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Transcript of Equations
Equations for Inventory Management
Chapter 1 Stocks and inventories
Empirical observation for the amount of stock held in a number of locations:
AS(N2) = AS(N1) ×√
N2
N1
where:
N2 = number of planned future facilitiesN1 = number of existing facilities
AS(Ni) = aggregate stock with Ni facilities
Chapter 3 Economic order quantity
The variables used here, and throughout the book, are:
Q = order quantity Qo = optimal order quantityD = demand
UC = unit costRC = reorder costHC = holding cost
T = cycle length To = optimal cycle lengthVC = variable cost per unit time VCo = optimal variable cost per unit timeTC = total cost per unit time TCo = optimal total cost per unit time
ROL = reorder levelLT = lead time
ž Economic order quantity:
Qo =√
2 × RC × DHC
ž Optimal stock cycle length:
To = Qo/D =√
2 × RCD × HC
230 Equations for Inventory Management
ž Variable cost per unit time:
VC = RC × DQ
+ HC × Q2
ž Optimal value of variable cost per unit time:
VCo = HC × Qo = 2 × RC × DQo
= √2 × RC × HC × D
ž Total cost per unit time:TC = UC × D + VC
ž Optimal cost per unit time:
TCo = UC × D + VCo
ž Change of variable cost moving away from the EOQ:
VCVCo
= 12
×[
QoQ
+ QQo
]
ž Reorder level:
Reorder level = lead time demand − stock on order
ROL = LT × D − n × Qo
Chapter 4 Models for known demandModel for finite replenishment rate, P
ž Optimal order quantity:
Qo =√
2 × RC × DHC
×√
PP − D
ž Optimal time cycle time:
To =√
2 × RCHC × D
×√
PP − D
ž Optimal variable cost:
VCo = √2 × RC × HC × D ×
√P − D
P
ž Optimal total cost:TCo = UC × D + VCo
Equations for Inventory Management 231
Model for planned shortages and backorders
SC = shortage cost per unit per unit time
ž Optimal order quantity:
Qo =√
2 × RC × D × (HC + SC)
HC × SC
ž Optimal amount to be backordered:
So =√
2 × RC × HC × DSC × (HC + SC)
ž Time during which demand is met:
T1 = (Qo − So)/D
ž Time during which demand is backordered:
T2 = So/D
ž Cycle time;T = T1 + T2
Model for shortages with lost orders
R = revenue
Z = proportion of demand met
ž Cost of each unit of lost sales including loss of profits:
LC = DC + SP − UC
ž Optimal revenue:
Ro = Z × [D × LC − √2 × RC × HC × D]
Model for constraints on space
AC = additional cost related to the storage area (or volume)
used by each unit of the item.
Si = amount of space occupied by one unit of item i.
ž The total holding cost per unit per unit time:
HC + AC × Si
232 Equations for Inventory Management
ž Optimal order quantities:
Qi =√
2 × RCi × Di
HCi + AC × Si
Model for constraint on investment
UL = upper limit on the total average investment
ž Optimal order quantities:
Qi = Qoi × 2 × UL × HC
UC ×N∑
i=1
VCoi
Model for discrete variable demand
ž Test for the point where it is more expensive to order for N + 1 periods than toorder for N periods:
N × (N + 1) × DN+1 >2 × RC
HC
ž Confirming that it is more expensive to order for N + 2 periods than to orderfor N periods:
N × (N + 2) × [DN+1 + DN+2] >4 × RC
HC
ž Variable cost per period:
VCN = RCN
+HC ×
N∑i=1
Di
2
Chapter 5 Models for uncertain demandModel for the newsboy problem
SP = selling price
SV = scrap value
ž Test for the optimal order size:
Prob(D ≥ Qo) >UC − SVSP − SV
> Prob(D ≥ Qo + 1)
ž Expected profit with buying Q units:
EP(Q) = SP × Q∑
D=0
D × Prob(D) + Q×∞∑
D=Q+1
Prob(D)
− Q × UC
Equations for Inventory Management 233
Model for discrete demand with shortages
A = Actual stock level
ž Test for the optimal stock level:
Prob(D ≤ Ao) ≥ SCHC + SC
