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Canadian Energy Research Institute
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF DRILLING, COMPLETING AND OPERATING CONVENTIONAL OIL WELLS IN WESTERN CANADA (2010-2035)
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
Copyright © Canadian Energy Research Institute, 2011 Sections of this study may be reproduced in magazines and newspapers with acknowledgement to the Canadian Energy Research Institute ISBN 1-927037-01-0 Authors: Peter Howard Afshin Honarvar Carlos A. Murillo Acknowledgements: The authors of this report would like to extend their thanks and gratitude to everyone involved in the production and editing of the material, including, but not limited to Megan Murphy CANADIAN ENERGY RESEARCH INSITTUTE 150, 3512 – 33 Street NW Calgary, Alberta T2L 2A6 Canada www.ceri.ca June 2011 Printed in Canada
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating iii Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
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Table of Contents LIST OF FIGURES .............................................................................................................................. v
LIST OF TABLES ................................................................................................................................ vii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................... ix
Major Findings ................................................................................................................................ xiii Terminology and Assumptions ....................................................................................................... xiv
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................... 1
Methodology .................................................................................................................................. 2
CHAPTER 2 ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CONVENTIONAL OIL DEVELOPMENTS – ALBERTA ..................................................................................................... 5
Canadian Impacts ........................................................................................................................... 5 US Impacts ...................................................................................................................................... 7
CHAPTER 3 ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CONVENTIONAL OIL DEVELOPMENTS – SASKATCHEWAN ......................................................................................... 9
Canadian Impacts ........................................................................................................................... 9 US Impacts ...................................................................................................................................... 11
CHAPTER 4 ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CONVENTIONAL OIL DEVELOPMENTS – BRITISH COLUMBIA ..................................................................................... 13
Canadian Impacts ........................................................................................................................... 13 US Impacts ...................................................................................................................................... 15
OBSERVATIONS ON AREA ANALYSIS ............................................................................................... 17
APPENDIX A ................................................................................................................................ 19
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Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating v Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
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List of Figures Figure E.1 CERI Drilling Forecast by Province and Well Type (Realistic Scenario) ............................ x Figure E.2 CERI Production Projection (Realistic Scenario) ............................................................... xi Figure E.3 CERI Production Projection by Province and Well Vintage (Realistic Scenario) ............... xii Figure E.4 CERI Capital Requirements by Province (Realistic Scenario)............................................ xiii Figure 1.1 Well Type by Province versus Production Rate................................................................ 1 Figure 2.1 Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in Canada as a Result of Drilling for Conventional Oil in Alberta, 2010-2035 ......................................................... 6 Figure 2.2 Royalties Paid to the Alberta Government for Conventional Oil Developments ............. 7 Figure 2.3 Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in the United States as a Result of Drilling for Conventional Oil in Alberta, 2010-2035 ......................................................... 8 Figure 3.1 Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in Canada as a Result of Drilling for Conventional Oil in Saskatchewan, 2010-2035 .............................................. 10 Figure 3.2 Royalties Paid to the Saskatchewan Government for Conventional Oil
Developments .................................................................................................................. 11 Figure 3.3 Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in the United States as a Result of Drilling for Conventional Oil in Saskatchewan, 2010-2035 .............................................. 12 Figure 4.1 Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in Canada as a Result of Drilling for Conventional Oil in British Columbia, 2010-2035 .......................................... 14 Figure 4.2 Royalties Paid to the British Columbia Government for Conventional Oil
Developments .................................................................................................................. 15 Figure 4.3 Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in the United States as a Result of Drilling for Conventional Oil in British Columbia, 2010-2035 .......................................... 16
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Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating vii Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
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List of Tables Table 2.1 Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments in Alberta, 2010-2035, Investments and Operations......................................................................... 6 Table 2.2 Tax Receipts as a Result of Conventional Oil Drilling in Alberta, 2010-2035, Federal and Provincial-Municipal ................................................................. 7 Table 2.3 Total Economic Impacts of Alberta Conventional Oil Drilling by
US PADD, 2010-2035 ........................................................................................................ 8 Table 3.1 Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments in Saskatchewan, 2010-2035, Investments and Operations......................................................................... 10 Table 3.2 Tax Receipts as a Result of Conventional Oil Drilling in Saskatchewan, 2010-2035, Federal and Provincial-Municipal ................................................................. 11 Table 3.3 Total Economic Impacts of Saskatchewan Conventional Oil Drilling by
US PADD, 2010-2035 ........................................................................................................ 12 Table 4.1 Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments in British Columbia, 2010-2035, Investments and Operations......................................................................... 14 Table 4.2 Tax Receipts as a Result of Conventional Oil Drilling in British Columbia, 2010-2035, Federal and Provincial-Municipal ................................................................. 15 Table 4.3 Total Economic Impacts of British Columbia Conventional Oil Drilling by
US PADD, 2010-2035 ........................................................................................................ 16
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Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating ix Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Executive Summary Conventional oil production (i.e., excluding pentanes plus, bitumen and synthetic crude oil) from
the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) has been declining since the early 1970s after
reaching a peak production of approximately 2 million barrels per day (MMBPD). Over the past
ten years the production rate has continued to decline, dropping from 1.2 MMBPD in 2001 to
0.9 MMBPD in 2010. Over this same time period, new oil well completions have increased from
4,000 in 2002 to 5,500 in 2008.1 The WCSB is considered a mature basin and it was becoming
obvious at the time that maintaining the output from the basin was going to take significantly
more new wells each year.
The worldwide recession in 2008 affected the oil industry in the same fashion as other
industries. Demand for oil products retracted, oil prices fell and new drilling activity in the WCSB
dropped by close to 40 percent between 2008 and 2009. Conventional oil production declined
further than expected as the reduced number of new wells failed to offset the decline from
existing wells. 2010 was a restart year for the industry as new well licensing activity picked back
up reaching the 5,000 well level equal to the activity three years prior in 2007 (see Figure E.1).
