Economic growth and financial institutions in somalia
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Transcript of Economic growth and financial institutions in somalia
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
ON ECONOMIC GROWTH
IN PUNTLAND
Daud Dahir Hassan
2014
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
DEDICATION
I dedicates this thesis to my lovely parent my mother Fatima Yusuf Mohamed and My father Dahir Hassan Musse for their
endless love, support and encouragement.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
About the Author
Daud Dahir is a Senior Accountant and Financial Expert
who works in Amal Express’s Headquarter. His passion
for helping people in all aspects of Banking and
providing more information about central bank of
Somalia through the expert industry coverage he
provides. A graduate of Mogadishu University with a
degree in Finance and Banking. He published a number
of researches in Slide share and search Engines.
Researcher Published many researches and Books including the Central bank of
Somalia published in 2014.
Connections:
Email: [email protected]
Linked in: Daud Dahir Hassan
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/daauddahir
Twitter: https://twitter.com/dauddhassan
Website: https://dauddahir.wordpress.com
Skype: Daud.d.hassan
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
DECLARATION
I hereby declare that this thesis is my own work and effort and that it has
not been submitted anywhere for any award. Where other sources of
information have been used, they have been acknowledged.
Daud
Daud Dahir Hassan
Signature: 31/05/2014
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
CERTIFICATE OF APPROVAL
We hereby declare that this thesis is from the student’s own work and
effort, and all other sources of information used have been acknowledged.
This thesis has been submitted with my approval
SUPERVISOR: Zamzam Said Mohamed
SIGNATURE………………
DATE: …………………….
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First and foremost praise is to Allah, the Almighty, on whom ultimately we
depend for sustenance and guidance. Foremost, I would like to express
my sincere gratitude to my advisor Prof. Zamzam for her continuous
support of my thesis study and research, for her patience, motivation,
enthusiasm, and immense knowledge. Her guidance helped me in all the
time of research and writing of this thesis. I could not have imagined
having a better advisor and mentor for my study.
I would like to thank my grandfather Ahmed Sha’ur For his innumerable
Support. Special Thanks due to my dear brother Mohamud Dahir with his
continuous financial support and daily encouragement as I would like to
thank whole and rest of my family including my brothers and sisters.
Besides my advisor, I would like to thank and recognize the contributions
of Mr Sino Alaly: Lecturer of Mogadishu University, Mr ahmed Hussien:
Lecturer Mogadishu University.
Extraordinary gratitude to Mogadishu University Administrators, My
teachers and classmates in four years at Mogadishu University I would
like to say thank you. Last but not the least, I would like to thank my dear
friends Abdi Aziz Jama’, Ahmed Mohamed Mohamud and all my friends
for their contribution due to the completion of my thesis
I would like to express my deepest appreciation to the great authors whom
I quoted their articles, thank you
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Abbreviation latter
GE: General Equilibrium
PE: Partial Equilibrium
GDP: gross Domestic Production
MFIs: Micro Finance Institutions
WTO: World Trade Organization
IMF: International Monetary Fund
UNDP: United Nation Development Program
GNI: Gross National Income
SSA: Sub Saharan Africa
GNP: Gross National product
HDI: Human Development Index
ISEW: Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare
GPI: Genuine Progress Indicator
GNH: Gross National Happiness
SNI: sustainable National Income
NFIA: Net Factor Income from Abroad
FI: Financial Institutions
LC: Letter of Credit
LG: Letter of Grantee
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Executive summary
This study was searching the financial institution and its impact on
economic growth. It contains five chapters.
The first chapter is introduction it focuses the bases of the study,
objectives, and research questions.
The second chapter concerns literature review which presented
comprehensive understanding of financial institutions of economic growth
in Puntland Somalia then it also presents the growth of business firms in
economic in Puntland.
The third chapter presented the research methodology including research
design, target population, how data is collected & analyzed and the
limitation faced the researcher during the study process.
The fourth chapter concerned data presentation, analysis and
interpretation. It presented the data collected from the respondents
accompanied with data sourced from society in Bosaso; Business sector,
households, government, education and research centers from the last
two year 2013 - 2015.
At last, chapter five presented the findings, conclusion and
recommendation.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Table of Contents
Cover page……………………………………………………………………..I
Dedication………………………………………………………………………II
About the Researcher……………………………………………………..…III
Declaration…………………………………….……………………………….IV
Certificate of approval………………………………………………...............V
Acknowledgement ……………………………………………......……..........VI
Abbreviation latter………………………………….……………………..….VII
Executive summary…………………………………………………………..VIII
Table of contents…………………………………………………………........IX
1 Chapter one: introduction
1.1 Background of the study
1.2 Problem of the study
1.3 Purpose statement
1.4 Objectives of the study
1.5 Research question
1.6 The scope of the study
1.6.1 Geographical scope
1.6.2 Theoretical scope
1.6.3 Time scope
1.7 Significance of the study
1.8 Conceptual framework
2 Chapter two: Literature review
2.1 Introduction
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
2.2 Financial institutions
2.2.1 Banks
2.2.2 Remittances “Hawala”:
2.2.3 Microfinance institutions
2.3 Economic growth
2.3.1 Gross domestic Production “GDP”
2.3.2 Employment rate
2.3.3 National income
3 Chapter three: methodology
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Research design
3.3 Population and sampling
3.3.1 Study population
3.3.2 Sample of the study
3.3.3 Sampling procedure
3.4 Data Collection
3.4.1 Instrumentations
3.5 Quality control of the study
3.5.1 Validity…………………………………………………………………………..
3.5.2 Reliability
3.6 Data Analysis
3.7 Ethical Considerations
3.7.1 Permission to conduct the research
3.7.2 Informed Consent
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
3.7.3 Confidentiality and secrecy
3.8 Research Limitations
4 CHAPTER FOUR PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND
INTERPRETATION OF DATA
4.1 Overview
4.2 Characteristics of respondent
4.2.1 GENDERS OF THE RESPONDENTS
4.2.2 AGE OF RESPONDENT
4.2.3 Marital status
4.2.4 Educational Level
4.3 Financial institutions
4.3.1 Central government and internationally recognized bank
4.3.2 Lack of international recognized financial and economic situation
4.3.3 Microfinance poverty reduction mechanism
4.3.4 Insurance companies and risk recovery
4.3.5 Remittance and standard of living of the Households
4.3.6 Legal Financial framework and mutual understanding
4.4 Improvement of economic growth
4.4.1 Financial institutions and employment rate
4.4.2 Financial institutions and domestic productions
4.4.3 Microfinance and small entrepreneurs
4.4.4 Development banks and infrastructures
4.4.5 Hawala and inflation
4.4.6 Factors of production and economic growth
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
4.4.7 Exchange rate and foreign direct investment
5 CHAPTER FIVE: FINDINGS, CONCLUSIONS AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Overview
5.2 Findings
5.3 CONCLUSION
5.4 RECOMMENDATIONS
References
Appendix……………………………………………………………………………..…..70
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
1 Chapter one: introduction
1.1 Background of the studyGenerally financial institutions play a vital role for economic growth, so it is one
of most priorities. financial institutions is a term refers for the combination of
banks, remittances “Hawala” and microfinance institutions each of them plays
an important position for the process of economic growth. In the last two
decades the link between financial institution (FI) and Economic growth has
generated a great deal of interest among academics, policy makers and
economists around the world. Financial institutions become much more
effectives and plays vital character for economic growth. In black continent
Africa it’s same as the other parts of the world even if it’s less developed and
there is a lack of valuable financial institution which plays important part for the
economic growth but in Somalia since the central government was collapsed
in 1991 the overall economic of the country was declined although financial
institutions especially the remittances “Hawala” take part in the economic
growth in punt-land and in Somalia generally.
This study of financial institutions and its impact of economic growth in
Puntland have been used to the following variables to analyze how financial
institutions and economic growth are related to each other. Bank, remittance
“Hawala” and microfinance institutions, Gross domestic production,
employment rate and national income are independent and dependent
variables respectively that we have analyzed.
Banks offer different financial service banks are an organization where people
and businesses can invest or borrow money, change it to foreign money, etc.,
or a building where these services are offered (Cambridge advanced learners
dictionary -3rd editions). Bank is a financial institution that accepts deposit and
grants loans and makes available many different financial services as they are
profit seeking institution. Banking, saving and investment, insurance, and debt
and equity financing help private citizens save money, guard against
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
uncertainty, and build credit while enabling business to start up, extend,
increase efficiency, and compete in local and international markets. For the
poor, these services reduce vulnerability and enable people to manage the
assets available to them in way to generate income and options (Christopher,
2007)
Remittance “Hawala” can be defined financial institution that acts for sending
amount of money for somebody to do something (Free dictionary). Remittance
is known as a financial institution that collects money from citizens outside the
state and sends to the entire members. Officially recorded remittances
received by developing countries exceeded $93 billion in 2003. The actual
size of remittances, including both officially recorded and unrecorded transfers
through informal channels, is even larger. Remittances are now more than
double the size of net official flows (under $30 billion), and are second only to
foreign direct investment (around $133 billion) as a source of external finance
for developing countries. In 36 out of 153 developing countries, remittances
are larger than all capital flows, public and private.
Remitters use informal channels because these channels are cheaper, better
suited to transferring funds to remote areas where formal channels do not
operate, and offer the advantage of the native language and, on rare
occasions, anonymity. Informal channels, however, can be subject to abuse.
Strengthening the formal remittance infrastructure by offering the advantages
of low cost, expanded reach, and language can shift flows from the informal to
the formal sector. Both sender and recipient countries could support migrants’
access to banking by providing them with identification tools.
Microfinance institution it refers to a variety of financial services that target
low-income clients, particularly women. Since the clients of microfinance
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
institutions (MFIs) have lower incomes and often have limited access to other
financial services, microfinance products tend to be for smaller monetary
amounts than traditional financial services (Merriam Dictionary).