≥ Prob(D ≤ Ao − 1)
Approach to intermittent demand
ž Service level = 1 − Prob(shortage)
= 1 − [Prob(there is a demand) × Prob(demand > A)]
Joint calculation of order quantity and reorder level with shortages
ž Calculation for order quantity:
Q =√√√√2 × D
HC×
[RC + SC ×
∞∑D=ROL
(D − ROL) × Prob(D)
]
ž Calculation for reorder level:
HC × QSC × D
=∞∑
D=ROL
Prob(D)
Model for order quantity with shortages
ž Order quantity:
Q =√√√√2 × D
HC×
[RC + SC ×
∞∑D=ROL
(D − ROL) × Prob(D)
]
Model for uncertain lead time demand
ž Safety stock:
SS = Z × standard deviation of lead time = Z × σ × √LT
ž Reorder level:
ROL = lead time demand + safety stock = LT × D + Z × σ × √LT
Model for service level with uncertain lead time
ž Service level = Prob (LT × D < ROL) = Prob(LT < ROL/D)
234 Equations for Inventory Management
Model for periodic review method
ž Target stock level:
TSL = D × (T + LT) + Z × σ × √(T + LT)
Chapter 6 Sources of informationAccounting information
ž Cost of products sold = opening stock + net purchases − closing stock
ž Value of stock = number of units in stock × unit value
ž Average cost = Total cost of unitsNumber of units bought
ž Closing stock = opening stock + purchases − sales
ž Gross profit = sales revenue − cost of units sold
Chapter 7 Forecasting demandValue of demand in a time series
Actual demand = underlying pattern + random noise
Linear relationship
dependent variable = a + b × independent variable
y = a + bx
x = value of the independent variable
y = value of the dependent variable
a = intercept, where the line crosses the y axis
b = gradient of the line.
ž Equations for linear regression:
b =n ×
∑(x × y) −
∑x ×
∑y
n ×∑
x2 −(∑
x)2
a =∑
y
n− b ×
∑x
n
ž coefficient of determination = (coefficient of correlation)2
Equations for Inventory Management 235
Multiple regression
y = a + b1 × variable 1 + b2 × variable 2 + b3 × variable 3 + b4 × variable 4 . . . .
Exponential smoothing
ž New Forecast = α × latest demand + (1 − α) × previous forecast
ž α is the smoothing constant (usually between 0.1 and 0.2)
ž Tracking signal = sum of forecast errorsmean absolute deviation
ž Seasonal index = seasonal valuedeseasonalized value
ž Demand = (underlying value + trend) × seasonal index + noise
Chapter 8 Planning and stocks
Stock and planning
Stock at end Stock at Production Demand Backorders Backorders of this =end of last + during − met during − from earlier + met in later period periodthis period this period periods periods
Chapter 9 Material requirements planning
ž Basic calculation
Gross requirements = number of units made × amount of material
for each unit
Net requirements = gross requirements – current stock – stock on order
ž Batching rule to find N
N × (N + 1) × DN+1 >2 × RC
HC
Where:
N = the period number in a cycleDN+1 = demand in period N + 1 of a cycle
236 Equations for Inventory Management
Chapter 10 Just-in-time
ž Number of kanbans to maintain smooth operations
Number of kanbans = demand in the cyclesize of each container
K = D × (TP + TD)
C
Where:
C = number of units held in each containerTP = time container spends in production part of a cycle (waiting,
being filled and moving to the store of work in progress)TD = time container spends in demand part of a cycle (waiting,
being emptied and moving to the store of work in progress).Totalcyclelength = TP + TD
ž Number of kanbans with safety factor
SF = safety factor (generally less than 0.1)
K <D × (TP + TD) × (1 + SF)
C
ž Maximum stock of work in progress
Maximum stock level = K × C = D × (TP + TD) × (1 + SF)