Enabling active learning using prediction markets - Patrick Buckley
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Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
Dr. Patrick Buckley
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
IntroductionPrediction markets are “designed and run for the primary
purpose of mining and aggregating information scattered among traders and subsequently using this information in the form of market values in order to make predictions about specific future events”
IntroductionPedagogical ApplicationPedagogical Advantages
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
IntroductionA Simplified Analogy: Prediction Markets can work like
multiple choice questions. So they are • Scalable• FlexibleBut• We can also ask students to calculate values• They operate in real-time• They allow students to change their mind• They are obviously a group activity
IntroductionPedagogical ApplicationPedagogical Advantages
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
Pedagogical ApplicationOur core insight – they can be used to create realistic decision
scenarios that link to learning outcomes and allow learners to apply knowledge delivered via traditional educational channels to real-world problems.
Example: The National Budget Forecasting Project
Learning Outcomes:‘Consider and assess the impact of the annual tax budget’ ‘Explain the theory underpinning a tax system’
Introduction
Pedagogical ApplicationPedagogical Advantages
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
Introduction
Pedagogical ApplicationPedagogical Advantages
Pedagogical ApplicationWe have pioneered two modes of operations• Repetitive• Continuous
We have pioneered across a range of disciplines• Tax (Continuous)• Finance (Repetitive)• Risk Management (Repetitive)
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
Pedagogical Advantages
Cognitive Domain of Learning• Improved Decision Making• Improved Information Literacy
IntroductionPedagogical Application
Pedagogical Advantages
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
Pedagogical Advantages
Cognitive Domain of Learning• Improved Decision Making• Improved Information Literacy
IntroductionPedagogical Application
Pedagogical Advantages
Affective Domain of Learning• Improved Motivation
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
Pedagogical Advantages
Cognitive Domain of Learning• Improved Decision Making• Improved Information Literacy
IntroductionPedagogical Application
Pedagogical Advantages
Affective Domain of Learning• Improved MotivationAdvantages for Staff
• Scalable• Flexible• Real-world, real-time
examples
Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets
Publications
Cognitive Domain of Learning• Improved Decision Making• Improved Information Literacy
IntroductionPedagogical Application
Pedagogical Advantages
Affective Domain of Learning• Improved MotivationAdvantages for Staff
• Scalable• Flexible• Real-world, real-time
examples
Buckley, P. and Doyle, E., 2012, Enabling Active Learning Using Prediction Markets, EDiNEB 2012, Haarlem, Holland, May 2-5. (Awarded Best Paper)
Buckley, P., Garvey, J. & McGrath, F., 2011, A Case Study on Using Prediction Markets as a Rich Environment for Active Learning, Computers and Education, 56(2)
Buckley, P. & Garvey, J. 2011 Using Technology to Encourage Critical Thinking and Optimal Decision-Making in Risk Management Education. Risk Management and Insurance Review, Vol. 14, No. 2, pages 299–309, Fall 2011
Garvey, J. & Buckley, P. 2010. Teaching the Concept of Risk: Blended Learning Using a Custom-Built Prediction Market. Journal of Teaching in International Business, 21(4)