Microfinance has grown to become a much favored intervention amongst
international development agencies. There is scarcely a multi-lateral, bilateral
or private development donor organization not involved in the promotion of a
microfinance program have observed that, the last twenty-five years have
witnessed rapid expansions in the numbers and size of MFIs in many parts of
the world with estimates suggesting that by 2000, MFIs worldwide served
about 12.5 million individuals.
They further argued that the primary clientele of MFIs consists almost of those
who face severe barriers to access financial products from conventional
financial institutions. These barriers comprise mainly high operational costs
and risk factors. To overcome these barriers, MFIs have to be innovative.
Innovative products, services and processes can create additional value and
expand the frontier of finance if they: create access to the formal financial
system by groups previously without access; reduce transaction and risk costs
of the financial services provider or of the clients or both; increase the term of
loans and of savings, and/or provide larger loans to clients by refining
valuation processes.
The challenge in the region is to achieve scale and reach remote areas
without losing control of costs. The good news is that it is possible. As they
grow in size, larger institutions in Africa can be profitable: the top quartile of
African MFIs reporting to the MIX not only were profitable, but boosted their
ROA by one percentage point (from 0.9 in 2005 to 1.9 in 2006). Once MFIs
reach profitability, MFIs were able to expand their operations and achieve
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
economies of scale. These positive returns allowed them to reach twice as
many borrowers as their unprofitable peers.
In the last decade, microfinance institutions have experienced a boom in
innovations of lending products, partly fuelled by donors who see microfinance
as the next promise to alleviate poverty. Examples of these new products are
the combination of credit with health or life insurance, business and health
education, savings products, and the adoption of (or conversion to) individual
loan liability. The add-in features generally aim at reducing the vulnerability of
clients while contributing to asset creation, hence improving their repayment
rate and the sustainability of the service. The product innovations typically
result from organizations striving to extend outreach, increase impact, and
promote sustainability.
Recent theoretical studies have tried to establish precise mechanism through
which financial institution influence economic growth. For example,
(Greenwood and Jovanovic, 1990) developed a model in which both financial
institutions and economic growth are endogenously determined. With respect
to the growth effects of financial institutions, they demonstrated that by pooling
idiosyncratic investment risks and eliminating uncertainty about rates of
returns, financial institutions can lead to faster economic growth. In the model
proposed by (Bencivenga and Smith, 1991), it was shown that the
development of banks increases economic growth by channeling savings to
the activity with high productivity but offering risky and illiquid assets, while
allowing individuals to reduce the risk associated with their liquidity needs.
1.2 Problem of the studyThe problem to be directed is around poor of financial institutions and in some
instances improper financial service offered by poor financial institutions in
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Puntland, this normally results to failure of economic growth. Deficiencies in
the financial institutions are the major cause of poor economic growth Ellison
and Orozco (2007). Are the Financial institutions in a position to influence the
economic growth of the state? Lack of existence of important part of financial
institutions including; credit union, insurance companies, mutual fund, pension
fund and many others in a building up market can lead the economy to
decline.
This paper will analyze how effective and successful financial institution will
bring economic growth in punt-land and how it will contribute the improvement
of the economic in the state. One of the most critical obstacles to financial
institutions is informality. The poor often live and work in the informal sector,
lacking legal ownership of land, homes and business. Half of Puntland people
live in informal settlement in urban area alone, meaning that they cannot use
their land as collateral on a loan; often they lack address they could associate
with a bank account or credit application. Entrepreneurs can face high fees,
inefficient and sometimes corrupt procedures, and burdensome regulation that
essentially make it too costly to incorporate legally the result are enforce
contract or declare bankruptcy.
1.3 Purpose statement The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of financial institutions on
economic growth in puntland, using historical resulting knowing the impact of
financial institutions on economic growth in Puntland, in this study agent of
financial institution will be defined as a banks, remittances “Hawala” and
microfinance institutions in view of this study will determine and describe the
effect of banks, remittances “Hawala” and microfinance institutions will affect
the Gross Domestic Production “GDP”, employment rate and national income.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
1.4 Objectives of the studyThe general objectives of the study were to examine the impact of financial
institutions on economic growth in Puntland the study was tested to realize the
following specific objectives:
To examine the relationship between banks and economic growth in
punt-land.
To establish the effect of remittances “Hawala” on economic growth in
Puntland.
To examine the relationship between the microfinance institutions and
economic growth in Puntland.
1.5 Research question
What is the relationship between the banks and economic growth in
Puntland?
How does the remittance “Hawala” effect the economic growth in
Puntland?
How does a microfinance institution effect the economic growth in
Puntland?
1.6 The scope of the study1.6.1 Geographical scope
This study was conducted to examine the impact of financial institutions on
economic growth in Puntland consists all its territory, which is located in
Puntland state of Somalia.
1.6.2 Theoretical scope
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
This study was focusing on financial institutions and its impact on economic
growth, especially why banks are important to economic growth and the how
remittance “Hawala” influence the economic growth of the state and finally the
effect of the microfinance institutions on economic Growth in Puntland.
1.6.3 Time scope
The study on impact of financial institutions on economic growth in punt lad
was conducted for the last two years.
1.7 Significance of the study This study focus on economic growth in Puntland in generally its one of
those studies alert the agent of financial institutions in punt land as
such It is expected to show some important points about economic
growth needed in Puntland and became useful material to reference by
other researchers and anyone who want to obtain more about
economic growth in Puntland,
So that this study would provide a detailed and comprehensive
knowledge of the functions of these financial institutions and would
remarkably help to analyze their implication on the economic growth of
the state.
This study also expected to suggest policy makers through guidance
and suggestion,
The study will provide recommendation and advices on banks,
remittances “Hawala” and microfinance institutions it can be helpful
material by the side of formulation new policy in Puntland and other
states.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
This study should also influence practice of financial institutions at the
state, and it assists to deal economic growth and relates problem of
financial institutions in Puntland.
1.8 Conceptual framework I. V E. V D. V
2 Chapter two: Literature review
2.1 IntroductionThis chapter presents a review of related literature of the financial institutions
and economic growth based other scholars views point, opinions, and findings
8
Financial institutionsEconomic growth
Banks
Remittance
Microfinance
Gross Domestic
Production
Employment rate
National income
Government regulations
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
world over. The first section presents a review of related literature on financial
institutions. This is followed by a review of related literature on economic
growth and the relationship between financial institutions and economic
growth.
2.2 Financial institutionsFinancial institutions are an organization that is a channel between the parties
involved in funds transfer between fund savers and fund borrowers. They are
depository or no depository insurance companies. Depository banks pay
interest on a deposit from the interest on loans. Sometimes financial
institutions can be classified into three major groups:
Depositary Institutions: Deposit-taking institutions that accept and manage
deposits and make loans, including banks, building societies, credit unions,
trust companies, and mortgage loan companies. Contractual Institutions :
Insurance companies and pension funds; and Investment Institutions : Investment Banks, underwriters, brokerage firms (leu, 1998)
2.2.1 Banks
The name bank derives from the Italian word banco "desk/bench", used during
the Renaissance era by Florentine bankers, who used to make their
transactions above a desk covered by a green tablecloth. However, traces of
banking activity can be found even in ancient times (Hauppauge, 1993).
Banks are financial intermediaries that accept deposits and make loans.
Banks offer several advantages in connecting borrows and lenders. By pooling
the funds of thousands of different depositors they are able to make large
loans beyond the means of any individual investor. In addition, because they
deal in such a large volume of loans, their costs to making a loan are smaller
than for a single investor. Banks make a variety of different kinds of loans.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
They lend money to businesses for capital improvement projects, called
commercial and industrial loans. They lend money to consumers for projects
such as auto and college loans, called consumer loans, and also to purchase
a house, called a real estate loan, or a mortgage. Banks make profits by the
spread between the interest rate on the loan that they make and on the
deposits that they take (thiel, 2001).
Historically in recent years the number of commercial banks in Puntland was
massively increasing, this encourages the habit of saving and investing and it
increases the liquidation and mobilization of resources in the market
(Poutziouris, 2013). Banks are not only offer the saving and investing services
also commercial banks deals with business sectors via issuing letter of credit
“LC” and letter of guarantee “LG” as well as commercial banks act as an agent
for collecting bills, paying bills, sale and purchase of securities in financial
markets. Banks are the linkage between servers “who have surplus” and
lenders “who is in need for money”. Banks are profit seeking institutions some
us other business entity (SHAN, 2004). Mostly banks are classified into public
“central” bank and private banks “Commercial” banks based on their
ownership
2.2.1.1 Public “Central” Banks
It is the entity that is responsible for the monetary system of the nation Central
banks has a wide range of responsibilities, from overseeing monetary policy to
implementing specific goals such as currency stability, low inflation and full
employment. Central banks also generally issue currency, function as the
bank of the government, regulate the credit system, oversee commercial
banks, manage exchange reserves and act as a lender of last resort.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
One of the aims of a central bank in an underdeveloped country is to improve
its currency and credit system. More banks and financial institutions are
required to be set up to provide larger credit facilities and to divert voluntary
savings into productive channels. The central bank plays an important role in
bringing about a proper adjustment between demand for and supply of money.
In an underdeveloped country the interest rate structure stands at a very high
level. There are also vast disparities between long-term and short-term
interest rates and between interest rates in different sectors of the economy
(hamsik, 2010). Debt management is one of the important functions of the
central bank in an underdeveloped country. It should aim at proper timing and
issuing of government bonds, stabilizing their prices and minimizing the cost of
servicing public debt, central bank also performs the act of credit control as
well as solving the balancing the payment problems (Germidis, 1986)
Thus the central bank plays an important role in achieving economic growth of
a developing country It should promote economic growth with stability, help in
attaining full employment of resources, in overcoming balance of payments
disequilibrium, and in stabilizing exchange rates.
