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ORIGINAL PAPER Effects of Government Support of Nonprofit Institutions on Aggregate Private Philanthropy: Evidence from 40 Countries S. Wojciech Sokolowski Ó International Society for Third-Sector Research and The John’s Hopkins University 2012 Abstract This paper examines the effects of aggregate government payments to nonprofit organizations on aggregate private philanthropy. Four behavioral models of private philanthropic giving are proposed to formulate four hypotheses about those effects: no net effect (null hypothesis), crowding in (positive effect), crowding out (negative effect), and ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ or displacement (negative effect across different subsectors). These hypotheses were tested against the evidence from 40 countries collected as a part of a larger research project aimed to document the scale and finances of the nonprofit sector. The data show that, on the balance, government payments to nonprofit institutions (NPIs) have a positive effect on aggregate philanthropic donations to nonprofits, as stipulated by the crowding in hypothesis, but a field level analysis revealed evidence of ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ or displacement from ‘‘service’’ to ‘‘expressive’’ activities by government payments to ‘‘service’’ NPIs. Due to the limitations of the data, these results indicate empirical plausibility of the hypothesized effects rather than their incidence. The findings demonstrate the complexity of the relationship between government funding and philanthropic donations to nonprofits, which depends on the goals of the actors (donors and recipients) and institutional settings mediating the transaction costs of difference sources of nonprofit support. Re ´sume ´ Cet article examine les effets de l’ensemble des subventions gouvern- ementales en faveur des organisations sans but lucratif sur la philanthropie prive ´e a ` titre global. Quatre mode `les comportementaux de dons philanthropiques prive ´s sont propose ´s afin de formuler quatre hypothe `ses quant a ` ces effets : pas d’effet net (hypothe `se nulle), rassemblement (effet positif), dispersion (effet ne ´gatif) et « e ´vasion philanthropique » ou de ´placement (effet ne ´gatif a ` travers diffe ´rents sous-secteurs). Ces hypothe `ses ont e ´te ´ teste ´es sur des e ´le ´ments issus de 40 pays et S. W. Sokolowski (&) Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA e-mail: [email protected] 123 Voluntas DOI 10.1007/s11266-011-9258-5

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ORI GIN AL PA PER

Effects of Government Support of NonprofitInstitutions on Aggregate Private Philanthropy:Evidence from 40 Countries

S. Wojciech Sokolowski

� International Society for Third-Sector Research and The John’s Hopkins University 2012

Abstract This paper examines the effects of aggregate government payments to

nonprofit organizations on aggregate private philanthropy. Four behavioral models

of private philanthropic giving are proposed to formulate four hypotheses about

those effects: no net effect (null hypothesis), crowding in (positive effect), crowding

out (negative effect), and ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ or displacement (negative effect

across different subsectors). These hypotheses were tested against the evidence from

40 countries collected as a part of a larger research project aimed to document the

scale and finances of the nonprofit sector. The data show that, on the balance,

government payments to nonprofit institutions (NPIs) have a positive effect on

aggregate philanthropic donations to nonprofits, as stipulated by the crowding in

hypothesis, but a field level analysis revealed evidence of ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ or

displacement from ‘‘service’’ to ‘‘expressive’’ activities by government payments to

‘‘service’’ NPIs. Due to the limitations of the data, these results indicate empirical

plausibility of the hypothesized effects rather than their incidence. The findings

demonstrate the complexity of the relationship between government funding and

philanthropic donations to nonprofits, which depends on the goals of the actors

(donors and recipients) and institutional settings mediating the transaction costs of

difference sources of nonprofit support.

Resume Cet article examine les effets de l’ensemble des subventions gouvern-

ementales en faveur des organisations sans but lucratif sur la philanthropie privee a

titre global. Quatre modeles comportementaux de dons philanthropiques prives sont

proposes afin de formuler quatre hypotheses quant a ces effets : pas d’effet net

(hypothese nulle), rassemblement (effet positif), dispersion (effet negatif)

et « evasion philanthropique » ou deplacement (effet negatif a travers differents

sous-secteurs). Ces hypotheses ont ete testees sur des elements issus de 40 pays et

S. W. Sokolowski (&)

Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA

e-mail: [email protected]

123

Voluntas

DOI 10.1007/s11266-011-9258-5

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collectes dans le cadre d’un vaste projet de recherche visant a documenter la portee

et les finances du secteur sans but lucratif. Les donnees indiquent que tout bien

considere, les subventions gouvernementales en faveur des OBL ont un effet positif

sur l’ensemble des dons philanthropiques a ces organisations, tel qu’enonce par

l’hypothese de rassemblement, mais une analyse de terrain a mis en evidence

une « evasion philanthropique » ou un deplacement entre le « service » vers des

activites « expressives » par les subventions gouvernementales pour « assurer les

services » des OBL. En raison des donnees limitees, ces resultats indiquent une

plausibilite empirique des effets hypothetiques plutot que leur incidence. Les con-

clusions soulignent la complexite de la relation entre le financement gouverne-

mental et les dons philanthropiques aux organisations sans but lucratif, laquelle

depend des objectifs des acteurs (donateurs et beneficiaires) et des structures in-

stitutionnelles servant d’intermediaire pour les frais de transaction des differentes

sources de soutien du secteur sans but lucratif.

Zusammenfassung Der vorliegende Beitrag untersucht die Auswirkungen der

Gesamtheit staatlicher Zahlungen an Nonprofit-Organisationen auf die gesamte

private Philanthropie. Es werden vier Verhaltensmodelle zu privaten philanthrop-

ischen Spenden zur Formulierung von vier Hypothesen uber diese Auswirkungen

vorgeschlagen: ausbleibender Nettoeffekt (Null-Hypothese), Crowding-in bzw.

Verstarkungseffekt (positiver Effekt), Crowding-out bzw. Verdrangungseffekt

(negativer Effekt) und ,,philanthropische Flucht‘‘oder Entfernung (negativer Effekt

auf verschiedene Teilsektoren). Diese Hypothesen wurden anhand von Nachweisen

getestet, welche in 40 Landern im Rahmen eines großeren Forschungsprojekts zur

Dokumentation der Tragweite und Finanzen des Nonprofit-Sektors gesammelt

wurden. Laut den erfassten Daten wirken sich staatliche Zahlungen an Nonprofit-

Einrichtungen entsprechend der Crowding-in-Hypothese insgesamt positiv auf die

Gesamtheit philanthropischer Spenden an Nonprofit-Organisationen aus. Eine

Feldebenen-Analyse hingegen erbringt den Nachweis, dass staatliche Zahlungen an

Nonprofit-,,Dienstleistungseinrichtungen‘‘eine ,,philanthropischen Flucht‘‘oder

Entfernung von ,,Dienstleistungsaktivitaten‘‘hin zu ,,Ausdrucksaktivitaten‘‘nach

sich ziehen. Aufgrund der begrenzten Daten weisen die Ergebnisse auf eine em-

pirische Plausibilitat der angenommenen Auswirkungen hin, nicht jedoch auf

ein tatsachliches Eintreten. Die Erkenntnisse stellen die Komplexitat der

Beziehung zwischen staatlicher Finanzierung und philanthropischen Spenden an

Nonprofit-Organisationen dar, die von den Zielen der Akteure (Spender und

Spendenempfanger) und dem organisatorischen Aufbau zur Verhandlung der

Transaktionskosten verschiedener Quellen zur Unterstutzung von Nonprofit-

Organisationen abhangt.

