%
Source: Company data
DHH was originally founded by Seeweb Srl (60%), an Italian cloud computing firm
and hosting provider controlled by Antonio Baldassarra, and Giandomenico Sica
(40%).
In the acquisition process completed so far, the founders of Klaro, a Slovenian
company, have entered DHH’s capital and now own together 44% of DHH, while the
original founders, Seeweb and Giandomenico Sica, were diluted and own the
remaining 56%, respectively 36% and 20%.
Group structure
100% 100%
100% 100%100%
Source: Company data
3. GROUP
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Source: Company data
4. MANAGEMENT
Name Role Background
Antonio Baldassarra
Shareholder (through
Seeweb) -
Co-founder
- Bootstrapping of Seeweb
- Founder and CEO of Seeweb (Italian company in the field of IT services, cloud computing, data
centers)
- Business angel and advisor of startup initiatives in the field of Internet and cloud computing
- Chairman of the Hosters and Registrars Association, Member of the Technical Committee and of the
Board of Directors at Rome Nautilus Mediterranean Exchange (Namex)
- Former Member of the ccTLD Steering Committee (CIR) of .IT registry at IIT-CNR in Pisa
- Over 25 years of experience in electronics and ICT
Giandomenico Sica
Shareholder -
Co-founder -
Executive Chairman
- IPO of Digital Magics (2013) and MailUp (2014) - 3 M&A for MailUp (2015) - Acquisition of Klaro and
Tophost (2015)
- Shareholder and Head of Corporate development of MailUp (E-mail Service Provider, listed on AIM
Italia)
- Chairman of Acumbamail (e-mail marketing company for Spanish-speaking markets)
- Founder of Polimetrica (international publishing)
- Founder of Grafo Ventures (corporate finance boutique focused on digital media)
- Former Partner of Digital Magics (venture incubator of digital startups, listed on AIM Italia)
- Entrepreneur in the field of technology and technology-enabled services
Uroš Čimzar
Shareholder-
Co-founder -
CEO
- Bootstrapping of Domovanje - Acquisition of Domenca
- Co-founder and CEO of Klaro
- Finance, business development, marketing
- Over 15 years of experience in the web and hosting industry
Matija Jekovec
Shareholder -
Co-founder -
COO
- Bootstrapping of Domovanje - Acquisition of Domenca
- Co-founder of Klaro d.o.o. and Domovanje d.o.o.
- Head of R&D, Klaro
- Guest lecturer at the Faculty for Electrical Engineering, University of Ljubljana
- Previously Developer, with technical background in computer science
- Software architecture and design, agile development practices and system administration
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The domain: the starting point
for connecting businesses with
their online audience
Business lines:
- Domain registration
- Shared Hosting
- Dedicated Hosting
- Productivity tools
The domain & hosting business
Mission
DHH’s mission is to provide SMEs with simple and flexible digital products to
establish, build and increase online presence and visibility and to enhance business
productivity.
Products designed for SMEs
Domains and hosting
The domain name business is DHH’s main revenue stream and source of new
customers.
The domain & hosting products offered by group companies address local non-
English speaking markets.
A domain name is as an address on the Internet for each website. Top-Level
Domains (TLDs) fall into two categories: generic (gTLDs) and country code (ccTLDs).
DHH Group companies market both generic and country code extensions.
DHH offers several web hosting services through dedicated servers.
New products
DHH intends to launch new SaaS (Software as a Service) products designed for
SMEs, which will be also dedicated to English-speaking businesses, in three areas,
completing its presence in the area of digital solutions for SMEs:
Web presence and marketing: e-mail and SMS marketing software, tools to
improve automatically the search engine rankings of the websites, e-
commerce platform, website builder, template builders
Business productivity: business apps, invoicing, Customer Relationship
Management, internal messaging, IP telephony, helpdesk solutions
Infrastructure / internal IT outsourcing
New products will represent a key driver for margin growth and cross-selling/up-
selling opportunities within the domain and hosting business, being the price higher
for value-added products if compared to standard domain & hosting products. New
products will have the same business model of domain & hosting products, being
based on annual recurring revenue.
5. BUSINESS MODEL AND STRATEGY
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Business model:
- Sale of subscriptions (yearly)
- Advanced payments
- Recurring payments
Strategic product positioning
DHH Today
Buy a domain
Hosting
• E-mail• E-commerce• Security
Build a website
Add functionalities
Optimize / Get found
• SEO• Mobile
DHH Tomorrow
Source: EnVent Research
Market logics and buyer’s decision process
Decision-makers in SMEs are typically the business owner and the IT consultancy
agency.
Key factors underlying the buying decisions for web hosting services are:
- Stability and reliability of the services provided
- Performance, speed and uptime
- Pricing
- Flexibility
All the companies in the DHH group are best-in-class with regards to quality of
service (ranked 5 out of 5 by customers), reliability of infrastructure and customer
success, operating dedicated team of about 20 people focused on customer care.
The Group is also flexible in launching new products in the marketplace and
adapting the offering to customer needs.
Sales channels and marketing
DHH reaches small businesses through the websites of its companies, based on
inbound online marketing strategies.
The marketing strategy is tailored to specific target groups. The brands in DHH’s
portfolio are positioned differently and target different user groups: Tophost is for
low-cost domain & hosting users; Klaro Group’s brands are devoted to high quality
users.
Customers
The portfolio of DHH at the end of 2015 includes 90,000 customers and over
200,000 registered domains.
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Domains under management by geography, 2015
Slovenia47,000Italy
140,000
Croatia + Serbia18,000
Source: Company data
Thanks to DHH small businesses in the Euro-Mediterranean area can find their
favorite hosting provider in their own country and in their spoken language.