2.2.1.2 Private “Commercial” banks
This is a financial institution providing services for businesses, organizations
and individuals. Services include offering current, deposit and saving accounts
as well as giving out loans to businesses. Commercial banks are defined as a
bank whose main business is deposit-taking and making loans.
Commercial banks make their profits by taking small, short-term, relatively
liquid deposits and transforming these into larger, longer maturity loans. This
process of asset transformation generates net income for the commercial
11
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
bank. Note that many commercial banks do investment banking business
although the latter is not considered the main business area (dalton, 1989).
Commercial banks perform many functions. They satisfy the financial needs of
the sectors such as agriculture, industry, trade, communication, so they play
very significant role in a process of economic social needs.
The functions performed by banks, since recently, are becoming customer-
centered and are widening their functions. Generally, the functions of
commercial banks are divided into two categories: primary functions and the
secondary functions.
2.2.1.2.1 Commercial banks perform various functions for economic growth:
Commercial banks accept various types of deposits from public especially
from its clients, including saving account deposits, recurring account deposits,
and fixed deposits. These deposits are payable after a certain time period
Commercial banks provide loans and advances of various forms, including an
overdraft facility, cash credit, bill discounting, money at call etc. They also give
demand and demand and term loans to all types of clients against proper
security. Credit creation is most significant function of commercial banks.
While sanctioning a loan to a customer, they do not provide cash to the
borrower. Instead, they open a deposit account from which the borrower can
withdraw. In other words, while sanctioning a loan, they automatically create
deposits, known as a credit creation from commercial banks.
Along with primary functions, commercial banks perform several secondary
functions, including many agency functions or general utility functions. The
12
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
secondary functions of commercial banks can be divided into agency functions
and utility functions (Henry luis, 2007).
2.2.1.2.2 Agency functions of commercial banks include:
To collect and clear checks, dividends and interest warrant.
To make payments of rent, insurance premium, etc.
To deal in foreign exchange transactions.
To purchase and sell securities.
To act as trustee, attorney, correspondent and executor.
To accept tax proceeds and tax returns.
2.2.1.2.3 Utility functions of commercial include:
To provide safety locker facility to customers.
To provide money transfer facility.
To issue traveler’s cheque.
To act as referees.
To accept various bills for payment: phone bills, gas bills, water bills,
To provide merchant banking facility.
To provide various cards: credit cards, debit cards, smart cards, etc.
2.2.2 Remittances “Hawala”:
The alternative remittance system or Hawala operates outside of, or parallel to
conventional banking or financial institutions. It was developed in India, before
the introduction of Western banking practices, and is now a major remittance
system used around the world (sandhu, 2001). This system of remittance is no
longer referred to as an "underground banking", as it is now operating with full
legitimacy and it is openly advertised in a variety of media, such as ethnic
newspapers and Internet websites.
13
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
The major distinctive feature of this informal banking system that differentiates
it from other forms of remittance systems is trust and the extensive use of
connections such as family or clan relationships in the processes of money
transactions. Trust is therefore a very important component in Hawala banking
system. It is now well established that Hawala firms are honest and
trustworthy in their dealings with their customers. Breaches of trust are
extremely uncommon and rare. Hawala are informal money transfer
companies that Transfer funds both domestically and internationally.
This type of system was originally developed to facilitate trade between
secluded regions where conventional banking institutions were either absent,
weak or unsafe. They operate parallel to –and usually independently from –
regular banks. Transactions are fast, safe and cost- effective, and are often
used by Diaspora abroad to remit money home to relatives (Gorodnichenko,
2000).
Since the collapse of the Somali state and economy in the 1990s, Somalia has
become even more dependent on remittances from family members working
abroad. Today, remittances are by far the largest single source of hard
currency entering the country, and are vital to the country’s limited ability to
feed and sustain itself. One study estimates that remittances to Somaliland
alone (which is home to about 1/6 of the total population in Somalia, which is
estimated at about fifteen million people) reach as much as US $500 million
per year – four times the value of livestock exports in a normal year (Ahmed,
2000). Another study calculates that remittances constitute nearly 40% of the
income of urban households in the northern towns of Hargeisa, Burao, and
Bosasso. Remittances to southern Somalia are less well-documented.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Mogadishu is unquestionably the largest recipient of remittances; it probably
accrues a similar level of remittances as does Somaliland. In the town of
Beled Weyn, with a population of about 50,000, an estimated US $200,000
per month is received in remittances, for a monthly average of US $4 per town
dweller. Our best estimates are that remittances nationally probably total
somewhere between 500 million to one billion US dollars per year. Even the
low end of this estimate dwarfs the amount of money the country earns in
livestock exports or receives in foreign aid (Medani, 2003). Hawala has since
then played a very crucial role in the survival and economic growth of the
people in Somalia generally and puntland particularly and it is considered to
be an important factor in linking the Somalis in the Diaspora with their country
of origin.
Remittances from the Somali Diaspora in abroad are primarily intended for
supporting the needs of the households in Somalia and those families and
relatives who are still in refugee camps in Africa and in other parts of the
world. A survey conducted by UNDP estimates that more than 25-32% of
families in Somalia receive Remittances from abroad (UNDP, 2003). The
money received is used for basic necessities such as food, clothing,
education, health and for simple investment purposes such as the purchase of
house or land, or set up a small business. The Somali Hawala remittance firms
need to take all measures necessary to work against the negative image that
has been leveled against their operations.
Though the firms in western countries and in other parts of the world have
made notable progress in meeting international standards for accountability
and transparency, it appears, however, that these firms are still tackled with
certain impediments that can lead to the creation of a climate of suspicion and
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uncertainty The western banks are still reluctant to allow the Somali Hawala
remittance firms to hold accounts with them (Kosse, 2007).
This being the case, the Hawala remittance firms must embark on a serious
dialogue with the formal financial institutions and the regulators to ensure the
continued operation of the remittance sector in western countries. The
absence of a centralized government in Somalia is precluding the possibility of
the establishment of the formal financial institutions and the laws and
regulations that govern them.
September 11 tragedy has prompted the United States of America and other
countries that host Hawala remittance firms to focus on money laundering and
its role in the financing of terrorism. The USA Patriot Act (Uniting and
Strengthening America by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept
and Obstruct Terrorism) passed in the United States requires all the Hawala
remittance firms to comply with the Anti-Money Laundering Compliance
Program (Ahmed, 2000).
The knowledge available on the impact of remittances on the livelihood and on
the economy of the people is relatively scanty. The sustainability of the
Hawala remittance sector in general needs further research. Second
generation Somali Canadians will have very little to do with their country of
origin; and this will have an impact on the flow of remittances from Canada. In
light of this, the Hawala firms will have to formulate long-term strategies to
counteract any negative effects that may eventually arise as result of the
change of the attitudes of the second generation migrants. Western countries
may consider contraction immigration for Somalis still stranded in refugee
camps. The new immigration policies will certainly have some impact on the
flow of remittances from the Diaspora (Gorodnichenko, 2008). There is little
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doubt that Hawala remittances could be good means and mechanisms to fund
terrorism, civil wars, and other illegal activities. Initially, the Somalis in the
Diaspora used the Hawala remittance to supply arms to the guerillas who
overthrew the dictatorial regime of Siad Barre in 1991. It has occurred in other
failed states where remittances were used not only for family survival and
household consumption but to finance conflicts and support military
operations. Nevertheless, the importance of remittances and their social
insurance roles in the failed states and in other poor countries has been widely
acknowledged.
Remittances in failed and poor states have provided many times what the aid
agencies have been providing to alleviate the suffering of the devastated
populations. In other words, given the scarcity of the international funding for
these war-torn societies, the people have been able to bear the brunt of the
reduced international commitment and do things for themselves (Dow, 2009).
On the positive side, remittances are believed to reduce poverty, as it is the
poor who migrate and send back remittances. But this view has its critics. It is
sometimes argued that remittances may increase inequality, because it is the
rich who can migrate and send back remittances, making recipients even
richer. These questions should be studied at the macro level using cross-
country data, and at the micro level using household surveys. The impact of
remittances depends on their use, especially on schooling of children.
A recent study from El Salvador shows that the school drop-out rate is lower
and the enrollment ratio higher in households that receive remittances. It's
important to consider how remittances may offset the negative effects on
economic growth and fiscal revenue of the remittance-receiving country when
skilled workers emigrate. The brain drain issue, along with the issue of job
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competition from in-migration in labor-receiving countries, may well hold the
keys to the success of the global migration agenda (larson, 2008).
2.2.3 Microfinance institutions
Microfinance is the provision of savings accounts, loans, insurance, money
transfers and other banking services to customers that lack access to
traditional financial services, usually because of poverty (Tony Sheldon,
1998).
Lesser-developed economies do not have access to financial technologies
because perspective borrowers lack collateral; institutions do not want to pay
high monitoring, screening, and enforcement costs; and because risks are
very high in populations that suffer from severe illness, malnutrition, and low
levels of education. Microfinance is a wide variety of economic interventions
that aim to improve poor people’s access to financial technologies.
The model of the Grameen (Village) Bank of Bangladesh is the most well-
known and discussed model in the literature. Muhammad Yunus, a
Bangladeshi economist who founded the Grameen Bank in 1976, won the
2006 Nobel Peace Prize. As of 2007, the bank has 7.3 million members in
over 74,000 villages. Total assets are nearing $1 billion, the recovery rate is
98.4%, and profits are at $20 million. The distinguishing features of the
Grameen model are joint liability, forced savings, and ‘non-financial products’
that aim to change the social and economic infrastructure of Bangladesh and
other poor countries (Levine, 2012). Achieving balanced and inclusive
economic growth is a key challenge faced by policymakers in countries around
the world.
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The gains of economic growth are accessible to a greater extent by the
relatively advantaged, who find it easier to participate in the growth process.
Poorer people, who are separated by distance from the urban areas where
economic activity is concentrated, have to wait much longer to reap the
benefits of economic growth. Engaging these sections of society in the
economic mainstream is essential to achieve balanced growth, which is critical
for the long-term sustainability of social development and economic prosperity
(della, 2009).