Resumen Este documento examina los efectos de los pagos gubernamentales

acumulados a las organizaciones sin animo de lucro en la filantropıa privada acu-

mulada. Se proponen cuatro modelos del comportamiento de donacion filantropica

privada para formular cuatro hipotesis sobre dichos efectos: ningun efecto neto

(hipotesis nula), atraccion (efecto positivo), exclusion (efecto negativo) y ‘‘vuelo

filantropico’’ o desplazamiento (efecto negativo en diferentes subsectores). Estas

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hipotesis fueron sometidas a prueba frente a las evidencias de 40 paıses recopiladas

como parte de un proyecto de investigacion mas amplio que tenıa como objetivo

documentar la escala y las finanzas del sector de las organizaciones sin animo de

lucro. Los datos muestran que, sobre la balanza, los pagos gubernamentales a las

instituciones sin animo de lucro (NPI, del ingles Non-Profit Institutions) tienen un

efecto positivo sobre las donaciones filantropicas acumuladas, segun lo estipulado

por la hipotesis de atraccion, pero un analisis a nivel de campo revelo pruebas del

‘‘vuelo filantropico’’ o desplazamiento de las actividades de ‘‘servicio’’ a ‘‘expresi-

vas’’ por los pagos gubernamentales a ‘‘servicio’’ de las NPI. Debido a las limitac-

iones de los datos, estos resultados indican la plausibilidad empırica de los efectos de

las hipotesis en lugar de su incidencia. Los hallazgos demuestran la complejidad de la

relacion entre la financiacion gubernamental y las donaciones filantropicas a las

organizaciones sin animo de lucro, que depende de las metas de los actores (donantes

y receptores) y de las configuraciones institucionales que intervienen en los costes de

transaccion de diferentes fuentes de apoyo sin animo de lucro.

Keywords Philanthropy � Charity � Nonprofit funding �Government grants and payments � Crowding out � Crowding in

Introduction

This paper examines the relationship between the magnitude of public (government)

payments to nonprofit institutions (NPIs) and aggregate private donations (philan-

thropy) to these institutions. This relationship is often in the center of debates

concerning government policy toward NPIs. While some writers argue that

government support to NPIs discourages and displaces private participation and

philanthropy (for review see Andreoni 2004; Andreoni and Payne 2003; Simmons

and Emanuelle 2004; Steinberg 1985), others maintain that such support is essential

for the existence of NPIs that provide venues for individual participation and giving

(Borgonovi 2006; Kunemund and Rein 1999; Motel-Klingebiel et al. 2005; Salamon

and Sokolowski 2003). This paper addresses this issue by outlining several

alternative causal models of the relationship in question, and looking for evidence of

these models in macro-economic data on private and public support for NPIs in 40

countries, gathered as a part of a larger research project aimed to measure scope and

financing of NPIs cross-nationally (Salamon et al. 1999; 2004).

NPIs receive different kinds of payments from various sources. Those payments

can be classified by type and by the institutional sector where they originated

(Fig. 1). The three different types of payments include transfers, market sales, and

property income. Transfers (e.g., grants, gifts, or donations) entail payments for

which the payer does not receive anything of equivalent value in return. Market

sales entail payments for the market value of goods or services received by the

payer. Property income entails payments received for the use of property owned by

NPIs (e.g., dividends, interest, or rent). The three institutional sectors where

payments originate include government, households, and corporations, i.e., private

businesses (United Nations 2003, pp. 42–52).

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In national accounting, government reimbursements for services rendered to

individuals (T2) are treated as transfers to households, which are then used to pay

for the received services (e.g., health care services paid by the Medicare). However,

for the purpose of this discussion, these transfers are treated as government

payments to NPIs, because the availability of these funds is a matter of public policy

rather than individual market decisions. In most developed countries, such

reimbursements account for most of government-originated funds received by

NPIs (e.g., about 88% in the US). The remainder of government payments consists

of government grants paid directly to NPIs and government contract payments (T1).

Private philanthropy includes donations of money or other assets given to NPIs

by households (T3) and private businesses (T4). Market purchases represent

payments by households (M1) or private businesses (M2) for goods or services

received from NPIs. Examples include ticket sales, hospital charges, tuition, and

membership dues1 (e.g., in a health or country club, and union or professional

association dues). Finally, the revenue that NPIs receive from their investments, or

rent for the use of their assets represents property income (P1). For the purpose of

Government

Households

Corporations

Nonprofit Sector

T1

T2 T2’

T3

T4

M1

M2 P1

Fig. 1 Model of financial flows to the nonprofit sector. T1 government transfers (grants) to- and contractswith-NPIs. T2 and T20 government reimbursements for services rendered to households (social benefittransfers) (T20 are treated as market sales to households by service producers and reported as such innational accounts (United Nations 2003, Sect. 4.7 and 4.27). T2 and T20 are not equal because some of thegovernment transfers to households T2 pay for services rendered by for-profit providers, such as privatemedical practices). T3 transfers from households (philanthropic gifts and donations). T4 transfers fromcorporations (philanthropic gifts, grants, donations). M1 household purchases of goods and services (incl.membership dues). M2 corporate purchases of goods and services (incl. membership dues). P1 propertyincome (rent, dividends, interest, etc)

1 This treatment of membership dues differs from that in national accounting, where dues paid to NPIs

serving businesses are viewed as market sales, but dues paid to NPIs serving households—as transfers

(philanthropic donations).

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this discussion, market purchases and property income are treated as a ‘‘earned

income’’.

In sum, NPI revenue consists of three broadly defined types of resources:

government payments (T1 ? T20), private philanthropy (T3 ? T4), and earnedincome (M1 ? M2 ? P1), which on average account for 35, 15 and 50% of

nonprofit revenue in the 40 countries on which the data are available (although

significant variations in this distribution exist among countries). The relationship

between these types of nonprofit revenues is investigated in this paper. Specifically,

the effects of government payments on the aggregate private philanthropic

donations made to NPIs in 40 countries will be examined.

Macro-Economic Model of Philanthropic Support to NPIs

The most favorable scope condition for ‘‘crowding out’’ of one source of nonprofit

revenue by another is a single organization. The total amount of revenue a nonprofit

organization needs to generate is for the most part given. Since nonprofits do not

generate profits, their management has no incentive for producing more revenue

than it is needed to cover their organizations’ operating costs. The main concern of

the management is finding sources of income. Therefore, an increase of revenue

from one source will likely lead to decrease in the other sources, as the ‘‘crowding

out’’ argument holds.

