PALPAP Chairman Signed MOU with Indira Institute of Engineering and Technology
Enabling Next Generation Mobile Wireless Devicesrqiu/publications/IEEENJNov2001.pdf2001 8 Signed MOU...
Transcript of Enabling Next Generation Mobile Wireless Devicesrqiu/publications/IEEENJNov2001.pdf2001 8 Signed MOU...
4/25/2003
Enabling Next Generation Mobile Wireless DevicesEnabling Next Generation Mobile Wireless Devices
Wiscom Technologies, Inc.Wiscom Technologies, Inc.
Dr. Robert C. QiuDr. Robert C. QiuCoCo--Founder, Chief Scientist & PresidentFounder, Chief Scientist & President
Clark, New Jersey, USA
Presented for IEEE New Jersey Section November 8, 2001
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NTT NTT DoCoMo DoCoMo WCDMA Commercial ServiceWCDMA Commercial Service
Finally Oct. 1, 2001Sold 4000 terminals the 1st day in Tokyo$400 standard$566 video$233 laptop PC card Game just started
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We are Uniquely Positioned as a 3G We are Uniquely Positioned as a 3G Technology EnablerTechnology Enabler
Partenership Alliance– Microsoft, AMD, ZTE, Capitel, Mobilecom,…
Hold patents future (3G) wireless systems
Development focus on WCDMA Terminal Chipsets
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Wiscom Major MilestonesWiscom Major MilestonesYear Month Events
Established in New Jersey, US.2000 5
Voice call and file transfer demo, 7 patents submitted2001 3
Wiscom China Established in Beijing.2001 4
Signed MOI with Mobicom for WCDMA mobile co-development.2001 5
First round funding closed.2000 6
Signed MOI with Capitel for WCDMA L2/L3 co-development.2001 7
Signed MOU with ZTE for WCDMA mobile development & interop. test2001 8
Signed MOU with AMD for WCDMA mobile develop. & chip/stacked memory2001 8
Signed LOI with Microsoft for 3G applications on platform & standard collaboration2001 10
True 3G high bandwidth demo over the air: Video conf, Streaming Video & Web browsing on WCDMA platform 2001 10
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Where Are We Today ?Analog networks have migrated to digitalHandset volume growth outstrips PCs almost 4:1Subscriber base has grown to almost 700 millionConnectivity is a major part of emerging devices-Including handsets– Always connected-internet everywhere
Still a voice-centric network operation today, but data capabilities are emerging– – 2.5G interim evolution: GSM (GPRS), CDMA (IS-95B, 1x),– TDMA (IS-136+)– – 3G revolution will occur in multiple stages
We are just at the starting line
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Mobile Devices Market Mobile Devices Market SegmentationSegmentation
Nokia3330
Add-OnDevices
Modules -Embedded AppsTelematics / Telemetry
Ericsson R380
PDQ Smart Phone
Palm
RIM Blackberry
HP Jornada 720 w/ PC Card
HandSpring Visor,Spring Board Modules
Greater Multi-Media CapabilityLarger Displays / Touch-Screensand Keyboards
Multi Wireless Modes& Generally Higher Data Rates
Data Devicesw/ IntegralWireless
Business /SmartPhones
BasicPhones
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3G Mobile Multimedia Devices
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Mobile Data Drives ARPU Mobile Data Drives ARPU higher higher in Europe & USin Europe & US
0
50
100
MB
per
Use
r pe
r M
onth
2001 2002
“Killer Cocktail” emerging(3000+ applications –SMS/Email/Fax/Voice Mail,Banking/Payments, Location Based,Internet Access/Info. ServicesMobile Office, Telemetry/Telematics,Interactive Gaming)
200
150
2003 2004 2005 2006
Source: Qualcomm Estimates
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Wireless ApplicationsWireless Applications
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The Promise of 3GThe Promise of 3G
Higher bandwidth capability– 144-384 Kbps at mobile speeds– 2 Mbps at fixed locations (ITU spec)– 10-20 Mbps using HSDPA (3.5G)
Future broadband applications/services– Internet browsing (WML, HTML)– Audio/video streaming multimedia (MP3, MPEG, H.3XX)– Location based services (GPS), e-commerce, push software
technologies (ASP), and much more...Migration path from 2G and 2.5G technologiesVoice/data convergence will shake up the market as wireless world merges with IP and computing worldWorldwide coverage eventually4G will be for 100 Mbps after 2010
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2G to 3G Evolution Path2G to 3G Evolution PathTDMA(IS-136)
GSM
PDC
CDMA(IS-95A)
CDMA(IS-95B)
EDGE
GPRS
cdma2000-1X
WCDMAHSDPA
TDD-CDMA
Cdma2000 1X-EV
cdma2000-3X
Current View Original Plan
AT&T Wirelessswitch to GSM/GPRS
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Global Telecom MarketGlobal Telecom Market
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
Wired Sub
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Pred Wired Sub
Mobile Sub
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������������������ Pred Mobile Sub
Subs
crib
ers (
Mill
ion)
Source: ITU historical data from 1990 - 2000, and Wiscom forecast for 2001 - 2007
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Wireless TrendsWireless TrendsBy 2003, Wireless Voice and Internet will surpass Wired Voice and Internet
Subscribers(M)
Year0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1997 1998 1999 2000* 2001* 2002* 2003*
Wireless Internet
Wired Internet
Wireless Voice
Wired Voice
Source: Salomon Smith Barney Estimates.