Prior to the recession, a change in the type of drilling towards horizontal wells had started to
take place and the effects of those changes were first being noticed in Saskatchewan. The
advent of horizontal well technology which became popular in the development of tight and
shale gas formations had started to make inroads in Saskatchewan, especially over the past 5
years. In Saskatchewan, the percentage of horizontal wells grew from 24 to 49 percent between
2004 and 2009 and the assumption is that this percentage will continue to grow.
The Canadian Energy Research Institute’s (CERI) drilling forecast is based on the assumption that
the short-term outlook (5 years) for oil drilling in the WCSB is one of continued growth based
partly on the perception of an increasing oil market price and partly on the attraction of
increased production rates from horizontal well developments. Figure E.1 represents CERI’s
“realistic case” for drilling conventional oil in British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan and is
based on the following assumptions:
Drilling for oil will continue to grow year over year for the next 5 years following the trend line established in the years 2004 to 2008.
Drilling will plateau by 2016 and decline after that by 2 percent per year for Alberta and Saskatchewan. This assumption is based on the unknown nature of continuing to increase drilling in mature basins coupled with the situation that oil sands developments and shale gas developments will be attracting increased attention in the latter part of the decade.
1Data provided by the BC Oil and Gas Commission; the Alberta Energy Resources Conservation Board, and the
Saskatchewan Ministry of Energy and Resources.
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The relationship between vertical wells and horizontal wells will continue to change in the future in favour of drilling more horizontal wells. The rate of change is assumed to be a 5 percentage point per year increase in areas that are currently drilling less than 35 percent horizontal wells and a 20 percentage point per year increase in areas that currently drill more than 35 percent horizontal wells.
Figure E.1: CERI Drilling Forecast by Province and Well Type (Realistic Scenario)
Based on the drilling forecast presented in Figure E.1 and accounting for the decline curves,
initial production rates, and changing relationship between drilling vertical and horizontal wells
as presented in Appendix A, Figure E.2 depicts the resulting oil production forecast for the WCSB
broken down by province. Also included on this chart is the conventional oil forecast for the
WCSB published by the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP) in June 2011 (for
comparison purposes).
The CERI projection model not only takes into consideration the historical production declines
(type curve) and the positive and negative changes in historical initial production rates but it
also accounts for the incorporation of a changing drill type, favouring horizontal well
developments over vertical well developments, and the potential for increasing initial
production rates in the future based on longer horizontal legs. Examples include the “PIA08”
play as described in Appendix A, where the average initial production rate that has grown from
8 m3/day (50 BPD) to just under 10 m3/day (63 BPD) in 3 years. Area “PIA11” has shown even
more dramatic results with increases from 8 m3/day (50 BPD) to 27 m3/day (170 BPD), also in 3
years. The Bakken oil play in the southeastern part of Saskatchewan has not shown the same
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Forecast
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change in initial production rates but, on average, a horizontal well in that area consistently
starts with a production rate that is 3 times greater than a vertical well. Area “PIA56” (southeast
Saskatchewan) indicates an average vertical well displayed an initial production rate of less than
5 m3/day (31 BPD) while an average horizontal well starts at an initial production rate of greater
than 15 m3/day (94 BPD).
Figure E.2 shows the results of CERI’s production forecast based on the drilling forecast
presented in Figure E.1 and incorporating the assumptions of future changes to initial
production rates and the increasing influence of horizontal wells. For consistency, production
from Manitoba and the Northwest Territories has been adopted from CAPP’s June 2011 forecast
and appended to Figure E.2. In Alberta, in 2010, the number of horizontal oil directed licenses
grew to 62 percent of all oil directed wells. This is a significant change from 2006 where the
number was 24 percent. Figure E.2 demonstrates that fewer more productive horizontal wells
will stabilize and grow the production output of oil from Alberta and Saskatchewan. Alberta will
be able to maintain the output level longer than Saskatchewan primarily based on the assumed
increasing initial production rates.
In the later years (2020-2035) of this forecast, the production volume from Alberta declines at a
slower rate as compared to Saskatchewan. The reason for this is the initial production rates
from areas 10, 11 and 15 (central Alberta) are significantly larger than areas 51 and 52 (central
west and northwest Saskatchewan) and area 56 (southeast Saskatchewan). Based on this
observation this forecast assumes that drilling intensity in these areas will be greater in future
years as compared to the base year of 2009 which was used to establish the initial percentage
split in drilling activity per area.
Figure E.2: CERI Production Projection (Realistic Scenario)
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Figure E.3 depicts the changing contribution of production from existing wells versus production
from forecasted new wells also separated out by province of origin.
Figure E.3: CERI Production Projection by Province and Well Vintage (Realistic Scenario)
The drilling well forecast presented in Figure E.1 is converted to a capital outlay forecast by utilizing the well cost data from the Petroleum Services Association of Canada (PSAC) depth corrected to the average drilling depth by area. In addition, operating costs, connection costs, geological and geophysical costs and operating costs for continued operation of existing oil wells (wells drilled prior to the base year and forecasted to continue to operate in the future) are accounted for and displayed in Figure E.4. These costs are based on data presented in CAPP’s statistical handbook for Canada’s upstream petroleum industry (May 2011).
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Figure E.4: CERI Capital Requirements by Province (Realistic Scenario)
Major Findings Over the 2010-2035 period the estimated investments, reinvestments, and revenues
from operation of the existing and future conventional oil developments in western
Canada are $1,059 billion.
Total Canadian GDP impact as a result of the investment shocks is estimated at close to
$1,056 billion over the 25-year period.
Canadian employee compensation will reach almost $259 billion over this time period.
Employment in Canada (direct, indirect, and induced) is expected to grow from 152,000
jobs to a peak of 227,000 jobs in 2020.
Alberta royalties are expected to grow from $0.75 billion in 2010 to a peak of $4.7
billion in 2027.
British Columbia royalties are expected to grow from $0.06 billion in 2010 to a peak of
$0.075 billion over the study period.