This, however, does mean that an increase in government support must

automatically lead to a decrease in private philanthropy, because that increase can

be offset by a decrease in earned income instead, while the level of philanthropic

support remains constant. Reducing earned income rather than philanthropic

donations is more consistent with the charitable mission of a nonprofit organization.

So even under this most favorable for crowding out condition, the determination

which of the revenue sources is likely to be ‘‘crowded out’’ rests on the knowledge

of the motivation and decision making considerations of nonprofit managers in

pursing different revenue generation strategies.

At the macro level, however, crowding out is only one of several possible

outcomes. At the aggregate level revenue of the NPIs is not necessarily given

because of the possibility of new organizations being established, which leads to an

increase in aggregate operating cost and thus an increase of aggregate revenue

needed to cover that cost. Such growth is consistent with the so-called ‘‘Baumol

effect’’ stipulating the growth of cost in labor intensive industries (Baumol and

Bowen 1966), and it has been observed in several OECD countries, where the

nonprofit sector has been growing at faster rates than the rest of the national

economies (author’s analysis of the cross-national data assembled by the Johns

Hopkins Center for Civil Society Studies (CCSS)). A possible outcome of this

growth is an expansion of revenues from all sources, or ‘‘crowding in.’’

At this level two broadly defined groups of factors can possibly affect the level of

aggregate philanthropic donations and grants available to NPIs: general socio-

economic conditions that are favorable or adverse for philanthropic giving, such as

the level of personal income, the social value attributed to charity, or the social need

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for charitable donations, and the transaction cost of strategies to obtain funding from

each of the three sources. Aggregate level of private philanthropy will generally be

higher in countries that have high levels of personal income and whose cultures put

a high value on philanthropic behavior than in countries lacking these attributes.

What is more, the existence of an acute need, such as dire poverty, income disparity,

or natural disasters often spurs altruistic impulses in the population, thus leading to

an increase in the aggregate level of philanthropic donations. Consequently, these

factors must be controlled for in some way when studying the effects of government

payments to NPIs on the aggregate level of private philanthropy.

Transaction cost of obtaining support from each of the three sources is the main

consideration affecting the recourse to any particular source. Generally, speaking,

the lower the transaction cost of any particular source vis a vis other sources (i.e.,

the lower the opportunity cost of that source), the more likely this source will be

preferred, and thus the more likely it will crowd out sources with higher

transaction costs. However, transaction costs are highly dependent on the

institutional environment in which organizations operate, and these different

conditions must be systematically taken into consideration when studying the

effects of changes in the availability of one revenue source on other sources. What

is more, transaction cost considerations can be mediated by non-economic

circumstances, such as organizational values, goals, or missions or legal

requirements. For example, in the US the legal qualification for the public

charity status is receiving a certain share of revenue (typically about 33%) from

‘‘public support’’ which is defined as a broad range of philanthropic sources (IRS

Publication 557, rev. October 2010).

The foregoing discussion suggests that while general socio-economic factors are

exogenous as far as the scope of this inquiry is concerned, earned income, which is

an alternative to private philanthropy source of nonprofit revenue is partially

endogenous, and so is government support. That means that the level of aggregate

earned income is at least in part affected by the aggregate level and transaction cost

of government support available to NPIs, as well as by general socio-economic

factors affecting philanthropic behavior. For example, nonprofit managers may

anticipate the general likelihood of obtaining support from philanthropy and

government and in anticipation adjust the price of their services, because this factor

is under their direct control (especially if the service is priced below its market

value, which gives some room for raising the price before being ‘‘priced out of the

market’’). What is more, government support to NPIs may be affected by general

socio-economic factors, especially social needs. The causal model guiding this

inquiry is shown in Fig. 2.

The foregoing discussion also makes it clear that understanding various

transaction cost considerations as well as possible motivation of both recipients

and donors of philanthropic support is essential for explaining the aggregate

level of private philanthropy, since different combinations of these factors may

lead to different funding strategies, and thus different levels of aggregate

philanthropic support that NPIs receive. The next section examines these factors

in more detail.

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Behavioral Models of Philanthropic Donations to NPIs

The behavior of private philanthropic donors and managers of nonprofit organiza-

tions seeking and receiving philanthropic donations (NPI agents) can be explained

by taking into consideration two dimensions: their overall goal orientation and the

level of constraints or transaction costs that they face in achieving these goals. The

overall goal orientation of supporting NPIs by private donors may range from a

desire to advance worthy causes or values, to gaining social respect or recognition

among peers (Galaskiewicz 1985) or the so-called ‘‘warm glow giving’’ effect

(Andreoni 2004) and kindred intangible rewards, and to maximizing the social

impact (i.e., utility) of the resources at one’s disposal. The goals of NPI agents may

vary from attainment of a specific social mission to most effective procurement of

adequate resources for their organizations (Weisbrod 1998b). Following Max

Weber (1978, pp. 24–26), it is useful to conceptualize the orientation dimension as a

continuum between two polar extremes: the utilitarian orientation concerned

primarily with an effective execution rather than specific content (e.g., a web site

designer concerned with the most effective utilization of the screen space and data

flow regardless of the message that the site promotes) and the value attainment

orientation concerned primarily with achieving a particular substantive outcome

regardless of its cost. Of course, in real life, most human actions have both

orientations, albeit one may be more dominant than the other.

On the supply side, the bulk of constraints or transaction costs that donors (or

potential donors) face include efforts that need to be taken to obtain adequate

information to decide which nonprofit organization is most suitable to achieve the

supporter’s goals. Those efforts may vary depending on the legal and political

environment in which potential recipients operate. On the demand side (NPI

agents), transaction cost typically involves the amount of resources the organization

must spend to obtain adequate level of support or resources to implement its

Fig. 2 Macro-economic model of philanthropic donations to NPIs. CV control variable, TV test variable

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program objectives. In most general terms, these involve efforts to monitor

availability of government grants and steps necessary to secure them, as well as

efforts to find potential donors and persuade them to donate money or assets.

These transactions cost vary considerably depending on the social, political and

legal environment in which the parties operate, as well as on individual

characteristics of these parties. Open and democratic societies with effective

governments and fair and efficient legal systems will have more trustworthy

information on NPIs available to potential donors, more reliable information about

different funding options, and more transparent ways of awarding and distributing

funds than societies that are undemocratic, corrupt or experiencing low levels of

trust in public institutions. The effectiveness of some activities may be more

difficult to judge than that of other (e.g., it is more difficult to measure outcomes of

social assistance than that of health care or education). Different NPIs may have

vastly different capacities of producing and disseminating information about their

operations, and donors may differ in their ability to find and process information

about potential recipients. Consequently, transaction costs for both, grant or

donations recipients (the demand side) and donors (the supply side) may vary quite

significantly, from very low to very high.

Although both, the orientation and the transaction cost, dimensions fall on a

continuum, for heuristic purposes it is useful to group them into two broadly defined

categories, defined by their polar extremes to highlight their meaning, which follows

the ‘‘ideal type’’ approach to social action proposed by Weber (1978, pp. 18–22).

