Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town
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Transcript of Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town
ERC11
Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town
Alison Hughes
ERC22
What do we seekWhat do we seek
Quantitative insights into challenges we faceQuantitative insights into challenges we face
Contribute to economic, social and environmental Contribute to economic, social and environmental sustainabilitysustainability
Reduce the risks to the country of coming challenges such Reduce the risks to the country of coming challenges such as peak oil and meeting our international climate change as peak oil and meeting our international climate change commitmentscommitments
Meet complex policy challenges such as:Meet complex policy challenges such as: energy securityenergy security delivering energy services to the poordelivering energy services to the poor improving energy efficiencyimproving energy efficiency making energy markets work bettermaking energy markets work better mitigating negative impact of the energy system on mitigating negative impact of the energy system on
health and the environment.health and the environment.
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What do we need?What do we need? The right information, analytical tools, appropriate skills, The right information, analytical tools, appropriate skills,
Institutional networks, sustained commitment Institutional networks, sustained commitment
Sustained commitment to develop and Sustained commitment to develop and resource energy planning resource energy planning
Move away from adhoc reactive approachMove away from adhoc reactive approach Multidisciplinary research teams Multidisciplinary research teams Link modelling frameworks in innovative waysLink modelling frameworks in innovative ways
Spatial infrastructure requirementsSpatial infrastructure requirements Energy economy linkages – socialEnergy economy linkages – social Energy environment linkagesEnergy environment linkages Technology development and characterisationTechnology development and characterisation
multi year data planmulti year data plan
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Modelling ERCModelling ERC
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Thank youThank you
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1. Sustained commitment1. Sustained commitment
Internationally, governments only tend to support energy Internationally, governments only tend to support energy policy and planning during energy crises – this is too late!policy and planning during energy crises – this is too late!
Without sustained support, systems have to be put in place Without sustained support, systems have to be put in place from scratch, capacity needs to be developed from scratch, from scratch, capacity needs to be developed from scratch, etc, every couple of yearsetc, every couple of years
Energy planning needs to be supported on a long-term Energy planning needs to be supported on a long-term basis, to reduce risk to the country from energy crises and/or basis, to reduce risk to the country from energy crises and/or price shocksprice shocks
policies---
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2. The right information2. The right information
Data is needed in the following areas:Data is needed in the following areas: Energy supply and demand dataEnergy supply and demand data Data on existing and new technologiesData on existing and new technologies Data on environmental impactsData on environmental impacts Contextual data: economic growth, demographic Contextual data: economic growth, demographic
informationinformation Social and cultural contextSocial and cultural context
Data needs to be collected more systematically, and housed Data needs to be collected more systematically, and housed (and documented) systematically and accessibly – it needs a (and documented) systematically and accessibly – it needs a long-term homelong-term home
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3. Analytical tools3. Analytical tools
Energy modelling is a very powerful tool for energy planning, Energy modelling is a very powerful tool for energy planning, as it facilitates the rational consideration of alternative as it facilitates the rational consideration of alternative futures in complex systemsfutures in complex systems
Energy models are time-consuming and expensive to set up, Energy models are time-consuming and expensive to set up, but require less resources to maintainbut require less resources to maintain
A wide range of models are available – we need to choose A wide range of models are available – we need to choose models taking into account local realities, including models taking into account local realities, including availability of data and skillsavailability of data and skills
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4. Appropriate skills4. Appropriate skills
A range of skills needed in various contexts: A range of skills needed in various contexts: data gathering and management, data gathering and management, energy analysis and modelling, energy analysis and modelling, policy formulation and analysis, policy formulation and analysis, building and maintaining stakeholders networks, building and maintaining stakeholders networks, communicating resultscommunicating results
All these skills currently exist in South Africa – challenge is All these skills currently exist in South Africa – challenge is to integrate these appropriately, and not keep re-inventing to integrate these appropriately, and not keep re-inventing the wheelthe wheel
Support needed for capacity-building programmes, both in Support needed for capacity-building programmes, both in government departments and at tertiary institutionsgovernment departments and at tertiary institutions
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5. Institutional networks5. Institutional networks
Should emphasise an integrated approach, building on Should emphasise an integrated approach, building on existing institutional strengths – we need a networkexisting institutional strengths – we need a network
We need economies of scaleWe need economies of scale
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Energy Research CentreEnergy Research Centre Modelling capacity- we lose Modelling capacity- we lose
capacity to other international capacity to other international institutions IAEA, BNL institutions IAEA, BNL
Existing analytical toolsExisting analytical tools National MARKAL model National MARKAL model
(ETSAP)(ETSAP) Updated since the first Updated since the first
IEPIEP Reviewed by AEAT Reviewed by AEAT
TIMES (ETSAP)TIMES (ETSAP) Message (IAEA)Message (IAEA) LEAP (SEI)LEAP (SEI)
Training Training Existing Masters and PhD Existing Masters and PhD
programmes,programmes, Government officers from 14 Government officers from 14
African countriesAfrican countries
Longstanding relationships and Longstanding relationships and networking networking
Policy
Poverty and development
Energy efficiency
Analysis and planning
Climate change
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What is integrated energy planning?What is integrated energy planning?
A recognition that energy is an important area for A recognition that energy is an important area for government involvementgovernment involvement
Planning for the whole energy sector, i.e. making decisions Planning for the whole energy sector, i.e. making decisions about the energy system in its entirety about the energy system in its entirety
Integrating key government agencies in energy policy Integrating key government agencies in energy policy decision-making and implementation, at all levels of decision-making and implementation, at all levels of governmentgovernment
A process, rather than a productA process, rather than a product
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6. Stakeholder participation6. Stakeholder participation
Who are stakeholders:Who are stakeholders: Energy sectorEnergy sector Big and small energy usersBig and small energy users Government (local, regional and national)Government (local, regional and national) Civil societyCivil society
Critical to get buy-in to the planning process from as many Critical to get buy-in to the planning process from as many stakeholders as possiblestakeholders as possible
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7. Political will7. Political will
Decisive political leadership and support is required to make Decisive political leadership and support is required to make IEP meaningful and effective across governmentIEP meaningful and effective across government
Resources need to be dedicated to the process on a long-Resources need to be dedicated to the process on a long-term basisterm basis