Access to financial services is a key element of the process of socio-economic
empowerment. Only by delivering financial services to people in rural areas
and lower income strata can they be brought within the ambit of economic
activity. Only then can the full potential of the country’s physical and human
resources be realized. The rural economy represents a large latent demand
for credit, savings and risk mitigation products like insurance.
Governments and regulators the world over have articulated the expansion of
financial service delivery to this segment of the population as a priority
objective (Ustarz, 20013). Between 1997 and 2006, access to microfinance
grew 29% a year, i.e., at a scale large enough to consider its macroeconomic
impact. The Microcredit Summit Campaign, 2010, reports 3,552 institutions
serving 155 million borrowers, which including borrowers and their households
affect 533 million people, roughly the size of Latin America.
For various countries, microfinance loans now represent a significant fraction
of their GDP. Despite the growth and prevalence of microfinance and its
importance in academic and policy circles, quantitative analyses of these
programmes are almost exclusively limited to micro evaluations. The
macroeconomic effects of economy-wide microfinance have been largely
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unexplored. Since the wealthy already have access to financing beyond the
microfinance limit, only the poor have their choice set expanded by
microfinance, and the marginal entrepreneurs - who would have chosen not to
run their own business in the absence of microcredit - are affected in the most
direct and significant way (Verlag, 2001).
The paper finds that the typical microfinance program, when made widely
available, can have significant aggregate and distributional impacts, and that
the general equilibrium (GE) effects through wages and interest rates are
quantitatively important. In partial equilibrium (PE), microfinance induces a
high rate of entry among marginally-productive entrepreneurs, increasing the
capital/labor demand and output, but lowering the aggregate TFP. In GE,
however, the increase in wage that results from marginal entrepreneurs
selecting out of the labour supply - and demanding labor instead - has
strikingly different impacts on output, capital and TFP. In redistributing income
away from individuals with high saving rates (high-ability entrepreneurs) to
those with low saving rates (marginal entrepreneurs and workers ),
microfinance leads to lower aggregate saving and capital accumulation .
Higher wages and interest rates also lead low-productivity entrepreneurs to
exit, and TFP actually increases with microfinance in contrast to the PE result.
In net, the lower capital accumulation and higher TFP lead to positive overall
impacts on consumption and output, but the magnitudes are substantially
smaller than in PE. In Ghana, more than three-fourth of the population lives
under two dollars a day.
According to the fourth round of Ghana Living Standard Survey (GLSS 4),
access to capital credit is one of the most important factors that hinder
progress of most businesses in Ghana. The report further indicated that about
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60 per cent of non-farm enterprises have no access to capital or credit. The
regions with the highest incidence of poverty are Upper East, Upper West and
Northern regions. Since majority of the people in Ghana and particularly the
northern regions lives in poverty, micro finance is probably the most
appropriate way to provide financial services to a majority of Ghana’s poor
population. It is therefore, not surprising that the present government
perceives microfinance to be central to achieving the greater goal of poverty
alleviation.
Through microfinance the government aims to provide poor entrepreneurs,
especially those in the informal sector, with greater access to customized
financial services (Haruna, 2008). While microfinance is widely celebrated as a
possible solution to the financing problems of smaller firms and micro
businesses, there is remarkably little examination of the connection between
microfinance and product innovation as observed by. Studies in Ghana have
also largely concentrated on the role of MFIs in poverty reduction.
In terms of profitability, African MFIs do not fare well compared to their
counterparts in the rest of the world. African MFIs return on assets averages (-
2%), compared to 2.5% for the Latin America and Caribbean region, 3% for
MENA, 1% for Asia and 1.5% Eastern Europe African institutions faced
tremendous hurdles in reaching sustainability: low population density with a
predominantly rural population, weak communication infrastructure and high
labor costs (“compensation to employ and retain skilled personnel averaged
12 times GNI per capita, over twice as much as any other region in the world”,
MIX). In terms of women empowerment and gender equity, African
microfinance plays an important role. Women account for around 70% of the
world’s microfinance clients. The vast majority of them have excellent
repayment records, in spite of the daily hardships they face (Congo, 2003)
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Although microfinance does not address all the barriers to women’s
empowerment, when properly designed, they can make an important
contribution to women’s empowerment. Some of the most valued benefits
include expanded business and social networks, improved self-esteem,
increased household decision-making power, and increased respect and
prestige from both male and female relatives and community members.
Because women contribute decisively to the well-being of their families,
investing in women brings about a multiplier effect.
There are many testimonies from African women on the positive impacts
generated by their access to finance. Overall, MFIs in Africa are growing and
are dynamic. Clearly, there are some positives on the performance of African
MFIs to date. The sector is expanding. African MFIs are among the most
productive globally, as measured by the number of borrowers and savers per
staff member. MFIs in Africa also demonstrate high levels of portfolio quality
(lourents, 2012).
However, African MFIs face many challenges. Expenses are high, and on
average, revenues remain lower than in other global regions. Efficiency in
terms of cost per borrower is low. More importantly, available data suggests
that Africa has a long way to go before it bridges the gap between demand by
poor households for financial services and supply thereof. It is estimated that
the coverage rate for financial services to the poor in Africa is only 6.9%, the
lowest for the developing world. There are an average 2.5 branches for
100,000 persons in Sub Saharan Africa (SSA), compared to 15 in the rest of
the world; and an average 6 branches per 1,000 square kilometres compared
to 34 (IMF).
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In 2004, savings in banks represented only 19% of the GNP in SSA, against
38% on average in other regions; and private sector loans represented only
13%. On average, only 11% of households had access to savings accounts,
compared to 25% in other low- and middle income countries and 90% in
industrial countries. Chad and the Central African Republic have the lowest
access levels, with savings accounts held by less than 1% of the adult
population. By contrast, the figure is close to half in Botswana and South
Africa1.
2.3 Economic growthEconomic growth is an increase in the production and consumption of goods
and services. It entails increasing population and/or per capita consumption. It
is indicated by increasing gross domestic product (GDP). Economic growth
literally refers to an economy that is getting bigger, not necessarily one that is
getting better (Dalton, 1997). Economic growth has an indicator this includes
the: GDP “Gross Domestic Production”, employment rate and national income
of the state. There are many factor that leads economic for growth and
expansion this includes the availability of fund required by the business firm
from financial institutions, utilization of natural resources, usage technology
and many other factors (Yuenger, 1973).
Economic growth can be achieved when the aggregate demand and
aggregate supply increase thus economic growth means increase in real GDP
“Gross Domestic Production”. Whether or not our individual slice grows
depends on whether we are able to share in the growing economy. Even if we
do not benefit directly, we should still be able to see some advantages to the
growing economy. This is because the extra economic growth should produce
1 Source: MIX 2006 Peer Group Medians
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higher tax revenues, which can then be spent on public services that should
benefit everyone.
An increase in an economy's ability to produce goods and services, therefore
increasing economic output, is possible under two conditions:
More resources are used in the economy, and
Existing resources are used more efficiently.
Barriers to economic growth
We have seen earlier that the ability to grow an economy depends on using
more resources (land and labor, for example), or on more efficient use of
these resources. The correct term for the resources used is: factors of
production. There are four factors of production: land, labor, capital and
enterprise. Economic growth depends on the quality and availability of these
factors. If any of the factors of production suffers from a lack of quality or
availability, then economic growth will not be as great as its potential.
Other barriers exist that can hamper countries' ability to grow their economies.
They may be unable to gain access to export markets, due to the trade
policies of other countries. In order to protect their own domestic producers,
many countries block the imports of goods or services from other parts of the
world. The World Trade Organization (WTO) is a place where member
governments go to sort out the trade problems they have with each other
(mosses, 2009).
2.3.1 Gross domestic Production “GDP”
The monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a
country's borders in a specific time period, though GDP is usually calculated
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
on an annual basis. It includes all of private and public consumption,
government outlays, investments and exports less imports that occur within a
defined territory.
GDP estimates are commonly used to measure the economic performance of
a whole country or region, but can also measure the relative contribution of an
industry sector. This is possible because GDP is a measure of value added
rather than sales; it adds each firm's value added (the value of its output
minus the value of goods that are used up in producing it). For example, a firm
buys steel and adds value to it by producing a car; double counting would
occur if GDP added together the value of the steel and the value of the car.
Because it is based on value added, GDP also increases when an enterprise
reduces its use of materials or other resources (intermediate consumption) to
produce the same output.
A significant change in GDP, whether up or down, usually has a significant
effect on the stock market and financial institutions. It's not hard to understand
why: a bad economy usually means lower profits for companies, which in turn
means lower stock prices. Investors really worry about negative GDP growth,
which is one of the factors economists use to determine whether an economy
is in a recession. The use of GDP to measure economic growth is not without
its critics. Whilst it can be useful in seeing how different economies are moving
over time, GDP is criticized as a measure of how well-off people are.
In other words, GDP is not regarded as a good way of indicating the standard
of living of individuals and households in an economy. The current measure of
GDP is not good at reflecting the damage to the environment caused by much
economic activity. Many observers complain that this means that all economic
activity is seen as a positive event, even though it may harm the environment.
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In response to this, some countries are planning increased emphasis on
environmental national accounting, where the effects of activity on natural
resources are shown and the environmental impact of growth is highlighted.
Another regular complaint about GDP used as a measure of economic well-
being is that it ignores unpaid, voluntary work. It also fails to value domestic
work such as caring and child-rearing. Some economists have pointed to the
benefits that would flow if unpaid or voluntary work was included in measures
of economic activity. How has an economy developed? Which industries does
it depend on? How sustainable are the routes that a country has chosen to
follow towards the goal of growth? Why can't the progress of a country be
measured in ways other than just the amount of goods and services it
produces? How can we measure human happiness? These are all areas of
controversy in any analysis of economic growth.