Saskatchewan royalties are expected to grow from $1.2 billion in 2010 to a peak of $1.8
billion in 2014.
US GDP impact from 2010-2035, as a result of the investment shocks, is estimated at
close to CAD$100 billion.
US employee compensation will exceed $47 billion over the period.
US employment totals are expected to grow from 32,000 jobs to a peak of 49,000 jobs
in 2018.
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Terminology and Assumptions Forecast Period – The forecast period is 25 years, starting at the end of 2010, with 2011
being the first year of capital injections for the new oil well developments and going out
to 2035.
All currency figures are in real 2010 (base year) Canadian dollars, unless specified
otherwise.
Employment (Thousand Person Years): Thousands of jobs created and preserved every
year. For instance, if a new conventional oil project starts operation by hiring 60 people
in the initial year, the employment is 0.06 thousand person years in the first year. If this
new conventional oil project adds incremental capacity in the second year and hires 25
more employees to operate the new facility, in the second year the in situ project has
created and preserved 0.085 thousand person years of employment. Of the 0.085
thousand person years of employment, 0.06 represents preserved jobs and 0.025 refers
to new jobs.
Jobs – Thousands of person years and thousands of jobs are used interchangeably
throughout this report. Thousand person years is the unit for the number of people
employed in a job for a year. A job is an occupation that one needs to do in order to be
employed. This should not be confused with stating that a job is a position that one is
hired into (i.e., as a plumber). For example, a company could hire 10 people in a year for
a position as manager and not hire any managers for later years. In the first year, the
total number of jobs is 10 and the total amount of person years for that year is 10.
However, by the end of the second year, the total number of manager jobs is still 10 but
the cumulative number of person years will have risen to 20 as 10 people will have
worked for 2 years. While the definitions of job and person years of employment may
be subject to interpretation, for the purposes of this report, the terms 10,000 jobs and
10 thousand person years both characterize 10,000 people employed for a year.
Taxes – Note that all of the tax estimates presented in this study include direct, indirect
and induced impacts. Generally speaking, taxes on income are considered direct taxes,
while taxes on expenditures (such as GST, HST, and PST) and all taxes deductible by
corporations for income tax purposes (such as property taxes) are considered indirect
taxes. The tax impact on a province includes taxes generated by economic activity
within a province payable to federal, provincial, and municipal governments.
PADD – Petroleum Administration for Defense Districts. These are five groups of US
states that were organized as such during WWII to ensure efficient distribution of
petroleum resources. The groupings remain in place today and are used to present
CERI’s results for the US.
- PADD I – Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Maine,
Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina,
Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia
- PADD II – Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri,
Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Wisconsin
- PADD III – Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Texas
- PADD IV – Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Wyoming
- PADD V – Alaska, Arizona, California, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Washington
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 1 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Chapter 1 Introduction Oil production from the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) has been declining since the
early 1970s when production peaked at over 2 million barrels per day (BPD). This decline in
production has continued to current day where production in 2009 averaged just over 945,000
barrels per day. Production for the WCSB is made up of light, medium and heavy crudes
produced in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, Saskatchewan, Manitoba and the
Northwest Territories. Alberta and Saskatchewan make up 94 percent of the 2009 production.
Comparing Alberta and Saskatchewan for the period 2003 to 2008, as shown in Figure 1.1, the
number of newly connected vertical wells per year has remained relatively consistent over the
time period, 1,300-1,600 wells in Alberta and 1,200-1,400 wells in Saskatchewan. However, the
emerging horizontal well technology that had been employed extensively in the Saskatchewan
Bakken play (area PIA56) has increased the number of wells from 384 in 2003 to over 1,233 in
2008. The use of horizontal wells has effectively stabilized the production volume for
Saskatchewan whereas the production from Alberta has continued its downward trend. The
recession of 2008 curtailed drilling activity in all provinces however, the drilling of horizontal
wells in Saskatchewan remained at 45 percent of new Saskatchewan oil wells. The number of oil
directed well licenses issued by the Alberta Energy Resources Conservation Board (ERCB) in
2010 was 3,095 with 62 percent utilizing a horizontal well. CERI’s oil projection model utilizes
historical information and statistical relationships to develop a future forecast for oil production
emanating from the WCSB. The following section discusses the methodology used in this model.
Figure 1.1: Well Type by Province versus Production Rate
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Methodology Basic information is collected from the ERCB, Saskatchewan Energy and Mines (SEAM) and the
British Columbia Oil and Gas Commission (BCOGC) that details the historic production of
hydrocarbon fluids. In addition, the three provincial regulators provide data pertaining to the
individual well configuration as to its finish drilling date, initial production date, major
production fluid (oil, gas, coalbed methane, bitumen, etc.), original status, current status, total
depth, true vertical depth and location (township, meridian, range, section, and legal
subdivision). As this classification system in British Columbia is employed within the Peace River
block, a National Topographic System (NTS) location is used for wells drilled elsewhere in BC.
This information is used to establish such elements as: the Initial production rate (peak month of
production in the first 3 months of production), annual production by year, first production
date, and last production date (if abandoned). Monthly production of oil is summed and
averaged on a calendar year basis to establish an average daily production rate (m3/day) for
each year. Individual well production details are assigned to a specific study area based on the
Dominion Land Survey System (DLS) location or a National Topographic System (NTS) location.
The average initial daily production rate for all wells within a study area that commenced
production in the same year is established and a harmonic or exponential decline curve is
assigned in order to project production from the second year onward. This establishes a family
of production curves for each study area for vintages 2000 through 2009, separately for vertical
and horizontal wells.
The “Type” curve for each area as depicted in Appendix A is used to establish the decline path
for wells that are currently on stream (as of the base year 2009), based on the average number
of years the existing operating wells have been operating. The average on stream years defines
the starting point on the “Type” curve where the production rate will be for the forecast years.
This same curve starting at time zero is used to define the production path for new wells drilled
and connected in the future.
