Electricity Power Development in Indonesia · 2014. 2. 6. · addition, Indonesia has a substantial...
Transcript of Electricity Power Development in Indonesia · 2014. 2. 6. · addition, Indonesia has a substantial...
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Electricity Power Development in Indonesia
Presented by : I Made Ro Sakya – PT PLN (Persero)
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PT PLN (Persero)|
Total
Hydro 3,524 MW
Geothermal 439 MW
Steam-
turbine
12,671 MW
Combined
Cycle
7,704 MW
Gas-turbine 3,224 MW
Diesel 3,267 MW
Others 39 MW
IPP 5,389 MW
TOTAL 36,257 MW
Java-Bali
Hydro 2,399 MW
Geo 375 MW
Steam-
turbine
12,530 MW
Combined
Cycle
6,786 MW
Gas turbine 2,114 MW
Diesel 120 MW
IPP 4,9147MW
TOTAL 28,471 MW
NTB
Diesel 141 MW
Hydro 1 MW
TOTAL 142 MW
NTT
Diesel 53 MW
Geothermal 4 MW
Hydro 1 MW
TOTAL 58 MW
Papua
Diesel 266 MW
Hydro 4 MW
TOTAL 270 MW
Maluku
Diesel 198 MW
TOTAL 198 MW
Sulawesi
Hydro 220 MW
Geothermal 60 MW
Steam-
turbine
100 MW
Gas-turbine 123 MW
Diesel 567 MW
IPP 384 MW
TOTAL 11,409 MW
Kalimantan
Hydro 32 MW
Steam-
turbine
201 MW
Combined
Cycle
60 MW
Gas-
turbine
113 MW
Diesel 969 MW
Others 39 MW
IPP 56 MW
TOTAL 1,470 MW
Sumatera
Hydro 867 MW
Geotherm
al
0 MW
Steam-
turbine
1,175 MW
Combined
Cycle
858 MW
Gas-
turbine
874 MW
Diesel 953 MW
IPP 802 MW
TOTAL 5,556 MW
As of 31 Mar 2012, PLN has an extensive generation portfolio with total installed capacity of 32,158 MW across Indonesia
Sumatera
Kalimantan
Sulawesi
Maluku
Papua
NTT NTB Java-Bali
PLN’s Generation Asset Portfolio
Note: As of 31 Mar 2012
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PT PLN (Persero)|
100% 100% 99% 99% 99% 98%90%
77% 75% 73%
62%55%
44%
Singapore Brunei China Malaysia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Sri Lanka India Indonesia Pakistan Laos Nepal
Electrification Ratio – Asian Countries
Electrification Rate for Asian Countries (2009)
Low electrification ratio of 73,7 % (as of year-end 2011) underscores undersupply
PLN is mandated to implement Fast Track Programs for capacity expansion to meet Indonesia’s growing demand
– Aim to achieve 86% electrification rate by end-2016
2016 target: c. 86% (2)
Ample room for growth in the electricity sector based on the current electrification rate(1) in Indonesia
Source: IEA. (1) Percentage of population with electricity access. (2) Include non-PLN customers. (3) 2011 value.
(3)
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PT PLN (Persero)|
Electrification Ratio (%)
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62.4 63.8 68.3
71.2 73.3 75.1
78.2 81 83.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E
Rasio Elektrifikasi
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Target
2012E
2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E
PLN 62.4 63.8 68.3 71.2 71.2 73.3 75.1 78.2 81.0 83.4
(PLN+ Non PLN)
73.7 73.7 75.9
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PT PLN (Persero)|
PT PLN (Persero)|
Electrification Ratio ( as of June 2012)
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SUMUT: 84.8%
SUMBAR: 74.8%
RIAU:73.4%
SUMSEL: 63.0%
BENGKULU: 65.1%
BABEL: 88.0%
LAMPUNG: 65.2%
DKI: 93.9%
BANTEN: 77.1%
JABAR: 72.8%
JATENG:78.1%
JAMBI: 67.4%
DIY: 76.0% JATIM: 72.2% BALI:71,0% NTB: 49.0%
NTT: 43.5%
KALBAR: 68.4%
KALTENG: 52.1%
KALSEL:72.8%
KALTIM:71.1%
SULUT: 74.0%
GORONTALO:54.9%
SULTENG:62.8%
SULTRA:56.8%
SULSEL: 74.1%
MALUT: 62.8%
MALUKU: 67.1%
PAPUA: 30.4% SULBAR: 63.2%
R/E 2012
Target 2012 H1
2012 Pred
PLN 71.2% 70.5% 73.3%
(PLN+ Non PLN) 73.7% 72.8% 75.9%
NAD: 88.1%
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PT PLN (Persero)|
Die se l
2 %
Ge o-
the rma l
5 %
Hydro
10 %
Coa l
5 8 %
Ga s
2 5 %
121 129135
147 158172
196213
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
(TWh)
Die se l
2 3 %
Ge o-
the rma l
3 %
Hydro
8 %
Coa l
4 2 %
Ga s
2 4 %
Die se l
2 %
Ge o-
the rma l
2 %
Hydro
6 %
Coa l
6 4 %
Ga s
2 6 %
Generation Fuel Mixed
Installed Capacity by Fuel Type
(GW)
Total Installed Capacity
Generation by Fuel Type Total Energy Sold
Ge o-
the rma l
1%
Die se l
2 5 %
Hydro
11%
Coa l
3 8 %
Ga s
2 5 %
2016E 2011
2016E 2011
25 25 26 2627
31
37
4143
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E
Source: RUPTL
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PT PLN (Persero)| Current Status of Energy Production 1. BASED ON POWER SOURCES
2. BASED ON PRIMARY ENERGY
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Fuel oil, 23.%
Hydro,8%
Nat.Gas, 24%
Coal, 42%
Geothermal and other,
3.%
Owned ; 71,34%
Lease Fuel Oil; 6,82%
Lease Gas;
0,98%
IPP; 20,86%
• PLN is the biggest producer for electricity in Indonesia.