The combinations of these categories can define four ‘‘ideal type’’ models of the

behavior this inquiry seeks to explain, i.e., giving donations to NPIs by private

parties (supply side) and seeking different forms of support for their organizations

by NPI agents (demand side). These four models are outlined in Table 1. Each of

these models stipulates different effects of government payments (transfers or third

party payments) on private support (property donations or volunteering) to nonprofit

organizations.

1. The efficiency maximization model implies that social actors focus mainly on

obtaining the maximum output or utility from the resources they control, and

face little or no transaction costs in that pursuit. This behavioral model

stipulates that donors (the supply side) have sufficient information about all

relevant aspects nonprofit organization operations, and sufficient capacity to

decide which recipient organization will utilize those resources most effectively

and efficiently. The mission of the recipient organization is of secondary

Table 1 Four ideal type

behavioral models of private

donors and NPI agents

Orientation

Utilitarian Value attainment

Transaction cost

Low 1. Efficiency maximization 3. Social solidarity

expression

High 2. Transaction cost avoidance 4. Strategic position

attainment

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importance as long as it stays within the bounds of legitimate altruistic pursuits.

An example of this behavior on the demand side, is NPI leadership’s focus on

the most effective ways to procure resources needed to sustain the organization,

while paying less attention to how this funding may affect the organization’s

mission (Weisbrod 1998a, b).

2. The transaction cost avoidance model implies that social actors pursue the

maximum gain or utility from their resources, however they face significant

transaction costs in that pursuit. This combination of orientation and constraints

results in a behavior that minimizes transaction costs as much as possible

(Horne et al. 2005). On the supply side, this may entail donating money to

‘‘safe’’ NPIs, ones that have a well-established reputation or work for popular

causes (e.g., helping children or providing conventional health care). On the

demand side, this may involve efforts to obtain support from the ‘‘easiest’’

source (e.g., limiting funding strategies to church collections by a religiously

affiliated NPI, to supporter contribution by a community organization, or to

government grant by a politically connected service provider).

This model hypothesizes a condition that is opposite to that specified by the

contract failure theory of nonprofit organization (Hansmann 1987; Ben-Ner and

Van Hoomissen 1993). According to this theory, information asymmetry and

associated transaction costs of overcoming it pose a transaction cost to donating

money to NPIs, since efficiency-minded donors must have reasonable assurance

that their resources are not misappropriated, and monitoring organizational

behavior is often difficult to outsiders. However, the argument goes, the

nonprofit legal status of an organization from profiteering, and this provides

assurance that donations to this organization will not be misappropriated, thus

creating trust between the donor and the recipient.

The transaction cost avoidance model, on the other hand, refers to situations

when the nonprofit status alone is an insufficient basis of trust and does not

provide a adequate guarantees against misuses of donations. Such situations

may be a result of a wide array of factors ranging from concerted attacks on

nonprofits by politicians (e.g., the Russian government’s campaign in the early

2000s against foreign-based nonprofits and their local affiliates) or demagogues

(e.g., in sub-Saharan Africa nonprofits are often accused of various ‘‘conspir-

acies’’ targeting the local population), to being implicated in frauds or scandals,

and to the lack of cultural acceptance or perhaps unfamiliarity with this

organizational form. In such situations, the nonprofit status alone is likely to

provide an insufficient guarantee of trust (Sokolowski 2000), creating the need

for additional guarantees and thus increasing the transaction cost to donors,

which in turn may lead to transaction cost avoidance among some donors.

3. The social solidarity model implies that donors who support values and goals of

an organization and do not face any significant constraints in making their

donations to such an organization are likely to support it financially, while the

efficiency of that organization is of secondary importance. This condition is

likely to exist in areas with high levels of public consensus about a high social

value of the services being delivered by NPIs, such as disease cure or

prevention, assistance to disadvantaged children, or disaster relief. Another

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example is the behavior of cause-motivated individuals (e.g., people with strong

religious convictions) making donations to organizations espousing their

causes. Yet another example is ‘‘sympathy support,’’ or donating money to

organizations that are supported by others with whom the donors strongly

identify (e.g., spouses or relatives, friends, work colleagues, celebrities, or

community leaders). In such situations, the attainment of a particular socially

defined value (promotion of a point of view, or expression of social solidarity)

is the primary motive of making a donation, without paying much attention to

efficiency concerns regarding the use of donated assets.

4. The strategic position maximization model stipulates behavior arising from a

combination of strong value orientation with considerable obstacles (transaction

costs) in the pursuit of goals congruent with that value. This condition is likely

to emerge in social or political activities dealing with contentious matters, such

as issue advocacy, defense of civil rights, or expression of cultural, economic,

or political interests, rather than in service delivery. An example of this is the

situation faced by social movement activists pursuing a cause that is strongly

opposed by a competing social movement, or perhaps by a considerable

segment of the general public, which poses a serious constraint on achieving the

movement’s goals. Therefore, the movement’s activists try to maximize their

chances to prevail over these constraints by building capacity, mobilizing

potential supporters, or persuading others to their cause, the behavior known as

‘‘frame bridging’’ (Snow et al. 1986) in social movement literature. They often

do so by supporting organizations viewed as instrumental in expanding the

movement’s appeal, either because those organizations are connected to

potential supporters, or because they may bestow legitimacy on the movement

itself, thus increasing its popular appeal. Another example is strategic

marketing of products or services by businesses making donations to

organizations connected to a social group that includes likely consumers

(e.g., gay or lesbian communities, fundamentalist Christians, or ethnic

minorities).

The four behavioral models outlined above are not mutually exclusive. The same

person or organization may engage in different types of behavior under different

circumstances. These models, taken together, represent a heuristic device that

specifies and categorizes a range of possible behaviors of private donors and

nonprofit agents. As such, this device is useful for delineating a range of possible

effects of government payments to nonprofits on private donations to these

organizations, which is the focal point of this paper. More specifically, these

behavioral models allow formulating two different predictions about the nature of

these effects, as outlined below.

The efficiency maximization model implies a negative effect of government

payments to NPIs on private donations, an effect known in economic literature as

‘‘crowding out’’ (Andreoni 2004; Andreoni and Payne 2003; Simmons and

Emanuelle 2004; Steinberg 1985). The chief reason for such a prediction is the

assumption of diminishing marginal utility assumption that underlines this line of

thinking. According to this assumption, the utility of each unit of a product or

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service decreases as the supply of that product or service increases. It follows that

the ‘‘marginal utility’’ of a philanthropic donation decreases as alternative funding

(government payments) becomes more available, so a donor whose main concern is

to maximize the ‘‘efficiency’’ of her donation would avoid giving to NPIs that

receive substantial government support.

A slightly different argument along these lines is represented by the ‘‘government

failure’’ theory of the nonprofit sector (Weisbrod 1977, 1980; Hansmann 1987),

which claims that general public consent is a necessary condition of public financing

of public goods. In the absence of that consent, public financing of and thus supply

of these goods falters, thus creating unmet demand for public goods. This unmet

demand, the argument goes, offers an opportunity for private nonprofits to fill in this

void in demand, which in turn encourages growth of privately funded charities.

