ECONOMIC STUDY FOR EW ORK...
Transcript of ECONOMIC STUDY FOR EW ORK...
UFC EVENT IMPACTS:ECONOMIC STUDY FOR NEW YORK STATEECONOMIC STUDY FOR NEW YORK STATE
UPSTATE (BUFFALO) AND DOWNSTATE (NYC)( ) ( )
NOVEMBER 10, 2008
Mixed Martial Arts by the numbers
• Average gate revenues for UFC $3.0 g gfights in 2008million
ban • Television series/episodes about the sport in 200811
• Former Olympians competing in MMA14 MMA
• Former NCAA Wrestling 17
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gChampions competing in MMA17
UFC regulation can bring needed economic and fiscal benefits to New York Stateand fiscal benefits to New York State
NYS Law enacted in 1997:
§ 5-a. 2. No combative sport shall be conducted, held or given withinthe state of New York, and no licenses may be approved by thecommission for such matches or exhibitions.
UFC is regulated and recognized by 36 out of the 44 states that have athletic commissions, including California, Nevada, New Jersey, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
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Attendance at UFC events has risen substantially over the last decade
Attendance
substantially over the last decade
140,000
160,000
180,000
80 000
100,000
120,000
,
20 000
40,000
60,000
80,000
‐
20,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
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Source: Zuffa, LLC.
Attendance Total
Note: 2008 attendance is projected
UFC’s market share has also increased dramaticallydramatically
Increase in Pay per View Revenues
250
Increase in Pay per View Revenues 2003‐2006 (in millions)
150
200
50
100
‐
WWE HBO Boxing* UFC
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Source: USA Today, February 28, 2007; WWE 2003 Annual Report; HR&A analysis of HBO Boxing 2003 & 2006 flight lists
Est 2003 PPV Revenues Est 2006 PPV Revenues
HR&A Advisors assesses economic impacts for events and activities across the countryevents and activities across the countryHR&A was retained by Zuffa, LLC. to project economic and fiscal activity for potential events in both upstate and downstate New York.
States Worked In•California•Connecticut
Selected Clients•American Museum of Natural History
Study Areas•Mixed‐Use Development•Museums•Connecticut
•District of Columbia•Illinois•Massachusetts•Maryland
History•Brooklyn Academy of Music•City of Washington, DC•East Baltimore Development, Inc.
•Museums•Parks•Shopping Centers•Sporting Events•Stadiums•Maryland
•North Carolina•New Jersey•New York•Ohio
•Habitat for Humanity•New York City Economic Development Corporation
•New York Empire State
•Stadiums•Transit Oriented Development
•Ohio•Pennsylvania•South Carolina
Development Corporation•New Jersey Sports and Exposition Authority
•Times Square AllianceL i l i l•Large national private real estate developers
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Economic impact: event spending and visitor spending stimulate economic activityspending stimulate economic activity
Local Event
SpendingEconomic Activity
p g
Local EconomicEconomic
ContributionEmployment Employment Wages
Fiscal Impacts
Visitor Spending
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Summary of Findings( ff l )Upstate (Buffalo)
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Local event spending by Zuffa and its affiliates
HR&A analyzed typical event budgets for a comparable UFC marquee event. Local spending was analyzed by line item.
Event Costs
T t ti
Merchandise
F d
Television ProductionTransportation
Staffing
Food Production
Advertising
Commercials
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Estimated Event Spending: $1.7M
Total visitor spending of $1.4 million.
• 3,000 attendees from Buffalo Metropolitan area
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.• No additional local spending
2.
• 7,000 daytrippers• $475,000 local spending
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2
• 6,000 overnight visitors• $575,000 local spending• $300 000 lodging
1
23
• $300,000 lodging
• $1.1 million in local spending
3Total
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$1.1 million in local spending• $300,000 in lodging• $1.4 million in total spending
$5.2 million in total economic activity for the local economylocal economy
$1.7 million of direct event spending is leveraged 3 times to result in $5.2 million dollars of total activity in the local economy.
