T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Tri-County Growth

Management Plan

Eglin AFB BRAC Impact

Preliminary Draft

Executive

Summary

February 2010

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Introduction

• Jeff Fanto – Growth Project Coordinator,

Okaloosa County

• Rich Tenga – Project Manager,

Office of Economic Adjustment

• Tom Atkins, AICP, RLA – Project Manager,

HDR

• Celeste Werner, AICP – Deputy Project Manager,

Matrix Design Group

• Dr. Rod Lewis, PhDHaas Center

• Jim Breitenfeld

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

History

• 2005 - The BRAC Action– Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) Training

– 7th Special Forces Group Airborne–7SFG(A)

• 2006 - Established Eglin Growth Management

Committee

• Tri-County GMP Plan Components / Schedule– May 2008 Contract Executed

– November 2008 – May 2009 Atlas of Existing Conditions

– May – September 2009 Development Suitability Analysis

– September 2009 Alternatives Analysis

– January 2010 Preliminary Draft GMP

– February - May 2010 Final GMP

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Agenda

• GMP Purpose

• GMP Executive Summary Presentation– Demographics/Economy

– Development Suitability Analysis

– Growth Areas

– GMP Elements

• Break

• Open House Break Out Groups by GMP Elements

Provide Written Comments to:

Tom.Atkins@hdrinc.com

904-598-8911

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyDemographics

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Baseline Figures 153,898 158,080 161,883 165,613 169,250 172,814 176,232 179,527

Impact Included 153,898 157,894 161,428 165,250 169,013 172,734 176,330 179,831

Florida DEC 142,566 144,951 148,250 151,795 155,088 158,035 160,765 163,443

US Census 150,053

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

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Santa Rosa County Population Estimates

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyEconomic Impact & job creation

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total Employment -1,285 -2,894 6,683 7,600 8,513 9,366 10,396

Private Non-Farm Employment -394 -1,579 3,718 4,230 4,735 5,243 5,833

Gross Domestic Product (Millions 2008 $)

-137.50 -252.50 543.75 662.50 762.50 857.50 973.75

Personal Income (Millions Current $)

-107.00 -204.00 381.00 482.00 589.00 698.00 832.00

Disposable Personal Income (Millions Current $)

-93.00 -178.00 332.00 421.00 514.00 610.00 728.00

Demand (Millions 2008 $) -236.25 -448.75 793.75 1,000.00 1,175.00 1,335.00 1,521.25

Imports from Rest of World (Millions 2008 $)

-22.50 -45.00 77.50 97.50 113.75 130.00 147.50

Imports from Rest of Nation (Millions 2008 $)

-118.75 -200.00 321.25 413.75 486.25 551.25 626.25

Imports from Multiregions (Millions 2008 $)

-35.00 -42.50 36.25 57.50 72.50 85.00 97.50

Self Supply (Millions 2008 $) -58.75 -161.25 358.75 432.50 501.25 570.00 650.00

Impact of Military Realignments on Various Economic Indicators (Tri-County Region)

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Tri-CountyDevelopment Suitability

• Development Suitability Model

– GIS based model

– A process that defines lands suitable for residential

development

– Provides a platform used to make informed decisions

on where future growth should occur

• Purpose of Model

– Identify general areas of growth

– Base on a methodological approach that justifies

each Growth Area

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Tri-County Development Suitability

3 Step Process to Identify Growth Areas

1. Exclusionary: Remove non-developable areas

2. Evaluative: Identify key factors that can be used to identify suitable development locations

3. Preferred: Refine suitable growth areas to narrow the focus of further evaluation

5 4 3 2 1Excellent Very Good Good Substandard Poor

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Tri-CountyDevelopment Suitability

• 7th SFG(A) & JSF Characteristic Model Profile

– Residential Housing Cost ($225K - $300K)

– Public School Ranking (A to D Rankings)

– Public School Commute Distance (1/4 mile to 3 mile)

– Drive time to and from main gates (15 to 60 minutes)

– Proximity to Employment Center (100 to 300 jobs)

– Infrastructure Availability (Concurrency)

– Proximity to Health Care and Child Care (15 to 45 minutes)

– Proximity to Quality Life (Hunting, Golfing, Recreation)

– Proximity to Public Safety & Storm Hazard Area

– Off Installation Nuisance (Impulse Noise, Aircraft Noise)

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Tri-County Specific Growth Areas