The initial production rates for the years 2000 through 2009 are shown on the same chart and
used to extrapolate the future declines or inclines in initial production rate for wells drilled in
the future. Simple regression curves are established to forecast the change in the initial
production rate (per well) in the future for a given study area and well type.
External to the model, a drilling forecast is determined on a provincial level and is based partially
on historical well developments and partially on the perceived future for oil drilling. The CERI
“Realistic Case” for oil well development drilling assumes a continuation of the year over year
growth in new wells, extrapolated from the historic period 2004 through 2008, continuing out 5
years into the future followed by a decline of 2 percent per year for the years following. The 5-
year growth window is based on the uncertainty in industry activity and is not an absolute
measure of the basin drilling opportunities.
The number of vertical wells drilled during any year in the future is determined by extrapolating
the percentage of vertical wells drilled in relation to total wells drilled in the historic years 2004
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 3 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
through 2009 into the future years subject to a minimum 20 percent share for vertical wells to
reflect their continuing role in some reservoir types.
The following are some brief observations for the province of Saskatchewan as depicted in
Appendix A: Play ID “SKALL”. This set of charts depicts provincial average conditions including
the heavy oil area around Lloydminster and the light/medium oil play from southeastern
Saskatchewan where the Bakken oil play is situated. The details displayed on the “SKALL” page
include a graphic representation of vintage production, from both vertical and horizontal oil
wells, the daily production rate by year and the current operating wells by year also separated
out as vertical and horizontal wells. On examining the vintage production curves, it can be seen
that the decline in production from horizontal wells is steep in the beginning years, but by the
end of the 8th year of production, the production rates are comparable at 2.5 m3/day (15.7
BPD). As shown in the “Production by Year” chart for 2009, the average horizontal well had an
initial production rate of 15.3 m3/day (95 BPD) compared to the average vertical well’s 5.1
m3/day (32 BPD).
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June 2011
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 5 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Chapter 2 Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments - Alberta This chapter details the economic impacts of conventional oil developments, both existing and
future drilling of new wells in the province of Alberta and the associated impacts on the North
American economies. The impacts are calculated both for Canada and the United States, with
Canadian impacts examined at the provincial level and US impacts broken down to the PADD
level. The impacts under consideration are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employee
compensation, employment, tax and royalty implications. These impacts cover all upstream
activities (geological and geophysical, drilling, completion and tie-in, and operation of existing
wells (as of December 2009) and new wells as defined by the CERI Realistic Case.
Canadian Impacts
The cumulative sum of additional Canadian GDP from 2010-2035, as a result of continued
operation of existing wells and the addition of new wells, is estimated at $572 billion (see Table
2.1). Employment in Canada (direct, indirect and induced) is expected to grow from 87,000 jobs
to a peak of 130,000 jobs in 2018. Direct employment in Alberta is estimated at 29,000 jobs at
the beginning of the study period, reaching a peak of 42,000 jobs in 2018. Compensation of
Canadian employees will reach a cumulative total of $155 billion by 2035.
Figure 2.1 depicts the national pattern of employment creation and preservation in each year
over the 25-year time frame of the study. The maximum employment impact occurs in the year
2018.
Table 2.2 summarizes the tax impacts by type of tax and by taxpayer’s province. Note that in this
format, federal, provincial and municipal taxes are shown together. Alberta is the largest
contributor to government based on the fact that the hydrocarbon development and corporate
headquarters are located within the province of Alberta. Ontario and British Columbia are the
second biggest contributors as a result of the contribution of tubular manufacturing industries in
eastern Canada and the close nature of hydrocarbon developments in western Canada.
Figure 2.2 displays the growth in royalties paid to the province of Alberta starting at $0.7 billion
in 2010 and growing to $4.7 billion in 2027. These royalty payments include both existing and
new wells as defined by the drilling forecast and utilizing the provincial royalty formulas as of
January 2011.
6 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
Table 2.1: Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments in Alberta, 2010-2035, Investments and Operations
*Government abroad.
Figure 2.1: Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in Canada as a Result of Drilling for
Conventional Oil in Alberta, 2010-2035
Thousand
Person Years
GDP Compensation
of Employees
Employment
Alberta 543,631 138,670 2,415
British Columbia 7,158 3,867 103
Manitoba 1,046 566 16
New Brunswick 203 100 3
Newfoundland & Labrador 91 32 1
Northwest Territories 36 18 0
Nova Scotia 208 106 3
Nunavut 7 4 0
Ontario 15,571 8,972 212
Prince Edward Island 15 8 0
Quebec 3,384 1,891 51
Saskatchewan 1,110 477 13
Yukon Territory 10 6 0
Gabd* 0 0 0
Total Canada 572,470 154,717 2,819
$CAD Million
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 7 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Table 2.2: Tax Receipts as a Result of Conventional Oil Drilling in Alberta, 2010-2035, Federal and Provincial-Municipal
Figure 2.2: Royalties Paid to the Alberta Government for Conventional Oil Developments ($millions)
US Impacts Total cumulative impact in the US as a result of continued operation and future drilling of
conventional oil wells in Alberta will contribute an estimated $52 billion over the 25-year
projection period (see Table 2.3). Figure 2.3 indicates the employment projection, which
suggests that total employment in the US is projected to grow from 17,000 jobs created and
preserved to a peak of 26,000 jobs in 2018. Cumulative compensation of employees in the US
will reach $25 billion by the end of the study period in 2035. This is based on the assumption
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$7
49
$8
77
$1
,28
3
$1
,76
8
$2
,19
5
$2
,54
3
$2
,93
2
$3
,29
0
$3
,62
3
$3
,86
1
$4
,05
5
$4
,21
7
$4
,37
3
$4
,51
9
$4
,63
1
$4
,67
9
$4
,68
9
$4
,69
6
$4
,69
4
$4
,69
6
$4
,67
5
$4
,67
3
$4
,65
3
$4
,63
1
$4
,60
0
$4
,56
7
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
$5,000
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
20
24
20
25
20
26
20
27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
20
32
20
33
20
34
20
35
Historical Forecast
Conventional Crude Oil Royalties
8 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
that no other source of imported oil could be found to replace oil from Alberta. If a similar
quality oil could be imported, the downstream-related impacts would be insignificant.
