(Embargoed until August 18, 2017) Summary...Review and Analysis for July 2017 (Embargoed until...
Transcript of (Embargoed until August 18, 2017) Summary...Review and Analysis for July 2017 (Embargoed until...
For more information, contact:
Barbara Hersh
Marketing and Comm. Director
401 S.W. Topeka Blvd
Topeka, KS 66603
Phone: 785-296-0901
Fax: 785-296-0753
Review and Analysis for July 2017(Embargoed until August 18, 2017)
Summary
1
June nonfarm job estimates were revised downward by 3,600 jobs from 1,403,400 to 1,399,800. Private sector
jobs were revised downward by 2,100 jobs from 1,147,500 to 1,145,400. Estimates are seasonally adjusted.
Kansas gained 1,300 jobs over the month. Over the past 12 months, the number of nonfarm jobs decreased
by 10,800 jobs. Estimates are seasonally adjusted.
The private sector lost 1,200 jobs over the month, or 0.1%. The largest losses were in Leisure and Hospitality
(-2,000) and Trade, Transportation and Utilities (-1,200). Over the past 12 months, the private sector lost
12,100 jobs. Estimates are seasonally adjusted.
Average weekly hours worked in the private sector increased over the year from 33.8 hours to 34.6 hours in
July 2017. Average nominal hourly earnings increased by $0.40 to $23.09 (+1.8%). Average nominal weekly
earnings increased by $31.99 (+4.2%) over the past 12 months. Estimates are not seasonally adjusted.
In July the labor force decreased by 179, the pool of unemployed increased by 1,007 and employment
decreased by 1,186. Estimates are seasonally adjusted.
The unemployment rate remained at 3.7% in July. Estimates are seasonally adjusted.
Over the past 12 months, initial claims decreased by 3,748 and continued claims decreased by 1,717 (these
numbers include all programs). The number of individuals receiving unemployment insurance benefits
decreased by 2,599 over the year. Average duration of benefit receipt decreased by 0.6 weeks over the past 12
months. Estimates are not seasonally adjusted.
2
-2,000
-1,200
-1,200
-400
-200
-100
0
0
200
400
2,100
2,500
-2,500 -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
Leisure and Hospitality
TOTAL PRIVATE
Trade, Transportation and Utilities
Education and Health Services
Information
Manufacturing
Mining and Logging
Other Services
Financial Activities
Construction
Professional and Business Services
GOVERNMENT
Over-the-Month Job Gain/Loss
Over-the-Month Change in Employment (seasonally adjusted)Kansas
July 2017
Total Nonfarm employment increased by 1,300 jobs in July 2017.
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics (CES) program.
Five of the 11 major sectors lost jobs over the month while four gained jobs.
3
July
2017 Absolute Percent Absolute Percent
TOTAL NONFARM 1,387,900 -21,700 -1.5% -6,800 -0.5%
GOVERNMENT 232,800 -17,700 -7.1% 500 0.2%
TOTAL PRIVATE 1,155,100 -4,000 -0.3% -7,300 -0.6%
GOODS-PRODUCING 231,000 800 0.3% 600 0.3%
Mining and Logging 7,100 200 2.9% 200 2.9%
Construction 65,000 1,100 1.7% 1,100 1.7%
Manufacturing 158,900 -500 -0.3% -700 -0.4%
PRIVATE SERVICE-PROVIDING 924,100 -4,800 -0.5% -7,900 -0.8%
Trade, Transportation and Utilities 265,700 -1,500 -0.6% -2,600 -1.0%
Information 19,100 -300 -1.5% -1,700 -8.2%
Financial Activities 86,700 500 0.6% 0 0.0%
Professional and Business Services 179,800 1,500 0.8% 300 0.2%
Education and Health Services 195,100 -1,800 -0.9% -300 -0.2%
Leisure and Hospitality 128,700 -3,200 -2.4% -2,300 -1.8%
Other Services 49,000 0 0.0% -1,300 -2.6%
Industries in green added the most jobs over the year, and industries in red lost the most jobs over the year.
Nonfarm job statistics on subsectors will be furnished upon request.
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current
Employment Statistics (CES) program.