Six Growth Areas

• Santa Rosa County

– Milton

– Navarre

• Okaloosa County

– Crestview

– Ft. Walton Beach

– Niceville/Valparaiso

• Walton County

– Mossy Head

Milton

Navarre

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Tri-CountyLand Use

• Land Use Demand Generated by BRAC– Residential demand will 4,641 households (Tri-County)

• Santa Rosa – 163 households

• Okaloosa - 4,189 households

• Walton - 413 households

– Commercial space demand is 260,000 sq.ft.(Tri-County)• accommodated through existing inventory/new development

– Park / Recreation acreage demand is 30 acres (Tri-County)

• accommodated through existing dedicated acreage/new dedications

• Key Future Catalysts– Improvement of Transportation Arteries (SR 85, Mid-Bay

Bridge)

– Implementation of the Joint Land Use Study

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyLand Use

Short-Term Actions– Develop compatible land use

guidelines for the MIPA IIII designated areas

– Develop a Navarre and Milton marketing package targeting the JSF and 7th SFG(A) and promoting the quality of life of these communities

– Update the Milton Comprehensive Plan Future Land Use Element to include a mix use designation to provide flexibility in marketing economic development opportunities

Long-Term Actions– Track residential growth in order

to guide economic development through monitoring platting, permitting and Certif. of Occup. within the region

– Encourage new growth in Milton and Navarre locations where infrastructure exists or is identified in Capital Improvements Plan

– Promote regional open space connectivity through the continued support of the Northwest Florida Greenway Corridor Program

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyHousing

• Housing Need Projections NO DEFICIENCY

– Milton

• 163 Single Family Homes– 108 – Projected to Purchase (3,065 Tri-County)

– 55 – Projected to Rent (1,576 Tri-County)

• Existing Inventory (December 2009)

– Milton – Single Family Homes

• 481 For-Sale – (Median Resale Price $170K - Oct „09)

• 100 Rental – (Rental Price $900 - $1,000)

– Milton – Platted Subdivision

• 1,700 vacant lots / improved

• 400 vacant lots / unimproved

– Navarre• 0 Single Family Homes

– Navarre – Single Family Homes• 472 For-Sale

(Median Resale Price $229K - Oct „09)

• 93 Rental (Rental Price $900 - $1,150)

– Navarre - Platted Subdivision• 3,400 vacant lots / improved

• 800 vacant lots / unimproved

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyHousing

Short-Term Actions

– Augment the existing

Housing Element in the

Santa Rosa County

Comprehensive Plan

– Consider review of hazard insurance premiums and tax structure to enhance affordability.

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyPublic Safety and Emergency Services

• Law Enforcement DEFICIENCY

– Milton

• 1 new Law Enforcement Officer

• Fire Protection DEFICIENCY

– Milton

• 1 new Fire Fighter

• Emergency Shelters NO DEFICIENCY

– Santa Rosa County Wide

• 0 Emergency Shelter Spaces Needed – 9 Shelters existing – 3 in Milton

– Surplus of 3,674 spaces (16 space demand due to BRAC)

– Navarre• 0 new Law Enforcement Officers

– Navarre• 0 new Fire Fighter

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyPublic Safety and Emergency Services

Short-Term Actions

– Continue to provide educational and informational outreach for new JSF & 7thSFG(A) residents to acclimate to coastal living

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyEducation

• Students - Incoming students (2015 steady state)

– Milton

• 87 new students (Peak 2011)

– 49 – Elementary “2 A schools / 1 C School”

– 17 - Middle High “2 A ranking schools”

– 21 – High School “D Ranking”

• Facilities – Available Student Capacity NO DEFICIENCY

– Milton– Elementary 800 Students

– Middle School 400 Students

– High School 50 Students

• Teachers - needed due to BRAC – DEFICIENCY

– Milton

• 5 new teachers (Peak 2011)

– 3 Elementary

– 1 Middle School

– 1 High School

– Navarre• 0 new students

• Net Loss 28 students

– Navarre– Elementary 800 Students

– Middle School 400 Students

– High School 600 Students

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyEducation

Short-Term Actions– Focus educational

employment opportunities to the 7th SFG(A) and JSF spouses through the Troops to Teachers Program

– Realign the teacher salary pay grade to be competitive with national standards

– Advocate for a waiver with Florida Department of Education to count BRAC student enrollment projections for total student population

