ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

57
J ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION ..

Transcript of ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

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J

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

OTHELLO

TO

AVERY

ELECTRIFICATION

..

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INDEX-.

ANNEX

, ECONOMIC COMPARISON OF DIESEL ELECTRIC AND-STRAIGHT ELECTRIC OPERATION

1 VARIANCE FROM DATA INPUTS FOR CASH DISBURSEMENTPROGRAM

2 GRAPHIC PORTRAYAL OF RESULTS

3 DISCOUNTED RATES OF RETURN AND BREAKEVEN POINTS

4 COMPUTER PRINTOUTS - CASH DISBURSEMENT PROGRAM--

5 DESCRIPTION OF SPEED-TIME-DISTANCE COMPUTER PROGRAM

6 SPEED-TIME-DISTANCE PROGRAM COMPUTER PRINTOUTS

8-18-70

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MILWAUKEE DATA

A meeting was held at the Milwaukee Railroad on August 7, 1970. Present atthe meeting were Messrs. B. J. Worley and C. Lund of the Railroad and Messrs.H. J. Wefers, R. R. Drake and R. J. Meyer of General Electric.

The Railroad reviewed the results of previous economic studies submitted. Atthis meeting, and through various telephone conversations and additional meet­ings held subsequently, economic data and alternatives for electrifying thegap between Avery and Othello were finalized.

A. SUMMARY OF DATA CHANGES

1. Maintenance of electric locomotives to be on the basis of 49% ofdiesel maintenance on a per unit basis.

2. Catenary and substation maintenance again increasedJto a final figureof $950,000. The split between catenary and substation maintenancewas established at 50-50.

3. Diesel locomotive price lowered to $257,600 on the basis that theprevious price of $287,600 included Locotrol equipment.

4. Railroad agreed that an alternate run should be made on the basis ofan equal number of axles, diesel versus electric) being purchased in1972. Replacement locomotives for the "Little Joes· 1I are to be pur­chased in 1980.

5. Railroad asked that the daily electrical energy consumption figurebe increased to 740000 kwhr/day to compensate for the lack of regen­erative braking and lower efficiency of theoMA Set Locomotives.

6. Railroad requested that the study include $230,000/year (inflated) for15 years to replace catenary poles on the two existing electrified.divisions.

7. If abandonment of electrification were contemplated, $140,000 a year(inflated) for 15 years for signal pole replacement would be requiredand should be charged against diesel operation.

8. An expense of one million dollars to retire electrical operationpersonnel is to be charged to diesel operation over the first fiveyears of the study.

It should be pointed out at this juncture that it is the intention of theGeneral Electric Company to render objective assistance in studying theeconomic decision to be made for the Milwaukee Road. As such, it alsobears a responsibility to point out areas where changes might be made ornew approaches considered.

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A. SUMMARY OF DATA CHANGES (continued)

The last study showed a decision favorable to electrification with break­even points in year eight or lower. A high discounted rate of return wasanticipated with full consideration of all expenses involved.

General Electric recognizes the desire of the Railroad to build in theconservatism necessary to insure a reasonable margin for error. But, italso~recognizes that in a systems analysis program of the type utilized hereconservatism in interacting items of data can cause geometric redundance inthe results. Just one example:

Conservatism in the initial number of electric locomotives accelerateslocomotive principal, maintenance and ICC inspection charges. It alsoaffects the number of locomotives purchased for growth, which in turnaffects principal, maintenance, and total ICC inspection charges.

Equally, almost all of the input data have a compounded effect on the totaloutcome. Thus, attempting to allow for error in all areas simultaneouslycan introduce great variances from the true picture. To illustrate themagnitudes we would like to point out that the above data changes receivedfrom the Railroad represent the addition of $725,000 per year to expensescharged against electric operations. The-impact on the study of thisamount over 30 years time is approximately $38,000,000 --considering~5% inflation. When 5% growth is also considered, the amount becomes approx­imately $60,000,000.