The United Nations Development Program (UNDP) publishes its Human
Development Reports annually. A quote from their Web site illustrates well the
reason for focusing on the human aspects of economic activity “Human
development is about much more than the rise or fall of national incomes. It is
about creating an environment in which people can develop their full potential
and lead productive, creative lives in accord with their needs and interests.
People are the real wealth of nations (Hopkins, 2010). Development is thus
about expanding the choices people have to lead lives that they value.
And it is thus about much more than economic growth, which is only a means
- if a very important one - of enlarging people's choices”. Features of economic
growth are the role played by the international financial institutions:
International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank and WTO in the global
economy. Less developed economies are often structured in such a way that
agriculture forms a large part of their overall economy. Small scale or
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subsistence farming tends to produce low incomes for the people who work in
these countries. This leads to low effective demand for goods and services
other than those that are central to life. These economies are often
characterized by having low levels of private investment. This tends to be
because people are unable to save much of their already low incomes.
High fertility rates are often seen in less developed economies. Children often
form part of a family's wealth, as their labor is often seen as essential to the
family's survival.
2.3.1.1 Limitations to the usefulness of GDP as a measure of welfare:
Measures of GDP typically exclude unpaid economic activity, most importantly
domestic work such as childcare. This leads to distortions; for example, a paid
nanny's income contributes to GDP, but an unpaid parent's time spent caring
for children will not, even though they are both carrying out the same
economic activity. GDP takes no account of the inputs used to produce the
output. For example, if everyone worked for twice the number of hours, then
GDP might roughly double, but this does not necessarily mean that workers
are better off as they would have less leisure time. Similarly, the impact of
economic activity on the environment is not measured in calculating GDP.
Comparison of GDP from one country to another may be distorted by
movements in exchange rates. Measuring national income at purchasing
power parity may overcome this problem at the risk of overvaluing basic goods
and services, for example subsistence farming. GDP does not measure
factors that affect quality of life, such as the quality of the environment (as
distinct from the input value) and security from crime. This leads to distortions
- for example, spending on cleaning up an oil spill is included in GDP, but the
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negative impact of the spill on well-being (e.g. loss of clean beaches) is not
measured.
GDP is the mean (average) wealth rather than median (middle-point) wealth.
Countries with a skewed income distribution may have a relatively high per-
capita GDP while the majority of its citizens have a relatively low level of
income, due to concentration of wealth in the hands of a small fraction of the
population. See Gini coefficient. Because of this, other measures of welfare
such as the Human Development Index (HDI), Index of Sustainable Economic
Welfare (ISEW), Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI), gross national happiness
(GNH), and sustainable national income (SNI) are used.
2.3.2 Employment rate
Employment can be expressed in number of people working or in total working
hours. A mixed measure is the number of hours divided by standard working
hours to give a full-time equivalence to jobs.
In a macroeconomic perspective, levels of employment depend on levels of
economic activity (broadly measured by GDP) and on intensity of labor per
unit of product (productivity). An important role is played by institutional
arrangements (as laws, contracts and collective negotiations) on how to react
to slow-downs in GDP. Employment in a certain activity may be sealed up by
the number of employable skilled people and by timing, contents, and
effectiveness of vocational training.
Job openings signal to external population that a job place is available, either
because of a previous co-worker's foreign / retiring / moving along or away the
career ladder or because of the addition of a new job place (for higher
production or a new production). General population dynamics is a very broad
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framework for employment and should not be used as a proxy for its
dynamics, since demographic variables are extremely slow in changes,
whereas employment reacts to economic climate.
The relationship with wages is twofold: higher wages may reduce the incentive
for firms to employ but, conversely, high employment may give more power to
employees in wage negotiations, thus increasing their remuneration.
Employment creation happens both in the private and the public sector, while
policies and rules on the labor market and the general economy exert an
impact on both. Politicians promising job creation may mean to foster public
expenditure for goods and services produced in the private sector, thus
increasing the number of jobs there. The employment rate is the most
excellent indicator of how well the economy is doing relative to its productive
potential
2.3.2.1 Okun's Law - the Basics
In its most basic form, Okun's law investigates the statistical relationship
between a country's unemployment rate and the growth rate of its economy.
The economics research arm of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
explains that Okun's law "is intended to tell us how much of a country's gross
domestic product (GDP) may be lost when the unemployment rate is above its
natural rate. It goes on to explain that "the logic behind Okun's law is simple.
Output depends on the amount of labor used in the production process, so
there is a positive relationship between output and employment. Total
employment equals the labor force minus the unemployed, so there is a
negative relationship between output and unemployment (conditional on the
labor force)."
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That rule of thumb describes the observed relationship between changes in
the unemployment rate and the growth rate of real gross domestic product
(GDP). Okun noted that, because of ongoing increases in the size of the labor
force and in the level of productivity, real GDP growth close to the rate of
growth of its potential is normally required, just to hold the unemployment rate
steady. To reduce the unemployment rate, therefore, the economy must grow
at a pace above its potential.
More specifically, according to currently accepted versions of Okun's law, to
achieve a 1 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate in the course
of a year, real GDP must grow approximately 2 percentage points faster than
the rate of growth of potential GDP over that period. So, for illustration, if the
potential rate of GDP growth is 2%, Okun's law says that GDP must grow at
about a 4% rate for one year to achieve a 1 percentage point reduction in the
rate of unemployment.
2.3.3 National income
The sum total of all the goods and services produced in a country, in a
particular period of time. Normally this period consists of one year duration, as
a year is neither too short nor long a period. National product is usually used
synonymous with National income (Fisher, 1998). GDP per capita (per person)
is often used as a measure of a person's welfare. Countries with higher GDP
may be more likely to also score high on other measures of welfare, such as
life expectancy. The concept of national income is linked to the society as a
whole. It differs fundamentally from the concept of private income.
Conceptually, national income refers to the money value of the entire final
goods and services resulting from all economic activities of the country. This is
not true of private income. Also from the calculation point of view, there are
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certain receipts of money or of services and goods that are not ordinarily
included in private incomes but are included in the national incomes, and vice
versa. National income includes, for example, employer's contribution to the
social security and welfare funds for the benefit of employees, profits of public
enterprises, and services of owner occupied houses. But it excludes the
interest on war-loans, social security benefits and pensions (deltur, 1998).
There items are, however, included in the private incomes. The national
income is, therefore, not merely an aggregation of the private incomes. One
can however obtain an estimate of national income by summing up the private
incomes after making necessary adjustments for the items excluded from the
national income.
The trend in national income determines the trends in aggregate demand, i.e.,
the demand for the goods and services, and also the business prospects.
Therefore, business decision makers need to keep in mind these aspects of
the national income, especially those having long-run implications. National
income or a relevant component of it is an indispensable variable considered
in demand forecasting. Conceptually, national income is the money value of
the end result of all economic activities of the nation. Economic activities
generate a large number of goods and services, and make net addition to the
national stock of capital (pareto, 2001). These together constitute the national
income of a ‘closed economy’—an economy which has no economic
transactions with the rest of the world. In an ‘open economy’, national income
includes also the net results of its transactions with the rest of the world ( i.e.,
exports less imports).
2.3.3.1 Methods of measuring National Income
2.3.3.1.1 Output
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The output approach focuses on finding the total output of a nation by directly
finding the total value of all goods and services a nation produces. Because of
the complication of the multiple stages in the production of a good or service,
only the final value of a good or service is included in the total output. This
avoids an issue often called 'double counting', wherein the total value of a
good is included several times in national output, by counting it repeatedly in
several stages of production. In the example of meat production, the value of
the good from the farm may be $10, then $30 from the butchers, and then $60
from the supermarket (Petty, 2009). The value that should be included in final
national output should be $60, not the sum of all those numbers, $90. The
values added at each stage of production over the previous stage are
respectively $10, $20, and $30. Their sum gives an alternative way of
calculating the value of final output.
Formulae: GDP(gross domestic product) at market price = value of output in
an economy in the particular year - intermediate consumption at factor cost =
GDP at market price - depreciation + NFIA (net factor income from abroad) -
net indirect taxes
NDP at factor cost = Compensation of employees + Net interest + Rental &
royalty income + Profit of incorporated and unincorporated NDP at factor cost.
2.3.3.1.2 Expenditure
The expenditure approach is basically an output accounting method. It
focuses on finding the total output of a nation by finding the total amount of
money spent. This is acceptable, because like income, the total value of all
goods is equal to the total amount of money spent on goods. The basic
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formula for domestic output takes all the different areas in which money is
spent within the region, and then combines them to find the total output
Y=C+ I+G+ ( x−m )
c=household consumptionI=InvestmentG=Gov ExpeditureX=ExportM=Import
Note: (X - M) is often written as XN or less commonly as NX, both stands for
"net exports".
2.3.3.1.3 Income Method:
Under this method, national income is measured as a flow of factor incomes.
There are generally four factors of production labor, capital, land and
entrepreneurship. Labor gets wages and salaries, capital gets interest, land
gets rent and entrepreneurship gets profit as their remuneration. Besides,
there are some self-employed persons who employ their own labor and capital
such as doctors, advocates, CAs, etc. Their income is called mixed income.
The sum-total of all these factor incomes is called NDP at factor costs
(wagner, 1997).
2.3.3.2 Uses of national income statistics:
The major and for most reason caused for the measurement of national
income is to be used and analyzed for the following points:
Measure economic growth and changes in the standard of living in a
country.
To help government to assess the state of the economic and plan future
policy.
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Compare economic performance and standard of living in different
countries.
Identifies the countries that are not in need for aid.
Calculates the contribution which countries should make to international
organizations: World Bank and IMF.
2.3.3.3 Problems of measuring national income:
If national income figures are not to be used for measuring and comparing the
economic performances and activity then they need to be accurate however
there a number of reasons why the national income statistics is not may not
inaccurate some of them are listed below:
Errors and omissions occur when collecting and calculating the statistics.