Customer care is paramount in order to gain and maintain competitive appeal:
Klaro and Plus offer 24/7 dedicated phone assistance and technical services; Klaro
has a money-back guarantee; Plus analyzes its response time as part of its KPIs.
Pricing
The pricing strategy is diversified, based on the Group companies:
- Tophost offers in Italy basic services at very competitive fees (from €5.99 for
domain name registration to €19.99 for hosting and domain name)
- Klaro Group’s companies offer high quality services at market standard fees
(from €17.48 for domain name registration to €24 for entry level hosting)
Staff
DHH has a staff of 45 units:
- Klaro Group: 21 employees
- Tophost: 3 employees
- Plus Croatia: 19 employees
- Plus Serbia: 2
Out of the total headcount, over 20 people are employed in the customer service of
Klaro and Plus Croatia.
Competitive advantages
Economies of scale represent a key success factor, since every new customer
enhances the profitability of the developed products. The greater the number
of customers, the greater the profit will be.
Exportability of the applications, which can be deployed by all the hosting
providers in the group
Long-lasting customer relationships, giving way to stable and predictable sales
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and earnings
Strong skills in the e-commerce industry, to serve clients in such fast growing
market
Internal R&D development capabilities
Contractual commitment of customers via fee-based, fixed-term subscriptions
Group expansion strategy
DHH plans to:
- Penetrate Balkans and Central-Eastern European markets (non-English
speaking, poorly served by larger industry players), geo-localizing its suite of
domain & hosting products
- Penetrate English-speaking markets with a suite of digital products designed
for SMEs, developed by fast growing companies operating in the target
geographies. The strategy to approach English-speaking markets allows
vertical deployment of services to those market niches that are not typically
covered by the big players
- Establish itself as a pan-European domain & hosting provider through organic
growth of the group companies (retaining existing customers, up-selling,
acquiring new customers) and new acquisitions
Expansion strategy
Suite of digital advancedproducts designed for SMEs,developed by fast growingcompanies operating in thetarget geographies
English-speaking markets
Geo-localized suite of Domain& Hosting products
Balkans and Central-Eastern Europe
Source: EnVent Research
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Shared support services
Company builder and integrator
The accelerated growth program of DHH is based on the investment in high-
potential technology businesses in the European emerging digital economies,
supporting them with initial financial resources, mentorship, corporate functions
and marketing know-how. These skills are proven by the fast build-up of the initial
bulk of companies.
DHH’s most important strength, on its way to become the SME’s preferred
technology partner, is its ability to provide strategic-minded and leading-edge
solutions which facilitate hosting services companies heighten their business and
maximize their presence on the market.
DHH will support the investee companies to achieve three goals:
Better service to existing customers
Launch of global products based on the existing in-house hosting expertise
Become a company builder platform to gain early traction SaaS products
Better service to existing customers
Currently the group companies, despite the leading position in their respective
countries, are still too small to effectively provide specialized services as marketing,
business development and internal IT management systems (billing, provisioning).
Moreover, these companies have yet to develop internal IT systems in line with
local regulations, due to their limited size with regards to their diversified product
portfolio offering.
To help the companies achieve this, DHH will centrally establish Centers of
Excellence for functions needed by individual companies. These shared support
services will boost better services for local customers.
Launch of global products
Group companies have local domestic specializations leading to a better service for
a given kind of customer. These local services can not be globalized, as companies
on their own do not have the resources needed.
The formation of CoE will allow to fund and launch these products or services
globally, in a cost-efficient manner and outstanding technical prowess.
Management expects the first launch in 2016.
Meticulous M&A skills
In acquiring future potential hosting companies, DHH has a strict investment
strategy outlined in the following table.
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Screening process of the target companies - Criteria
Sector Digital, with focus on domain & hosting and digital products for SMEs
Geography Emerging digital economies: Italy, Balkans, Central-Eastern Europe
Stage of
developmentEarly, with limited operating history
Size€100-500k in revenues for SaaS companies
€1-2m for hosting providers
Transaction type Acquisition of 100% of share capital
Exit strategy Not foreseen
Source: Company data
DHH’s goals with regard to the investee companies are:
- Accelerate organic growth through marketing efforts
- Adapt in English the business applications developed locally in the Group
companies to cross-sell them in English-speaking markets
- Maintain the companies in portfolio to grow them organically (no exit
strategy)
The main characteristics of DHH’s activity as a company builder are:
- No start-up risk, being investments already revenue-generating
- DHH will continue to pursue the companies growth process with a long-term
perspective
- DHH can leverage on its marketing capabilities to cross-sell new products
In each targeted local market there are several SaaS product companies which are
essentially managed by one/two-people. These are limited in size and
internationalization is difficult for them because of the insufficient resources.
DHH can offer such companies knowledge and support through the CoE, in addition
to group wide distribution by way of the existing customer base.
DHH is willing to offer its targeted shareholders equity deals which will allow them
to take part in the project. The management of DHH expects to complete the first
deal of this kind in 2017, at the latest.
Integrator skills
DHH’s organization will comprise of a group of local Country Departments, bound
by geography, together with a set of centrally managed Centers of Excellence, each
in charge of specific business functions. Country Departments are responsible for
first level support, along with the selection and implementation of specific
marketing and sales strategies developed at the Group level. CoE are responsible
for all business support services, excluding finance, accounting and HR. To date,
DHH has established three CoE.