While the diminishing marginal utility argument can be conceptualized as a ‘‘push’’

factor that forces private philanthropy out of the nonprofit activity receiving too

much government support, the ‘‘government failure’’ theory specifies a ‘‘pull’’

factor that attracts private philanthropy to activities that do not receive adequate

government funding.

There are two logical consequences of this model. First, large levels of aggregate

government payments may lead to an overall reduction of aggregate philanthropic

giving (subsequently called ‘‘crowding out.’’) Second, large level government

payments may lead to donors shifting their donations to those areas of nonprofit

activity that receive less government support, but the aggregate level of

philanthropic giving remains more or less constant (subsequently called ‘‘philan-

thropic flight’’ or displacement). Since government payments to nonprofit areas are

typically concentrated in the areas of substantial public policy interests, such as

education, health or social assistance, the displacement of private donations is likely

to occur to those nonprofit activities that receive little financial support from

government (e.g., arts and entertainment, human rights, environmental issues,

religion, etc).

The transaction cost avoidance model, on the other hand, predicts a positive

effect of government payments on private donations, an effect known in economic

literature as ‘‘path dependence’’ (Arthur 1994). According to this argument, if

transaction costs pose a substantial constraint in achieving an economic goal,

avoidance of that cost becomes an important consideration in economic decision

making and will lead to behavior taking advantage of the already existing solutions

(or infrastructure) to minimize transaction costs. An example of this type of

behavior is ‘‘crowding in’’ of industries to certain geographical areas where

newcomers can take advantage of the already existing infrastructure developed by

their predecessors and government (Krugman 1991).

Following this logic, we can expect that high transaction costs in philanthropic

transactions, for example, the difficulty that an efficiency-minded donor may

encounter in obtaining adequate information about prospective recipient organiza-

tions will lead her to follow the ‘‘well-established path’’ and give only to those

organizations that already receive funding from trusted sources. Since government

typically is a trusted source, as it routinely vets organizations before awarding them

any funding, such a donor may view organizations receiving public funds as

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trustworthy, and select them as recipients of her charity. A logical consequence is

that government funding may act as a ‘‘pull’’ factor for private charity, resulting in a

crowding-in effect. Another possibility is that donors may simply do not know

whether a potential recipient organization receives any government funding (Horne

et al. 2005), and crowding in is a coincidental outcome resulting from the fact that

large, well-established and reputable organizations that attract private donors are

also more likely to receive substantial government funding.

Likewise, the social solidarity expression model predicts a positive relationship

between government funding of NPIs and private donations, especially in

democratic societies. The fundamental assumption here is similar to that underlying

the ‘‘government failure’’ theory discussed earlier, namely that public policy and

public funding in a democracy is contingent on the consensus of the governed. It

follows that there is a considerable congruence in public perceptions of what causes

are worthy of general public support, which includes both government funding and

philanthropic donations. An example of such behavior may be donors’ response to

government ‘‘matching grant’’ programs aimed to enhance public support of a

charitable cause (e.g., the National Public Radio or cancer research). Knowing that

their donations will result in increased public funding to a worthy cause, such

donors may decide to throw in their charitable donations. Another example is

response to natural disasters, which typically result in increases of both public and

private support to nonprofit organizations providing disaster relief.

This ‘‘jumping the bandwagon’’ (Kunemund and Rein 1999) scenario is likely to

result in a positive effect of government payments to NPIs on aggregate private

philanthropy. The net result is an overall increase of aggregate philanthropic giving,

although there is also a theoretical possibility of shifting of that philanthropic giving

from one activity area to another with little change in the total aggregate volume of

philanthropy. However, the empirical manifestation of this theoretical possibility is

virtually indistinguishable from the effect of ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ described

earlier, and the only way of distinguishing them is to know the exact motivation of

human actors that caused that shift. However, in the opinion of this writer the shift

of philanthropic giving from one subsector to another due to ‘‘jumping the

bandwagon’’ effect is not a very likely scenario, except under very special short

term circumstances, such as natural disasters, in which case its effect on aggregate

philanthropy is only temporary. By contrast, ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ due to crowding

out by government support in one subsector is more likely to be a long term effect.

Consequently, only the ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ possibility, that is displacement due

to crowding out by government funding, is being considered here.

Finally, the strategic position maximization model predicts behaviors that result in

both, positive and negative, effects of government payments to NPIs on private

charity. These effects are likely to cancel each other out, leading to ‘‘no effect’’

prediction at the aggregate level (Horne et al. 2005; Borgonovi 2006). This type of

condition is more likely to exist in activities dealing with contentious social or

political issues rather than in more service-oriented fields. For example, adherents of

social movements on both sides of the abortion issue in the US are likely to engage in

philanthropic giving that is both congruent and incongruent with public support of

NPIs. Supporters of the pro-choice position are likely to donate to health clinic that

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provide family planning services. Since such clinics, as health care providers, are

also likely to receive some government payments (e.g., under the Medicaid

program), this philanthropic giving behavior will produce a crowding in effect. On

the other hand, advocates of the ‘‘pro-life’’ position will most likely direct their

philanthropic giving to organizations that oppose abortion, such as churches and their

advocacy arms. Since such organizations typically receive little or no government

payments, this philanthropic behavior will produce a crowding-out effect. On the

aggregate level, however, these two effects are likely to cancel each other out.

This situation is mirrored on the demand side, as agents of nonprofit

organizations will likely pursue a mix of funding sources that maximizes their

own capacity, legitimacy, or political clout. They may use public support for

organizational capacity building, which in turn may enable to them to recruit

volunteers or raise funding from private donors. Alternatively, they may build their

private support base to boost their legitimacy and thus chances to receive public

support. This behavior results in a positive correlation between public and private

support. On the other hand, nonprofit managers may opt for private support and

avoid public support (or vice versa) to maintain their legitimacy with their

constituents, as it was for example the case of some AIDS/HIV advocacy

organizations (Lune and Oberstein 2001). This may result in a negative correlation

between these two forms of support. Again, on the aggregate level these two effects

cancel each other out.

In sum, the four behavioral models outlined above lead to the formulation of four

hypotheses of possible effects of aggregate government payments to nonprofits and

aggregate private charity:

H0 No effect. The aggregate level of government payments to NPIs has no net

effect on aggregate level private philanthropic donations (i.e., crowding out and

crowding in behaviors cancelling each other out).

H1 Crowding in effect: The higher the level of government payments to NPIs, the

higher the aggregate level of private philanthropic donations.

H2 Crowding out effect: The higher the level of government payments to NPIs,

the lower the aggregate level of private philanthropic donations.

H3 ‘‘Philanthropic flight’’ effect: The higher the level of government payments to

NPIs in one subsection of the nonprofit sector, the higher the aggregate level of

private philanthropy in other subsections (this represents a variant of the crowding

out argument stipulating crowding out of philanthropy from more heavily

government funded NPIs to the less government-funded ones).

These hypotheses are tested in the empirical part of this paper.