We, therefore, felt encouraged to evaluate realistic alternatives as ourcontribution to'the Railroad's evaluation.

B. INSTALLATION OF AN ALL-RECTIFIED SUBSTATION SYSTEM

The Railroad agreed to consider the alternative of installing all-rectifiedsubstations over the route from Harlowton to Van Assel. A capital chargeof $3,830,000 for the additional substations would be reduced by the trade­in value and elimination of relocation expenses for motor-generator sets, toa new value of $2,867,000. But more importantly, the magnitude of annualnon-tax shielded expenses subject to inflation is reduced.

C. RESULTS OF STUDY

When base data from the Milwaukee Railroad was combined with the lowestgrowth (1%) and inflation (3%) alternatives, a breakeven point in year 15results. (Annex 2). Improvement of the gro\'lth rate to 4% and the inflationrate to 6% moves the breakeven point downward to year 12. (Annex 2).

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C. RESULTS OF STUDY (continued)

When the alternatives of full rectified substations are considered, to­gether with the higher growth and inflation rates, the same breakevenpoint of year 12 is achieved. (Annex 2). But, it is at this point thatthe real advantage of offsetting high annual inflated expenses with fixedcapital investment to be paid back with cheaper and cheaper dollarsbecomes apparent.

A fully-rectified system will render many other advantages to the Railroad.As it is inherently a more efficient system, it will bring about lowerenergy losses, and contribute to the achievement of lower daily electricenergy consumption.

In addition, we have used the Locomotive Department's Train PerformanceSimulation Program to calculate the energy consumption on the Railroad'sprofile. Based on the computer runs and the Railroad's data annual MGTM,the average daily energy consumption is 420000 KWRS at the pantograph.Furthermore, General Electric's transmission and substation engineerscalculated the systems losses with modern rectifier substations to be l4%on the average. Applying a conservative factor of 15% to the total KWRS~at the pantograph we arrive at an average daily energy consumption at thesubstation meter of 494000 KWRS. Using this figure as an alternative inputmoves the breakeven point to year number five (copies of representativecomputer printouts and a program specification are attached).

Substation maintenance, while estimated at $3,OOO/substation per year, willin reality be much lower. Recent experience on the Long Island Railroad,another user of static rectified DC substations, is that little if anyInaintenance is required. An alternative was run using $l,OOO/substationfor the necessary annual inspections. This comparison revealed therelatively low sensitivity of substation maintenance: the breakeven pointremained at year number five.

The train performance simulation also revealed that the performance isgoverned by usable tractive effort at the rail and not by horsepower aslong as each locomotive has at least 3000-hp. This means that. as long as'axle loads are alike and the continJous tractive effort per locomotive axleis equal to or higher than the running adhesion limit dictated by railconditions (the Railroad advises that this limit is 18%), an electric loco­motive consist should have the same number of axles as a diesel-electricconsist, but not the same horsepower to provide equal performance. Computerruns confirme~hat on that basis electric and diesel electric locomotives'perform alike within 1.5%.

~._.

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c. RESULTS OF STUDY (continued)

Since the Railroad asked us to base our comparison on 55 diesel electriclocomotives {240 axles), a more realistic comparison would be arrived atby using 40 electric locomotives (240 axles) instead of 45 electric loco-

·motives (270 axles). This comparison how~ver would still di~fav~r the electrics:

1. For the first ten years, "L ittle Joes" will be included with 8 axlesper unit. This raises the number of "electric axles" to 264 as com­pared to 240 "diesel-electric axles".

2. Electric locomotives have a 6% higher availability which shoulddi~ectly impact on the number of locomotives.

An economic comparison on that basis moves the breakevan point to yearnumber three.

When the historic life span of electri~ locomotives on the Milwaukee Rail­road is considered, the expected date to replace "Little Joes" couldreasonably be established at 1985 or later. The effect improves the dis-

·counted rate. of return.