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Centers of Excellence
GrowthTech
Operations
- System administration & IT support
- Infrastructure architecture
- Groupwide network maintenance
- Managing the group infrastructure
- Key account management for large clients
- Operational HR
- Internal IT development
- Hosting product development
- System’s integration
- Financial resources
- Operational HR
- IT and technology support
- Customer acquisition
- Products pricing
- Customer experience
- Marketing playbook
- Content strategy
- Strategic marketing
- Marketing and sales
Source: Company data
Use of proceeds
The use of proceeds is 100% for the acquisition of new companies (M&A). DHH’s
growth plan is focused on the acquisition of companies that the Group will be able
to optimize post-acquisition, improving the growth profile and the profitability
through the use of its “Centers of Excellence”.
The M&A strategy is focused along three lines:
1. Consolidating the markets in which DHH is already present (Italy, Slovenia,
Croatia and Serbia), in order to make its leadership position stronger
2. Entering new geographies (e.g. Bulgaria Romania, Albania, Macedonia and
Montenegro) buying the leaders and then consolidating the market
3. Acquiring small multi-national companies active in English-speaking markets
optimizing and accelerating them through its Centers of Excellence
The ultimate goal is to become a leader:
- In the hosting industry in the emerging markets of Europe
- In the vertical niches within the hosting and SaaS industry globally
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Relentless rise in Internet use
and e-commerce
30% of companies do not
have a website
European web divide shows target countries’ potential
Internet has become a medium for information, communication, organization and
business, now driven by broadband access. Thanks to its availability from any
location and to the rise in access speeds, Internet is a universal infrastructure
served via mobile or fixed-line networks.
In 2014 the number of EU individuals using Internet at least once per week
increased by 14% vs. the previous year, reaching the 75% EU Commission’s target
set for 2014. Slovenia, Croatia and Italy haven’t reached the EU target yet.
Exhibit 6.1
Source: European Commission, Digital Agenda Scoreboard 2015 – Targets Progress report
97% of enterprises in the EU had an Internet connection in 2014 (Source: European
Commission, Digital Agenda Scoreboard 2015 – Use of cloud services). Internet
opens up new business opportunities and sales & marketing channels. As
businesses, especially SMEs, must be connected with their customers, as they need
to secure existing customers and attract new ones, usually new businesses start by
creating a website.
Around 70% of enterprises with at least 10 employees had a website in 2014 (+8%
vs 2010). Looking at the percentage of companies having a website or homepage,
Italy and Croatia are below the European average, while Slovenia is among the
leading countries. Whilst the number of companies with a website has increased
significantly over the 2010-2014 period, growth with regards to complementary
web services (for example electronic access to catalogues and brochures with
prices) is slightly lower. (Source: ISTAT on Eurostat data, Internet@Italia 2014).
6. MARKET AND TRENDS
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Regular Internet Users (at least once a week) in 2014 (%)
20
E-commerce: a missed
opportunity for SMEs, with great
untapped potential
Exhibit 6.2
Source: ISTAT on Eurostat data, Internet@Italia 2014
E-commerce is becoming a vital channel in sales strategy. In 2014 e-commerce by
EU citizens progressed more than 14% on prior year, reaching a level of 50% of EU
citizens, in line with Internet take-up. In Europe 35% of large companies sell online
(+6% over the last five years), while only 14.5% of SMEs sold their products/services
online (+3.5% over the last five years). The gap between SMEs and large companies
has increased over last years. European SMEs continue to miss out on the
opportunities of e-commerce. The best performing countries in this regard include
the Czech Republic, Denmark and Croatia, but they are far from reaching the 2015
EU target of 33% of companies per country with online sales >1% of turnover.
Exhibit 6.3
Source: European Commission, Digital Agenda Scoreboard 2015 – Targets Progress report
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40E-commerce by SMEs (% of companies with online sales > 1% of turnover)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Companies (> 10 employees) with a website or a homepage in 2014 (%)
21
Addressable market of EU SMEs:
a large opportunity
The market at large
European SMEs accounted for 99.8% of enterprises in the non-financial business
sector in 2014, generating 58% of the sector’s value added. 93% of SMEs employ
less than ten people. (Source: European Commission, Annual Report on SMEs
2014/2015)
The domain name & hosting industry: strong demand
The web domain & hosting industry is diverse and multi-layered, both in terms of
geographies and product offerings, which vary from domain name registration and
web hosting to managed hosting and cloud services.
Strong demand still exists for basic web hosting services from European small
businesses and lower mid-market companies, since large numbers of companies
still lack capabilities beyond managing a basic web presence.
Exhibit 6.4
Source: Company data
The market cap of the public companies in this field is 200bn, while 10 years ago it
was 17bn.
Each computer has a unique address on the Internet. The domain name represents
a specific Internet Protocol address (in numbers). Each domain, such as
www.dominion.it, is composed of a Top-Level Domain (.it), marketed by Registry
Operators, and a Second Level Domain (dominion), marketed by Registrars.
Top-Level Domains (TLDs) fall into two categories: generic (gTLDs) and country code
(ccTLDs). The most common gTLD is .com which has over 115 million domains;
others are .net, .org, .info, .biz etc. In 2013-2014 ICANN introduced hundreds of
new gTLDs to help ease the maturity in .com. ccTLDs are two character domains
associated with countries such as .it (Italy).
ICANN, the governing body of the Internet, is approving over 1,300 new gTLDs.
Customers will choose from a wider selection of gTLDs (.club), location and
22
geographic domains (.london), branded (.nike) and professional domains (.lawyer).
According to Verisign, the Registry Operator for the .com gTLD, the third quarter of
2015 closed with around 299 million domain name registrations across all TLDs,
+1.1% over Q2 2015. Registrations have grown by 14.8 million, +5.2% yoy. The .com
and .net TLDs experienced aggregate growth, reaching a combined total of
approximately 135.2 million domain in Q3 2015, +3.4% yoy.