People deliberate hide what they earn or what they produce in order to avoid
tax or claim benefit –“Black or shadow economic”.
Over recording of output where double accounting occur
Over recording of income when transfer of income are included
2.3.3.4 Difficulties when using national income for making comparison over time or between countries:
National income figures are used to compare changes in standard of living but
there are difficulties:
Method of calculating national income may differ over time or between
countries.
Statistics have to be adjusted for inflation –accuracy depends on inflation
figures.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Standard of living is measured by income per person “per capita” so
population changes must also be measured.
Statistics do not show difference in ranges design and quality of goods and
services.
Statistics do not show difference in working conditions, hours and leisure
time.
Social costs are not taken into account.
2.3.3.5 Importance of National Income Computation in Modern Economic Analysis
The computation of national income is one of the very important statistics for a
country. IT has several important uses and therefore there is a great need for
their regular preparation (huizer, 2000). The following are some of the
important uses of national income statistics.
2.3.3.5.1 Level of Economic Welfare
The national income estimate reveals the overall performance of the country
during a given financial year. With the help of this statistics the per capita
income i.e. the income earned by every individual is calculated. It is obtained
35
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
by dividing the total national income by the total population. With this we come
to the level of economic welfare in terms of its standard of living.
2.3.3.5.2 Rate of Economic Growth
With the help of national income statistics we can know whether the economy
is growing or declining. In simple words it helps us to know the conditions of a
country economy. If the national income is growing over a period of year it
means that the economy is growing and if the national income has reduced as
compares to the previous it reveals that the economy is detraining. Similarly
the growing per capita income shows an increasing standard of living of the
people which are a positive sign of a nation’s growth and vice versa.
2.3.3.5.3 Distribution of Wealth
One of the most important objectives that is achieved after calculating national
income is to check its distribution among different categories of income such
as wages, profits, rents and interest. It helps to understand that how well the
income is distributed among the various factors of the economy and their
distribution among the people as well.
2.3.3.5.4 Ease in Planning
Since the national income estimates also contain the figures of saving,
consumption and investment in the economy so it proves to be a valuable
guide to economic policy relating to planning and active government
intervention in the economy. The estimates are used as a data for future
planning also.
2.3.3.5.5 Formation of Budget
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Budget is an effective tool for planning and control. It is prepared in the light of
the information regarding consumption, saving, and investment which is all
provided by the national income estimates. Further we can assess and
evaluate the achievements or otherwise of the development targets laid down
in the plans from the changes in national income and its various components.
3 Chapter three: methodology
3.1 IntroductionThis chapter provides a detail description of selected methodology which
includes: study design, population and sampling, data collection method and
data analysis techniques.
3.2 Research design In general, research design is the general plan and structure for the shape of
the research used to achieve the aim of the study. In the point that this
research will view is financial institution and economic growth in punt land.
Research design provides a framework for the collection and analysis of data.
So, the study will use descriptive design to get a deeper information and high
analytical approach to develop solutions.
3.3 Population and sampling
The target area for this research is business centre of punt land
(Bosaso). And the target population for this study is also totaled to sixty
individuals with different qualifications from different institutions. While
the sample size will be 30 individuals coming from different sections of
the selected study population.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
3.3.1 Study population
The researcher has limited the sample frame for the study in the pursuance of
this research, it shall focus on, how fluctuations of Somali shilling, exchange
rates and economic stability in Puntland.
The researcher specified the number of the target population for the study.
The number study population will reach 60 people who mainly from different
economic sectors such as, households, business sector and government
institutions.
Table 3.3.1
Stockholder Male female Total
Government sectors 8 4 12
business sector 12 6 18
Households sector 6 9 15
Education and
research center
7 8 15
Total 33 27 60
This table indicates that the target population of the study; consists of four
parties with in the target population. Government sector contains both male
and female gender. Similarly households, business sectors and education and
research centers are also include the target population of study.
3.3.2 Sample of the study
Sampling is a process of selecting study subject; it will employ probability
theory to draw a sample from a hole of the study population .due to the
resource, cost, feasibility and other reasons the population may be
38
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
unreachable or too large to conduct the study. So, the researcher may wish to
consider more feasible and accessible groups for the population. The study
sample will be selected from the above mentioned population by proportional
form.
Table 3.3.2
Stockholder/gender Male Female Total
Government sectors 3 2 5
Financial institutions
Business sectors and
households
5 7 12
Education and research centers 5 3 8
Total 13 12 25The above table shows the sample size of the study; it consists of five
members from government sector, twelve members from business sector and
households and another eight members form education and research centers.
All sections contain male and female gender.
3.3.3 Sampling procedure
The research used both purposive and simple random sampling. This is where
the researcher selects typical and cause the population is too large to examine
as a whole. The researcher selected only some respondents that has same
characteristics, in which researcher anticipated to get full information which
useful for conducting this research.
Purposive sampling was used on 5 respondents including the finance officers.
And the remaining 20 sample were selected from different parts of society
including education and research centers, business firm’s households and
government agencies. In applying of purposive sampling the researcher
39
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
decided who was included in the sample, it is used to collect focused
information, normally and useful cases are preferred.
3.4 Data Collection3.4.1 Instrumentations
The researcher used interview and questionnaire research instruments which
are structured set of questions designed to generate the information required
for specific purpose which is suitable in large population with short time. The
information of the questionnaire is described in writing while the information of
the interview is described in oral explanation while the researcher is asking
question and taking key notes.
3.5 Quality control of the study3.5.1 Validity
Validity postulated by tuck man 1978 is concerning with measurement it deals
with accuracy and effectiveness of the measuring what it tends to measure,
the validity of a test extent to which test measures what is supposed to
measure, the researcher make use of sampling according to NWABUEZE
1986 sampling is a method of sample it is a process in which every individual
in the population has equal chance of being selected in to the sample of the
study.
3.5.2 Reliability
Reliability of a test instrument according to Ogbomosho 2006 is consistency of
the test in measuring whatever intends to measure, it involves the accuracy of
both the process and result of the measurement where that a measuring
instrument is reliable if it provide the same data when administrator twice or
40
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
more under the similar condition, the question and interview are reliable
because it has given the researcher the desired result.
Reliability refers to the consistency that an instrument demonstrates when
applied repeatedly under similar conditions (Erlanger, 1983). The reliability of
the research instruments were by established by the researcher before
analysis and consequent presentation.
3.6 Data AnalysisAnalysis of data is a process of inspecting, cleaning, transforming, and
modeling data with the goal of highlighting useful information, suggesting
conclusions, and supporting decision making. Data analysis has multiple
facets and approaches, encompassing diverse techniques under a variety of
names, in different business, science, and social science domains.
The researcher demonstrated analytical discussion of research findings based
on evidence compiled with logical and analytical arguments. Data was
analyzed both quantitatively and qualitatively. Descriptive methods were
employed and data presented in the form of frequent distribution tables,
graphs and charts that facilitated description and explanation of the study
findings.
3.7 Ethical ConsiderationsEthical consideration is conducting research in a academic or professional
setting you need to be aware of ethics behind your research activity, Here are
some specific points to consider: Bearing in mind the ethical issues, the
researcher provided the respondents with the necessary information as
regards the main purpose of the research, expected duration and procedures
to be followed, and be in position to keep privacy and not disclose the
confidentiality of respondents and researchers responsibility.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
3.7.1 Permission to conduct the research
"In order to conduct research at an institution, approval for conducting the
research should be obtained before data is collected" (Mc Milan &Schumacher
1993). In this study, the researcher first required permission Mogadishu
University before collecting data.
3.7.2 Informed Consent
"Participants were given enough information pertaining to the study before
data collection" (Schulze 2002). In this study, the participants were given
adequate information on the aims of the study, the procedures that would be
followed, and the possible advantages for the participants, the credibility of the
research and the way in which the results would be used. This enabled
participants to make an informed decision on whether they wanted to
participate in the research or not. No form of dishonesty was used to ensure
the participation of the participants.
3.7.3 Confidentiality and secrecy
"A researcher has to be responsible at all times and be vigilant, mindful and
sensitive to human dignity" (Gray, 1996). This is supported by Mc Milan and
Schumacher (1997) who stress that information on participants should be
regarded as confidential unless otherwise agreed on through informed
consent.
3.8 Research LimitationsThe researcher faced the following problems during data collection
1).The respondents were suspicious of possible investigations by competing
firms but the researcher assured them of the academic purpose of the
findings.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
2).The researcher had problems dealing with respondents who could not
respond in English, the researcher solved it by translating into Somalia and
Arabic to facilitate easy answering of the questionnaire.
4 CHAPTER FOUR PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA
4.1 Overview This chapter presents, and analyses the study findings on financial institutions
and its impact on economic growth in Puntland Somalia. The data was
collected using instruments like questionnaire, and interview, which was
highlighted under the researcher’s methodology the data, is presented using
cross tabulations tables and charts, to establish the extent to which financial
institutions. The first section presents the response rate. This is followed by
background information about the respondents and a presentation and
analysis of the study findings in relation to the specific objectives.
4.2 Characteristics of respondentThe researcher distributed 25 questionnaires to Bosaso business, and
institutional workers. All the questionnaires were completed and returned
back. This means that questionnaires which have been completed
represented a good response rate which was considered more enough for the
objectives of the study. This section gives the characteristics of the
respondents in cross tabulations and graphs in relation to job title, highest
level of education, gender and age of the respondents with the business firm
based on the information provided by the respondents themselves using the
study questionnaire.
4.2.1 GENDERS OF THE RESPONDENTS
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Table 4.2.1 gender of respondents
Gender of Respondent Frequency Percentage
Male 13 52.0
Female 12 48.0
Total 25 100.0
Source: Primary data
It is observed from table 4.2.1 and figure 4.2.1 that the 52% of the
respondents were males since there was 48% female of the respondent.