Long-Term Actions– Enhance higher education

curriculums to assist military personnel in obtaining the skills required for job opportunities in the medical and health care market

– Revise the high school curriculum to prepare students to improve for the FCAT to improve the overall school rankings

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyTransportation

• Focus on roadway, transit and bicycle / pedestrian

• Identify impacts and deficiencies using

transportation model (roadway only)

• Identify multi-modal projects to address future needs

related to BRAC impacts

• Review other plans, planned improvements, needs

• Identify recommended projects and priorities

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyTransportation

• Focus on roadway, transit and bicycle / pedestrian

• Identify impacts and deficiencies using

transportation model (roadway only)

• Identify multi-modal projects to address future needs

related to BRAC impacts

• Review other plans, planned improvements, needs

• Identify recommended projects and priorities

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyTransportation

• Address priorities and needs

– 3 counties generally (Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, Walton)

– 6 growth areas specifically

• Crestview

• Ft. Walton Beach

• Niceville / Valapraiso

• Milton

• Navarre

• Mossy Head

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa County–MiltonTransportation Deficiencies

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa County–MiltonTransportation Recommendations

Interim/Short Term

• Uniform Concurrency Management.

• Create and implement a “complete streets”

policy.

• Incorporate mobility goals in other planning

efforts.

• Develop potential park and ride lots /

vanpool programs to Eglin AFB Main Base

/ Hurlburt Field.

• Update the US 90 Congestion/Corridor

Management Plan from SR 89 (Dogwood

Drive) to Airport Road.

• Extend SR 87 South corridor north of US

90 around to SR 87 North (Milton Bypass

on northeast side).

• Prioritize and fund PD&E Study to evaluate

potential alternative to 4-laning of US 90

from Airport Road to SR 89.

Longer Term Priorities

• Widen US 90 from SR 87 South to Airport

Road.

• Design and prioritize recommended

projects from Milton bypass PD&E study.

• Implement projects from the US 90

Corridor / Congestion Management Plan.

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa County–MiltonTransportation Recommendations

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa County–NavarreTransportation Deficiencies

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa County–NavarreTransportation Recommendations

Interim/Short Term

• Uniform Concurrency Management.

• Create and implement a “complete streets”

policy.

• Incorporate mobility goals in other planning

efforts.

• Expand transit service to Hurlburt Field and

provide for a connection to ECAT.

• Develop potential park and ride lots / vanpool

programs to Eglin AFB Main Base / Hurlburt

Field.

Longer Term Priorities

US 98 segment is not anticipated to be

significantly impacted by BRAC actions

but it does provide a critical link.

• Implement US 98 Corridor Management

Report.

• Design/Build the US 98/Hurlburt Field

Interchange.

• Construct US 98 local bypass –

connecting and completing roads over ½

mile north of US 98, between Edgewood

and Timber Lane.

• Review traffic signal timings on US 98.

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa County–NavarreTransportation Recommendations

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyPublic Utilities/Infrastructure

• Water/Sewer

– Milton - 108 additional families projected

• Additional 32,400 gpd water demand

– No significant impact – Milton, Holley Navarre

Water System

– Systems have adequate capacity

• Electrical

– Gulf Power – No impact

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyPublic Utilities/Infrastructure

Eglin Issues

- Enhanced Use Leases for utility corridor

- Recommend improved mechanism for

combined utility corridor

- Fair market value requirement is prohibitive

- More applicable to power/telecom

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyPublic Utilities/Infrastructure

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyHealth Care & Social Services

• Availability of Medical care as a result of BRAC will remain similar to current state

• TriCare expands to meet military needs and are reviewed on an annual basis

• BRAC Family Transition Team should monitor child psychology needs / resources

• BFTT should monitor supply / demand for child care facilities

• Civilian Emergency Departments should monitor their utilization levels

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa CountyQuality of Life

• New library in East Milton

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Santa Rosa County

GMP Break Out Groups

• Demographics / Economics & Jobs

• Land Use / Housing / Education / Public Safety

• Transportation

• Public Utilities

• Health & Social Services / Quality of Life

T r i - C o u n t y G r o w t h M a n a g e m e n t P l a n O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

O k a l o o s a - S a n t a R o s a - W a l t o n

Tri-County Growth

Management Plan

Eglin AFB BRAC Impact

Preliminary Draft

Executive

Summary

February 2010