Data and Measurement

The data to test these two hypotheses were collected by the Johns Hopkins CCSS as

a part of a larger project mapping the size and financing of NPIs at the aggregate

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national level in 43 different countries to date. The data set used in this analysis

contains observations on 40 countries on which suitable information was available.

Data for individual countries are for a single year, ranging from 1995 and 2007.

Using cross-sectional rather than longitudinal data for testing the effects of

changes in financial flows has obvious limitations. Nonetheless, different countries

in this dataset represent different stages of nonprofit development. For example, the

US represents ‘‘mature’’ and robust nonprofit sector with little longitudinal changes

in aggregate financing of its operations. On the other end of the spectrum are

Eastern European countries with newly emergent nonprofit sectors pursuing diverse

financing strategies (Sokolowski 2010). In the middle, there are Scandinavian

countries and to a somewhat lesser extent Western European countries in which the

roles and thus financing mechanisms underwent modifications during the past two

decades. Therefore, the individual country data can be viewed as proxies for

different stages in nonprofit sector development, and thus some approximation of

the longitudinal data.

Another limitation is that the countries covered by the CCSS data do not

constitute a probability sample in a statistical sense, but rather a sub-population of

countries. Therefore, sample statistics (such as the probability of sampling error)

typically used in statistical hypothesis testing are meaningless in this case (but

nonetheless reported). The only meaningful indicator of a ‘‘significance’’ of a

particular test variable is how much variance on the dependent variable it can

explain.

Due to these data limitations the empirical results presented in this section should

be interpreted as indicators of empirical plausibility of the hypotheses developed in

the previous section rather than a statistically rigorous falsification of mutually

exclusive explanations or indicators of the incidence of the hypothesized effects.

What is more, these results pertain only to aggregate levels of government funding

and philanthropic donations, and any attempt to apply these results to individual

organizations is the fallacy of composition.

The dependent variable, aggregate philanthropic donations, is measured by

the total value of private financial contributions to NPIs expressed as a share of the

country’s GDP (both in local currencies and current prices in the year for which the

data were collected). The advantages of this method of measuring aggregate

philanthropy are: (i) the control for the size of national economies, which obviously

impacts the total volume of all financial flows; (ii) cross national comparability

without the need of using problematic currency conversions; and (iii) relative

longitudinal stability, as there is little short term variations in the rates, which

eliminates the need for inflation adjustments due to different years of reporting.

The test variable, government payments to NPIs, is measured in a similar fashion.

For more information about the data and data collection methodology, see Salamon

et al. (2004).

In accordance with the macro-economic model of philanthropic donations

outlined in ‘‘Macro-Economic Model of Philanthropic Support to NPIs’’, there are

two set of control factors that must also be considered when studying the effects of

government payments on aggregate philanthropy. There first set is general socio-

economic factors that are likely to affect the overall aggregate supply of

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philanthropic funds (CV1). The main, although not the only such factors include the

overall level of national wealth, the set of social values that are conducive or

unfavorable to charitable behavior, as well as evident need for philanthropic

assistance.

These three control factors are represented by several proxies. The proxy for

national wealth is per capita GDP converted to the US dollars. The proxy for

‘‘altruistic social values’’ is the amount of aggregate volunteering, measured as

volunteer time converted to full-time equivalent jobs and expressed as a share of the

total economically active population to control for cross-national differences in the

population size. The need for philanthropic assistance is represented by two proxies.

The first proxy is income inequality (measured by the Gini index) on the assumption

that the greater income inequality, the greater the need for philanthropic assistance.

It is so, because ceteris paribus higher poverty levels in countries with more

unequal distribution of wealth results in more people not being able to afford

services typically provided by nonprofits, such as education, health or social

assistance. Likewise, greater concentration of wealth results in greater availability

of disposable wealth that can be given to charity. What is more, the wealthy in such

societies may face greater social pressure to give money to charity to maintain their

social status and privileged position (Galaskiewicz 1985).

The second proxy is the aggregate amount of government social welfare

spending, expressed as a share of the GDP, on the assumption that the greater the

level of welfare spending the lower the need for private philanthropic assistance.

The effects of all these proxies for CV1 on aggregate philanthropy were tested

separately before introducing them to the model with the test variable. However,

their effect proved to be negligible, as demonstrated by the amount of variance they

explained. Per capita GDP and Gini account for only about 9% of the variance, and

adding volunteer input and social welfare spending not only does not explain any

additional variance, buy actually reduces the adjusted R square of the model (since

this statistic is a function of the number of variables in the equation). Consequently,

the latter two control variables were dropped for the sake of parsimony, and only per

capita GDP and Gini were used as indicators of general factors (CV1).

The second set of controls stipulated by the macro-economic model in ‘‘Macro-

Economic Model of Philanthropic Support to NPIs’’ is the aggregate level of earned

income (CV2). Since changes in the level of government payments to NPIs will

likely result in corresponding changes in the aggregate level of philanthropy or the

aggregate level of earned income (or both), the latter must be controlled for before

any effect on the former can be claimed.

Table 2 shows the descriptive statistics of all variables used in the empirical part

of this investigation.

Empirical Results

The hypotheses were tested by OLS regression modeling in which the dependent

measures were regressed first on the two sets of control measures (controlling for

general propensity toward philanthropic behavior and for the level of earned

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income), and then on the control measures and the test variable (government

payments). This is known as the ‘‘nested model’’ approach, which allows a

systematic examination of the variance explained by each of these sets of variables.

This approach is appropriate for causal model outlined in Fig. 2 (Pedhazur 1982,

pp. 177–180). As already mentioned, the data set at hand does not represent a

probability sample in any true sense, but rather a sub-population of countries.

Therefore, the statistical significance statistic is not very meaningful in this context

(although it is reported in the empirical results). A more meaningful indicator of

‘‘significance’’ of the test variable is the sign of the standardized regression

coefficient and its value, and the amount of variance (adjusted R square) explained

by each of the subsequently introduced to the model sets of variables. The purpose

of this analysis is not to test the strength of the effects of control (CV1 and CV2)

and test (TV) variables on aggregate philanthropy, but only to determine the

existence and direction of causal relations.

The ‘‘null hypothesis’’ claiming no net effect (H0) is confirmed if the test

variable (government payments) does not improve the variance of the model with

the control variables only. The ‘‘crowding in’’ hypothesis (H1) is confirmed, if the

test variable improves the variance of the model with the control variables only, and

the sign of its regression coefficient is positive. The ‘‘crowding out’’ hypothesis

(H2) is confirmed if adding the test variable to the model with controls only

improves the variance explained in the model, and the sign of its regression

coefficient is negative. Finally, the ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ hypothesis (H3) is

confirmed if adding the test variable representing government payment in one

subsector improves the variance explained by the model with controls only for

another subsector.