As the possibility appeared to exist that the expense of replacement ofcatenary poles had already been allowed for in the increased annualcatenary maintenance. expense of $475,000, a final alternative was runeliminating this expense item. A breakeven point in the first year wasachieved. (Annex 2).

The results of the study by breakeven point and discounted rate of return,are sum~arized in Annex 3.

August 18, 1970

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VARIANCES FROM BASE INPUT DATA

(See attached Milwaukee Railroad Base Data)

1. Maintenance - Locomotives (Per Unit Basis)

31.4t/MGTM - Diesel Unitsl2.6i/MGTM - Electric Units

2. Maintenance - Catenary and Substations

A. Base Data

Obtained from Railroad

$475,000 per year - annual catenary maintenance ) Obtained from. $475,000 per year - annual substation maintenance) Railroad

B. All-Rectified Substations

(1.) Substation Maintenance

$3,000 per substation X 29 substations = $87,000 (Obtained from RR)

$1,000 per substation X 29 substations = $29,000 (GE Alternative)

(2) Substation Operation

$13,440/man (Includes 16.72% overhead)X 8 men (Obtained from Railroad)

$107,520 per year (Obtained from Railroad)

C•.Revised Totals - Catenary and Substation Maintenance

(1) Catenary Maintenance $ 475,000Substation Operation 107,520

-<'Substation Maintenance 87,000Total $ 669,520

(2) Catenary Maintenance $ 475,000Substation Operation 107,520Substation Maintenance 29,000

Total $ 611,520

3. Prices of Locomotives

(Obtained from Railroad)

(GE Alternative)

Diesel - Changed to $257,600 per unit. (Obtained from Railroad)

4. Catenary Principal (in addition to previous $7.5 million for catenary)

A. Base Data

$ 4.6 Million for upgrading system.75 Million for relocating MG Sets (takeout if all rectified)

$ 3.85 Million Total for upgrading (Obtained from Railroad)

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4. Catenary Principal (continued)

B. If All-Rectified

Add $383,000 for Rectified SubstationX 10 .

$ 3 830 000 Subtotal (Obtained from Railroad)- 213 000 Dedact Trade-in Value of MG Sets (Obtained from Railroad)

$ 3,617,000 Total

5. Electrical Energy Consumption

A. Base Data

605,000 K~lHR/DAY 7" 82%;: 740,000 KWHR/DAY (Obtained from Railroad)

B. Calculated by GE Speed-Time-Distance Program

494,000 KWHR/DAY

6. Pole Line Replacement

A. Electrification - $230,000/yr. for 15 years - Catenary Poles

B. Diesel Operation - $140,OOO/yr. for 15 years - Signal Poles

7. Little Joe Replacement

A. Replace 12 Little Joes with 12 MA-Set locomotives in 1980(Obtained from Railroad)

B.

/~/t7RJM8-14-70

.' ,Replace 12 Little Joes with 12 MA-Set Locomotives in 1985

(GE Alternative), <

L:--"'" r·

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CASH DISBURSEr·1ENT PROGPJlJ1

MILWAUKEE RAILROAD BASE DATA

An economic evaluation and comparison of cash disbursements incurred by straightelectric railroad operation and diesel-electric operation.

Assumptions

1. ~Cash Disbursements = (Revenue-Net Income) - Depreciation + PrincipalPayments

2. Additional revenue incurred by electric operation is not evaluated.

3. Cash di?bursements are calculated on a 30 year basis.

Input ~equirements

Initial Year of Electrification

locomotive Data

Number of electric locomotives (initial year) (In add. Little Joes) 33Electric locomotive's physical life 30 yearsElectric locomotive unit price '$ 420,100

Number of diesel-electric locomotives (initial year)Diesel-9lectric locomotive's physical lifeDiesel-electric locomotive unit price

Train Data

':: Number bf trai ns per dayMGTM (initial year)

