Effective Demand and Employment Determination

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    Aggregate Demand and Supply:

    Determination and Equilibrium

    of Employment

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    It plays important role in the determination of

    employment.

    Aggregate Demand at any level of

    employment is the amount of total money or

    price which all the entrepreneurs expect toreceive from the sale of output produced by a

    given number of workers employed.

    Aggregate Demand

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    Aggregate Demand

    Based on factors:

    AD = ( f) C+I+G+(N-X)

    However, in reference to Employment ADbased on :

    AD = ( f) C+I

    Consumption Demand Investment Demand

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    1. Consumption Demand :

    C = f (Yd)

    Disposable income (Yd) Propensity to Consume

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    Objective Factors -

    Price level

    Taxation policy of the Government

    Interest rate

    Propensity to consume based on two

    Factors:

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    Subjective FactorsSubj

    ective Factors

    Willingness to save,Willingness to save, Desire to Imitate othersDesire to Imitate others Standard of LivingStandard of Living

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    Investment Demand: I = f ( r)

    based on two aspects:

    Rate of interest Marginal efficiency of capital;

    (expected rate of profit by the entrepr-

    eneurs) which is based on their estim-ates of consumer demand for goods

    and taxation policy of Govt.

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    Aggregate Demand Curve Aggregate demand curveADstarts from the point oforigin which implies that atzero level of employmentaggregate demand is alsoNil

    When ON is employment

    then aggregate demand isOR and so on.

    There is rise in aggregatedemand because of rise inemployment. But it is atdiminishing rate, resultantlyslope of demand curve startdeclining as it movesupward to right

    N N

    1

    N3

    Aggregate

    Demand

    Employment

    R

    R1

    R

    2

    AD

    0

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    Aggregate Supply

    AS = f (N) It is minimum price paid by all the

    entrepreneurs in the economy must

    expect to receive from the sale of outputproduced by the given number of labour

    employed. Based on:

    Physical and Technical Conditions

    of production .

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    Slope of the Aggregate supply curve isdepends on the Physical and Technical

    Conditions :

    1. If the technical conditions are

    such :

    Marginal cost of production does not

    increase with the increase in production.(Increasing returns to scale) Slope ofSupply curve will be straight line.

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    2. If the technical conditions are such:

    Marginal cost of production will rise withthe rise in production. (Diminishing returns

    to scale) Slope of Supply curve will

    continuously rise rightwards.

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    Aggregate Supply

    (Aggregate Supply/Proceeds)(Aggregate Supply/Proceeds)

    Employment

    R2

    R1

    R

    N N1 N2

    ASAggregate supply curve

    AS originates from point

    of origin because at zerolevel of employment

    output is also zero,

    f

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    In the beginning AS supply curve rise slowlyLater on rise rapidly, showing number of men

    employed increased.

    Cost of production rises as more people areemployed. Further due to the operations of lawof diminishing returns total cost of production

    rise at an increasing rate.

    Once all the men willing to get employmentare employed, then economy reached at Full

    Employment Level.

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    Under the condition of full employmentproduction can not be expanded because

    of exploitation of all resources but cost will

    rise.

    Resultantly, aggregate supply curve

    assumes as a vertical shape at full emp-loyment.

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    SAYS LAW SUPPLY CREATES

    ITS ON DEMAND

    No Deficiency of Demand and fullemployment of labour is guaranteed.

    No part of income is saved No possibility of Involuntary unemp-

    loyment but possibility of voluntary

    unemployment because of wagerigidity

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    UNEMPLOYMENT

    Frictional : unemployment which resultsfrom people moving between jobs, and

    new workers entering the labour force.

    Seasonal : is defined as, unemployment

    which is caused by economic slowdowns

    related to seasonal variations. Examplesof this would be agricultural workers,

    whose activities slow down in the winter

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    Structural Unemployment : is caused

    by structural changes in demand patterns.

    The introduction of labour-saving

    machines in various industries has created

    a special kind of structural unemployment

    called technological unemployment.

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    Effective Demand

    Effective demand is that point where

    aggregate demand and aggregate

    supply intersects each other.

    It is based on two determinants:

    Aggregate Demand

    Aggregate supply

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    Determination of the Equilibrium level

    of Employment by Effective Demand

    These aggregate demand

    and supply curves determine

    the equilibrium Level

    of employment inthe Economy.

    Given Competition in the

    Economy because of

    opportunities to earn profit

    the entrepreneur increase

    the employment.

    EAD

    M

    0

    T

    H

    C

    N1 N

    2

    NF

    Receipts

    EMPLOYMENT

    AS

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    The opportunities to earn profit exist if aggregate

    demand is greater than the aggregate supply.

    Hence, as long as aggregate demand exceeds

    aggregate supply the entrepreneur will go on employing

    extra men.

    When at a level of employment aggregate demandbecomes equal to aggregate supply, after this it is not

    profitable to employ men.

    Since beyond this point, aggregate supply will exceed

    aggregate demand , the cost of production incurred onemploying a certain number of people.

    Therefore, when aggregate demand falls short of

    aggregate supply employment of labour will fall.

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    Employments of labour will be in equilibrium at the levelat which:

    AD =ASAt point E AD and AS intersect each other which is

    known as the point of effective demand on ON2 level

    of employment.

    At less than ON2 level of employment, aggregatedemand curve lies above the aggregate supply curve

    AS showing that it is profitable to expand the amount ofemployment.

    However, beyond ON2 amount of employment , the

    AD lies below aggregate supply curve AS, which showsthat it is no more profitable to employ extra men beyond

    ON2.level.

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    Under-Employment Equilibrium:

    The problem of Demand Deficiency

    As per Keynes,

    economy can be in

    equilibrium at less than

    full employment

    At the equilibrium

    of employment

    level ON2, the N2NF

    remain unemployed. 0

    R

    AS

    AD

    AD

    N2

    NF

    RECEIPTS

    E

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    Thus equilibrium at E represents an under-

    employment equilibrium.

    N2NF persons are involuntarily unemployed. This

    is due to deficiency of Aggregate demand.

    This unemployment will be removed and full

    employment equilibrium through increase in

    investment demand or consumption can be

    established, if :Demand curve shifts upward so that it intersects the

    aggregate supply at point R and equilibrium in

    employment is established at full-employment level

    ONF.

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    As per Keynes,

    Aggregate demand and aggregate supply will beequal at full-employment only if investment

    demand is sufficient to cover the gap between

    the aggregate supply and aggregate demand.

    When investment in capitalist countries declines

    due to the fall in marginal efficiency of capital

    (expected profit) aggregate demand falls so thatequilibrium is established at less than full

    employment level. As a result, output and

    income of the community also fall.