Economic Output ‐ $5.2M
$1.7 $1.0 Direct Event Spending
Vi it S di
$1.4
$1.1 Visitor Spending
Indirect Activity
Induced Activity
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source: Zuffa, LLC & HR&A input‐output analysis using IMPLAN
A UFC event could increase direct sports‐related activity in Buffalo by 20%related activity in Buffalo by 20%$15M of direct economic activity (including visitor spending) in Buffalo was generated from sporting events in 2007. A UFC event could add $3.1M.
2007 EVENTS
2007 Men’s Basketball Tournament – Rounds 1 and 2
USA H k Ti 1 d 2
Direct Economic Impact Comparison (in $millions)
USA Hockey Tier 1 and 2 Supersite
United States Bowling Congress
NCAA Swimming and Diving$10 0
$12.0
$14.0
$16.0
Atlantic 10 Swim Championships
NYS High School Swim Championships$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
NCAA Tournament
All Other Events
ESPN Bassmaster Elite Championships
US Figure Skating Northeast Regionals
$‐
$2.0
Buffalo Sporting Events UFC Event
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Regionals
•‐ Buffalo hosted 43 sporting events in 2007, including the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Rounds 1 and 2. These events generated $15M in direct economic activity. Source: Buffalo Niagara Convention and Visitors Bureau, 2007 Annual Business Review.
An event would produce substantial local employmentemployment
One‐time event activity, including over 300 staff working on the event, is equivalent to the creation of 57 local jobs.
Employment ‐ 57 Jobs
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9
Direct
41
Direct
Indirect
InducedInduced
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Source: Zuffa, LLC & HR&A analysis using IMPLAN model
Direct revenue benefits for both local and state governmentsstate governments
$0.4 M of total fiscal impacts to Buffalo and the State of New York.
$25,000
Buffalo ‐ $30k
$100 000
$120,000
NYS ‐ $320k
$10 000
$15,000
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$‐
$5,000
$10,000
Sales Tax Hotel Occupancy
$0
$20,000
$0 4M could fund an additional 5 police officers in Buffalo
Sales Tax Hotel Occupancy Tax*
* Taxes fund the Buffalo Niagara Convention and Visitors Bureau.
$0.4M could fund an additional 5 police officers in Buffalo
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Significant net gain in Western New York hotel occupancyoccupancy
y 12 000 il bl d 3 400 ti t d
upply • 12,000 available
rooms• Peak occupancy of 85% m
and • 3,400 estimated
visitor room nights• 700 estimated
i h f
tel Su 85%
• Average occupancy of 65% l D
em room nights for event staff
• Represents
Hot
Hote additional
occupancy of 11%*
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Source: HR&A analysis of Smith Travel Research Market Trends Report
H
* ‐ over any given weekend period
Summary of Findings( )Downstate (NYC)
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Local event spending by Zuffa and its affiliates
HR&A analyzed typical event budgets for a comparable UFC marquee event. Local spending was analyzed by line item.
Event Costs
T t ti
Merchandise
F d
Television ProductionTransportation
Staffing
Food Production
Advertising
Commercials
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Estimated Event Spending: $5.3M
Total visitor spending of $1.4 million
• No additional10,000
NYC TRANSIT
• No additionallocal spendingLOCAL
ATTENDEES
LOCAL SPENDING
5,100 DAYTRIPPERS
• $600,000 local spending
LOCAL SPENDING$1.0 million
LODGING$
LIRRMetro-North
Amtrak
DAYTRIPPERSlocal spending
$0.4 million
TOTAL SPENDING$1.4 million
NJT
1,900 OVERNIGHT
• $345,000 local spending• $380,000 lodging
$1.4 million
VISITORS
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Source: HR&A analysis of NYC & Company visitor spending data.
