Economic conditions and lived poverty in Bostwana
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Transcript of Economic conditions and lived poverty in Bostwana
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Economic conditions and lived
poverty in Botswana Findings from Afrobarometer Round 6 Surveys in Botswana
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At a Glance
• Economic Conditions: Trend analysis on present living conditions of
individual Batswana and future economic condition of the country are worsening.
• Lived Poverty: Taking 2003 as the reference period shows that the
overall proportion of Batswana who have on “many times” or
“always” gone without clean water, medicine and cash income is increasing
• Important economic-related problems faced by Batswana:
Unemployment remains the number one economic-related
problem (58%) identified by respondents. The proportion of those identifying wages, income and salaries as a problem doubles over
the 2003-2014 period but poverty and destitution is on the decline.
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What is Afrobarometer?
• An African-led, non-partisan survey research project that measures citizen attitudes on democracy and governance, the
economy, civil society, and other topics.
• Started in 12 countries in 1999, expanded to 35 African countries in
Round 5 (2011-2013).
• Goal: To give the public a voice in policymaking by providing
high-quality public opinion data to policymakers, policy
advocates, civil society organizations, academics, news media,
donors and investors, and ordinary Africans.
• National Partners in each country conduct the survey. In
Botswana, Afrobarometer Round 6 survey was conducted by Star
Awards (Pty) Ltd.
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Where Afrobarometer works
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Methodology
• Nationally representative sample of adult citizens
All respondents are randomly selected.
Sample is distributed across regions/states/provinces and urban/rural
areas in proportion to their share in the national population.
Every adult citizen has an equal chance of being selected.
• Face-to-face interviews In the language of the respondent’s
choice.
• Standard questionnaire allows comparisons across countries and
over time.
• Sample size in Botswana of 1,200 adult citizens yields a margin of
error of +/-3% at a 95% confidence level.
• Fieldwork for Round 6 in Botswana was conducted between 28 June and 13 July 2014.
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Enumerator Map
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Survey Demographics
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Un-weighted Weighted
Gender
Male 50% 50%
Female 50% 50%
Location
Urban 21% 20%
Semi-urban 43% 43%
Rural 36% 37%
Education
No formal schooling 12% 13%
Primary 22% 21%
Secondary 47% 44%
Post secondary 19% 22%
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Survey Demographics
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Age Un-weighted Weighted
18 to 29 36% 36%
30 to 49 39% 40%
50 to 64 16% 16%
65+ 9% 9%
Employment
No (not looking) 25% 25%
No (looking) 43% 44%
Yes, part time 8% 8%
Yes, full time 23% 24%
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RESULTS
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THE ECONOMIC CONDITIONS OF
BATSWANA
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Key Findings
In 2014, 58% of respondents believed the country is going in the right direction. This has increased from 52% in 2012
In 2003, 25% of Batswana perceived their present living conditions to be “fairly good” or “very good” compared to 20% in 2014, with 56% feeling that their living conditions are “fairly bad” to “very bad”.
Those who perceive the country’s present economic conditions to be “fairly good” to “very good” is at 33% from 45% in 2003
In contrast with 12 months ago, the country’s economic condition is seen as “better” or “much better” by 35% of the respondents
A forecast of Botswana’s economic condition in next 12 months shows that in 2003, half of Batswana believed that it was “better” or “much better” increased to two-in three (66%) in 2008 and dropped to 45% in 2014.
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Figure 1: Overall direction of the country
Would you say the country is going in the wrong direction or going in the right direction?
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Figure 2: Personal present living conditions: 2003-2014
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Figure 3: Country’s present economic condition
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43
28
43
30
2420
33 3135
45
3337
22
33
0
10
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30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2003 2005 2008 2012 2014
Pe
rce
nta
ge
FairlyBad/VeryBad Same FairlyGood/VeryGood
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Figure 4: Country’s economic conditions 12 months ago
Looking back, how do you rate economic conditions in the country compared to 12 months ago?
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Figure 5: Economic conditions in the next 12 months
Looking ahead, do you expect economic conditions in this country to be better or worse in 12 months?
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LIVED POVERTY MEASURED BY AVAILABILITY
OF BASIC HOUSEHOLD NECESSITIES
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Key Findings
■ There is a decline in the proportion of households that “many times” or “always” go without food to eat (19% to 15%) in 2003 and 2014, and fuel to cook (12% to 8%) respectively.
■ For basic necessities like clean water for home use, medicine or medical care and a cash income the proportions of those going without “many times” or “always” is increasing.
■ Going without food “many times” or “always” in rural areas is increasing drastically jumping from 15% in 2008 to 26% in 2014
■ More than half (51%) of rural dwellers “many times” or “always” go without a cash income
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Gone without food to eat, 2003-2014
Over the past year , how often if ever , have you or anyone in your family: gone without enough food to eat?
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Gone without enough clean water for home use, 2003-2014
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Gone without a cash income 2003-2014
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Gone without food (many times/always) by location - 2014
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Gone without a cash income (many times/always) by location - 2014
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Gone without basic necessities (many times/always) 2003 - 2014
19
11 912
33
1310
7 9
27
10 11 10 12
38
1613
9 10
39
15 17
10 8
37
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Gonewithoutfoodtoeat
Gonewithoutcleanwaterforhomeuse
Gonewithoutmedicine/care
Gonewithoutenoughfueltocook
Gonewithoutcashincome
Pe
rce
nta
ge
2003 2005 2008 2012 2014
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THREE IMPORTANT ECONOMIC RELATED
PROBLEMS
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Key Findings
■ Unemployment is identified by 58% of citizens as one of the three key problems affecting Batswana. It is identified mostly by urban dwellers at 65% followed by semi-urban dwellers at 58% and rural dwellers at 53%.
■ The second most frequently identified problem is poverty and destitution stated by 29% of respondents. The highest proportion of respondents (35%) who identified poverty and destitution as a problem are rural dwellers.
■ A slightly larger proportion of female (31%) than male (28%) identified this as a problem as well.
■ The proportion of respondents identifying wages, income and salaries as a problem has grown over the years increasing from 7% in 2003 to 14% in 2014.
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Three Important economic-related problems 2003-2014
In your opinion what are the most important problems facing this country that government should address
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Three important economic-related problems by gender - 2014
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Three important economic problems by location - 2014
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Three important economic-related problems by age - 2014
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Thank you