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Internet Prospects

Vint Cerf

July 2014

HAPPY BASTILLE DAY!!

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Internet - Global Statistics 2014

Approx. 6.9 B mobiles and ~1.5 Billion smartphones) (http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats)

1.01Billion Hosts (ftp.isc.org/www/survey/reports/current/)

2.484 Billion Users (International Telecommunication Union)

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Internet Technical Evolution

•  IPv6 - in parallel with IPv4 – about 3.x% access Google

•  Internationalized Domain Names - operational

•  New gTLDs (2000 applications) – 300 are delegated – http://newgtlds.icann.org/en/

•  Domain Name System Security (DNSSEC) – in deployment

•  Digitally-Signed Address Registration (RPKI) – Controversial in some quarters, but beta implementations exist

•  Internet of Things – an emerging phenomenon

•  Mobile applications – in the hundreds of thousands

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An Internet of Things

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Internet and its Implications in 2014

•  World Wide Web – Massive information sharing and discovery

•  Mobile technology - access anywhere, anytime •  Image capture and sharing

•  Augmented Reality (e.g. Google Glass)

•  Location tracking (Emergency services)

•  Remote Control (Internet of Things)

•  Standards encourage application development

•  Mutual reinforcement of Internet and Mobiles

•  Social Networking •  Privacy impact

•  Common interest discovery

•  Coordinated, real time activities

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Internet and its Implications 2014

•  Political challenges •  Civil unrest, information and misinformation

•  Activism – good and bad societal consequences (extremism)

•  Transparency and Accountability

•  Malware, Cyber-safety and National Security

•  3D Printing •  New import/export paradigms (export designs not finished products)

•  Transport of raw materials vs manufactured parts

•  Intellectual Property •  Protection; new modes of sharing (e.g. creative commons)

•  Preservation of Digital Content (Bitrot and the Digital Desert)

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Example Internet Policy Challenges

•  Internet Governance •  Internet Governance Forum, NETmundial, ICANN, ISOC, RIRs •  Internet Standards (IETF, IAB, IEEE, ITU-T, ANSI, ISO, Industry Fora) •  Critical Role of Multi-Stakeholder processes

•  Role of the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) •  Communication Standards, Radio Assignments, Development

•  The legal meaning/weight of digital signatures

•  Bridging the Broadband Digital Divide- infrastructure

•  Economics of Access to and Use of the Internet

•  Avoiding the Politicization of Internet Governance Policy

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The Potential Role of the World Bank

•  Unique opportunity to engage in support for Internet infrastructure development

•  Advice to Governments on Internet policy development

•  Analysis of Economic Factors in the growth of the Internet

•  Explication of the Role of Risk Capital in Internet-based companies and their products and services

•  Facilitation of International and Multi-stakeholder agreements

•  Convening Power to Promote Constructive Internet Use

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DISCUSSION?

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