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Foreword – Decision 2020

Dear Reader,

As we approach election day, the Elections Daily staff and I want to take a moment to thank

you all for being such dedicated readers of our content. You are enormously important to the

fabric of our organization, and your consistent support is appreciated by everyone at

Elections Daily. We hope you enjoy this review of our race ratings for this election, and we

look forward to seeing you again on election day as we complete our coverage of the 2020

election cycle.

Happy election season,

Harrison W. Lavelle

Head of the Elections Team

Eric Cunningham

Founder and Editor in Chief

Joe Szymanski

Deputy Head of the Elections Team

Kraz Greinetz

Editor

Adam Trencher

Editor

Johanna Rowling

Editor

And All Contributing Members

© 2020 Elections Daily

Safe DEM

(212)

Likely DEM

(0) Leans DEM

(123) Leans REP

(91) Likely REP

(18) Safe REP

(94)

MA (11)

ME (3)

VT (3)

RI (4)

CT (7)

NY (29)

NJ (14)

DE (3)

MD (10)

DC (3)

VA (13)

IL (20)

CO (9)

NM (5)

HI (4)

WA (12)

OR (7)

CA (55)

ME2 (1)

NH (4)

PA (20)

MI (16)

WI (10)

MN (10)

NC (15)

FL (29)

NE2 (1)

AZ (11)

NV (6)

OH (18)

GA (16)

IA (6)

MO (10)

TX (38)

MT (3)

SC (9)

KS (6)

SC (9)

AK (3)

WV (5)

IN (11)

KY (8)

TN (11)

AL (9)

MS (6)

AR (6)

LA (8)

OK (7)

NE (4)

SD (3)

ND (3)

WY (3)

UT (4)

ID (4)

Biden 335

Trump 203

*includes two independents caucusing

Democratic, one runoff

Safe DEM

(8)

Likely DEM

(3) Leans DEM

(4) Leans REP

(3) Likely REP

(4) Safe REP

(12) OR - Merkley

IL – Durbin

VA – Warner

DE – Coons

NJ – Booker

RI – Reed

MA – Markey

NH – Shaheen

MN – Smith

CO - Gardner

NM - Open

ME – Collins

MI – Peters

NC – Tillis

AZ – McSally

IA – Ernst

GA – Perdue*

MT - Daines

SC – Graham

KS – Open

TX – Cornyn

AK - Sullivan

WV – Capito

KY – McConnell

TN – Open

MS – H-Smith

AR – Cotton

AL - Jones

LA – Cassidy

OK – Inhofe

NE – Sasse

SD – Rounds

WY – Open

ID - Risch

*In the Georgia Regular we consider Perdue to be favored, but the likelihood of a runoff or an Ossoff victory is greater than 50%.

Safe Runoff

GA - Loeffler

DEM* 50

GOP 49

Democrats 242

Republicans 193

Democratic Republican

Likely DEM

(20)

Lean DEM

(27)

Lean REP

(22)

Likely REP

(14)

AZ-1

O’Halleran

CA-21

Cox

AK-AL

Young

CA-1

LaMalfa

IL-14

Underwood

CA-39

Cisneros

AR-2

Hill

CA-4

McClintock

IL-17

Bustos

CA-48

Rouda

AZ-6

Schweikert

FL-16

Buchanan

ME-2

Golden

GA-6

McBath

CA-25

Garcia

KS-2

Open

MI-8

Slotkin

GA-7

Open

CA-50

Open

KY-6

Barr

MI-11

Stevens

IA-1

Finkenauer

CO-3

Open

NC-9

Bishop

MN-2

Craig

IA-2

Open

FL-15

Open

NC-11

Open

NH-1

Pappas

IA-3

Axne

IL-13

Davis

OH-12

Balderson

NH-2

Kuster

IN-5

Open

MI-3

Open

PA-16

Kelly

NJ-3

Kim

MO-2

Wagner

MI-6

Upton

TX-2

Crenshaw

NV-3

Lee

NJ-2

Van Drew

MN-1

Hagedorn

TX-3

Taylor

NV-4

Horsford

NJ-7

Malinowski

MN-7

Peterson

TX-6

Wright

NY-19

Delgado

NM-2

Small

MT-AL

Open

TX-25

Williams

PA-7

Wild

NY-2

Open

NC-8

Hudson

TX-31

Carter

PA-8

Cartwright

NY-22

Brindisi

NE-2

Bacon

WA-3

Beutler

TX-7

Fletcher

NY-24

Katko

NY-1

Zeldin

TX-23

Open

OR-4

DeFazio

NY-11

Rose

TX-32

Allred

PA-10

Perry

OH-1

Cabot

WA-8

Schrier

PA-17

Lamb

OK-5

Horn

WI-3

Kind

SC-1

Cunningham

PA-1

Fitzpatrick

TX-24

Open

SC-2

Wilson

UT-4

McAdams

TX-10

McCaul

VA-2

Luria

TX-21

Roy

VA-5

Open

TX-22

Open

VA-7

Spanberger

FL-26

M-Powell

FL-27

Shalala

Seats flipping Republican

Minnesota-7

(Leans Republican)

(D) Collin Peterson

incumbent

(R) Michelle Fischbach

Oklahoma-5

(Leans Republican)

(D) Kendra Horn

incumbent

(R) Stephanie Bice

New York-11

(Leans Republican)

(D) Max Rose

incumbent

(R) Nicole Malliotakis

Seats flipping Democratic

North Carolina-2

(Safe Democratic – Open)

(D) Deborah Ross (R) Alan Swain

North Carolina-6

(Safe Democratic – Open)

(D) Kathy Manning (R) Lee Haywood

Texas-23

(Likely Dem – Open)

(D) Gina Ortiz-Jones (R) Tony Gonzales

Texas-24

(Leans Dem – Open)

(D) C. Valenzuela (R) Beth Van Duyne

Georgia-7

(Leans Dem – Open)

(D) Carolyn Bordeaux (R) Rich McCormick

Indiana-5

(Leans Dem – Open)

(D) Christina Hale (R) Victoria Spartz

Missouri-2

(Leans Democratic)

(D) Jill Schupp (R) Ann Wagner

incumbent

New Jersey-2

(Leans Democratic)

(D) Amy Kennedy (R) Jeff Van Drew

incumbent

New York-2

(Leans Democratic)

(D) Jackie Gordon (R) Andrew Garbarino

New York-24

(Leans Democratic)

(D) Dana Balter (R) John Katko

incumbent

Pennsylvania-10

(Leans Democratic)

(D) E. DePasquale (R) Scott Perry

Virginia-5

(Leans Democratic)

(D) Cameron Webb (R) Bob Good

Safe DEM

(2)

Likely DEM

(1) Leans DEM

(0) Leans REP

(2) Likely REP

(0) Safe REP

(5) WA - Inslee

DE - Carney NC - Cooper

MT – Open

MO – Parson

NH – Sununu

VT – Scott

WV – Justice

ND – Burgum

UT – Open