Energy and Industry Trends Dave Molin VP & General Manager Honeywell Building Control Systems.
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Transcript of Energy and Industry Trends Dave Molin VP & General Manager Honeywell Building Control Systems.
Energy and Industry TrendsDave MolinVP & General ManagerHoneywell Building Control Systems
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• The Current and Future Energy Outlook
• Economy and Market Changes
• Business Opportunities
Agenda
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Rising Energy Prices
Energy Prices | 1980 – 2035 (2008 Dollars Per Million Btu)
Electricity
Coal
Natural Gas
Crude Oil
SOURCE: U. S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics and Analysis (December/2009)
GlobalIssues
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U.S. Energy Consumption
Building automation can control 66% of energy in homes and buildings and can monitor 100%
US DOE Buildings Handbook, 2008
Industry (gas)32%
Transportation (oil)28%
Buildings(electricity) 40%
Residential22%
Commercial18%
Lights 26% Heating 14% Cooling 13% Water Heat 7% Ventilation 6% Office Equipment 6% Refrigeration 4% Computers 3%Cooking 2% Other 13%
Heating 31% Water Heat 12% Cooling 12% Lights 11% Refrigeration 8% Electronics 7% Wet Clean 5% Cooking 5%Computers 1% Other 4%
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Current Situation
• Energy – the catalyst that helped tip us into the recession – It’s in the news everyday– We have the ability to provide relevant, robust and lasting solutions for
building owners and end users• If you’ve been around long enough to have experienced past
energy disruptions, you know they didn’t have any real lasting impact
– This time it’s different and commercial building controls today can address a large enough portion of the energy consumed in commercial building facilities
• We can mitigate uncertainty and risk by reducing the impact of energy volatility on our building owner customers– Demand Response Implementations– Real Time Pricing– Critical Peak Pricing– Eventuality of some sort of cap and trade implementation, etc.
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Is this time really different?
• Energy awareness, cost and volatility
• Shift from new construction toward retrofits and renovation
• Non-traditional competitors challenging the space
• Legislative incentives and mandates
• Standards and code development
• Elevated social conscience
• Capturing savings potential is complex and difficult
Creates Opportunity to Increase Building Performance
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Federal Policy and Legislation
Source: US Dept of EnergyEnergy Efficiency and Renewable EnergyDOE Supplier Summit January 2010
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State Energy Activity
States ranked for energy efficiency efforts
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Air Traffic Modernization
Biofuels Green Buildings Reduced Emissions
Industrial Process EfficiencyEnergy Efficiency,
Demand Response & Smart GridEnergy
Performance ContractsFuel Efficiency
Energy Is Our Business
60% of Honeywell ACS Products & Services Related to Energy Efficiency & Consumption
So, what’s a Smart Grid anyway
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Payback Period Benefits Availability
Coal 10-15 Years 2-3 Years
Nuclear 20+ Years 5+ Years
Renewables Exceeds Useful Life of Asset
Varies
Energy Efficiency 2-5 Years Immediate
• Energy Efficiency & Conservation are the Cheapest Sources of Power
• Honeywell Products Leverage Existing Infrastructure in Homes, Buildings and Industrial Plants to manage peak and base-load demand
Economics of Electricity
Efficiency and Conservation are the Best Options
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The Smart Grid
• More than Smart Meters• Control of energy from and
to the end user
• Reduce energy and reduce the load on an over extended infrastructure
• Optimize the Energy Infrastructure
• Smart Production, Delivery, and Use of Energy
Source: 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc.
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Automated Demand Response
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• The Current and Future Energy Outlook
• Economy and Market Changes
• Business Opportunities
Agenda
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Non-Residential Growth Forecast
Non-Residential Construction to improve, but stay below peak levels for some time
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Vertical Market Growth Forecast
• Office Facilities• Commercial Facilities• Educational Facilities
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Office Buildings
Source: ITR 2012
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Commercial Properties
Source: ITR 2012
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Educational Facilities
Source: ITR 2012
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• The Current and Future Energy Outlook
• Economy and Market Changes
• Business Opportunities
Agenda
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• Increasingly, facilities are viewed as strategic resources, rather than as an expense
• The facility manager is being elevated to the role of asset manager, supporting the organization's overall business goals
Facility Management Today
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Business Challenges faced by FMs
• Increase efficiency & reduce costs– Multiple user interfaces & redundant system
applications/workstations– Requires significant time to train users– Primary building equipment can be large energy users– Energy supply and demand cannot be optimized without
measurement, analysis and appropriate response
• Minimize system downtime & disruptions– Difficult to implement routine maintenance & cleaning– Too many systems, not enough time/expertise
• Improve decision making– Hard to get at information when you need it– Information exists within different systems– Limited reporting & trending capabilities
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Industry Technology Trends
• Our world is becoming instrumented– Ability to measure, sense & see exact conditions of everything
• Our world is becoming interconnected– In 2011 we are 10 X more instrumented & connected
then in 2006– New ways for people, systems & objects to communicate– Use of the Internet in our daily lives is increasing
• Cisco predicts 15 Billion devices by 2015 and 3 Billion users (40 percent of world population)– It was approx 5 Billion in 2010
• Customer data presentation expectations are changing– People want to see and use data and information the way they do
everything else in their daily lives
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Summary
• Energy is expensive and prices are volatile – and there’s no end in sight
• Measuring energy is the first step in improving energy performance
• Independent forecast creates optimism for construction and retrofit opportunities, but the migration from new construction to retrofit is paramount
• Smart BAS Systems can optimize business performance for building owners