ELDAS 2nd progress meeting INM Madrid, 10 & 11 dec 2003.
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Transcript of ELDAS 2nd progress meeting INM Madrid, 10 & 11 dec 2003.
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
INM Madrid, 10 & 11 dec 2003
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Goal of meeting
• Information on progress• Finetuning of 2004 workplan
– Revised wp’s• BALTEX & GLDAS wp’s• Rhine wp• UK flooding wp• Demonstration for crop prediction (not formal ELDAS)
• Exchange of information– New fellows– Travel plans– Contributions to progress report, TIP, URD
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Program 10 dec• 9:00 Coffee and welcome • 9:30 Introduction and agenda BartStatus of forcings• 9:45 Precipitation Paul/Franz• 10:30 Radiation and heating rates Bart• 11:15 Coffee break • 11:30 Database for 2003 Bart• 11.45 MARS storage issues Pedro• 12:30 Remaining Database issues to be resolved all• 13:00 Lunch break Data assimilation progress and overview of past and future
experiments • 14:00 The scm-experiments at ECMWF Pedro/Janneke• 15:00 The CNRM assimilation system Gianpaolo• 16:00 Break • 16:30 Status of the DWD data assimilation Werner/Martin• 17:30 Discussion all• 18:00 Day closure
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Program 11 decFurther progress and workplans • 9:00 NWP experiments Ernesto• 10:00 Offline simulations over Europe: workplan and
goals (GLDAS & BALTEX wp's) Bart• 10:30 Progress in the Baltex WP Phil• 11:00 Break• 11:30 Results and future experiments in the
Rhone-workpackage Jean-Christophe• 12:00 Progress on the pointwise validation Cor• 12:45 lunch break• 13:45 Scm-experiments with the microwave radiation
model and SSM/I evaluation Henning• 14:30 The flooding experiments in the UK Eleanor• 15:00 The Rhine WP Bart• 15:10 Discussion• 16:00 breakClosing session• 16:30 Comments by Advisory board members • 17:15 Summary of conclusions Bart• 17:30 (Administrative) input request Bart• 18:00 Closure
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Toulouse interim meeting
Forcings:– Precip
• daily files: done• 3hrly: in progress
– Radiation: done– Heating rates:
• 1st release: done• Additional info: in progress
– Atm forcings: in progress• MARS storage: not yet
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Toulouse interim meeting• Soil moisture production
– CNRM:• Done by now (?)• No direct use of precipitation & radiation
– DWD:• Started soon (?)• Direct use of precip & radiat planned
– ECMWF• Trial column simulation: in progress• First release: mid 2004
• Slower than expected (!)– Request for contract extension not
approved
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
2004 activities• Most of validation & demonstration work !• EGU special session on land data assimilation
– Nice, 25-30 April• Closing workshop & meeting
– 2.5 days sessions, 1.5 days discussion, 1 day final ELDAS meeting
– ECMWF, 8-12 nov 2004• Forcings (incl landsaf Tskin)• Assimilation methods• Applications (incl seasonal forecasting)• Validation (including N/GLDAS)• Outlook: biomass (GEOLAND) and new landuse maps
(ECOCLIMAP)• CAHMDA workshop Princeton, 1-5 nov
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Radiation and heating rates
• ELDORADO– Database delivered to ECMWF &
Alterra– Paper (Meetschen et al) submitted– KNMI Preprint
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Heating rates workplan
• Gisela’s scm-study MUREX:– METEOSAT info consistent with local Tskin
measurements, but too low sampling frequency
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Heating rates workplan
• Gisela’s scm-study MUREX:– METEOSAT info consistent with local Tskin
measurements, but too low sampling frequency• 2000 database prepared
– Additional info on obs.error stil to be added• Case study with 2003 in progress
– 3 months (May-July)– METEOSAT and MSG– Simple data assimilation in RACMO– If successful & feasible: ECMWF will use 2000
database
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Database for 2003• Originally intended for MSG demonstration• No full data assimilation experiments
foreseen within ELDAS• However: forcings database will enable
future heating rate pilot exps prior to operational implementation: presence in MARS very helpful!
• Anticipated period: 1 May-1 Aug 2003– Precip?– ELDORADO: ok– Heating rates: ok
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Selected subregions and domain
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Heating rates of low vegetation and data
coverage
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Results from RACMO control run
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
New GLDAS/BALTEX workplans
• GLDAS-wp (4300):– Original: Evaluate ELDAS over US basins– New: over 2000 Europe:
• GLDAS: offline VIC-simulation (well-calibrated hydrologically oriented surface scheme)
• ELDAS1: offline TESSEL-simulation• ELDAS2: assimilated run• Optional: use GLDAS precip dataset (currently not
yet available for 2000)– ELDAS1 – GLDAS: 2 surface schemes driven
as in GLDAS (no data assimilation)– ELDAS2 – ELDAS1: added value of data
assimilation
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
New GLDAS/BALTEX workplans
• Baltex wp (5400)– Original: use 18-year dataset to compare
to ELDAS climatology (unfeasible)– New: as in previous wp: use both offline
& full simulations to compare to discharge dataset, assessing• Intermodel differences• Added value of data assimilation• Added value of high resolution precip forcing
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
New GLDAS/BALTEX workplans
• Required:– Offline forcing over Europe (ALMA netCDF
standard)• From MARS-archive• To be compiled by SMHI
– Offline simulation of VIC• To be carried out by SMHI in context of workvisit UW
– Offline simulation of TESSEL• To be carried out by KNMI
– Analyses: as planned• GLDAS-wp: KNMI• BALTEX-wp: SMHI
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
New Rhine workplan
• Originally: demonstrate ELDAS for Rhine flooding
• New: demonstrate ELDAS for discharge & soil water storage annual cycle
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Info on soil hydrological memory from reanalysis
& discharge• P – E = R + dS/dt
– P – E: from ERA40 convergence
– R: from river discharge
– dS/dt: budget closure
Hirschi et al, ETH Zurich, 2003
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Time series of soil water
Will ELDAS observations be closer to large scale estimate?
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
ELDAS 2nd progress meeting
Additional requests• Cost statements & progress reports• Travels
– AGU jan 2004 (Cor Jacobs)– ?
• Technical Implementation Plan– See http://etip.cordis.lu/ (eldas_tip/tipeldas)
• User Requirements Document– See eldas-website
• All publications & presentations