The largest TLDs by zone size were .com and .tk.
Exhibit 6.5
Top 10 largest TLDs by zone size in Q3 2015
Source: Verisign, The domain name industry brief, Vol. 12, Issue 4, 2015
Steady quarter-over-quarter growth in the domain name industry continues.
Registrations of country code domains outpaces that of the total TLD market and
the growth in gTLDs. The growth rate for the overall domain industry has slowed as
the market became more mature.
Exhibit 6.6
Global TLD registration trend
Source: Verisign, The domain name industry brief, Vol. 12, Issue 4, 2015
23
Focus on Italy: approaching 3m registered domains
2015 closed with 2,869,000 registered domains in Italy. The overall 2007-2015
CAGR was 8%.
Exhibit 6.7
Registered domains in Italy
1.51.7
1.8
2.1
2.32.5
2.62.8
2.9
0.3 0.3 0.30.4
0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
-0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Domains in Italy
N. domains New registrations Cancellations Source: Registro.it, Statistiche Q3 2015, 2016
24
Competing in today's tech-centric world
Domain names and web hosting services are commoditized products in today's
tech-centric world.
DHH companies compete in the domain & hosting industry where the breadth of
products and services provided is diverse and multi-layered in terms of geographies
and product offerings. Suppliers have no power and substitute products/services do
not constitute a significant threat. Barriers to entry are typically low and customer
power is average. Competition is intense on pricing, based on aggressive marketing
campaigns, driven by low cost offers.
Competitive forces
SuppliersRivalry among
existing firms
Substitutes
New entrants
Customers
• Continuous generation of new products in the industry
• Intense competition• Competition on product
quality• Dominant competition from
large global firms
• Low barriers to entry• Several large Domain &
Hosting companies provide solutions to resellers
• Low power • Average power• It is difficult for a customer
to understand the difference between
standard products
Source: EnVent Research
The main competitive factors in the arena are:
- Product reliability and performance
- Integrated solution offering
- Customer service
- Pricing
- Cost management
There is a geographic divide across Europe, whereby more complex services are
sold by pan-European providers in the North, while local suppliers in
Southern/Central Europe are the norm.
The more sophisticated hosting providers are able to partner with other vendors to
provide value-added services to a wider range of geographic areas.
7. COMPETITION
25
DHH’s positioning in the industry
Industry players and value chain
ICANNIANA:
coordination
Registry Operators:wholesale
Registrars:distribution
Resellers:resale
Registrants:consumers
Source: EnVent Research
The regulatory body for TLDs is the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and
Numbers (ICANN), which oversees the industry and coordinates the domain name
system. ICANN authorizes the Registry Operators and gives accreditations to
Registrars. It is the Registry Operator’s responsibility to maintain the information
regarding a particular domain and ICANN gives the Registry exclusive rights to each
TLD. For example, Verisign is the sole Registry of .com and NeuStar for .biz and .co.
Registrars receive the supply of domains from Registries and sell them to end-users.
What the Registrar is selling to the individual or company that wants to have a
website is a Second-Level Domain.
Registrants (end-users, individuals or businesses) purchase domains at Registrars’
that reserve the domain at a Registry.
Competitive trends
The major trends for the competition in the Domain & Hosting business are:
- Large global players entering the arena. Large global players, originally
focused on English-speaking markets, are entering selected local markets with
a geo-localized offering. The best example is GoDaddy, whose sites, domain &
hosting products and customer care are now available in 26 languages and 53
markets globally.
Global digital players, despite their size and strength, are typically unable to
gain a market leadership position in the local market due to language barriers,
26
Too many barriers, impeding
global players expansion
that are substantial, and to their poor knowledge of the local environments
and of local marketing processes.
The different language, the support that is usually offered in a different time
zone, the difficulty to understand the specific and non-standard needs of the
local customers, the differences in digital payment technologies and invoicing
policies create a barrier for the global players that obstructs their entrance in
the local markets.
For these reasons, the global tech giants generally look at the local leaders
when they want to access the local markets. DHH has a strong competitive
advantage focused on the capability to adapt its offering and its products to
the needs of local customers, thanks to its deep knowledge of the market
environment and of its customers.
- Challenge from new entrants. Potential new competitors can enter the
marketplace without significant obstacles and large industry players could
either build their competences in-house or acquire smaller players. However,
fragmentation in small markets and language issues puts a question mark on
business sense from a cost/revenue point of view for large players to invest.
- Consolidation. Deal activity for hosting companies is likely to continue to run
at a strong pace, according to Mergers Alliance, with strategic transactions
making up the majority. Consolidation will be the key driver as buyers seek to
achieve economies of scale, improve offerings, acquire technology and
expand internationally.
Leading market shares in Slovenia and Croatia
Klaro Group and Plus, DHH’s web hosting providers in Slovenia and Croatia are
recognized as local market leaders.
Market shares in Slovenia and Croatia
Klaro Group31%
2nd player14%
3rd player7%
Other players <10%48%
Slovenia
Plus23%
2nd player15%
3rd player11%
Other players <8%51%
Croatia
Source: Company data on 2014 revenues of Slovenian and Croatian companies, publicly available in the business
register
In Italy Tophost’s market share can be estimated based on the number of its
27
registered domains, given the lack of information on the domain market size. With
around 140,000 domains, Tophost has a market share of approximately 5% on a
total of 2,869,000 registered domains in Italy in 2015. Tophost is the third
webhosting provider after Aruba and Register.it (Dada Group) in terms of number
of domains.