Table 2 List and descriptive statistics of variables

Variable Mean Std. deviation

Philanthropic donations to all NPIs as % of GDP 0.0056 0.0048

Philanthropic donations to ‘‘service: NPIs as % of GDP 0.0019 0.0020

Philanthropic donations to ‘‘expressive’’ NPIs as % of GDP 0.0037 0.0031

Gov’t payments to all NPIs as % of GDP 0.0205 0.0233

Gov’t payments to ‘‘service’’ NPIs as % of GDP 0.0169 0.0218

Gov’t payments to ‘‘expressive’’ NPIs as % of GDP 0.0036 0.0029

Earned income of all NPIs as % of GDP 0.0228 0.0175

Earned income of ‘‘service’’ NPIs as % of GDP 0.0107 0.0103

Earned income of ‘‘expressive’’ NPIs as % of GDP 0.0121 0.0099

Per capita GDP (ppp US$) 24151.7 14099.6

Government social welfare spending as % of GDPa 0.172 0.093

Gini coefficient 36.7 9.4

FTE volunteers as % of economically active populationa 0.0071 0.0085

Number of observations 40

a Not included in subsequent models due to low explained variance

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Table 3 shows the results of the test of the ‘‘crowding in’’ hypothesis.

Model 1, which consists of control variables representing general propensity for

philanthropic behavior explains about 9% of cross-national variance in the

aggregate level of private donations to NPIs, as it has been already discussed in

‘‘Data and Measurement’’. As expected, the effects of both controls are positive,

indicating that higher levels of personal income and greater social inequality tend to

increase the aggregate level of philanthropy. Adding the second control, the level of

earned income (Model 2) boosts the explained variance to 15%.

Adding the test variable, government payments to all NPIs (Model 3) to the

regression equation increases explained variance to over 31%, a considerable

improvement over the model with controls only. The sign of regression coefficient

is positive. This is consistent with H1 (crowding in) and inconsistent with H2

(crowding out). However, given the highly aggregated nature of the data at hand, it

is possible that changes in the levels of dependent and test variables occurred within

different subsectors, and thus are not necessarily related.

To address this concern, the second analysis was run at the field of activity level.

The data were divided into fields that tend to attract high levels of government

support (education, health and social assistance) and all other fields (arts and

recreation, environment, housing and community development, civic activities,

religion, labor unions and professional associations) that typically receive much

lower, if any, government support. Following Salamon et al. (2004), the first group

was labeled ‘‘service activities’’ and the second group—‘‘expressive activities.’’

There were two separate analyses for each of these types of activities that mirror the

analysis conducted for the nonprofit sector as a whole. Table 4 shows the results for

‘‘service activities,’’ while Table 5 shows results for ‘‘expressive activities.’’

The results obtained for the ‘‘service activities’’ (Table 4) pretty much mirror

those obtained for the nonprofit sector as a whole. The improvement of explained

variance by adding government payments (TV) is even better than in the sector as a

whole, over 37% versus 11% explained by the model with controls alone. This is

again consistent with the crowding in hypothesis (H1). For the ‘‘expressive

activities,’’ however, the results are very different. The model with controls only

(Model 2) explains over 22% of the variance, and the inclusion of the test variable

Table 3 Effect of government payments on aggregate private donations to all NPIs

Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

Beta Signif. Beta Signif. Beta Signif.

Per capita GDP (ppp US$) 0.43 0.03 0.23 0.27 -0.01 0.96

Gini coefficient 0.37 0.06 0.28 0.15 0.27 0.12

Earned income of all NPIs as % of GDP 0.33 0.06 0.19 0.24

Gov’t payments to all NPIs as % of GDP 0.52 0.00

Adjusted R2 0.086 0.151 0.315

N 40 40 40

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(Model 3) results is a lower adjusted R square (which is a function of the number of

variables in the equation). This is consistent with the ‘‘no effect’’ hypothesis (H0).

Finally, the ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ hypothesis (H3), which is a variant of the

crowding out argument, was tested by examining the effect of government funding

in ‘‘service’’ fields on aggregate philanthropy in the ‘‘expressive’’ fields (Table 6).

Adding the test variable to the model with controls only increases the share of

explained variance from 22 to 37%, a non-trivial improvement. This is a sharp

contrast to the results presented in Table 5, in which government funding in

‘‘expressive’’ fields and no observable effect on the level of aggregate philanthropy

in these fields. These results are consistent with the ‘‘philanthropic flight’’

hypothesis (H3).

Discussion

These regression results, limited as they are, show a clear support for the crowding

in effect of government payments to NPIs on private donations. This effect was

Table 4 Effect of government payments on aggregate private donations to NPIs in ‘‘service’’ activities

Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

Beta Signif. Beta Signif. Beta Signif.

Per capita GDP (ppp US$) 0.27 0.18 0.18 0.39 -0.11 0.56

Gini coefficient 0.34 0.09 0.28 0.17 0.28 0.12

Earned income of ‘‘service’’

NPIs as % of GDP

0.19 0.28 -0.02 0.90

Gov’t payments to ‘‘service’’

NPIs as % of GDP

0.65 0.00

Adjusted R2 0.079 0.109 0.373

N 40 40 40

Table 5 Effect of government payments on aggregate private donations to NPIs in ‘‘expressive’’

activities

Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

Beta Signif. Beta Signif. Beta Signif.

Per capita GDP (ppp US$) 0.49 0.01 0.26 0.19 0.21 0.32

Gini coefficient 0.35 0.06 0.28 0.12 0.29 0.11

Earned income of ‘‘expressive’’

NPIs as % of GDP

0.40 0.02 0.37 0.03

Gov’t payments to ‘‘expressive’’

NPIs as % of GDP

0.14 0.41

Adjusted R2 0.117 0.224 0.217

N 40 40 40

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hypothesized from two different behavioral models, the transaction cost avoidance

model, stressing the effects of considerable transaction cost on decisions made by

efficiency conscious donors, and the social solidarity expression model, emphasiz-

ing the role of shared values in making philanthropic decisions. Of course, it is

impossible to deduce from these results which of these two behavioral models is

responsible for the observed results, it could be either or both. However, the scope

condition of the transaction cost avoidance model implies the existence of high

transaction costs of ‘efficient’ philanthropic giving, which is unlikely to hold in

most countries under investigation (e.g., the European Union member countries,

Australia, Canada, Israel, New Zealand, United States or Switzerland) where the

information on public charities can be obtained with relative ease. Therefore, it is

more likely that the social solidarity expression model may be at work here.

The ‘‘philanthropic flight’’ effect, or crowding out philanthropic donations from

fields where they have lower ‘‘marginal utility’’ due to government funding to those

where their ‘‘marginal utility’’ seems higher also received support from the data.

This hypothesis was derived from the efficiency maximization model. Government

funding in ‘‘service activities’’ has a substantial positive effect on private

philanthropy in ‘‘expressive activities’’ even though government payments in

‘‘expressive’’ activities have no effect on philanthropy. This suggests the ‘‘push’’

effect hypothesized from the diminishing marginal utility assumption underlying the

efficiency maximizing model. This is not necessarily detrimental to philanthropic

mission, in the opinion of this writer. It represents a situation of the basic human

needs, such as health care, education, or human services, being served by public

financing, and private philanthropy engaging in the pursuit of missions that further

enhance the quality of social life, such as arts and culture or various forms of civic

engagement.