Table 2.3: Total Economic Impacts of Alberta Conventional Oil Drilling by US PADD, 2010-2035
Figure 2.3: Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in the United States as a Result of Drilling for
Conventional Oil in Alberta, 2010-2035
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 9 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Chapter 3 Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments - Saskatchewan This chapter details the economic impacts of conventional oil developments, both existing and
future drilling of new wells in the province of Saskatchewan and the associated impacts on the
North American economies. The impacts are calculated both for Canada and the United States,
with Canadian impacts examined at the provincial level and US impacts broken down to the
PADD level. The impacts under consideration are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employee
compensation, employment, tax and royalty implications. These impacts cover all upstream
activities (geological and geophysical, drilling, completion and tie-in, and operation of existing
wells (as of December 2009) and new wells as defined by the CERI Realistic Case.
Canadian Impacts
The cumulative sum of additional Canadian GDP from 2010-2035, as a result of continued
operation of existing wells and the addition of new wells, is estimated at $469 billion (see Table
3.1). Employment in Canada (direct, indirect and induced) is expected to grow from 63,000 jobs
to a peak of 95,000 jobs in 2018. Direct employment in Saskatchewan is estimated at 15,000
jobs at the beginning of the study period, reaching a peak of 25,000 jobs in 2018 (shown in blue
on Figure 3.1). Compensation of Canadian employees will reach a cumulative total of $99 billion
by 2035.
Figure 3.1 depicts the national pattern of employment creation and preservation in each year
over the 25-year time frame of the study. The maximum employment impact occurs in the year
2018.
Table 3.2 summarizes the tax impacts by type of tax and by taxpayer’s province. Note that in this
format, federal, provincial and municipal taxes are shown together. Saskatchewan is the largest
contributor to government based on the fact that the hydrocarbon development is located
within the province of Saskatchewan. Ontario and Alberta are the second biggest contributors as
a result of the contribution of tubular manufacturing industries in eastern Canada and the close
nature of hydrocarbon developments in western Canada.
Figure 3.2 displays the growth in royalties paid to the province of Saskatchewan starting at $1.2
billion in 2010 and growing to $1.8 billion in 2014. These royalty payments include both existing
and new wells as defined by the drilling forecast and utilizing the provincial royalty formulas as
of January 2011.
10 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
Table 3.1: Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments in Saskatchewan, 2010-2035, Investments and Operations
*Government abroad.
Figure 3.1: Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in Canada as a Result of Drilling for
Conventional Oil in Saskatchewan, 2010-2035
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 11 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Table 3.2: Tax Receipts as a Result of Conventional Oil Drilling in Saskatchewan,
2010-2035, Federal and Provincial-Municipal
Figure 3.2: Royalties Paid to the Saskatchewan Government for Conventional Oil Developments
($millions)
US Impacts Total cumulative impact in the US as a result of continued operation and future drilling of
conventional oil wells in Saskatchewan will contribute an estimated $47 billion over the 25-year
projection period (see Table 3.3) unless an alternative source of imported oil can be found.
Figure 3.3 indicates the employment projection, which suggests that total employment in the US
is projected to grow from 14,000 jobs created and preserved to a peak of 22,000 jobs in 2018.
$1
,47
6
$1
,71
0
$1
,58
5
$1
,39
0
$1
,18
2
$1
,37
9
$1
,59
2
$1
,73
3
$1
,78
9
$1
,77
5
$1
,75
1
$1
,68
3
$1
,60
7
$1
,50
7
$1
,41
0
$1
,32
6
$1
,25
4
$1
,18
7
$1
,12
3
$1
,06
5
$1
,01
2
$9
65
$9
23
$8
85
$8
45
$8
12
$7
81
$7
50
$7
23
$6
98
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
20
24
20
25
20
26
20
27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
20
32
20
33
20
34
20
35
Historical Forecast
Conventional Crude Oil Royalties
12 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
Cumulative compensation of employees in the US will reach $21 billion by the end of the study
period in 2035.
Table 3.3: Total Economic Impacts of Saskatchewan Conventional Oil Drilling by US PADD, 2010-2035
Figure 3.3: Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in the United States as a Result of Drilling for
Conventional Oil in Saskatchewan, 2010-2035
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 13 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Chapter 4 Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments – British Columbia This chapter details the economic impacts of conventional oil developments, both existing and
future drilling of new wells in the province of British Columbia and the associated impacts on the
North American economies. The impacts are calculated both for Canada and the United States,
with Canadian impacts examined at the provincial level and US impacts broken down to the
PADD level. The impacts under consideration are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employee
compensation, employment, tax and royalty implications. These impacts cover all upstream
activities (geological and geophysical, drilling, completion and tie-in, and operation of existing
wells (as of December 2009) and new wells as defined by the CERI Realistic Case.
Canadian Impacts
The cumulative sum of additional Canadian GDP from 2010-2035, as a result of continued
operation of existing wells and the addition of new wells, is estimated at $15.2 billion (see Table
4.1). Employment in Canada (direct, indirect and induced) is expected to grow from 2,400 jobs
to a peak of 2,800 jobs by the end of the forecast period. Direct employment in British Columbia
is estimated at 900 jobs at the beginning of the study period, reaching a peak of 1,100 jobs by
the end of the forecast period. Compensation of Canadian employees will reach a cumulative
total of $3.4 billion by 2035.
Figure 4.1 depicts the national pattern of employment creation and preservation in each year
over the 25-year time frame of the study. The maximum employment impact occurs at the end
of the forecast period.