28
Fast growth path, sound margins and healthy financial position
Key growth drivers
DHH group companies are expected to grow higher than the industry average,
thanks to:
- Organic sales expansion, driven by the untapped digital potential in the
targeted geographies
- A pervasive acquisition plan, supported by Management’s proven track record
Financial projections have been drawn up according to organic and acquisition
growth scenarios.
Financial projections – Base scenario
Assumptions
Source: EnVent Research
The 3-year projections are based on DHH group companies proforma figures.
8. FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
• EBITDA margin increase from 14% in 2015 to 20% in 2018 reflects operating leverageand efficiency gains
• Customer additions: +16% 2016, +10% 2017-2018• ARPU assumed stable over the three years and equal to 2015• No assumption on revenues from acquisitions• No assumption on other revenues
Revenues
EBITDA
• Trade working capital consistent with the historical level of 15 days DSO and 10 daysDPO
• Other working capital, mostly deferred revenue, consistent as historical percentage ofsales
Working Capital
• Operating expenses (services) are assumed decreasing as a percentage of revenues andhave been estimated: at 2015 level in 2016; with a more efficient cost management in2017-2018
• +25% in personnel in 2017
Operating expenses and personnel
• Average corporate tax rate of Italy, Slovenia, Croatia and Serbia assuming balancedcontributions to pre-tax income
Income taxes
29
Light balance sheet
Profit and Loss – Base scenario
€m 2015PF 2016E 2017E 2018E
Net sales 3.5 4.1 4.5 5.0
Other revenues 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total revenues 3.7 4.1 4.5 5.0
YoY % - 10% 10% 10%
Operating expenses (2.6) (2.9) (2.9) (3.2)
Gross Profit 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.7
Margin 31% 30% 35% 35%
Personnel (0.6) (0.6) (0.7) (0.7)
EBITDA 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0
Margin 14% 15% 18% 20%
D&A (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) 0.0
EBIT 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0
Margin 9% 10% 14% 20%
Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
EBT 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0
Margin 9% 10% 14% 20%
Income taxes (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.2)
Net Income 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8
Margin 7% 8% 11% 16% Source: EnVent Research – Note: Roundings may hide actual variations as per assumptions
DHH group companies generated aggregated net sales of €3.5m in 2015.
Net sales are forecasted to rise from €3.5m to €5m in 2018, with a ‘15-18 CAGR of
12%. Gross margin, which was around 30% of revenues in 2015, is expected to
stabilize at this level in 2016 and grow to 35% in 2017-2018. We are expecting
DHH’s business model to yield operating leverage and generate EBITDA growth in
excess of revenue growth, also thanks to an efficient personnel cost management.
EBITDA is set to increase to €1m in 2018 (23.9% ‘15-18 CAGR) with an increase in
margin to 20% up from 14% (€0.5m in 2015). Net Income would improve from
€0.3m in 2015 to €0.8m at the end of the 3-year plan.
Balance Sheet – Base scenario
€m 2015PF 2016E 2017E 2018E
Trade receivables 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Trade payables (0.2) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3)
Trade Working Capital (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0)
Other assets 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Other l iabilities (1.5) (1.6) (1.8) (2.0)
Net Working Capital (1.0) (1.5) (1.7) (1.8)
Intangible assets 0.1 (0.1) (0.3) (0.3)
Goodwill 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2
Fixed assets 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Non-current assets 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.1
Provisions (0.0) (0.1) (0.2) (0.3)
Net Invested Capital 3.5 2.7 2.3 2.0
Net Debt / (Cash) 0.1 (1.1) (2.0) (3.1)
Equity 3.4 3.8 4.3 5.1
Sources 3.5 2.7 2.3 2.0
30
Balanced working capital
Source: EnVent Research – Note: Roundings may hide actual variations as per assumptions
Investment in trade working capital is of little significance, given the nature of the
business. Other liabilities mainly represent non-accrued portion of the yearly
upfront payments (deferred revenues).
Cash flow – Base scenario
€m 2016E 2017E 2018E
EBIT 0.4 0.6 1.0
Current taxes (0.1) (0.1) (0.2)
D&A 0.2 0.2 0.0
Provisions 0.1 0.1 0.1
Cash flow from operations 0.6 0.8 0.9
Trade Working Capital 0.01 (0.01) 0.00
Other assets and liabilities 0.5 0.1 0.2
Capex 0.0 0.0 0.0
Goodwill 0.0 0.0 0.0
Free cash flow 1.1 0.9 1.1
Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net cash flow 1.1 0.9 1.1
Net (Debt) / Cash - Beginning (0.1) 1.1 2.0
Net (Debt) / Cash - End 1.1 2.0 3.1
Change in Net (Debt) / Cash 1.1 0.9 1.1
Source: EnVent Research – Note: Roundings may hide actual variations as per assumptions
DHH is set to generate cash flow which will improve as shown in the chart below
indicating an EBITDA cash conversion ratio forecasted to be over 100% in 2016-
2018.
KPIs
KPIs 2015PF 2016E 2017E 2018E
ROE (beginning Equity) 7.4% 9.6% 14.9% 23.0%
ROS (EBIT/Sales) 9.2% 10.0% 14.2% 20.0%
DSO 15 15 15 15
DPO 27 27 27 27
NWC/Revenues neg. neg. neg. neg.
Net Debt (Cash) / EBITDA 0.1x n.m. n.m. n.m.
Net Debt (Cash) / Equity 0.0x n.m. n.m. n.m.