While number of male respondents were 13 out of 25 participants as well as
female respondent number was 12.
52%
48%malefemale
Figure 4.2.1
4.2.2 AGE OF RESPONDENT
TABLE 4.2.2 AGE OF RESPONDENTS
Class Intervals Frequency Percent18-25 10 40.0
26-35 10 40.0
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
36-45 3 12.0
above 45 2 8.0
Total 25 100.0
Source: Primary data
It is observed from table 4.2.2 and figure 4.4.2 shows that the 40% of the
respondent were between 18 up to 25 years old, which means 10 of total
respondents, where another 40% of the respondents were between in age 26
to 35 years old and where 12% of the respondent were between in age 36 up
to 45 which means 3 and other remaining participants were 8% was above 45
which means 2 persons of the respondents were above 45.
18-25 26-35 36-45 above 45
40%40%
12%
8%
Figure 4.2.3
4.2.3 Marital status
Table 4.2.3 marital status of respondents
Marital Status Frequency Percent
Single 10 40%
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Married 12 48%
Divorced 2 8%
Widowed 1 4%
Total 25 100%
Source Primary Data
It is observed from table 4.2.3 and figure 4.2.3 shows that the 40% of the
respondent were single which means 10 of total respondents, where 48% of
the respondents were married which means 12 of total respondent and where
8% of the respondent were Divorced which means 2 and other remaining
participants were 4% was widowed which means 1 persons of the
respondents.
40%
48%
8%
4%
Marital Statussingle married divorced widowed
Figure 4.2.3
4.2.4 Educational Level
Table 4.2.4 educational level of respondent
Educational Level Frequency Percent
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Secondary 2 8%
Diploma 4 16%
bachelor degree 10 40%
master degree 9 36%
Source: primary data
From the table 4.2.4 and figure 4.2.4 demonstrate us that the majority of the
respondents are Bachelor level, 40% of the participants were Bachelor degree
level. While 36% of them were master level, and the 16% of were diploma and
remaining 8% were secondary level students.
secondary diploma bachelor degree master degree
8%
16%
40%
36%
Educational level
Figure 4.2.4
4.3 Financial institutions4.3.1 Central government and internationally recognized bank
47
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Table 4.3.1 CENTRAL GOVERNMENT and INTERNATIONAL RECOGNIZED
BANK
SINCE THE COLLAPSE OF CENTRAL GOVERNMENT THE STATE DOES NOT HAVE A LEGALLY AND INTERNATIONAL RECOGNIZED BANK
Respondents alternatives Frequency Percent
Strongly agree 15 60.0
Agree 3 12.0
Disagree 2 8.0
Strongly disagree 4 16.0
No idea 1 4.0
Total 25 100.0
Source: Primary data
Figure 4.3.1
It is detected from table 4.3.1 and figure 4.3.1 shows that the 60% of the
respondent were strongly agreed that lack of government is the main reason
for the absence of international recognized bank, which means 15 of total
respondents, where 12% of the respondents which means 3 person of total
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
respondents were agree that there is a relationship between absence of
central government and international Recognized bank where 8% of the
respondent were which means 3 and other remaining participants were 8%
which means 2 persons out of total 25 respondents was disagree that the
collapse of central government is the result of lack international recognized
bank for the state as well as there is 16% of the respondents which is strongly
disagree and they argue that absolutely there is no relationship between them
and finally 4% of the respondent which means one persons do not knows
anything between them.
4.3.2 Lack of international recognized financial and economic situation
Table 4.3.2 Lack of international recognized financial institutions will lead the
economic to fall dawn
Options for respondent Frequency Percent
strongly agree 5 20.0
Agree 14 56.0
Disagree 2 8.0
strongly disagree 3 12.0
no idea 1 4.0
Total 25 100.0
Primary sources
49
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Figure 4.3.2
In the above table and figure explains that 20% of respondents are strongly
agree that lack of international recognized bank leads economy to fall dawn
also agree 56% of the respondent that lack of international recognized bank
leads economy to fall dawn. In contrast 8% of respondents are disagree that
lack of international recognized bank leads economy to fall dawn as well as
12% of respondents are strongly disagree lack of international recognized
bank leads economy to fall dawn and finally 4% of respondents don’t have any
information about two factors.
4.3.3 Microfinance poverty reduction mechanism
Options for respondent Frequency Percent
strongly agree 13 52.0
Agree 8 32.0
Disagree 1 4.0
strongly disagree 2 8.0
no idea 1 4.0
Total 25 100.0
Table 4.3.3 Sources primary data
50
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Figure 4.3.3
From above table and figure clarifies that 52% of respondents are strongly
agree that microfinance plays key role for poverty reduction also agree 32% of
the respondent that microfinance plays key role for poverty reduction. In
contrast 4% of respondents are disagree that microfinance plays key role for
poverty reduction as well as 8% of respondents are strongly disagree
microfinance plays key role for poverty reduction and lately 4% of respondents
don’t know that microfinance is poverty reduction mechanism or not.
4.3.4 Insurance companies and risk recovery
Table 4.3.4 Absence of insurance companies reduces risk recovery
Frequency Percent
strongly agree 7 28.0Agree 4 16.0Disagree 7 28.0
strongly disagree 6 24.0
no idea 1 4.0Total 25 100.0
Sources primary data
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Figure 4.3.4
It is obtained from table 4.3.4 and figure 4.3.4 that the 28% of the respondent
were strongly agreed that absence of insurance companies reduces risk
recovery where 16% of the respondents agreed that absence of insurance
companies reduces risk recovery where 28% of the respondent are disagreed
that absence of insurance companies reduces risk recovery as well as there is
24% of the respondents which is strongly disagreed that absence of insurance
companies reduces risk recovery and ultimately 4% of the respondent which
means one persons do not knows risk recovery of insurance companies.
4.3.5 Remittance and standard of living of the Households
Table 4.2.5 Remittance from abroad takes a great role standard of living of the
households
Frequency Percent
strongly agree 11 44.0
Agree 8 32.0
Disagree 3 12.0
strongly disagree 1 4.0
no idea 2 8.0
Total 25 100.0
Source: primary data
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Figure 4.2.5
since above table and figure simplifies that 44% of respondents are strongly
agree that Remittance from abroad takes a great role standard of living of the
households also 32% of the respondent agreed that Remittance from abroad
takes a great role standard of living of the households. In contrast 12% of
respondents are disagree that Remittance from abroad takes a great role
standard of living of the households as well as 4% of respondents are strongly
disagree that Remittance from abroad takes a great role standard of living of
the households and finally 8% of respondents don’t know any idea.
4.3.6 Legal Financial framework and mutual understanding
Table 4.3.6 Lack of financial legal framework lowers mutual understanding
between parties
Options for respondent Frequency Percentstrongly agree 3 12.0
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Agree 5 20.0
Disagree 6 24.0
strongly disagree 1 4.0
no idea 10 40.0
Total 25 100.0
Source Primary data
Figure 4.2.6
It is observed from table 4.3.6 and figure 4.3.6 that the 12% of the respondent
were strongly agreed that Lack of financial legal framework lowers mutual
understanding between parties however 20% of the respondents agreed that
Lack of financial legal framework lowers mutual understanding between
parties anywhere 24% of the respondent are disagreed that Lack of financial
legal framework lowers mutual understanding between parties as well as there
is 4% of the respondents which is strongly disagreed that Lack of financial
legal framework lowers mutual understanding between parties and ultimately
40% of the respondent which means one persons do not knows legal financial
framework and mutual understanding.
4.4 Improvement of economic growth4.4.1 Financial institutions and employment rate
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Table 4.4.1 investment of financial institutions leads to employment
opportunities
Options for respondents Frequency Percent
strongly agree 15 60.0
Agree 7 28.0
Disagree 1 4.0
strongly disagree 1 4.0
no idea 1 4.0
Total 25 100.0
Source: Primary Data
Figure 4.4.1
It is obtained from table 4.4.1 and figure 4.4.1 that the 60% of the respondent
were strongly agreed that investment of financial institutions leads to
employment opportunities where 28% of the respondents agreed that
investment of financial institutions leads to employment opportunities where
4% of the respondent are disagreed that investment of financial institutions
leads to employment opportunities as well as there is 4% of the respondents
which is strongly disagreed that investment of financial institutions leads to
employment opportunities and ultimately 4% of the respondent which means
55
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
one persons do not knows how financial institutions effect employment
opportunities.
4.4.2 Financial institutions and domestic productions
Table 4.4.2 financial institutions encourages domestic production
Frequency Percent
strongly agree 10 40.0
Agree 11 44.0
Disagree 2 8.0
strongly disagree 1 4.0
no idea 1 4.0
Total 25 100.0
Source Primary data
Figure 4.4.2
while above table and figure simplifies that 40% of respondents are strongly
agree that financial institutions encourages domestic production also 44% of
the respondent agreed that financial institutions encourages domestic
production. In compare 8% of respondents are disagree that financial
institutions encourages domestic production as well as 4% of respondents are
56
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
strongly disagree that financial institutions encourages domestic production
and lastly 4% of respondents don’t have any idea.
4.4.3 Microfinance and small entrepreneurs
Table 4.4.3 Microfinance institutions provides credit for small entrepreneurs
Frequency Percent
strongly agree 5 20.0
Agree 12 48.0
Disagree 2 8.0
strongly disagree 5 20.0
no idea 1 4.0
Total 25 100.0
Source primary Data
Figure 4.4.3
It is viewed from table 4.4.3 and figure 4.4.3 that the 20% of the respondent
are strongly agreed that Microfinance institutions provides credit for small
entrepreneurs 48% of the respondents agreed that Microfinance institutions
provides credit for small entrepreneurs anywhere 8% of the respondent are
disagreed that Microfinance institutions provides credit for small entrepreneurs
57
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
as well as there is 20% of the respondents which is strongly disagreed that
Microfinance institutions provides credit for small entrepreneurs and ultimately
4% of the respondent do not knows either Microfinance institutions provides
credit for small entrepreneurs or not.