$11.3 million in total economic activity for the local economylocal economy
$5.3 million of direct event spending is leveraged 2 times to result in $11.3 million dollars of total activity in the local economy.
Economic Output ‐ $11.3M
$5.3
$2.2 Direct Event Spending
Visitor Spending
$1.0 $0.4
$2.4 Lodging
Indirect Activity$ Indirect Activity
Induced Activity
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Source: Zuffa, LLC & HR&A input‐output analysis using IMPLAN.
$11.3 million in total economic activity for the local economylocal economy$68.6 million in economic activity was generated by the New York City Waterfalls public art work over 108 days in 2008.
A UFC event could generate $11.3 million, or 15% of the economic activity over a single
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Source: Appleseed and Audience Research & Analysis, “The New York City Waterfalls: Economic Impact of a Public Art Work,” October 2008.
A UFC event could generate $11.3 million, or 15% of the economic activity over a single weekend.
An event would produce substantial local employmentemployment
One‐time event activity, including staff working on the event, is equivalent to the creation of 81 local jobs.
Employment ‐ 81 Jobs
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14
Direct
56
12Direct
Indirect
InducedInduced
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Source: Zuffa, LLC & HR&A analysis using IMPLAN model
Direct revenue benefits for both local and state governmentsstate governments
$0.9 M of total fiscal impacts to New York City and State.
$175,000
NYC ‐ $400k
$250,000
NYS ‐ $517k
$75,000
$100,000
$125,000
$150,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$‐
$25,000
$50,000
Sales Tax Personal Income Tax
Business Income Tax
Hotel Occupancy Tax
$0
$50,000
$0 9 M can fund textbooks for over 15 000 NYS/NYC children
Income Tax Income Tax Occupancy Tax
$0.9 M can fund textbooks for over 15,000 NYS/NYC children
Activity is substantially net new
The New York market is relatively underserved by UFC events.
134 UFC Events Nov 1993 to Jan 2009
nts
Las VegasAtlantaLondon
NYC Regional Area
12 within NYC regional areaFC Even
DublinChicagoLos AngelesMontreal
Only 1 event within the last 3 sting UF Montreal
NewarkAnaheimHouston
years
ties ho
s
Atlantic CityMiamiNew OrleansDenver
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Cit Denver
Mohegan SunColumbus/Cincinnati
Activity is substantially net new
Attendance at Madison Square Garden boxing & wrestling events has fallen 20%.
Attendance at MSG Boxing / Wrestling Events*
80 000
100,000
120,000
40 000
60,000
80,000
‐
20,000
40,000
24Source: HR&A analysis of Madison Square Garden event data,; based on assessment of average attendance and capacity figures for time periods in question.
2001 ‐ 2004 2005 ‐ 2008
Activity is substantially net new
HR&A utilized conservative local e ent spending impacts
$5.3Mevent spending impacts
Visitor spending for 39% daytrippersand 23% overnight visitors
Average visitor spends $119/day on non‐lodging: retail, food & $1.4Mand 23% overnight visitors
We assume lodging spending may not be “net new”
beverage, transportation
NYC lodging is substantially at
$1.4M
$0.4Mnot be “net new”
Indirect and Induced impacts
capacity at 86% average
$
$4 6MIndirect and Induced impacts
Over 90% of activity is $
$4.6M
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likely “net new” $10.9M
Source: HR&A analysis of NYC & Company visitor spending data.
Combined Findings: Upstate d D t t A ti itand Downstate Activity
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$16.5 million in total economic activity for local economieslocal economies
$7.0 million of direct event spending is leveraged 2.3 times to result in $16.1 million dollars of total activity in the local economy.
Economic Output ‐ $16.1M
$7.0 $3.6
$3.3 Direct Event Spending
$2.3
Visitor Spending
Indirect Activity$
Induced Activity
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Source: Zuffa, LLC & HR&A input‐output analysis using IMPLAN.