FCF / EBITDA n.a. 185.9% 112.0% 106.1% Source: EnVent Research
Financial projections – Acquisition scenario
Under the basic assumption of investing €5m in companies totaling around €5m in
sales, from 2016 to 2018, and assuming consistent P&L dynamics, DHH could reach
€10m revenues with over €2m EBITDA and €1.7m in net income, at the end of the
31
3-year time horizon.
Profit and Loss – Acquisition scenario
€m 2015PF 2016E 2017E 2018E
Net sales 3.5 4.9 8.0 10.0
Other revenues 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total revenues 3.7 4.9 8.0 10.0
Operating expenses (2.6) (3.4) (5.2) (6.5)
Gross Profit 1.1 1.5 2.8 3.5
Margin 31% 30% 35% 35%
Personnel (0.6) (0.8) (1.1) (1.3)
EBITDA 0.5 0.6 1.7 2.2
Margin 14% 13% 21% 22%
D&A (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) 0.0
EBIT 0.3 0.4 1.5 2.2
Margin 9% 9% 19% 22%
Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
EBT 0.3 0.4 1.5 2.2
Margin 9% 9% 19% 22%
Income taxes (0.1) (0.1) (0.3) (0.5)
Net Income 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.7
Margin 7% 7% 15% 17% Source: EnVent Research
32
Selection criteria of industry players
As key determinants for the selection of comparable industry players, listed
companies in global markets, the following criteria have been adopted:
- Business mix with specialization in domain & hosting
- Multi-suite SaaS offering designed for SMEs
The selected peers have been then segmented in two groups:
- Operating Peers, listed companies in global markets, including Registrars,
together with technology companies which operate in the same business and
serve the same target market
- Registry Operators, operating in the same business, but at a different level,
mainly wholesale
Profile of selected listed companies
Operating Peers
Go Daddy. US technology company dedicated to small businesses and Registrar
with more than 14m customers and 61m domain names under management at the
end of 2015. Its offering includes value-added business applications for e-mail
marketing, domains and website builder, workspace.
2015 revenues: €1.5bn
Comparability: high
Endurance. US Registrar and provider of cloud-based solutions for small businesses.
Its products include domain name registrations and value-added solutions such as
SEO and SEM tools and website analytics. Portfolio of 5m customers and 12m
domains under management at the end of 2015.
Endurance is growing quickly through acquisitions, so it could be difficult to assess
organic growth trends. At the end of 2015, it acquired Constant Contact, a provider
of a digital marketing platform for e-mail campaign management.
2015 revenues: €683m
Comparability: high
Web.com. US Registrar and technology company providing value-added services
beyond the simple domain offering, such as web hosting, website design, social
media management and sales-lead generation. Web.com is a do-it-for-me type of
company focused more on helping its small business customers sell and market
their products, which helps the company drive ARPU growth.
9. INDUSTRY METRICS
33
2015 revenues: €500m
Comparability: partial, with present business model, and high, with target business
model
Wix.com. Web development platform based in Israel. The cloud-based platform
empowers businesses, organizations, professionals and individuals to take their
businesses, brands and workflow online.
Wix.com is early in its lifecycle, since, although founded in 2006, the majority of its
revenue growth has occurred since 2011, so it is growing faster compared to its
peers (+45% CAGR 14-16E) and is still yet to generate profits (operating losses in
FY2014 and 2015).
2015 revenues: €187m
Comparability: low
iomart. UK provider of cloud computing and managed hosting services. iomart has
a domain name Registrar in its group, called Easyspace.
2015 revenues: €91m
Comparability: partial, with present business model, and high, with target business
model
Dada. Italian player in digital services for the online presence of small businesses,
professionals and high-end customers, in seven European countries. Dada, through
Register.it, is the second largest Registrar in Italy with over 1.8m domains under
management and 540,000 clients.
2014 revenues: €67m (2015E €62m)
Comparability: high
Registry Operators: low comparability
Verisign. US-based global provider of domain name registry services and Internet
security, enabling Internet navigation for many of the world’s most recognized
domain names and providing protection for websites and enterprises. Verisign
operates the authoritative directory of all .com, .net, .cc, .tv, and .name domain
names.
Verisign, the main Registry Operator which sells the .com domain extension, is
much larger in size both in terms of revenues and market capitalization, compared
to other peers.
2015 revenues: €975bn
Comparability: low
NeuStar. US-based provider of real-time cloud-based information services, enabling
marketing and IT security professionals to promote and protect their businesses.
Neustar operates the authoritative registries of Internet domain names for the .biz,
.us, .co, .nyc, and .travel top-level domains and provides services to help customers
optimize their web performance.
34
2015 revenues: €967m
Comparability: low
Rightside. US-based provider of domain name services that enable businesses and
consumers to find, establish, and maintain their digital address. Rightside combines
the Registrar business, with more than 16m domain names under management at
the end of 2014, with the newly established Registry Operator business. Rightside
has participated in the expansion of gTLDs by the ICANN, launched in October 2013
and since the launch of the new gTLDs, it has built a portfolio of 36 gTLDs, including
.ninja, .rocks and .social.
Rightside, despite growing in revenues and domain name registration subscriptions
(+15% CAGR 14-16E), has a history of operating losses. It is currently reshaping its
business model Registrar to Registry Operator, even though to date the majority of
revenues are generated through domain name registration subscriptions and
related value-added services.
2015 revenues: €196m
Comparability: low
Key data comparison
The following charts show a sample of key data and financial metrics of the selected
industry players.
Data relative to low profitability or loss-making companies have been disregarded,
considered non-meaningful, thus avoiding unreliable multiples, and average
multiples have been calculated smoothing extremes (low and high). Disregarded
data is dot-bordered and highlighted in grey.
