Edmonton Real Estate Forum 2007 Industrial Market Update · Edmonton Real Estate Forum 2007...
Transcript of Edmonton Real Estate Forum 2007 Industrial Market Update · Edmonton Real Estate Forum 2007...
Edmonton Real Estate Forum 2007Industrial Market UpdateRod ConnopVice President Industrial Division
For more information , please contact:
Rod Connop, Vice President Industrial Division780.420.1585 ext. [email protected]
Richard Matthew, Regional Research Director I Western Canada780.420.1585 ext. [email protected]
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
'96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 Q1 '07
Edmonton Industrial Vacancy Rate
2.66%2.23%
1.84%
Vacancy Rates by Sector – Q1-2007
2.90%
6.20%
2.26%
3.25%
1.88%
2.56%
1.67%2.19%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
Southside Northwest
200420052006Q1 '07
Industrial Net Absorption – Q1-2007
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
00' 01' 02' 03' 04' 05' 06' Q1 07'
Squa
re F
eet
434,043
Lease Comparables
$7.25 - $8.505,000Southside
$5.25 - $6.2550,000Southside
$6.75 - $8.008,000Northwest
$5.25 - $6.0050,000Northwest
Face Rate (average PSF)
Size (sf)Area
$7.25 - $8.75100,000Southside
$8.50 - $10.0010,000Southside
$6.75 - $8.50100,000Northwest
$7.75 - $9.5010,000Northwest
Face Rate (average PSF)
Size (sf)Area
Existing New
Industrial New Construction – Q1-2007
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 Q1 '07
Squa
re F
eet
166,476
Edmonton Industrial Market Statistics
• Edmonton Industrial Inventory: 80,199,006 Square Feet
• Cap Rates for new industrial product: +/- 6.0%
• Construction costs continue to increase
• Rental rates across the city continue upward momentum
• Small lots becoming increasingly scarce
• 1,200,000 square feet currently under construction
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Dol
lars
(Mill
ion)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Acr
es
Value Acres
Edmonton Industrial Land Sales
1,0001,100$300
Edmonton Industrial Land Prices• Edmonton Proper
Fully serviced sites (average) (IM) $270,000 - $450,000 per acre
(IB) $300,000 - $650,000 per acre
(AGI) $95,000 - $150,000 per acre
• Nisku/Leduc
Fully serviced sites (average) $240,000 - $350,000 per acre
• County of Strathcona
Fully serviced sites (average) $275,000 - $375,000 per acre
• Acheson Business Park (Parkland County)
Fully serviced sites (average) $260,000 - $350,000 per acre
Industrial New DevelopmentsNorthwest Industrial Area
• Remington Intermodal Site
• Hopewell Intermodal Site
• Panattoni Development Site
• Giffels/ First National Development
• Sunwapta Industrial Park
• City West Business Park
• Northport Business Park
• Hopewell – Beaverbrook Site
• Golden West Golf Course Site
• Gregg Development Site
Northeast Industrial Area
• Aurum Energy Park
Hopewell –Beaverbrook Site
156th
Stre
et
Yellowhead Hwy
184th
Stre
et
137th Avenue
St. Albert Trail
Golden West Golf Course Site
Gregg Development Site
170th
Stre
etPanattoni Developments
Northport Business Park
128th Avenue
184th
Stre
et 156th
Stre
et
137th Avenue
Hopewell Intermodal Site
Panattoni Developments
Giffels/First National
Development
131st Avenue
118th Avenue
149th
Stre
et
163rd
Stre
et
128th Avenue
Remington Intermodal Site
Giffels/ING
Yellowhead Trail
CN
Inte
rmod
al F
acili
ty
Northport Business Park
170th
Stre
et
Yellowhead Trail
Yellowhead Trail
118th Avenue
111th Avenue
Stony Plain Rd
170th
Stre
et
184th
Stre
et
Ant
hony
Hen
day
Driv
e
Sunwapta Industrial Park
Wal
ton
2+ Year wait for servicing
Walton
WaltonWalton
Walton
WAM -City West
Lands
Win
terb
urn
Roa
d (2
15 S
tree
t)
Walton
City West Business
Park
137th Avenue
Aurum Energy Park
130th Avenue
33rd
Stre
etMer
idia
n St
reet
Sold (Mammoet)
Sold (Kiewit)
Canadian National Railway
Canadian Pacific Railw
ay
Future Interchange (Anthony Henday Drive)
Lockerbie & Hole
CN
Aecon
Industrial New DevelopmentsSouth Industrial Areas
• South Central Business Park
• 50th Street Business Park
• Prospect Business Park
• Commerce South Office Park
• Hopewell Development Site
• Ellerslie Industrial Park
• Gateway Business Park
• Verus Centre
• Trillium Business Park
• Roper Industrial Centre
• Summit Centre
• Oxford CityView Centre
68th Avenue
17th
Stre
et
South Central Business Park
76th Avenue
Whitemud Drive
51st Avenue
75th
Stre
et
Hopewell Development
Commerce South Office
Park
Trillium Business
Park
Oxford CityView Park
Pylypow Industrial
34th
Stre
et
Prospect Park
Verus Centre
50th
Stre
et
50th Street Business Park
Summit Centre
Roper Industrial Centre
QEI
I (Hw
y 2)
Carma Lands(Future Ralph Klein NAIT Campus)
Ellerslie Rd.
CP Rail Intermodal Site
Ellerslie Industrial Park
Gateway Business Park
Future Interchange
Edmonton City Limits
41st Avenue
Anthony Henday Dr.Two hotels are to be constructed, one is a $14-million Gateway
Sheraton hotel “catering to small
business people,” with 154 guest rooms. The second hotel will be $7
million dollars to construct and will target the “leisure
tourist” market with 99 rooms, and may fly the Hampton Inn banner.
QEI
I (Hw
y 2)
Future Interchange
41st Avenue
WAM Development
Site
QEII Business Park
Edmonton City Limits
Proposed Spine Road Re-alignment
Edmonton Industrial Forecast
• Speculative Construction
• Vacancy Rates
• Lease Rates
• Land Prices
• Capitalization Rates
• Challenges
• Escalating Construction Costs!
• Increased Demand, Lack of Supply!