Catenary and Substation Qata

Catenary plus substation capital investmentCatenary's physical lifeCatena'ry's and Substation Annual Maintenance CostCatenary's annual leasing cost (if leased)

jignal and Communication Data

Signal system conversion costs (total or per mile)Signal ~ystcm physical life

Communication system conversion costs (total or per mile)Communication system physical life

5515 years

$ 257,600

55.802E6

12. 1E650 years

950,000omit

7.E550 years

omitOmit

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Operational Expense Data

Total KWH required per day (Electric operation: All electric locomotivesmmbined) 7.4E5

El eet ri c POi'/er Ra te (~li 11s1 Kl-lH) 7 M

-Total diesel fuel gallons required per day as del ivered to locomotive(Diesel operation: All diesel locomotives combined) 4.2E4

Diesel Fuel Rate (Cents/gallon) as delivered to locomotive 10.5t

lube oil in percent of diesel fuel costs

,~1aintenance Expense: El ectri c Operati on (cents/NGTM)ICC Inspection Charge/E1ectric Locomotive (Annual $)

9%

12.6¢590

Maintenance Expense: Diesel OperationICC Inspection Charge/Diesel Locomotive

(cents/r'1GTt1 )(Annua 1 $)

3l.4¢820

Total YJages/Day Electric Opera.tion (All locomotives combined)Total l~ges/Day Diesel Electric Operation (All locomotives combined)

.. Annual Inventory Carrying Costs (Parts and fuel) incurred by diesel

opera t i OIi.

Annual inflated costs incurred by diesel operation.

Financial Data and Parameters

Depreciation Periods

Electric LocomotiveDiesel Electric LocomotiveCatenary System/Substation-Communi ca ti on SystemSignal System

301550

Omit35

9,6409,640

14,320

21,725

Depreciation Method

loan Periods

Electric LocomotiveDiesel LocomotiveCatenary SystemConununi cati on System

. 'Signal System

Straight Line**

201520

Omit20

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Loan Payment MethodLevel payment or level principal payment

Number of Years Between Investments in Locomotives*

Annual Gross Ton Mile Projected Growth Rate (percent)

Cost of Capital (interest rate) Catenary,Signals,Subst.. Electric Locomotives

Diesel LocomotivesProjected U.S. Economy Inflation Rate

. Projected Uiesel-Fuel Inflation Rate

Income Tax. Rate

Property Tax Rate

- 11%10.5%10%

Level Payment

1 .

1 &4%

11, 10.5? 10

3-6%

3.5 %

omit

omit

* This time period must be evenly divisible into the time periods used for the. physical life of the electric and diesel-electric locomotives! e.g.!

Physical life electric locomotive: 30 yearsPhysical life diesel-electl'ic locomotive: 15 years

Number of years between invest~ents must be stated as one of the following:1,3,5, or 15 years - since any of these time periods is evenly divisibleinto both-3D years and 15 years. .

RJM8-18-70

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CAS H DIS BUR S E MEN T PROGRAM

LOCOMOTIVEDATA

TRAIN. DATA

CATENARY &SUBSTATION

DATA

SIGNAL &COMMUNI CATION

DATA

OPERATIONALEXPENSE

.• DATA

FINANCI ALDATA

& PARAMETERSj

... COMPUTER PROGRAM

CATENARY: SIGNALAND

COMMUNICATIONEXPENSES

ELECTRIC LOCOMOTIVEOPERATION

CAPITAL INVESTMENTSAND EXPENSES

DIESEL LOCOMOTIVEOPERATION

CAPITAL INVESTMENTSAND EXPENSES

2-2-70

TOTAL ANNUAL CASH DISBURSEMENTSELECTRIC OPERATION

ANDDIESEL OPERATION

y

. ANNUAL SAVINGSELECTRIC OPERATION

VS.DIESEL OPERATION

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!'/III! j ~ " l..A c--r I! ! Iii I I I lj I I I I I I ! I I ! I I ! !II I I I-i" ~-:::::r-- III I I I! I I Ii I II I

