Effects of Trade Barriers

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    Assessment 3 Unit 4 - Economics

    a) Quotas are a physical limit on the amount of imports permitted to enter acountry.A benefit of putting a quota on imports is that it will lead to a fall in

    imports. This will mean that there will be an improvement on the current

    account as the quota will prevent a surge of imports. If there was no quota

    then countries like Bangladesh and China would be able to freely export into

    our countries at low prices which may not be possible for domestic firms to

    operate at. As the quota is introduced it limits the imports and so we will

    import less. This will mean that there will be a smaller deficit or a larger surplus

    on the balance of payments which will mean an improvement in the current

    account.

    A second benefit of putting a quota on imports is that it would lead to an

    increase in domestic production, making textile industries in developed

    countries more able to compete with Chinas cheaper produce. This could

    lead to an increase in employment which could then lead to an increase inconsumption and AD which is further increased by the positive multiplier

    effect. America doesnt have any protection from Chinas textile industry and

    as a result have lost 350,000 jobs between 2001 and 2004. If the quota was in

    place then it would mean that there would be more demand for domestic

    products, as there would be less choice from the restricted amount of

    imported textiles and so the firms would have more revenue and therefore be

    able to pay their staff and keep them at the business.

    b) The first reason which suggests that protectionism against China may be agood idea is that people are arguing that China is keeping its currency at an

    artificially low level and giving state subsidies. This means that Chinas exports

    will look more appealing to foreign importers than that of any Western

    exporters because it is cheaper. This is proving to be a big problem for

    America as they believe that if protectionism isnt introduced that China will

    destroy the American textile industry as China have an unfair competitive

    advantage. So the introduction of quotas would limit the amount of Chinese

    textiles allowed into the country so consumers would resort domestic

    produce, allowing American firms to increase their output due to the lesscompetition.

    However, the danger of protecting the American textiles industry is that in the

    long run these firms will have no incentive to continue innovation or lower

    prices due to the restricted competition. Therefore, once the quota is lifted

    American firms wont be able to survive against the more efficient Chines

    firms as they offer better consumer welfare with lower prices and better

    quality.

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    Assessment 3 Unit 4 - Economics

    Secondly, many jobs are being lost because firms cant compete with

    Chinas extremely low prices. The demand for domestically produced goods

    is falling because consumers want to pay a lower price and so domestic firms

    are taking less revenue and cant afford to employ their staff. It is estimated

    that 350,000 jobs have been lost in Americas textile industry between 2001

    and 2004. They also believe that the remaining 695,000 jobs will be lost if the

    quotas are abolished. Europe employs 2.7million people in its textiles

    industries. This number is likely to fall as Europes imports of Chinese textiles

    and clothing has almost doubled between 2001 and 2003. This could lead to

    a negative multiplier effect causing surrounding businesses to cut back

    worsening the current account as consumers will buy cheaper imports due to

    less purchasing power.However, jobs are being created in China due to their vertically integrated

    supply chain and demand from the USA. This will cause a positive multiplier in

    China enabling the country to become more prosperous and therefore in thelong run demand more Western products from the USA increasing USAs

    exports and stimulating job demand in America improving the current

    account.

    c) One impact of a tariff is that there will be a reduction in imports and there willbe more demand for domestically produced goods. This will mean that there

    is an increase in producer surplus leading to an increase in profits. These

    profits could be invested into lowering costs in the long run. This could lead toeconomies of scale which would mean lower prices and an increase in

    export trade.

    However, there may not actually be a reduction in imports. If the demand for

    the good is inelastic then an increase in price will cause demand to fall by a

    lesser percentage change, this due to the domestic firm supplying poor

    substitutes which results in consumers buying foreign textiles. The EU has a high

    marginal propensity to import therefore; it is unlikely for the tariff to have any

    real significant impact.

    Another impact is a significant gain in tax revenue as many imports will still bedemanded by consumers due their brand loyalty. This then enables the

    government to further subsidise other industries that are struggling against

    foreign competition in a more subtle way so they are less likely to be

    investigated by the WTO. Overall this will improve the current account as firms

    become more competitive to be able to export at lower prices and achieve

    greater output.

    However, the use of tariffs on foreign imports is an overt measure of

    protectionism. This is likely to cause retaliation prompting the foreign country

    to impose tariffs of their own on EU exports, increasing the cost to EU exporters

    which may have to be passed onto the consumer resulting higher prices and

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    Assessment 3 Unit 4 - Economics

    less demand. Therefore, the current account worsens for both countries as

    their exports may significantly decrease.