© OECD/IEA, 2016

Energy Technology Perspectives for the Global Cement Industry

EBRD side-event: Material Impact of Low Carbon Pathways,

Deep Decarbonisation Technologies and Policy Dialogue

Eric Masanet, PhD

Energy Technology Policy Division

International Energy Agency

© OECD/IEA, 2016

As production expands in emerging and developing economies…

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Latin America

India

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China

While global cement demand flattens, production capacity shifts to India, Africa, and other non-OECD economies

ETP 2016 cement production estimates by region

© OECD/IEA, 2016

… adoption of BATs and innovative processes can achieve the 2DS …

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Fuel switching

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Global cement direct CO2 emissions reductions, 6DS vs 2DS

The 2DS requires a mix of technologies, and significant decoupling of CO2 emissions from energy use

Thermal intensity (GJ/t clinker) reduced by 17%

Fossil fuel share 82% 56%

% of CO2 captured <1% 32%

© OECD/IEA, 2016

... but further decarbonisation is needed for a well-below 2DS pathway.

Decarbonizing energy-intensive industries is critical, requiring accelerated technology and policy innovation

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Global direct industrial CO2 emissions

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Global industrial final energy demand

© OECD/IEA, 2016

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Specific EH recoverypotentialThermal energy intensity

NOTE: IEH technical assessment based on 2013 stock data. Specific energy savings in GJ/t cement refer to global dry- process-based clinker production. IEH estimates refer to a dry-process kiln with five-stages of pre-heater and pre-calciner and to raw materials with a moisture content of 2-6% (low-range).

Global excess heat recovery technical potential – Cement

Globally, 6% of the final energy use in cement making could be technically recovered

While expanding spatial boundaries can achieve greater energy savings …

© OECD/IEA, 2016

… more innovative low-carbon technology options are crucial …

Note: This slide is not intended to provide an exhaustive list. Sketch is not at scale and time milestones are just illustrative.

© OECD/IEA, 2016

Low-carbon cement technology RD&D is promising, but progress must be accelerated

© OECD/IEA, 2016

CCS is currently not on track to meet IEA Cement Technology Roadmap targets (2009) 3 oxy-fuel demos & 3 chemical looping demos by 2020

Scaling up of CCS and significant cost reductions in oxy-fuelling by 2030; widespread deployment by 2040

Further improvements in cost and deployment through 2050

… and greater investment and policy support is needed to accelerate progress.

© OECD/IEA, 2016

IEA Roadmaps: action plans to accelerate industrial energy transitions

Available at http://www.iea.org/roadmaps/

2009 2013 2015 2017

Global

Cement

India Cement

Chemical catalysis

CCS

Hydrogen Brazil Cement

India Cement Update

Tentative:

• Global Cement Update

• Iron and steel

© OECD/IEA, 2016

Priorities for the global cement industry

Achieving BAT performance is critical, while accelerating low-carbon innovations is essential BAT includes energy and resource efficiency (e.g., clinker ratios)

The pace of CCS deployment must increase

Low-carbon cements can be a major breakthrough

Biomass/waste fuels can reduce emissions, but supplies may be uncertain

Expanding boundaries of influence can create new opportunities Waste heat recovery for local plants/buildings

Materials efficiency in end use product applications

Multiple aspects of strong policy support are needed: Long-term energy and climate policy signals

Increased support for technology RD&D

Low-carbon and energy efficiency labels and standards

© OECD/IEA, 2016

The IEA works around the world to support an

accelerated clean energy transition that is

enabled by real-world SOLUTIONS

supported by ANALYSIS

and built on DATA