July 2017 Not Seasonally Adjusted Nonfarm Jobs
Place of Work Data
Month Change 12 Month Change
4
126,000,000
128,000,000
130,000,000
132,000,000
134,000,000
136,000,000
138,000,000
140,000,000
142,000,000
144,000,000
146,000,000
1,260,000
1,280,000
1,300,000
1,320,000
1,340,000
1,360,000
1,380,000
1,400,000
1,420,000
1,440,000
1,460,000
Jul-
12
Aug-
12
Sep
-12
Oct
-12
No
v-1
2D
ec-1
2Ja
n-1
3F
eb-1
3M
ar-1
3A
pr-
13
May
-13
Jun
-13
Jul-
13
Aug-
13
Sep
-13
Oct
-13
No
v-1
3D
ec-1
3Ja
n-1
4F
eb-1
4M
ar-1
4A
pr-
14
May
-14
Jun
-14
Jul-
14
Aug-
14
Sep
-14
Oct
-14
No
v-1
4D
ec-1
4Ja
n-1
5F
eb-1
5M
ar-1
5A
pr-
15
May
-15
Jun
-15
Jul-
15
Aug-
15
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-1
5D
ec-1
5Ja
n-1
6F
eb-1
6M
ar-1
6A
pr-
16
May
-16
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Aug-
16
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6D
ec-1
6Ja
n-1
7F
eb-1
7M
ar-1
7A
pr-
17
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
U.S
. N
on
farm
Jo
bs
Kan
sas
No
nfa
rm J
ob
s
Month-Year
Nonfarm JobsKansas and U.S.
July 2012 to July 2017
Kansas Jobs Kansas Jobs (Seasonally Adjusted) U.S. Jobs (Seasonally Adjusted)
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics (CES) program.
Over-the-Year Percent Change in Jobs, Not Seasonally Adjusted (KS) -0.5%Over-the-Year Percent Change in Jobs, Not Seasonally Adjusted (US) +1.5%
The estimated number of nonfarm jobs in Kansas has fallen by a half of a percentage point in the last 12 months putting the current level in the proximity of July 2015.
5
-4,000-4,500
800
2,200
-8,100
-1,900
-3,100
-800
4,900
-4,000
-10,000
-8,000
-6,000
-4,000
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ch
an
ge i
n E
mp
loym
en
t
Month-Year
Over-the-Month Change in Private Sector Jobs (not seasonally adjusted)
KansasJuly 2008 - July 2017
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics (CES) program.
Average of prior 10 years: -1,300 jobs
There is not a strong seasonal pattern for July. This year the losses were greater than the average change in the last 10 years.
6
0.8
%
0.6
% 0.9
%
0.6
%
0.1
%
-0.5
% -0.2
%
0.0
%
0.2
%
-0.5
%
-0.4
%
0.1
%
-0.6
%
-1.0
%
-2.6
%
0.3
%
1.2%
-1.4
%
-0.2
%
-0.2
%
0.9
%
0.8
%
1.6%
-0.4
%
1.0%
1.7%
1.5%
1.0%
1.4%
1.7%
0.3
%
-0.6
%
1.7%
1.7%
2.1
%
1.4%
1.1%
1.7%
1.8%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17
Perc
en
t
Month-Year
Over-the-Year Change in Private Sector Jobs, Total Hours Worked, and Hourly EarningsKansas
July 2016 to July 2017
Jobs Total Hours Worked Hourly Earnings
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics (CES) program.
Employers have scheduled more weekly hours for employees in the last two months, leading to increases in total hours worked. Hourly earnings have increased at a rate greater than
inflation for the last two months.
HOUSEHOLD DATA
7
• The labor force decreased by a net of 179 individuals to a total of 1,482,735 participants over the month. Estimates are
seasonally adjusted.
• Employment decreased by a net of 1,186 individuals to 1,427,140 over the month. Estimates are seasonally adjusted.
• The pool of the unemployed increased by a net of 1,007 individuals to 55,595 over the month. Estimates are seasonally
adjusted.
• The unemployment rate remained at 3.7% in July. Estimates are seasonally adjusted. The unemployment rate for June was
not revised.
• Over the last 12 months the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% in July 2016 to 3.7% in July 2017. Estimates are seasonally
adjusted.
