ECONOMIC GROWTH

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Assessment of Progress on JAM Implementation 2005 – 2007 GONU Sudan Consortium May 5 th – 7 th , 2008

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Assessment of Progress on JAM Implementation 2005 – 2007 GONU Sudan Consortium May 5 th – 7 th , 2008. ECONOMIC GROWTH. INFLATION. DEGREE OF OPENNESS. DEVELOPMENT AND PRO-POOR EXPENDITURE. OIL DEPENDENCY. Oil Dependency. External Debt. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of ECONOMIC GROWTH

Page 1: ECONOMIC GROWTH

Assessment of Progress on JAM Implementation

2005 – 2007GONU

Sudan ConsortiumMay 5th – 7th, 2008

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ECONOMIC GROWTH

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Annual Aggregate

GDP

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GDP Growth (real %)Per capita income (US$)

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INFLATION

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10152025303540

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Ann

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nfla

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05101520253035404550

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Annual Inflation average (%) Money Supply Change (%)

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DEGREE OF OPENNESS

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20070246810121416

Imports US$ million FDI IN US$ million Current Account Balance (%) of GDP

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DEVELOPMENT AND PRO-POOR EXPENDITURE

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Pro-poor Expenditure as (%) of GDP Government Federal Investments as (%) of GDP

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OIL DEPENDENCY

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Non Oil Growth (%) % of Non Oil Exports of Total Exports

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Oil Dependency

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101520253035404550

Percentage

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Non-Oil Revenues as % of Total Revenues

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External Debt

• External debt is unsustainable, estimated at US$ 28.4 billion at the end of the year 2006 representing about 86% of export and 77% of GDP.

• A strong and sustained track record of sound economic policies as shown by the IMF Staff Monitored Programs.

• Yet the country was deprived from accessing any debt reduction facility such as the HIPCs

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Jam Projects Expenditures• Actual government expenditures against JAM needs during the

period (2005-2007)

2005 2006 2007 2005-07 Items JAM Actual JAM Actual JAM Actual JAM Actual Performance

Total 458 466 1185 882 1551 959 3194 2307 72% Other JAM/CPA Obligations 44.7 239 220 504 Grand Total 458 511 1185 1121 1551 1179 3193 2811 88%

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JAM Clusters Performance

Governance and Rule of Law: CPA Implementation

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JAM Clusters Performance

Institutional Development and CapacityBuilding: • the National Civil Service Commission

established. • Technical Assistance Framework established. • The Civil Service Act enacted, Anti-corruption

legislature passed, new procurement procedures established.

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JAM Clusters Performance

Productive Sector Development

• A plan for reviving agriculture developed.

• A new Sudan Microfinance Facility established to assist small producers.

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JAM Clusters Performance

Basic Social Services: MDGs

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JAM Clusters Performance

Infrastructure:

• With own resources government have invested considerably in roads and power. With public investments of US$ 671 million in electricity, about 67.6 MW capacity was installed, and 60% of work was done to generate 2,066 MW, thereby adding about five folds of power installed since independence.

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JAM Clusters Performance

Infrastructure cont..1:• About 702 km of power transmission lines were

constructed and progress on the construction one of the longest 3,100 km transmission line in the country linking for the first time western Sudan to the national grid is advanced.

• Total investments of US$ 845 million, around 1,193.3 km national asphalt roads were constructed and 1,023 were rehabilitated, representing 37.5 % of the total existing asphalt roads in Sudan (6,000 km).

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JAM Clusters Performance

Infrastructure ..2:• As for the joint efforts with donor assistance, the

National Emergency Transport Rehabilitation Project has started with MDTF-N funding.

• Amongst others, 63 km of the Babanousa – Wau rail line have been rehabilitated and de mined, and the preparations for the construction of a number of roads are in their final stage.

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JAM Clusters Performance

Social Protection:• An estimated 1,488,000 displaced

persons, returned home. • Early reintegration assistance and

protection provided to nearly 2 million returning population and receiving communities.

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JAM Clusters Performance

Social Protection:• The National DDR Coordination Council, The

Northern DDR Commission and The Southern Sudan DDR Commission formed.

• The Interim DDR Programme endorsed and operational.

• Capacity of the national DDR institutions has been enhanced.

• The National DDR Strategic Plan for the period endorsed.

• Number of children associated with fighting groups released and reunited with their families

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JAM Clusters Performance

Social Protection cont..1:

• National Mine Action Authority established. • A Joint Integrated De-mining Unit established.• Over 24.3 million square meters of high priority

land cleared. • Over 20,000 km of road across opened. • Of the 2,319 dangerous areas identified through

survey activities, 952 have been cleared.• Over 20,000 km of road across opened.

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JAM Clusters Performance

Social Protection cont..2:

• Of the 2,319 dangerous areas identified through survey activities, 952 have been cleared.

• A total of 4,734 anti-personnel mines and 2,172 anti-tank mines, 922,265 unexploded ordnance and small arms ammunition destroyed.

• Mine Risk Education has been provided to 1,638,008 persons.

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JAM Clusters Performance

Social Protection cont..3

• GONU destroyed the first batch of 4,488 stockpiled anti-personnel mines.

• A National Victim Assistance Strategic Framework and Work plan were developed and approved

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Donors ContributionIn US$ million

Total OTHERS FAO UNFPA UNICEF UNDP MDTF-N 101.8 1.7 5.8 13.9 80.4 Netherlands 65.6 4 3.9 15.7 42.0 UK 44.9 44.9 3.7 1.8 39.4 Norway 15.9 0.3 1.4 14.2 Sweden 14 4.0 1.4 8.6 Canada 11.8 .7 3.7 7.4 Spain 11 0.3 9.8 0.9 0 Japan

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Donors Contribution

Total OTHERS FAO UNFPA UNICEF UNDP MDTF-N 6.7 3.2 3.5 0 Denmark 5.6 1.1 1.8 0.6 2.1 Italy 5 0 0 0 5.0 World bank 133.7 4.9 1.1 75.9 91.8 10.9 Others

(thematic groups etc...)

466.9 4 8.4 4.9 108.6 131 210 Total

In US$ million

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Donors Contribution US$ 000

1200 Total needs determined by JAM 467 Total received from donors (excluding EU)

39% % of total needs

224 Total EU funds(Stabex, EDF 9) 691 Total funds received from donors and funds

committed by EU 58% % of total needs 392 Funds transferred to implementing agencies

from all available funds including EU 57% % of funds transferred to implementing

agencies out of funds available including EU

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MDTF–N PERFORMANCE

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Donors Deposits US$ Actual Disbursments US$ % disbursement to deposits