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0200400600800
10001200140016001800
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Subscribers by Market (millions)
Africa S. America Asia-Pac E. Europe W. Europe Middle E. N. America
Wireless explosion continues – Global subscribers to double between 2001 and 2005
Wireless ExpansionWireless Expansion
Source: EMC World Cellular Database; June 2001 forecast based on actual figures to end March 2001
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Penetration by Market (%)
0102030405060708090
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Africa S. America Asia-Pac E. EuropeW.Europe Middle E. N. America
Western markets approaching saturation. Opportunities in emerging markets remain high.
Wireless ExpansionWireless Expansion
Source: EMC World Cellular Database; June 2001 forecast based on actual figures to end March 2001
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Handset SalesHandset Sales
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Global Handset Sales (K units)
Asia Pacific W.Europe Latin America North America Rest of EMEA
Source: The Strategis Group, Gartner/Dataquest, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Alcatel, Nokia
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China MarketChina Market
050
100150200
250300
2001 2003 20050
20406080
100120140
2001 2003 2005
3GCDMAGSMAnalog
China on track to becoming the world’s largest mobile market
Mobile Subscribers in China (M) New Handset Sales in China (M)
Source: the Yankee Group
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Market Drivers for 3GMarket Drivers for 3G
Source: EMC statistics for 2000
GSM69%
IS-95 CDMA
13%
PDC8%TDMA
10%
2000 2G mobile systems are reaching capacity limit Revenue per user for Revenue per user for voice is decliningvoice is decliningNew valueNew value--added added services need high services need high speed, packet dataspeed, packet data
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Market Drivers Market Drivers -- key decision Criteriakey decision Criteria» Price, Price, Price. (data rates are an enabler, not a value!)
Source: Yankee Group
Affordable Service
38%
Affordable Equipment
29%
Ease of Use9%
Network Reliability
9%
Better Coverage9%
Content Services4%
Other2%
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Market Share by TechnologiesMarket Share by TechnologiesTDMA and PDS will phase out
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2000 2002 2004 2006
OthersPDCTDMAWCDMAIS-95/cdma2000GSM/GPRS
Global Mobile Sales (Million)
Source: Wiscom Estimate
IS95/cdma2000 market IS95/cdma2000 market may have slow growthmay have slow growth
GSM/GPRS market will GSM/GPRS market will reach peak during 2004 reach peak during 2004 --20052005
WCDMA will gain more WCDMA will gain more than 40% of market share than 40% of market share by 2007by 2007
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Chip Vendor Success FactorsChip Vendor Success FactorsBalanced solution: low power, high performance, low cost, targeted at several consumer form factorsTier-1 OEMs still drive the market, but tier-2/3 and start-up OEMs building momentumDrive Standardization:– Offer interoperability with other offload chips (GPS,
Bluetooth, etc.) and multimedia application processors– Offer feature-rich and easy-to-use software
development environment and tools– Offer several packages to different OEMsPartnerships and collaboration critical to successBranding activities become common
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WCDMA dominates in IMTWCDMA dominates in IMT--2000 (3G)2000 (3G)WCDMA– Pushed by Japanese players and GSM players– Will dominate based on GSM current footprint (~65%)
Cdma2000– A natural path for IS-95 CDMA players– Limited growth due to current limited IS-95 footprint (~12%)
TD-SCDMA– One option of TDD mode (1.28Mcps)– “home-grown” and with strong political support in China– less interest outside China
EDGE – Original GSM interim step, barely meets 3G need, viewed as 2.5G– Diminishing support from TDMA (IS-136) players (~ 8%)
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Major PHY Differences between Major PHY Differences between WCDMA and cdma2000WCDMA and cdma2000
Synchronization Between Base Stations– WCDMA uses asynch BTS → need cell search for
initial synch and soft handover
Operating Bandwidth and Chip Rate– WCDMA operates at 3.84Mcps over 5MHz
Channel Structure and Rate Flexibility– WCDMA introduces TrCH concept for varieties of rate
and QoS flexibilities– WCDMA rate information can be obtained via TFCI
High Speed Packet Data
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Thank You !Thank You !
Wiscom Technologies, Inc.Wiscom Technologies, Inc.
Dr. Robert C. QiuDr. Robert C. QiuCoCo--Founder, Chief Scientist & PresidentFounder, Chief Scientist & President
100 Walnut Avenue, Clark, New Jersey, USA
07066-1247Tel: 732-340-9311Fax:732-340-9566
[email protected]://www.wiscomtech.com/