EQUITY TRADING STRATEGY - Baroda E-Trade
Transcript of EQUITY TRADING STRATEGY - Baroda E-Trade
BOBCAPS TRIUMPH EQUITY TRADING STRATEGY
INDIA GDP – THE $5 TRILLION DREAM
AIM TO DOUBLE
1.92.0
2.1
2.3
2.72.8
3.1
3.4
3.8
4.3
5.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
GDP ( trillion $) Nifty Levels
2014
2024
2019
Source: ET
India has set it’s sight on 2x GDP growth by 2024….
Is your portfolio positioned to beat the same?
2Actual Estimated
GDP Growth rate – 8% GDP Growth rate – 11.5%
INDIVIDUALS UNDER-PERFORM INSTITUTIONS
LOSERS vs WINNERS
Source: ET
15
30
-4.3
-19.3
60
25
34.4
19.4
61
28
48.3
33.3
Stock gaining in value Stock losing in value Average returns Alpha over BSE 500
Retail favourite stocks Other stocks Instituitutional favourite stocks
Institutional Investors: Markets Biggest Winners
❖ Institutions’ superior stock selection results in higher gains ❖ Retailers realize more number of losses than gains
❖ Negative average returns borne by retailers due to multiple inefficiencies ❖ Retailer’s under-perform benchmark, while Institutions enjoy 30%+ alpha
OBSERVATIONS
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THINGS YOU MAY FIND IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
OVER-DIVERSIFIED
Diluting Gains
EMOTIONAL BIASES
Conflict between
Greed & Fear
NO TIMELY TRACKING
Good gone Bad
Bad gone Worse
SKEWED FOCUS
Noise Based Multi
Bagger over Potential
CAGR
POOR ALLOCATION
Non-Quality over
Quality Stocks
VALUE TRAP
Valuation over
Value Creation
Investing in stocks just
because they seem cheap / available at cheap prices
Investment in riskier stocks are unevenly
higher
Too many stocks in the
portfolio reduces
contribution of individual
stocks
OBSERVATIONS
Fear of booking
losses, and greed for
early / riding profits results in poor exits
Lack of active monitoring,
leads to a decomposing
portfolio
Focusing on noise-based
multi-baggers, induces
higher risk into portfolio
COMMON MISTAKES BY INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS
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WHAT TO BUY ?? <----> WHEN TO BUY ??
OLD-AGE QUESTIONS
BOBCAPS TRIUMPH (Equity Trading Strategy)
NEW-AGE SOLUTION
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BOBCAPS TRIUMPH PROCESS
FOCUSED APPROACH
Universe Composition
(Quality Universe + Nifty 500)
Technical Filter
Identifying Sector Theme
Timing through Technicals
BOBCAPS TRIUMPH
DISTILLING DIVERSFICATION
Over-diversifying = Lower Return contributionsIncrease in stocks count reduces individual contribution to the portfolio
Portfolio concentration = Increased Return contributionOut-performance of few stocks compensates for underperformance of others
DIVERSIFICATION DISSOLVES GAINS
CONCENTRATION ‘SKIN IN THE GAME’
DIVERSIFICATION DLUTES
CONCENTRATION COMPOUNDS
DIVERSIFICATION PRESERVES WEALTH
CONCENTRATION CREATES WEALTH
DIV
ERSI
FIC
ATI
ON
D
ILEM
MA
Focused Equity Trading Strategy
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BOBCAPS TRIUMPH PORTFOLIO
OUR EQUITY TRADING STRATEGY
BOBCAPS Triumph is an actively-focused equity trading strategy of ~15 shortlisted high conviction stock ideas using Technical Analysis, within the top
100 stocks held by Mutual Funds. Triumph features disciplined entry and exit into quality stocks, with efforts focused on absolute performance.
Focused equity strategy of ~15 high
conviction stocks, hand-picked across
market-caps, having Large-Caps bias
Re-alignment of portfolio will be done as per changing market trends
Tactful timing via Technical Analysis for disciplined entry and
exit within universe stocks respecting
trends
Top 100 stocks, held by the Mutual Fund industry, covering over 70% of equity AUM
QUALITY STOCK UNIVERSE
TECHNICAL APPROACH
FOCUSED STRATEGY
ACTIVE MONITORING
INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY
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BOBCAPS TRIUMPH UNIVERSE
COVERAGE DEEP-DIVE
80%-100%
QUALITYUNIVERSE
Large Cap67%
Mid Cap33%
0%-20%NIFTY
500
Large Cap20%
Mid Cap29%
Small Cap52%
35%
15%12% 11%
6% 4% 4%3% 2% 2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
23%18%
15%11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4%
1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%Quality Universe Nifty 500
STOCK ALLOCATION & MARKET-CAP BREAK-DOWN
SECTOR BREAK-DOWN
Universe Universe
Allocation Allocation
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OUR TECHNICAL APPROACH
OUR FORTE
RESPECT THE TREND
SECTOR THEME
AIMING FOR WINNERS
RISK : REWARD
COGNITIVE OVER
EMOTIONAL
Find Value within GROWTH stocks
Following the “Trend is your friend” principle
Identifying superior sectors for finding quality stocks
Disciplined entry and exit, buffering emotional positions
Secret to successful investing is knowing your risk
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PAST PERFORMANCE
HIGH CONVICTION TECHNICAL IDEAS
Its not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong
Disciplined approach resulting in favourable profits
“It’s the conviction that matters most
while investing”
Note: Stocks highlighted are over a span of two plus years
10
13
20
99
50
22
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Loss more than 8% Loss 5%-8% Loss 3%-5% Profit 3%-5% Profit 5%-8% Profit more than 8%
Disciplined approach resulting in favourable profits
“It’s the conviction that matters most
while investing”
BOBCAPS TRIUMPH FEATURES
KEY INFORMATION
Investment Universe ❖ 80% - 100% From Quality Universe ❖ 0% - 20% From Nifty 500
Investment Approach Technical Analysis
Investment Style High-conviction Delivery-based Ideas, with Large-Cap bias
Investment Universe ReviewingQuarterly Basis
(As and when there is change in Top 100 stock constituents within Quality universe)
Number Of Stocks Up To 15 stocks
Risk Profile Equity-Oriented
Defining Market Capitalization (as per AMFI) ❖ Large Cap: 1st–100th ❖ Mid Cap: 101st –250th❖ Small Cap : 251st Onwards
Annual Subscription Fees (excl. taxes) Rs. 4,000 /-*
11*This is an Early-bird offer! Discounted benefits are for First 100 clients only!
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