Egypt’s Presidential Elections

2012

Power Structure in Egypt– Ver. 1.1

please let me know your thoughts /comments

This documents is NOT to tell who to vote for,

The purpose of this document is to highlight some facts about the political power structure in Egypt,

The outcome is a map of the main power centers in Egypt including the Hire/Fire command chain,

The 2nd outcome will be two expected maps for the political power. One for each of the potential candidates,

The document provides one main objective for the post elections (transition) period in both scenarios.

Purpose And Outcomes

Who says Shafiq can not be another Mubarak

Who says Shafiq will not declare “Emergency Rule”

Who says “Eli Ne3rafo A7san”

Who says “SCAF is the Egyptian Army”

Who say “The question is civilian vr. religious”

These are all LIES

Do not Trust

And Do not Trust Who says “The question is Thawra versus

Old Regime” Who says “We can not guess what will MB

do when they get the power” Who says “Ana we a7.oya 3ala Ebnm 3ami, we ana we ebn 3ami….”

Who says “Going with MoursiGives us a little bit of hope” Who says “We did not try MB”

These are lies too!!

The Truth is..Both Sides are Equally BAD

Both are fighting to dominate Egypt for a long period..

And both are welling to do WHATEVER It takes ….

DO NOT VOTE for who is LESS BAD!!! Cause both are REAL bad

DO NOT VOTE for who we tried before (Ne3rafo) !!! Cause you have see this nightmare before

DO NOT VOTE for who we did not Try!! Cause we have seen their Lies many times already!

If you want the best for your future,If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflict between the two powers

Balancing The Power

If you want the best for your future,If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflict between the two powers

Political Power Structure

President

SCAF

InformalPowers

(no hire /fire Authority)

Defense Minister

Parliament

Judicial

Constitutional

CourtAdmin.Court Constitutiona

l Panel

(100 Person)

Prime Minister

National Security

Interior affairs

Official Media

Corrupt Busines

s

Corrupt officials

Corrupt Police

MB Militia

UltrasMelyoneyya

t

Private Media

Intelligence

Presidential Control

SCAF

MB

People/Revolution

International /regional Influence is outside the focus of this analysis

Hire or Fire Authority

Fire only

Sabba7y/

A.Fotoh

Hir

e /

Fire

Hire /Fire

Hire /Fire

Fire only

Hire

Complex

The Time LineThe time line is very important cause it ties the power centers (previous pages) to the timing where we expect each center to miss use their powers !

1- Presidential Election

2- Transition (in case of MB winning)

3- Supreme Constitutional court will decide on the current Parliament legitimacy

4- Re-selecting or Re-approving the “100 Person Constitutional Panel”

President

InformalPowers

(no hire /fire Authority)

Parliament

Judicial

Constitutional

CourtAdmin.Court Constitutiona

l Panel

(100 Person)

Prime Minister

National Security

Interior affairs

Official Media

Corrupt Busines

s

Corrupt officials

Corrupt Police

MB Militia

UltrasMelyoneyya

t

Private Media

Intelligence

Presidential Control

SCAF

MB

People/Revolution

Hire or Fire Authority

Fire only

Sabba7y/

A.Fotoh

Hir

e /

Fire

Hire /Fire

Hire /Fire

Fire only

Hire

Complex

Scenario One - SCAF

SCAF

Defense Minister

In this case, Thawra has to support MB and stop SCAF from changing the Parliament

President

InformalPowers

(no hire /fire Authority)

Parliament

Judicial

Constitutional

CourtAdmin.Court Constitutiona

l Panel

(100 Person)

Prime Minister

Interior affairs

Official Media

Corrupt Busines

s

Corrupt officials

Corrupt Police

MB Militia

UltrasMelyoneyya

t

Private Media

Presidential Control

SCAF

MB

People/Revolution

Hire or Fire Authority

Fire only

Sabba7y/

A.Fotoh

Hir

e /

Fire

Hire /Fire

Hire /Fire

Fire only

Hire

v. Complex

Scenario Two - MB

SCAF

Defense Minister

Intelligence

National Security

SCAF and moving to MB

Thawra has to support SCAF to protect the constitution and people’s freedom

Both sides wants to dominate the Egyptian political scene for decades,

Our objective should be balancing the power between the two sides to avoid any power abuse in the future,

In both scenarios, El-Thawra has to play a major role to defend the Loser and control the Winner’s power grab during the transition period

Takeaways

“They that fight for freedom undertake the noblest cause mankind can have at stake”

Freedom for Egypt

The struggle for our Freedom will start with the voting

Nothing Worth Having Comes Easy

Thanks a lot to all of you who provided ideas/feedback and help