Table 4.2 summarizes the tax impacts by type of tax and by taxpayer’s province. Note that in this
format, federal, provincial and municipal taxes are shown together. British Columbia is the
largest contributor to government based on the fact that the hydrocarbon development is
located within the province of British Columbia. Ontario and Alberta are the second and third
biggest contributors as a result of the contribution of tubular manufacturing industries in these
provinces and their proximity to hydrocarbon developments in western Canada.
Figure 4.2 displays the growth in royalties paid to the province of British Columbia starting at
$0.06 billion in 2010 and growing to $0.07 billion in 2035. These royalty payments include both
existing and new wells as defined by the drilling forecast and the provincial royalty formulas as
of January 2011.
14 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
Table 4.1: Economic Impacts of Conventional Oil Developments in British Columbia, 2010-2035, Investments and Operations
*Government abroad.
Figure 4.1: Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in Canada as a Result of Drilling for
Conventional Oil in British Columbia, 2010-2035
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 15 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Table 4.2: Tax Receipts as a Result of Conventional Oil Drilling in British Columbia, 2010-2035,
Federal and Provincial-Municipal
Figure 4.2: Royalties Paid to the British Columbia Government for Conventional Oil Developments
($millions)
US Impacts Total cumulative impact in the US as a result of continued operation and future drilling of
conventional oil wells in British Columbia will contribute an estimated $1.2 billion over the 25-
year projection period (see Table 4.3). Figure 4.3 indicates the employment projection, which
suggests that total employment in the US is projected to grow from 500 jobs created and
$1
34
$1
15
$1
28
$4
2
$6
0
$5
7
$5
8
$5
9
$6
0
$6
0
$6
1
$6
1
$6
2
$6
2
$6
2
$6
3
$6
3
$6
4
$6
4
$6
5
$6
5
$6
6
$6
7
$6
8
$6
9
$7
0
$7
1
$7
2
$7
3
$7
4
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
$110
$120
$130
$140
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
20
24
20
25
20
26
20
27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
20
32
20
33
20
34
20
35
Historical Forecast
Conventional Crude Oil Royalties
16 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
preserved to a peak of 600 jobs by the end of the forecast period. Cumulative compensation of
employees in the US will reach $0.6 billion by the end of the study period in 2035.
Table 4.3: Total Economic Impacts of British Columbia Conventional Oil Drilling by US PADD, 2010-2035
Figure 4.3: Jobs (x1000) Created and Preserved in the United States as a Result of Drilling for
Conventional Oil in British Columbia, 2010-2035
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 17 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Observations on Area Analysis For the base year 2009, the average conventional oil well in the WCSB (Appendix A, area
“WCSB”) starts with an initial production rate of 6 m3/day (38 BPD) for a vertical well
and 15.5 m3/day (98 BPD) for a horizontal well.
For the base year 2009, the average conventional oil well in Alberta (Appendix A, area
“ABALL”) starts with an initial production rate of 6 m3/day (38 BPD) for a vertical well
and 14.5 m3/day (91 BPD) for a horizontal well.
For the base year 2009, the average conventional oil well in Saskatchewan (Appendix A,
area “SKALL”) starts with an initial production rate of 5 m3/day (31 BPD) for a vertical
well and 15.2 m3/day (96 BPD) for a horizontal well.
For the base year 2009, the average conventional oil well in British Columbia (Appendix
A, area “BCALL”) starts with an initial production rate of 3.5 m3/day (22 BPD) for a
vertical well and 14 m3/day (8 BPD) for a horizontal well.
For the base year 2009, the areas with the highest initial production rates for vertical
wells are “PIA22”, “PIA11”, “PIA12” and “PIA09”. For horizontal wells the highest initial
production rates occurred in areas “PIA11”, “PIA10”, and “PIA02” in Alberta, “PIA34” in
British Columbia and “PIA56” and “PIA51” in Saskatchewan.
Over the past 10 years, the average conventional horizontal oil well in the WCSB
(Appendix A, area “WCSB”) declines faster in the initial years of production than the
average vertical well but the two curves come into close proximity after 8-10 years of
operation.
18 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 19 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
Appendix A WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis The following pages capture the results of the analysis of historical oil production with respect
to a representative decline curve (vintage production curves), the historical change in initial
production rates (IP rates), average daily production rate and the number of operating wells.
This analysis is broken out by study area, by year and well type (horizontal versus vertical).
These results are used to determine the estimated well type decline curve, the decline or incline
curve to be used in determining the IP rate for future completed oil wells, and the historical
change in the number of horizontal wells to total wells drilled.
For Alberta, the areas are identified as “PIA01” to “PIA23”, British Columbia areas are identified
as “PIA30” to “PIA45” and Saskatchewan areas are identified as “PIA50” to “PIA56”. Provincial
averages are identified as “ABALL” for Alberta, “BCALL” for British Columbia, and “SKALL” for
Saskatchewan. The basin average is identified as “WCSB”. A map showing these study areas is
available on the company website (www.ceri.ca).
For each study area the following information is presented. Play ID identifies the analysis area as
described above. Play Group identifies the Canadian province where the area is situated. Play
Description describes the location of the area within the province. Decline Curve Type refers to
the curve equation that generates the “Type” curve. Reference is used to position the “Type”
curve on the chart for display purposes and has no meaning in the analysis.
For the chart “Vintage Production Curves”:
Historical information, segregated into vertical and horizontal well types, has been utilized to produce a family of production curves that are independent of time. For a given year, all wells that commenced production in that year, an average initial production rate is determined and assigned to time T1. For each subsequent year an average production rate is determined and assigned to time T2 through T12. The initial production rate for a well is defined as the peak daily rate (taken as volume produced in a month divided by the hours on stream in the same month) that was recorded in the first 6 months of production. For a given area, all wells that commenced production between 2000 and 2009 are included in the curves based on the year of first production.
The “Type” curve is an estimate of a decline curve that closely approximates the vintage decline over the past 10 years. This curve will be used to describe the decline for future wells.
