ECONOMIC GROWTH
description
Transcript of ECONOMIC GROWTH
Assessment of Progress on JAM Implementation
2005 – 2007GONU
Sudan ConsortiumMay 5th – 7th, 2008
ECONOMIC GROWTH
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Annual Aggregate
GDP
Gro
wth
Rat
e (re
al %
)
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1200
Per C
apita
Inco
me
(US$
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GDP Growth (real %)Per capita income (US$)
INFLATION
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Ann
ual I
nfla
tion
Ave
rage
(%
)
05101520253035404550
Mon
ey S
uppl
y Cha
nge
(%)
Annual Inflation average (%) Money Supply Change (%)
DEGREE OF OPENNESS
0100020003000400050006000700080009000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20070246810121416
Imports US$ million FDI IN US$ million Current Account Balance (%) of GDP
DEVELOPMENT AND PRO-POOR EXPENDITURE
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2004 2005 2006 2007
Pro-poor Expenditure as (%) of GDP Government Federal Investments as (%) of GDP
OIL DEPENDENCY
4.6
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9.7
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2004
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2006
2007
Non Oil Growth (%) % of Non Oil Exports of Total Exports
Oil Dependency
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Percentage
2004 2005 2006 2007
Non-Oil Revenues as % of Total Revenues
External Debt
• External debt is unsustainable, estimated at US$ 28.4 billion at the end of the year 2006 representing about 86% of export and 77% of GDP.
• A strong and sustained track record of sound economic policies as shown by the IMF Staff Monitored Programs.
• Yet the country was deprived from accessing any debt reduction facility such as the HIPCs
Jam Projects Expenditures• Actual government expenditures against JAM needs during the
period (2005-2007)
2005 2006 2007 2005-07 Items JAM Actual JAM Actual JAM Actual JAM Actual Performance
Total 458 466 1185 882 1551 959 3194 2307 72% Other JAM/CPA Obligations 44.7 239 220 504 Grand Total 458 511 1185 1121 1551 1179 3193 2811 88%
JAM Clusters Performance
Governance and Rule of Law: CPA Implementation
JAM Clusters Performance
Institutional Development and CapacityBuilding: • the National Civil Service Commission
established. • Technical Assistance Framework established. • The Civil Service Act enacted, Anti-corruption
legislature passed, new procurement procedures established.
JAM Clusters Performance
Productive Sector Development
• A plan for reviving agriculture developed.
• A new Sudan Microfinance Facility established to assist small producers.
JAM Clusters Performance
Basic Social Services: MDGs
JAM Clusters Performance
Infrastructure:
• With own resources government have invested considerably in roads and power. With public investments of US$ 671 million in electricity, about 67.6 MW capacity was installed, and 60% of work was done to generate 2,066 MW, thereby adding about five folds of power installed since independence.
JAM Clusters Performance
Infrastructure cont..1:• About 702 km of power transmission lines were
constructed and progress on the construction one of the longest 3,100 km transmission line in the country linking for the first time western Sudan to the national grid is advanced.
• Total investments of US$ 845 million, around 1,193.3 km national asphalt roads were constructed and 1,023 were rehabilitated, representing 37.5 % of the total existing asphalt roads in Sudan (6,000 km).
JAM Clusters Performance
Infrastructure ..2:• As for the joint efforts with donor assistance, the
National Emergency Transport Rehabilitation Project has started with MDTF-N funding.
• Amongst others, 63 km of the Babanousa – Wau rail line have been rehabilitated and de mined, and the preparations for the construction of a number of roads are in their final stage.
JAM Clusters Performance
Social Protection:• An estimated 1,488,000 displaced
persons, returned home. • Early reintegration assistance and
protection provided to nearly 2 million returning population and receiving communities.
JAM Clusters Performance
Social Protection:• The National DDR Coordination Council, The
Northern DDR Commission and The Southern Sudan DDR Commission formed.
• The Interim DDR Programme endorsed and operational.
• Capacity of the national DDR institutions has been enhanced.
• The National DDR Strategic Plan for the period endorsed.
• Number of children associated with fighting groups released and reunited with their families
JAM Clusters Performance
Social Protection cont..1:
• National Mine Action Authority established. • A Joint Integrated De-mining Unit established.• Over 24.3 million square meters of high priority
land cleared. • Over 20,000 km of road across opened. • Of the 2,319 dangerous areas identified through
survey activities, 952 have been cleared.• Over 20,000 km of road across opened.
JAM Clusters Performance
Social Protection cont..2:
• Of the 2,319 dangerous areas identified through survey activities, 952 have been cleared.
• A total of 4,734 anti-personnel mines and 2,172 anti-tank mines, 922,265 unexploded ordnance and small arms ammunition destroyed.
• Mine Risk Education has been provided to 1,638,008 persons.
JAM Clusters Performance
Social Protection cont..3
• GONU destroyed the first batch of 4,488 stockpiled anti-personnel mines.
• A National Victim Assistance Strategic Framework and Work plan were developed and approved
Donors ContributionIn US$ million
Total OTHERS FAO UNFPA UNICEF UNDP MDTF-N 101.8 1.7 5.8 13.9 80.4 Netherlands 65.6 4 3.9 15.7 42.0 UK 44.9 44.9 3.7 1.8 39.4 Norway 15.9 0.3 1.4 14.2 Sweden 14 4.0 1.4 8.6 Canada 11.8 .7 3.7 7.4 Spain 11 0.3 9.8 0.9 0 Japan
Donors Contribution
Total OTHERS FAO UNFPA UNICEF UNDP MDTF-N 6.7 3.2 3.5 0 Denmark 5.6 1.1 1.8 0.6 2.1 Italy 5 0 0 0 5.0 World bank 133.7 4.9 1.1 75.9 91.8 10.9 Others
(thematic groups etc...)
466.9 4 8.4 4.9 108.6 131 210 Total
In US$ million
Donors Contribution US$ 000
1200 Total needs determined by JAM 467 Total received from donors (excluding EU)
39% % of total needs
224 Total EU funds(Stabex, EDF 9) 691 Total funds received from donors and funds
committed by EU 58% % of total needs 392 Funds transferred to implementing agencies
from all available funds including EU 57% % of funds transferred to implementing
agencies out of funds available including EU
MDTF–N PERFORMANCE
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Q32005 Q42005 Q12006 Q2006 Q3006 Q4006 Q1007 Q2007 Q3007 Q420070
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Donors Deposits US$ Actual Disbursments US$ % disbursement to deposits