Ending Hunger: Can we achieve humanity’s elusive goal by 2050?
Transcript of Ending Hunger: Can we achieve humanity’s elusive goal by 2050?
Ending Hunger: Can we achieve
humanity’s elusive goal by 2050?
Bram Govaerts Latin America Sustainable Intensification Strategy Leader
Centro Internacional de Mejoramiento de Maíz y Trigo (CIMMYT)
The Oxford Farming Conference
Oxford University, 6/7 January 2016
Yes, but we need more with less
More food with less
resources
More productivity and less
environmental impact
More income and
less poverty
“THE NEW CONSUMER”
MARKET
A Global Food Company A Global Food Company
Lloyds food system shock scenario
Ug99 (windborn)
FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO
Wheat production losses
Wheat production losses
Pakistan: 10%
India: 11%
Low Monsoon
Drought
FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO
Wheat production losses
Low Monsoon
Australia:
50%
Drought
Pakistan: 10%
India: 11%
FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO
Wheat production losses
Low Monsoon
Australia:
50%
Drought
Pakistan: 10%
India: 11%
FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO
USA: 7%
Flooding
Wheat production losses
Drought
Low Monsoon
Australia:
50%
Flooding
Russia: 10%
Ug99
Ukraine Turkey : 15% Kazakhstan: 15%
USA: 7%
Pakistan: 10%
India: 11%
FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO
Wheat production losses
Drought
Australia:
50%
Flooding
Ug99
Low Monsoon
Russia: 10%
Ukraine Turkey : 15% Kazakhstan: 15%
USA: 7%
Pakistan: 10%
India: 11% +5%
+5%
FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO
Price increases
x4
x5
Stock market losses
Food riots
Humanitarian crisis
Human cost
10% in EU 5% in US
Wheat
Maize
Rice
Soybean
7%
10%
11%
Global production losses
7%
Impacts
How?
By implementing a sustainable intensification strategy
Sound agronomy
and crop science Innovative
agricultural
technologies
Enabling public policies
Crop science to INCREASE
Yield potential Disease resistance
Heat and drought tolerance Nutritional value
Sound agronomy for
Efficient use of
natural resources
Soil and environmental
conservation
Sustainability
Growing
improved crops
without
agronomy is
like running a
sports car on
gravel roads
Innovative agricultural technologies
Smart Mechanization
Postharvest Solutions
Precision Agriculture ICT
There is more technology in a vending machine
than in a planter
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How can you help?
Train
Specialize
Innovate Thank you!
Let’s make agriculture sexy