Vertical wells are conventional oil wells drilled and completed vertically into a producing formation while horizontal wells are conventional oil wells drilled vertically to above the
20 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
producing formation followed by drilling an arc to enter and extend horizontally into the producing formation.
Vertical wells are included in the left chart while horizontal wells are included in the right chart.
For the chart “All Wells: Production by Year”:
Total Daily Rate (left axis): refers to the total daily production rate (m3/day) from all conventional oil wells located within a given area, regardless of when they commenced production, for each year between 2000 and 2009.
Average Initial Production Rate (right axis): refers to the average of the maximum initial production rates for all conventional oil wells located within a given area based on the year that production commenced.
Vertical and Horizontal wells are displayed separately.
For the chart “Operating Wells By Year”:
Operating Well Count (left axis): refers to the number of wells that produced oil within a given area and given year. To qualify as an operating well, the well must have produced oil for a minimum of 1 month during the calendar year.
Vertical and horizontal wells are displayed separately.
Following is a text description of where each study area is located within the three western provinces.
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 21 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis Study Areas
PIA01 Alberta Suffield Medicine Hat Area
PIA02 Alberta Bow Island Area
PIA03 Alberta Foothills Area west of Calgary
PIA04 Alberta Hussar to Princess Area
PIA05 Alberta Didsbury to Hussar Area
PIA06 Alberta Nevis and Ghostpine Area
PIA07 Alberta Bens Lake to Princess (North Lateral) Area
PIA08 Alberta Bens Lake to Canendish (East Lateral)
PIA09 Alberta Edson to Caroline (Plains Mainline)
PIA10 Alberta McLeod to Caroline (Foothills Mainline)
PIA11 Alberta Edmonton Area
PIA12 Alberta Bens Lake upstream to Calling Lake
PIA13 Alberta Gold Creek to Edson Area
PIA14 Alberta Vahalla to Gold Creek Area
PIA15 Alberta Judy Creek, Kaybon to Edson and McLeod
PIA16 Alberta Doe Creek to Teepee Creek Area
PIA17 Alberta Heart River Wolverine Creek Area
PIA18 Alberta Darling Creek to Slave Lake Compressor
PIA19 Alberta Fort McMurray Area
PIA20 Alberta Owl Lake Area
PIA21 Alberta Thunder Creek to Tanghe Creek
PIA22 Alberta Zama Lake to Meikle Compressor
PIA23 Alberta Princess to Empress Mainline
PIA30 British Columbia Pine River Lateral
PIA31 British Columbia Tupper Creek/Noel Area
PIA32 British Columbia Groundbirch Area
PIA33 British Columbia Dawson Creek
PIA34 British Columbia Fort St John Area
PIA35 British Columbia Chinchauga River
PIA36 British Columbia Ring Area
PIA37 British Columbia Kahntah Area
PIA38 British Columbia Shekilie Area
PIA39 British Columbia Peggo-Pesh Area
PIA40 British Columbia Helmut North Area
PIA41 British Columbia Fort Nelson to CS2
PIA42 British Columbia Fort Nelson to NWT Border
PIA45 British Columbia CS2 To Summit Lake Area
PIA50 Saskatchewan Southwest
PIA51 Saskatchewan Central West
PIA52 Saskatchewan Central Northwest
PIA53 Saskatchewan Not Used
PIA54 Saskatchewan Central Northeast
PIA55 Saskatchewan Central East
PIA56 Saskatchewan Southeast
PIA88 Other Pipeline Area PIA88
PIA99 Other Pipeline Area PIA99
WCSB Total WCSB Total WCSB
ABAll Total AB Total Alberta
BCAll Total BC Total British Columbia
SKAll Total SK Total Saskatchewan
22 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 23 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA01 PIA012 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Suffield Medicine Hat Area
4 Decline Curve Type Har300 Decline Curve Type Har400
5 Reference 4.0 Reference 7.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
24 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA02 PIA022 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Bow Island Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR160 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 7.0 Reference 14.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
4.00
8.00
12.00
16.00
20.00
24.00
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 25 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA03 PIA032 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Foothills Area west of Calgary
4 Decline Curve Type EXP200 Decline Curve Type HAR140
5 Reference 3.5 Reference 6.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
26 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA04 PIA042 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Hussar to Princess Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR200 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 7.0 Reference 9.5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 27 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA05 PIA052 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Didsbury to Hussar Area
4 Decline Curve Type EXP200 Decline Curve Type EXP200
5 Reference 7.0 Reference 34.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
28 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA06 PIA062 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Nevis and Ghostpine Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR280 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 10.0 Reference 16.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 29 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA07 PIA072 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Bens Lake to Princess (North Lateral) Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR400 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 5.0 Reference 10.5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
30 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA08 PIA082 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Bens Lake to Canendish (East Lateral)
4 Decline Curve Type HAR200 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 7.0 Reference 9.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 31 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA09 PIA092 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Edson to Caroline (Plains Mainline)
4 Decline Curve Type HAR400 Decline Curve Type Har400
5 Reference 9.0 Reference 6.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
28.00
30.00
32.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
32 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA10 PIA102 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description McLeod to Caroline (Foothills Mainline)
4 Decline Curve Type HAR600 Decline Curve Type HAR160
5 Reference 10.0 Reference 9.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 33 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA11 PIA112 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Edmonton Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR260 Decline Curve Type HAR800
5 Reference 6.0 Reference 15.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
34 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA12 PIA122 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Bens Lake upstream to Calling Lake
4 Decline Curve Type HAR220 Decline Curve Type Har400
5 Reference 3.0 Reference 7.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
28.00
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 35 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA13 PIA132 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Gold Creek to Edson Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR600 Decline Curve Type HAR300
5 Reference 16.0 Reference 4.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
28.00
30.00
32.00
34.00
36.00
38.00
40.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
36 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA14 PIA142 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Vahalla to Gold Creek Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR200 Decline Curve Type HAR800
5 Reference 9.0 Reference 12.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 37 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA15 PIA152 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Judy Creek, Kaybon to Edson and McLeod
4 Decline Curve Type HAR260 Decline Curve Type HAR800
5 Reference 10.0 Reference 15.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
28.00
30.00
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
38 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA16 PIA162 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Doe Creek to Teepee Creek Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR220 Decline Curve Type HAR800
5 Reference 10.0 Reference 9.5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
4.00
8.00
12.00
16.00
20.00
24.00
28.00
32.00
36.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 39 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA17 PIA172 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Heart River Wolverine Creek Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR300 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 12.0 Reference 10.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