1111, 1~""";'-;:"""'1 I I i'l 11': III 1i J::t: ~ , j I I ' 'T ,IT; I -n i I

H-+++--I-t-,+';-I-i,-t=~::r,~~. I I I I •TTl' I! I . I I I" I I " I I j I! IHI+-+-H~~!_i~!_I~j , I , .. i j IT !! I 'i!, I I I 1 I I It! ,'i I I , I I I : i! IH++-H+i+-i-1t ....L...i.-~ I ' . ,_ ' ',1 i 'I I I I I 'I I I ) I I ! I I I i I I I I , i I

! t .. ! I I """"--:-11 1 ' 'I I I! 1 I I~! I j I I, I I -r-r--r If-L . I I! I I ': I I I I! I i I I'ti=ttjttj~t!,~l.+-1-1-1-1.....;...1 I I I(T T:, T .. I I I I ,I' , I I TJ ,I ""'++-+,-+-+,-f-i--+-i

; I ~(lr I I TJ I! I i--r-r--r- ! I I I \ i ! f t ~ 1 • !: I I i I! I I I ~ !

Page 16: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

TABULATIONOF

DISCOUNTED RATES OF RETURNAND

BREAKEVEN POINTS

Discounted Rate of Return Breakeven Point

Run # 1 6.76% 15

2 18.03% 12

4 18.52% 12

12 29.79% 5

13 31 .96% 5

14 53.63% 3

15 58.02% 3

16 0

Ri.8-17-70

Page 17: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

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2 ~~~i!=!t-+~j:l #rt:r:I:T ~=If:~::l~=: =.: ===:,_.: : : ~~~ ::x : . =::::::A :.::: -:1:.. l+rH,!:iHlJb~.t.2f.·~R~\¢F cLtli~~' IiQliI .·1': ·11: :r~:f::: if"~· -:i+l: ::: : =+:i:,:-.: : :--::::::':f:: :J t:::-~:- -if: 1J:m'. t l~J£r~"

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.11l;i~~~'= ~~=~~mf~= :~$,- .•;:~;~~'~=~~ ~'~~.~=i~;-i:~I~= ~_ttf~- '=~it=m ~±±!1- -I·' -- . '--'1 -1-- -- 1-- 1---[-1-1- J.--'-j- -- f-_.I- - '1- -', -- -'1'--+' ." j

Page 18: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

? 1, I I , I () • :::, ~ I CJ ~ ~i ~ 1 ~ ] • ~l

? I, I , '//, J

IS3e., IiI

DE,: F' r: [ C I AT I '3 I\) - - S T F: ('d GH1 L 1 i\] F- - i n:7 S 1'1 !.Ii r, () b:PAYM[N1S------L[VF-L P~Y0EN'IS

INFLA1IGN = 3.0ZDIESEL Ei"[~f:(j'( INFLD,lICi,\! = ].")Z

E~ LEe 1" id C E i\J E t~ GYIN FLA T I 'j;\j = 1 • () l

IN1En~ST RATE = 11.0%

9; ~ c.' i/' " /. f/:~

ELECTEIC DIE Sf.~L

, '

YEAf~ ivjGTM CASHFL8 !,.i +/iv,G'l i""i CA Sr1FL,o I,; +/MGT(vj ELECl DIESL8r1UGH 1" 8l?jUG,~T

1972 5 ·:::<0 1o. 63 L'3.2L! (~! 4- 1 :~, 1 5 ~-i • 20 'J" ·00 55 ·0000

1973 5 ·R6 10.33 I 35. 6 I 9· • 5? I 62.38 0 ·00 1 ·00197 Lj 5 ·92 1 1·I 9 1:;; .:; ·./ S' 9 .83 166. 07 I ·00 0 ·001975 '5 ·98 1 1·LiS 19 1·52 i d. I 9 1 70. S -~ 0 .00 1 ·001 '17(, 6. OL~ I 1 ·72 1 9 L;. 1 L, 1() .53 1 7/1. LlI 0 ·on iJ ·001 977 (-, I f) 12. Of, 1 97. ' -, FJ 9 ;~ 1 79 22 1 00 I no· j'J} ~~ · · · ·1 97:3 r,. i 6 1