8
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0Ju
l-14
Aug-
14
Sep
-14
Oct
-14
No
v-1
4
Dec
-14
Jan
-15
Feb
-15
Mar
-15
Ap
r-15
May
-15
Jun
-15
Jul-
15
Aug-
15
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-1
5
Dec
-15
Jan
-16
Feb
-16
Mar
-16
Ap
r-16
May
-16
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Aug-
16
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6
Dec
-16
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-17
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Un
em
plo
ym
en
t R
ate
(%
)
Jul-
14
Aug
-14
Sep-
14
Oct-
14
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-
15
May
-15
Jun-
15
Jul-
15
Aug
-15
Sep-
15
Oct-
15
Nov
-15
Dec-
15
Jan-
16
Feb-
16
Mar
-16
Apr-
16
May
-16
Jun-
16
Jul-
16
Aug
-16
Sep-
16
Oct-
16
Nov
-16
Dec-
16
Jan-
17
Feb-
17
Mar
-17
Apr-
17
May
-17
Jun-
17
Jul-
17
U.S. 6.5 6.3 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.4 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.7 4.5 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.4 4.5 5.1 4.9 4.6 4.1 4.1 4.5 4.6
Kansas 5.1 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.2 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 4.3 4.2 4.2 3.8 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.8 4.3 4.1 3.7 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.3
U.S. SA 6.2 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.3
Kansas SA 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7
Unemployment RateKansas and U.S.
July 2014 - July 2017
Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics Program, Labor Market Information Services, Kansas Department of Labor, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Preliminary estimates of the Kansas unemployment rate remained at 3.7 percent in July, with no significant changes in the number of employed or unemployed.
9
Jul-161,502,871
Jul-171,504,191
Jul-161,430,231
Jul-171,439,519
1,320,000
1,340,000
1,360,000
1,380,000
1,400,000
1,420,000
1,440,000
1,460,000
1,480,000
1,500,000
1,520,000
1,540,000
Jul-
12
Sep
-12
No
v-1
2
Jan
-13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-
13
Sep
-13
No
v-1
3
Jan
-14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-
14
Sep
-14
No
v-1
4
Jan
-15
Mar
-15
May
-15
Jul-
15
Sep
-15
No
v-1
5
Jan
-16
Mar
-16
May
-16
Jul-
16
Sep
-16
No
v-1
6
Jan
-17
Mar
-17
May
-17
Jul-
17
Peo
ple
Month-Year
Labor Force and Employment (not seasonally adjusted)Kansas
July 2012 to July 2017
Labor Force
Number of People Employed
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics LAUS program.
From July 2016 to July 2017 the labor force increased by 0.1% (1,320 people). Over the same time period the number of people employed increased by 0.6% (+9,288).
The number of employed people and the size of the labor force in Kansas have not changed significantly over the year.
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE
CLAIMSEstimates are not seasonally adjusted
10
• Over the year, initial claims decreased by 3,748 and continued claims decreased by 1,717 claims (these
numbers include all programs). Estimates are not seasonally adjusted.
• The number of individuals receiving unemployment insurance benefits decreased by 1,027 over the
month, and decreased by 2,599 from July 2016.
• Average duration of benefit receipt increased by 0.1 weeks over the month and decreased by 0.6 weeks
over the past 12 months to 10.9 weeks. (average duration is measured with a 12 month moving average).
11
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000Ja
n
Jan
Jan
Jan
Feb
Feb Feb
Feb
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Ap
r
Ap
r
Ap
r
Ap
r
May
May
May
May
May
Jun
Jun
Jun
Jun
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Sep
Sep
Sep Sep
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
No
v
No
v
No
v
No
v
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Nu
mb
er
of
Cla
ims
Month
Weekly Initial Claims (4-Week Moving Average)Kansas
2007, 2016, and 2017
2007 2016 2017
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, Unemployment Insurance (UI) program.
Each data point represents an average of initial claims for the current week and three preceding weeks.
Initial claims remain at low levels with temporary increases due to layoffs in the manufacturing industry.
12
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000Ja
n
Jan
Jan
Jan
Feb
Feb Feb
Feb
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Ap
r
Ap
r
Ap
r
Ap
r
May
May
May
May
May
Jun
Jun
Jun
Jun
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Sep
Sep
Sep Sep
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
No
v
No
v
No
v
No
v
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Nu
mb
er
of
Cla
ims
Month
Weekly Continued Claims (4-Week Moving Average)Kansas
2007, 2016, 2017
2007 2016 2017
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, Unemployment Insurance (UI) program.
This graph reflects average weekly continued claims beginning in January 2007 to present. Each data point represents an average of continued claims for the current week and three preceding weeks.
The number of continued claims remains below 2016 levels.
13
Jul-1614,574
Jul-1711,975
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Nu
mb
er
of
Ind
ivid
uals
Month
Number of Individuals Receiving Unemployment Insurance BenefitsKansas
July 2012 to July 2017
Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, Unemployment Insurance (UI) program.
Claimants Average Duration (Weeks)July 2017 11,975 10.9June 2017 13,002 10.8July 2016 14,574 11.5
OTM Change -1,027 +0.1OTY Change -2,599 -0.6
The number of individuals receiving benefits and the average duration of benefits decreased over the year.