4.4.4 Development banks and infrastructures
Table 4.4.4 Development bank contribute for infrastructural development
Frequency Percent
strongly agree 8 32.0
Agree 10 40.0
Disagree 3 12.0
strongly disagree 1 4.0
no idea 3 12.0
Total 25 100.0
Source: primary data
Figure 4.4.4
It is observed from table 4.4.4 and figure 4.4.4 that the 32% of the
respondents strongly agreed that Development bank contribute for
infrastructural development however 40% of the respondent agreed that
58
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Development bank contribute for infrastructural development. Although 12% of
respondents disagreed that Development bank contribute for infrastructural
development as well as 4% of respondent strongly disagreed that
Development bank contribute for infrastructural development while 12% of
respondents haven’t any idea.
4.4.5 Hawala and inflation
Table 4.4.5 Hawala institutions leads to inflation
Options for participant Frequency Percent
strongly agree 4 16.0
Agree 4 16.0
Disagree 5 20.0
strongly disagree 9 36.0
no idea 3 12.0
Total 25 100.0
Source Primary Data
From the table 4.4.5 and figure 4.4.5 demonstrate us that 16% of the
participants strongly agreed that Hawala institutions lead to inflation. Even as
16 % of respondents agreed that Hawala institutions lead to inflation in
59
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
difference 20% of participants disagree that Hawala institution lead to inflation
as well as 36% strongly disagree that Hawala institutions lead to inflation and
there is 12% with no idea.
4.4.6 Factors of production and economic growth
Table 4.4.6 availability of factor of production leads to economic growth
Frequency Percent
strongly agree 11 44.0
Agree 9 36.0
Disagree 2 8.0
strongly disagree 1 4.0
no idea 2 8.0
Total 25 100.0
Source Primary Data
Figure 4.4.6
From the table 4.4.6 and figure 4.4.6 shows that the 44% of the participants
strongly agreed that availability of factors of production lead to economic
growth. As well as 36% of respondents agreed that availability of factors of
60
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
production lead to economic growth but in different 8% of respondents
disagreed that availability of factors of production lead to economic growth
whereby 4% of them strongly disagreed that availability of factors of
production lead to economic growth though 8% of respondents haven’t any
idea.
4.4.7 Exchange rate and foreign direct investment
Table 4.4.7 Stability of foreign exchange rate leads to an increase for foreign
direct investment
Respondents Frequency Percentstrongly agree 11 44.0Agree 9 36.0Disagree 2 8.0strongly disagree 1 4.0no idea 2 8.0Total 25 100.0
Source Primary Data
Figure 4.4.7
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
Since the table 4.4.5 and figure 4.4.5 express that 44% of the participants
strongly agreed that Factors of production lead to economic growth. Even as
36 % of respondents agreed that Factors of production lead to economic
growth in difference 8% of participants disagreed that Factors of production
lead to economic growth as well as 4% strongly disagree that Factors of
production lead to economic growth and there is nearby 8% with no idea.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
5 CHAPTER FIVE: FINDINGS, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Overview This chapter presents the summary of findings, conclusion and
recommendations of the results from chapter four as related to the views of
scholars in the literature review and the background of the study. The
summary and discussion given in this chapter, aim at answering the research
questions. The conclusion reached is based on the discussion of the findings.
The recommendations are made from the conclusion.
5.2 FindingsThe major findings of the study was interpreted and presented in relation to
the objectives of the study. During the analysis of data presented in chapter
four,
the researcher found out that the majority of respondents strongly
agreed that since the central government collapsed the state doesn’t
have legally and properly working central banking so thus the economic
situation and supply of money in the market was not good as well as
the state doesn’t have legally and internationally recognized bank so
that it resulted for economic decline however absence of development it
plays an effective role for economic reject.
The researcher locates that the most and majority of participants
strongly agreed that there is a strong relationship between remittances
and economic growth knowing that for the last three decades
remittances was play an important role for economic growth via sending
the money from abroad to families and business entities furthermore
remittances help households to get money from their relatives in abroad
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
to cover daily life business firms send, receive and collect money using
though the remittances.
Researcher discovers that the most of respondents agreed that there is
a little few number of microfinance institutions though they are new but
they lead to economic growth as they creates employment for society
as well as they enables microenterprises for sustaining and growth
thought microcredit.
5.3 CONCLUSIONIn this paper, the researcher has explained the impact of financial institutions
on economic growth in Puntland Financial institutions perform an important
role in the development process, particularly through their role in allocating
resources to their most productive uses. More efficient financial markets help
economic agents hedge, trade, pool risk, raising investment and economic
growth. Financial institutions provide consumers and commercial clients with a
wide range of services and different types of banking products.
Banks act as delegated monitors and ensure that firms use the resources
allocated to them effectively. They also play an important role in sharing risk in
the economy by diversifying and smoothing fluctuations over time.
Remittances plays effective role for economic growth as chapter four of the
study shows. Microfinance sector remains at a nascent stage of development
and requires further improvements in both quality and quantity in order to be a
successful tool of economic development.
An increase in the financial institutions, leads to an increase of produced
goods and services, economic growth can be measured in nominal terms,
which include inflation, or in real terms, which are adjusted for inflation. For
comparing one country's economic growth to another, GDP or GNP per capita
should be used as these take into account population differences between
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
countries. Numerous evidences suggest that financial institutions are
important for growth at early stages of economic developments. As regards
industrial economies, the evidence is less conclusive at the aggregate level.
Tentatively, the evidence for stock markets is stronger than for variables on
banking activity. Studies at the firm level yield relatively strong support for the
growth-enhancing effect of finance.
Effective and suitably working financial institutions will pilot to economic
growth of the state as shown from chapter four most of respondents strongly
agreed that financial institutions can affect the economic in two ways either for
improvement of for economic decline therefore useful financial institutions will
lead economic growth.
5.4 RECOMMENDATIONSAfter the completion of the study on financial institutions and economic growth
in Puntland , some recommendation were formulated on the basis of the
findings obtained, so as to help the financial institutions that are existing in
Puntland state and other regions of Somalia.
The researcher will recommend following advices after the evidence from
respondents of the study on financial institutions on economic growth in
punt-land; in Somalia and especially in Puntland there is no legal financial
framework so that researcher will recommend to develop and implement
legal financial framework, as well as punt-land government have to
develop strategies to attract the international and multinational financial
institutions including banking sectors, and other non-banking financial
institutions.
However Puntland government have to collaborate financial institutions to
motivate and mobilize society to build and increase the habit of society in
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
banking and financial institutions as well as to remove the wrong ideology
and inhabit of society while dealing financial institutions, absence of most
and effective financial institutions such as Mutual fund, credit unions,
insurance companies and many others business society have to come up
with new projects to invest, create and build the remaining financial
institutions.
However remittances plays important role for surviving and helping society
for the last three decades thus this doesn’t means that they are don’t have
criticisms, Somali remittances in most countries do not have license to
operate and send money but they have an account from other banks to
send money in Somalia so that the study will recommend them to take
license in order to transfer money In a legal way.
Nevertheless the international financial organizations such as World Bank,
IMF, IDB and others will be recommended to help the state in order to
improve, increase the existing microfinance institutions and craft new
institutions to improve and help under bank people and microenterprises.
The researcher would also like to recommend Banks, microfinance
institutions, remittances and government to collaborate for the aim to
change the manner of society in financial institutions. On the other hand
the researcher gives advice to existing banks and microfinance institutions
to reduce terms and conditions of loan and investment to aspire the
customer which guides more investment via loans and investment from the
banks which leads economic growth.
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IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
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Appendix I
QUESTIONNAIRESIntroduction
Dear respondent,
I am a Researcher pursuing on impact of financial institutions on economic growth. This is to request you to complete the attached questionnaire
diligently and honestly as your views will be used for purposes of achieving
the academic objectives of this study.
Instructions
Please kindly respond to all items in these questionnaires
Put a (a tick) alongside the option that is most applicable to you or fill in
the spaces provided.
Do not need to write your name in this questionnaire.
Section A: Background information about the respondents:
1) Age
21-30yrs [ ] 31-40yrs [ ] 41-50yrs [ ] 51-60yrs [ ]
2) Sex
Male [ ] Female [ ]
3) Marital status
Single [ ] Married [ ] Divorced [ ] Widowed [ ]
4) Highest level of education Secondary [ ] Diploma [ ] Bachelor
Degree [ ] Master Degree [ ]
70
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS QUESTIONNAIRE
Instructions
Indicate the extent to which you agree with the following observations on
financial institutions
Financial institutions 1 2 3 4 5
Since the collapse of central government of Somalia
the state doesn’t have a legally and internationally
recognized bank
Lack of international recognized financial institutions
will lead the economy to fall down
Micro-finance institutions play a key role of poverty
reduction
Absence of insurance companies reduces risk
recovery
Remittance from abroad takes a great role on
standard of living of the household.
Lack of financial legal framework lowers mutual
understanding between parties
Please use the key to answer the following questions by indicating: (1) for
strongly agree, (2) for agree (3) for disagree (4) for strongly disagree (5) for no
idea
71
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PUNTLAND
QUESTIONNAIRE OF THE ECONOMIC GROWTH
Instructions
Indicate the extent to which you agree with the following observations on
remittance in your house hold.
Economic growth 1 2 3 4 5Investment of financial institutions leads to
employment opportunities
Financial institutions encourage domestic
production
Micro-finance institutions provide credit for
small entrepreneurs
Development banks contribute for
infrastructural development
Hawala institutions lead to inflation
Availability of factor of production leads to
economic growth
Stability of foreign exchange rate leads to
an increase for foreign direct investment
Please use the key to answer the following questions by indicating: (1) for
strongly agree, (2) for agree (3) for disagree (4) for strongly disagree (5) no
idea
Thanks
Daud Dahir Hassan
72