Operating Peers (2015) GoDaddy Endurance Web.com Wix.com iomart Dada Avg.
EV/Revenues 3.7x 3.5x 2.6x 3.9x 4.7x 1.0x 3.7x
EV/EBITDA 28.1x 14.1x 12.6x neg. 11.3x 6.1x 16.5x
EV/EBIT n.m. 44.5x 22.2x neg. 24.2x 19.2x 30.3x
P/E neg. neg. 11.1x neg. 32.1x 23.9x 21.6x
Market Cap (€m) 4,603.0 1,378.7 915.5 831.5 394.5 35.9
Net (Debt)/Cash + Min. (€m) -901.0 -988.4 -371.9 101.3 -31.4 -27.9
Enterprise Value (€m) 5,504.0 2,367.1 1,287.4 730.2 425.9 63.8
Revenues (€m) 1,479.9 682.6 500.4 187.4 91.0 61.9
EBITDA (€m) 195.9 168.3 101.9 -40.2 37.7 10.5
EBITDA Margin 13% 25% 20% neg. 41% 17% 25%
EBIT Margin 3% 8% 12% neg. 19% 5% 11%
Net Income Margin neg. neg. 17% neg. 14% 2% 15% Source: EnVent Research on S&P Capital IQ data, 15 March 2016 – Market capitalizations at end of FY2015. Key
financials as per analysts’ estimates for Dada.
35
Registry Operators (2015) VeriSign NeuStar Rightside Avg.
EV/Revenues 9.2x 2.2x 0.7x 5.7x
EV/EBITDA 14.5x 5.7x neg. 10.1x
EV/EBIT 16.0x 7.6x neg. 11.8x
P/E 26.0x 7.3x neg. 16.6x
Market Cap (€m) 8,969.3 1,182.7 145.1
Net (Debt)/Cash + Min. (€m) 42.1 -926.6 16.9
Enterprise Value (€m) 8,927.1 2,109.2 128.2
Revenues (€m) 975.4 966.7 195.6
EBITDA (€m) 614.5 368.6 -1.5
EBITDA Margin 13% 25% 20% 19%
EBIT Margin 57% 29% neg. 43%
Net Income Margin 35% 17% neg. 26% Source: EnVent Research on S&P Capital IQ data, 15 March 2016 – Market capitalizations at end of FY2015.
All selected peers are much larger in terms of size, compared to DHH.
Registry Operators are more established businesses and show higher operating
margins.
GoDaddy, Endurance and Dada present a comparable business model.
Web.com and iomart have a more articulated product suite and can be considered
a benchmark for the target business model of DHH following the growth and
evolution program.
DHH Value drivers and use of market data
DHH is well-positioned to capture growth in the domain & hosting and cloud-based
software solutions businesses designed for SMEs. Growth will be sustained through
a program of acquisitions, in addition to the introduction and development of a
user-friendly suite of products shared within the entire group.
Domain & hosting industry multiples
Source: EnVent Research on S&P Capital IQ data, 15 March 2016
Operating PeersEV/REVENUES EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT P/E
2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E
GoDaddy n.a. 3.7x 3.2x 2.9x n.a. 28.1x 14.7x 12.3x n.a. n.m. n.m. 63.7x n.a. neg 18.4x 15.0x
Endurance 5.6x 3.5x 2.1x 1.9x 23.4x 14.1x 6.2x 5.3x n.m. 44.5x 20.7x 12.9x neg neg 8.2x 7.0x
Web.com 2.7x 2.6x 1.7x 1.5x 13.5x 12.6x 7.4x 5.9x 36.1x 22.2x 8.3x 6.6x neg 11.1x 6.5x 5.1x
Wix.com 5.0x 3.9x 2.4x 1.9x neg neg 22.6x 11.7x neg neg neg n.m. neg neg neg neg
iomart 3.8x 4.7x 3.9x 3.5x 9.8x 11.3x 9.3x 8.1x 18.6x 24.2x 15.0x 12.2x 25.0x 32.1x 18.0x 14.5x
Dada 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.0x 12.2x 6.1x 5.9x 5.5x 39.5x 19.2x 16.1x 14.4x neg 23.9x 29.9x 24.0x
Mean 4.3x 3.7x 2.7x 2.3x 15.6x 16.5x 12.0x 8.7x 27.3x 30.3x 14.7x 23.9x n.m. 21.6x 12.8x 10.4x
Mean w/out extremes 4.4x 3.7x 2.6x 2.2x 13.5x 13.3x 10.5x 8.6x n.a. n.a. 15.0x 12.5x n.m. n.a. 13.1x 10.7x
Median 4.4x 3.7x 2.4x 1.9x 13.5x 13.3x 9.3x 8.1x 27.3x 24.2x 15.0x 12.5x n.m. 21.6x 13.1x 10.7x
Registry OperatorsEV/REVENUES EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT P/E
2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E
VeriSign 6.8x 9.2x 8.5x 8.3x 10.9x 14.5x 12.4x 12.2x 12.1x 16.0x 13.5x 13.2x 19.4x 26.0x 21.7x 20.9x
NeuStar 2.0x 2.2x 2.0x 2.0x 5.5x 5.7x 4.3x 4.2x 7.3x 7.6x 7.1x 9.1x 9.3x 7.3x 4.9x 5.8x
Rightside 0.5x 0.7x 0.6x 0.6x neg neg 14.4x 12.5x neg neg neg neg neg neg neg neg
Mean 4.4x 5.7x 5.3x 5.1x 8.2x 10.1x 8.4x 8.2x 9.7x 11.8x 10.3x 11.2x 14.4x 16.6x 13.3x 13.3x
Comparables
Comparables
36
Multiples strongly rewarding
the industry
Valuation by regression
Regression analyses of listed industry companies’ market values are in principle
deemed feasible for valuation considerations on DHH.