4.00
8.00
12.00
16.00
20.00
24.00
28.00
32.00
36.00
40.00
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
40 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA18 PIA182 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Darling Creek to Slave Lake Compressor
4 Decline Curve Type HAR300 Decline Curve Type HAR120
5 Reference 10.0 Reference 8.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
3.00
6.00
9.00
12.00
15.00
18.00
21.00
24.00
27.00
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 41 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA19 PIA192 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Fort McMurray Area
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
42 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA20 PIA202 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Owl Lake Area
4 Decline Curve Type EXP160 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 5.0 Reference 25.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 43 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA21 PIA212 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Thunder Creek to Tanghe Creek
4 Decline Curve Type HAR140 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 8.0 Reference 38.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
44 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA22 PIA222 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Zama Lake to Meikle Compressor
4 Decline Curve Type HAR600 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 19.0 Reference 12.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
50.00
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 45 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA23 PIA232 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Princess to Empress Mainline
4 Decline Curve Type HAR130 Decline Curve Type Har220
5 Reference 5.0 Reference 13.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
46 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA30 PIA302 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Pine River Lateral
4 Decline Curve Type NPPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 47 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA31 PIA312 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Tupper Creek/Noel Area
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
48 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA32 PIA322 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Groundbirch Area
4 Decline Curve Type EXP200 Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 22.0 Reference 25.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 49 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA33 PIA332 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Dawson Creek
4 Decline Curve Type HAR114 Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 9.5 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
50 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA34 PIA342 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Fort St John Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR400 Decline Curve Type HAR300
5 Reference 9.0 Reference 13.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
50.00
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 51 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA35 PIA352 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Chinchauga River
4 Decline Curve Type HAR200 Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 3.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
52 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA36 PIA362 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Ring Area
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 53 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA37 PIA372 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Kahntah Area
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
54 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA38 PIA382 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Shekilie Area
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type HAR400
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 20.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 55 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA39 PIA392 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Peggo-Pesh Area
4 Decline Curve Type HAR108 Decline Curve Type HAR200
5 Reference 3.0 Reference 13.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
56 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA40 PIA402 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Helmut North Area
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 57 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA41 PIA412 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Fort Nelson to CS2
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
58 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA42 PIA422 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description Fort Nelson to NWT Border
4 Decline Curve Type HAR160 Decline Curve Type HAR300
5 Reference 10.0 Reference 36.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
4.00
8.00
12.00
16.00
20.00
24.00
28.00
32.00
36.00
40.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 59 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA45 PIA452 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description CS2 To Summit Lake Area
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
60 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA50 PIA502 Play Group Saskatchewan
3 Play Description Southwest
4 Decline Curve Type HAR140 Decline Curve Type EXP170
5 Reference 4.5 Reference 15.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 61 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA51 PIA512 Play Group Saskatchewan
3 Play Description Central West
4 Decline Curve Type HAR180 Decline Curve Type EXP140
5 Reference 4.0 Reference 11.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
62 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA52 PIA522 Play Group Saskatchewan
3 Play Description Central Northwest
4 Decline Curve Type HAR114 Decline Curve Type EXP120
5 Reference 7.0 Reference 26.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
50.00
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 63 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA54 PIA542 Play Group Saskatchewan
3 Play Description Central Northeast
4 Decline Curve Type NOPROD Decline Curve Type NOPROD
5 Reference 0.0 Reference 0.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
64 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA55 PIA552 Play Group Saskatchewan
3 Play Description Central East
4 Decline Curve Type HAR180 Decline Curve Type EXP140
5 Reference 6.0 Reference 45.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 65 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID PIA56 PIA562 Play Group Saskatchewan
3 Play Description Southeast
4 Decline Curve Type HAR300 Decline Curve Type HAR300
5 Reference 4.0 Reference 16.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
66 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID WCSB WCSB2 Play Group Total WCSB
3 Play Description Total WCSB
4 Decline Curve Type HAR156 Decline Curve Type HAR300
5 Reference 8.0 Reference 18.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
28.00
30.00
32.00
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 67 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID ABAll ABAll2 Play Group Alberta
3 Play Description Alberta
4 Decline Curve Type HAR160 Decline Curve Type HAR230
5 Reference 7.2 Reference 12.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
68 Canadian Energy Research Institute
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID BCAll BCAll2 Play Group British Columbia
3 Play Description British Columbia
4 Decline Curve Type HAR250 Decline Curve Type HAR160
5 Reference 10.0 Reference 13.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
50.00
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
Economic Impacts of Drilling, Completing and Operating 69 Conventional Oil Wells in Western Canada (2010-2035)
June 2011
WCSB Oil Production Decline Analysis by Pipeline Influence Area
1 Play ID SKAll SKAll2 Play Group Saskatchewan
3 Play Description Saskatchewan
4 Decline Curve Type HAR120 Decline Curve Type Har400
5 Reference 5.8 Reference 17.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Vertical Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Avera
ge I
nit
ial P
rod
ucti
on
Rate
(m
3/d
ay)
To
tal D
ail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
All Wells: Production By Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avera
ge A
nn
ual
Dail
y R
ate
(m
3/d
ay)
Vintage Production Curves (Horizontal Wells)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Type
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Op
era
tin
g W
ell
co
un
t
Operating Wells By Type and Year
Vertical Wells: red color, Horizontal Wells: green color