On the other hand, the crowding out scenario underlying the efficiency

maximization model, and also implied by the ‘‘government failure’’ theory seem

unsupported by these data. Under this scenario one would expect a negative

correlation between government payments and aggregate philanthropy at either the

total nonprofit sector level, or at least in some of its subsets. Yet the data show a

positive effect at both the whole sector level and in the ‘‘service’’ fields, and no

Table 6 Effect of government payments to NPIs in ‘‘service’’ fields on aggregate private donations to

NPIs in ‘‘expressive’’ fields

Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

Beta Signif. Beta Signif. Beta Signif.

Per capita GDP (ppp US$) 0.49 0.01 0.26 0.19 0.06 0.77

Gini coefficient 0.35 0.06 0.28 0.12 0.25 0.14

Earned income of ‘‘expressive’’ NPIs

as % of GDP

0.40 0.02 0.35 0.03

Gov’t payments to ‘‘service’’ NPIs as % of GDP 0.39 0.02

Adjusted R2 0.117 0.224 0.373

N 40 40 40

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effect in the ‘‘expressive’’ fields. Of course, this does not mean that crowding out

does not occur on the organizational level, but there is no evidence of it in the

aggregate data.

The problem of applying the crowding out model to the macro-level of analysis

seems to be related to its underlying assumption of a fundamentally competitive

nature of government-nonprofit relation spelled in the ‘‘government failure’’ theory.

This theory is a practical application of the Hotelling’s (1929) principle of minimum

differentiation and Black’s (1948) median voter theorem stipulating that in a two-

party competition, the party whose program deviates from the ‘‘median vote’’

preference is likely to lose the election. Consequently, social programs that do not

have ‘‘median voter’’ support are unlikely to receive public funding, and thus must

be funded by philanthropy. However, the applicability of this theory is limited

mainly to a US-style two-party democracy where public funding of specific social

programs is highly contingent on partisan politics, and thus more likely to be

subjected to ‘‘median voter’’ preferences.

Yet most countries under investigation while nominally democracies, have

political systems that either give governments relatively broad freedoms from

popular demands (e.g., Japan, Kenya, Korea, Peru, the Philippines, Pakistan,

Tanzania and Uganda), or constitute what Lijphart (1999) calls the ‘‘consensus

democracies,’’ characterized by multi-party systems representing a wide range of

interests (e.g., Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, the Netherlands,

Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland). In the first group, popular preferences had

relatively little effect on government funding priorities, which often are geared more

toward macro-economic development than meeting public consumption demands.

In the second group, the political model of governance developed a high level of

receptiveness to demands of diverse interest groups, which effectively eliminated

the ‘‘median voter’’ problem and resulted in public financing of collective goods

serving relatively narrow interest groups.

Consequently, a likely explanation of the lack of the observable ‘‘crowding out’’

effect in the aggregate country data lies in the fact that most of these countries do

not meet the scope condition necessary for this effect to occur, i.e., the ‘‘failure’’ of

government funding of services in the absence of majority support. Consequently,

‘‘crowding out’’ effect, while theoretically possible, is nonetheless unlikely to occur

on a scale discernible in aggregate national data due to institutional conditions

preventing it. It may, however, occur where institutional conditions warrant it (e.g.,

in the US).

This suggests that the level of government or private support to NPIs is mediated

by the political process (Gronbjerg 1987; Salamon 1987; Salamon and Anheier

1998; Sokolowski 2010). In ‘‘majoritarian’’ democracies (such as the US and other

English-speaking countries), the inverse relationship between aggregate government

spending on certain public goods and private charity may be more pronounced than

in ‘‘consensus democracies’’ (such as most of the European Union member states).

‘‘Consensus democracies’’ create more favorable conditions for political collabo-

ration among diverse interest groups, which leads to a greater differentiation of

collective goods receiving public funding, and a greater role of NPIs in the delivery

of those goods (Lijphart 1999).

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These results suggest that government payments to NPIs do impact private

philanthropy, but that impact is not as unidirectional as some of the literature seems

to suggest. The government payments can have either positive or negative impact on

philanthropy or no effect at all, depending on the field of activity and socio-political

circumstances. This, in turn, suggests the necessity to consider different behavioral

models of philanthropic actors (donors and recipients), as stipulated by the heuristic

device proposed in this paper, to fully explain the impact of government funding on

private philanthropy and the nonprofit sector finances.

Conclusions

This paper proposed a theoretical framework for studying the relationship between

government payments to NPIs and private philanthropic giving. This framework,

grounded in Max Weber’s approach to social behavior, consists of four ‘‘ideal type’’

behavioral models, defined by intersecting two dimensions of purposive human

action: goal orientation (utilitarian vs. value attainment) and transaction cost level

(low vs. high) in achieving these goals.

These four models generated four hypotheses about the relationship between

government payments to NPIs and aggregate philanthropic support: no net effect,

crowding in, crowding out, and ‘‘philanthropic flight’’, which is a special case of the

crowding out argument. These hypotheses were tested against the evidence from 40

countries showing the aggregate levels of government payments and aggregate

private philanthropic donations to NPIs operating in ‘‘service’’ and ‘‘expressive’’

activity areas. The data show, on the balance, that government payments to NPIs

have a positive effect on aggregate philanthropic giving, as predicted by the

crowding in hypothesis. However, a field level analysis revealed evidence of

‘‘philanthropic flight,’’ or displacement, of private philanthropy from ‘‘service’’ to

‘‘expressive’’ activities by government payments to ‘‘service’’ NPIs. The crowding

out effect was not observed in the aggregate country data, most likely due to the fact

that most countries covered by this analysis have institutional features minimizing

the likelihood of this effect, and thus lie outside the scope condition of theories

stipulating this effect.

These results suggest the possibility of divergent effects of government payments

to NPIs on aggregate private philanthropy. The government payments can either

encourage private philanthropy in some activity fields or push it away to other fields

receiving less government support, or have little, if any, effect. This, in turn,

suggests the need to consider different behavioral models of philanthropic behavior,

as well as institutional settings in which this behavior takes place.

These findings imply that private giving is a complex phenomenon, shaped by a

multitude of factors, of which alternative forms of support received by NPIs is only

one. Other important factors include cultural norms, traditions and values, and

institutional settings in which philanthropic donors and NPIs operate, including

different models of democratic governance. The data at hand allow studying only

aggregate outcomes of philanthropic donors’ actions, and a micro-social or

individual level of analysis is needed to study the actual motives or behavioral

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models underlying these outcomes. Therefore, these results should not be

interpreted as a ‘‘test’’ of any theory underlying this analysis, but rather as

evidence that all these theories and their underlying behavioral models deserve

equal consideration in further empirical studies of philanthropic behavior. On the

other hand, these aggregate results do dispel one myth, circulated by many

neoliberal social commentators, that government social spending is detrimental to

private philanthropy. The evidence from 40 countries covered by this study suggests

that it is not, and the opposite seems to be true.

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