• Fossil power plant remain dominant ( 89 % ), mainly Coal Steam Power Plant, Oil and Natural Gas with 42 %, 24 % and 23 % share respectively.
• Share of renewable energy is 11 %, which consist of Hydro ( 8 % ) and Geothermal & Other RE ( 3 % ) .
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PT PLN (Persero)|
Projection of electricity demand is driven by three main things :
Electrification program, To support government program to accelerate electrification ratio
Economic growth, To support manufacturing and service companies to produce products and services
Captive taking over / meet large consumer demand, To take over captive and to meet large customer demand
Demand of electricity is expected to grow fast
IB : 10,2 %
24
TWh
55 TWh
IT : 10,8 %
13 TWh 31 TWh
JB : 7,8 %
125 TWh 241 TWh
2011 2020
National demand growth 8,46% per year (Jawa-Bali 7.8%, West Indonesia 10,2% dan East Indonesia 10,8%)
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PT PLN (Persero)|
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Power Generation Additional Capacity
9
5.268
7.192
4.971
4.274
5.944
7.164
6.436
4.181
5.034 4.882
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1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
CFPP GeoPP HEPP CCPP GTPP DiePP Others
• RUPTL ( Power Sector Develepmont Plan ) 2011 – 2020 stipulated that 55,3 GW is needed to cater the demand of electricity in Indonesia.
• The power plant will be dominated by Coal PP (64%). The power plant composition will be : Coal PP 35,6 GW, Hydro PP : 5,7 GW; Geothermal PP : 6,2 GW; Combine Cycle (Gas) : 3,3 GW; Gas Turbine (Gas) : 4,1 GW and others.
• Private participations are very welcome in the power development of Indonesia. It is estimated that private participation ( IPP ) will contribute 43% of total capacity needed. ( PLN 31,5 MW and IPP 23,9 GW).
4,477
5,372
4,283
2,357 2,254 1,992 1,780 1,718
3,019
4,102
1,106
1,505
688
1,917
3,690
5,172
4,656
2,463
2,015
780
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1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
IPP
PLN
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PT PLN (Persero)|
Fuel Mix Indonesia 2011-2020
Gas
Geothermal
Hydro
LNG
HSD MFO
Coal
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50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GW
h
Impor Biomass Surya/Hybrid HSD MFO LNG Gas Batubara Geothermal Hydro
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Hydro
Geothermal
Coal
Gas
LNG
Oil
Source : RUPTL 2011-2020
• PLN will reduce reliance on fuel oil as a fuel source. Fuel oil as a generating fuel source is more expensive on a Rupiah-per-kilowatt basis than coal, natural gas and geothermal energy. In addition, Indonesia has a substantial amount of coal which can be sourced domestically.
• PLN will prioritize on the development of green power plant technology such as Geothermal, hydro , solar and other form of renewable energy.
• PLN will further to utilize more efficienct & Reliabile technology of fossil fuel power plant technology : Supercritical Technology, Coal Upgrading, Fuel Switching.
36%
25%
22% 23%
9% 8%
12%
7%
3% 3% 3% 5%
17%
25% 25%
21%
35%
39% 38%
44%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2008 2009 2010 2011
Oil Hydro Geothermal Gas Coal
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PT PLN (Persero)|
Gas
Geothermal
Hydro
LNG
HSD MFO
Coal
• Share of renewable energy will increase from 11 % ( 2011 ) to be 19 % ( 2020).
• Fuel Oil contribution will br reduced from 23 % ( 2011) to 5 % by 2013.
• Development of renewable energy resources will be thefirst priority. Hydropower and geothermal will dominate RE development .
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PLN Electricity Development Plan (2011 -2020 )
81%
11% 8%
2020
Non-ReNEW Hydro Geothermal
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PT PLN (Persero)| Renewable Energy Development Plan
12 12
• The utillisation of Renewable Energy has been planned, mainly hydro power : 5,722 MW, geothermal : 6,247 MW and other small RE ( 253 MW ). Total RE capacity : 12,223 MW, 55 % expected from IPP.
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PT PLN (Persero)| DEVELOPMENT PLAN OF SMALL SCALE POWER GENERATION UTILIZING GREEN & NEW ENERGY
No RE Plant unit
Year
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 TOTAL
1 Mini Hydro MW 23 37 198 126 46 193 203 214 225 235 1500
2 Solar PV MWp*) 2 30 50 60 70 70 75 75 80 80 592
3 Wind Power MW 0 0 10 10 15 15 20 20 25 25 140
4 Biomass MW 16 33 35 35 35 40 40 45 45 50 374
5 Sea Current MW 0 0 2 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 27
6 Bio-Fuel MW**) - 10 15 15 14 8 7 7 8 9 93
7 Coal Gasification MW 6 32
81
43
22
7
22
14
6 10 243
TOTAL MW 47 142 391 289 202 338 372 380 394 414 2,969
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PT PLN (Persero)| Summary
Ample room for growth in the electricity sector based on the current electrification rate in Indonesia
Coal will still the most dominant energy source of electricity, but PLN will utilize more efficient, reliable and cleaner technology of fossil fuel power plant technology : Ultra Supercritical Technology, Coal Upgrading.
PLN will prioritize on the development of green power plant technology such as Geothermal, hydro , solar and other form of renewable energy.
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PT PLN (Persero)|