Looking at the above detailed industry metrics, data show that current profitability,
used in earnings-based multiples such as EV/EBIT or P/E, often offers an inadequate
and insufficient approach in estimating market values.
The valuation of DHH at this stage of development would be better driven by
mainly looking at the EV/Revenues multiple, which is the most suitable for early-
stage growth stocks.
Regression analysis on EV/Revenues
y = 8.9309x + 1.3235R² = 0.5316
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
10.0x
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
EV /
Rev
en
ue
s 2
01
5
EBITDA Margin 2015
Peer group - regression
DHH VALUE AREAEV/Revenues multiple ranging from 2.6x to 3.1x, based on the EBITDA margin at the end of projections
DHH
Source: EnVent Research on S&P Capital IQ data, 15 March 2016
The graph shows that valuation of comparable industry players is driven by market
shares and articulation of products, more than profitability. Basic hosting services
businesses tend to be positioned below the line, while companies equipped with
product suites are often above the regression line.
According to metrics included in this graph, DHH potential value would fall within
the shaded area.
37
Regression analysis on EV/EBITDA
y = -10.51x + 16.473R² = 0.061
0.0x
5.0x
10.0x
15.0x
20.0x
25.0x
30.0x
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
EV /
EB
ITD
A 2
01
5
EBITDA Margin 2015
Peer group - regression
Source: EnVent Research on S&P Capital IQ data, 15 March 2016
The above graph shows that EV/EBITDA multiples present low, if any, correlation
with EBITDA margins, arguably significantly influenced by the very specific stages in
companies’ lifecycle or their acquisition activity. This is confirmed by the inelasticity
of specific industry valuation multiples, that were not influenced when reported
profits underperformed consensus expectations (Go Daddy and Endurance stock
analysis, February 2016).
Given that DHH presents an expected operating profitability consistent with the
industry average, EBITDA multiples can be introduced in the potential valuation
models mitigating results so as to take into account the Company’s size and the
limited breadth and depth of the target stock market.
Cloud computing industry multiples
An alternative source of market multiples that could be observed to assess the
potential value creation opportunity in DHH is the public cloud computing firms
sector.
Bessemer Venture Partners, a US venture capital firm specialized in technology
start-ups, publishes an analysis of over 40 US cloud computing firms with a market
cap ranging $100m-45,000m that shows the following indicators:
Multiples Operating Metrics
EV/Revenue P/FCF EV/EBITDA Revenue % Margin
MarketCap EV 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 15 - 16 Gross
Median $1,192 $1,046 4.7x 3.8x 20.9x 21.3x $286 29% 72%
Mean $3,263 $3,090 5.1x 3.9x 37.2x 29.9x $508 27% 71%
Low $125 $86 0.7x 0.7x 15.0x 12.2x $72 6% 46%
High $44,974 $45,825 11.5x 8.8x 72.6x 64.3x $6,649 47% 89%
Source: Bessemer Venture Partners, BVP Cloud Computing Index, 22 February 2016
38
Summary of market values
“As is” scenario
Based on the above analyses, the use of EV/Revenues and EV/EBITDA multiples
would lead to the following value set for DHH as is.
Equity Value range (€m)
9.29.9
12.9
14.5
Operating Peersavg.
Regressionmultiple onRevenues
RegistryOperators avg.
Cloud ComputingPeers avg.
Equity Value range (€m)
Mean 1211
13
Source: EnVent Research
Data used:
- 2015 aggregated and 2016E sales
- 2015-2016E mean EV/Revenues and EV/EBITDA multiples from Operating
Peers
- EV/Revenues multiples resulting from the regression analysis equal to 2.6x in
2015 and 2016E
- 2015-2016E mean EV/Revenues and EV/EBITDA multiples of the Registry
Operators
- 2015-2016E median EV/Revenues and 2016 EV/EBITDA multiples of the cloud
computing firms
“Value creation” through acquisitions
As mentioned, in a high-tech fast growing industry, know-how and growth may be
significant value drivers as evidenced by the above regression analysis. Hence, the
revenue multiple is the preferred tool used to measure the potential value creation
in DHH.
The following graph indicates results consequent to the application solely of
EV/Revenues multiples:
- to current revenues as a base value
39
Please refer to important disclosures
at the end of this report.
- to future revenues in the acquisition scenario (€10m), as an expected upside
with a flat 20% discount to account for timing and additional risk.
While the base area can be considered an equity value, the additional value portion
(green area), being the period-end revenues based on the completion of the
acquisition program, is to be considered an Enterprise Value from which the cost of
any acquisition must be deducted. The actual upside will be the difference between
the value created by the acquisitions and their cost (red area, dimensioned on a
dummy €5m value).
Enterprise Value range on projected target revenues (€m)
11.9 10.0
16.120.8
Operating Peersavg.
Regressionmultiple onRevenues
Cloud ComputingPeers avg.
RegistryOperators avg.
Equity Value range (€m)
20.7
42.1
30.4
24.9
Source: EnVent Research
Data used:
- 2018E target revenues as per acquisition scenario
- 2016E mean EV/Revenues multiple of the Operating Peers
- EV/Revenues multiple resulting from the regression analysis equal to 3.1x in
2018E
- 2016E median EV/Revenues multiple of the cloud computing firms
- 2016E mean EV/Revenues multiple of the Registry Operators
These values, subject to be discounted due to DHH’s size and the application of
forward revenues, are suitable to suggest the size of the expected upside.
40
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41
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