Direct revenue benefits for state government
$0.8 M of total fiscal impacts for New York State.
$250,000
NYS ‐ $836k
$100 000
$150,000
$200,000
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$0.8 M can fund textbooks for over 12,000 students
Summary
• Over 300 event jobs• 138 jobs created in totalLocal Jobs j• $5.6M in compensation
Local Jobs
• $836 000 in taxes to NYSLocal • $836,000 in taxes to NYS• $400,000 in taxes to NYC• $30,000 in taxes to Buffalo
Local Taxes
• $7.0M in direct event spending• $2.3M in visitor spending• $6.9M in indirect/induced benefits
Local Economy /
• $16.1M in ‘net new’ economic activityEconomy
• 6,000 room night staysLocal
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• Tourism exposure•Media exposure
Local Impacts
Detailed Methodology
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HR&A studied the economic impacts of UFC events in New Yorkevents in New York
Data Inputs Analysis Outcome
• Event Financials
• Economic Aggregation
• Total Activity• Fiscal Impacts
• Visitor spending
• Tax Sources &
• Input‐Output Modeling
• Fiscal Analysis
• Net Impacts
• Tax Sources & Rates
• Fiscal Analysis
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HR&A determined existing level of activity at selected venuesselected venues
Madison Square Garden and HSBC Arena have 40‐50% availability on weekend dates.
MSGHSBC
39%
2% 7%
4%
Available
14%
3%
Available39%13% Basketball
Hockey
Boxing
Concert
Bull Riding
50%
30%
Circus
Hockey
Lacrosse
Concert
35%
3%
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Source: HR&A analysis of MSG and HSBC Arena event schedules.
HR&A analyzed spectator origin data from comparable events to project local spendingcomparable events to project local spending
16,000 Buffalo Spectators 17,000 NYC Spectators
Attendance origin: 80% from outside Buffalo region, 11% from outside NYC region
11%
Spectators by OriginSpectators by Origin
Total Canadian
39%
50%
11%NYC Residents
Residents within Metropolitan Area
Other
34%
11%
19%
Non‐NYS
New York State
36% Buffalo Metropolitan Area
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Multiplier effects of direct spending were assessedassessed
HR&A used input‐output modeling to determine the multiplier effects of direct event and visitor spending.
IMPLAN (IMpact Analysis for PLANning) is a widely‐recognized modeling tool.
p g
IMPLAN traces the pattern of commodity purchases andsales between industries that are associated with eachdollar’s worth of a product or service sold to a customer,analyzing interactions among 528 industrial sectorsanalyzing interactions among 528 industrial sectors.
IMPLAN is used for the preparation of economic impactanalyses by many public and private entities throughout theU.S. Industry data is updated annually and would bespecifically customized to the study area.
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Three types of activity can be measured based on models of economic behavioron models of economic behavior
IMPLAN measures indirect and induced activity resulting from calculated direct activity.
Direct Activity
Indirect Activity
Induced Activity
• Direct activity resulting from event and visitor
• Activity by suppliers of goods and
• Activity in the local economy due to spending
spending services as a result of the direct activity
by employees of direct spending providers
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Measures of impact include activity, employment, and wagesemployment, and wages
IMPLAN provides economic activity, employment and wages impacts.
Economic A ti it Employment Employment
WActivity
• Total spending on event by
p y
• Total direct, indirect and
Wages
• Estimated wages of jobs added inon event, by
visitors, and from indirect and induced
indirect and induced jobs created (equivalent to
of jobs added in the local economy due to increased
activity(equ a e t toannual jobs)
c easedspending
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UFC EVENT IMPACTS:ECONOMIC STUDY FOR NEW YORK STATEECONOMIC STUDY FOR NEW YORK STATE
UPSTATE (BUFFALO) AND DOWNSTATE (NYC)( ) ( )
NOVEMBER 10, 2008