,...36 200. (, J I I ·30 1:33 ·43 0 ·00 0 ·00c·

1 979 6. ?2 12. 66 2Ci:1 ·SO 1 1 ·7'"' 1 RR ·4R 0 ·on 1·001980 fl. ?h 1 3

,.,1 n 1 .-) ·!~ 7 1 r, 1 7 193. h;'~ 1 3 00 1 tJo• 0 r. '- · · ·

198 1 (, .3S 1 Lt. 1 LI 2~2. ::;; 1 12 · ')9 1 98 ·33 i) ·on o. () I)

- 191'!2 ' 6. ill 1 4. 11;;:; ?25.c1f, 1 :1 ·(\7 ?O~3 • " 7 0 ·0(1 1 ·001983 6. 47 1 ,lJ", 90 '? :5. i.) ·1 :? 1 ,', ·5 ~? 2G~~ ·0~ 1 ·no () ·001934 6 ·51! 1 5 ·26 23:3. 3 ~-~ 1 LJ ·oLl 21 4. 73 (j. DO 1 · iJ(!

19;'S~ 6 ·60 1 5 ·7 J ~~ 37. ':';9 1 L.:. ·5;; 220. 80 1·no 1 ·00t986 6. f,7 I f,. 10 2£1 I ·:~ fi ! 5 ·(i0 226. ?8 0 • .r)(l 0 ·00. /

1 9iJ, 7 6. 7 /1 1 6. 1 LJ ?3'7 · ?, :~\ I (, · :~ 1 2il2. I 7 " o. on 56 ·001 9;3S 6. Ri) 1 (). 63 ?fi/l. 1/5 ' 1 f~ • :) ; -'~ ?L~q ·0') 1 .00 1 ·00I 9R9 6 ·87 I 7. os 2-";;; · I 6 I 7. 5 () 2S I. • 73 0 ·on I ·001790 6. 9L~ 1 7. 1~9 ?S I · '-,I ':j 1 :-.:; · 1 "

~~61 ·Sf 0 ·CiO 2 ·00I 99 1 7 .01 113 ·03 '25-' ·''''':-, 1? 79 26':;; · 1 1 1 .on 0 ·no1,992 7 ·() f) 1 '). 21 <) 1 4 · .~L.; I 9 ·0;2 '27S · 7 c- o .00 2 ·001 9',/3 7 · 1 5 1 5 ·7') ~~~?n · '.\ r., :') n • r) c.::

?~;;3 • '2 "I 1 ·no 1·(jr)r. _,

.-.199 LI 7 .'22 1 6. 2LJ ~~ .~? lJ .92 ~:~ 1. ~t ~l 7 ?qo 42 o. on 1·nt''.!· ·1995 7 •. 29 1 f, ·77 {~ ~:.! ;'J ·-, f-, '.::' 1 · '7,) ~29H ·75 a.on 2 ·001996 7 ·37 1 7 ·4 1 ~~:~ 6 · ') r""( ?? · f..? 307 ·(1f, 1 .00 I ·CD<.•J'

199::7 7 ·LJ /~ 17 .9;.) :~ L: ~) · :.-< 1 ~? ~~ ·~; I 3 15 · ') 1 n Itnn ~) ·nn1 =))::; 7. S~I 1~ ·h 1 ?/I I. ·r-. 7 ;" L; ·::<:! J~'J ·7 c; 1 .on (1 ·(In

I') 9" 7 ·59 19 ·~2 :~) ~.:. :j · ! ,'j ;~. ~) · :~) ·~·i 333 · I f, n • () (I ~.) ·/) il

~n(]l) 7 ·67 19 · I " ;::) L~ \.} · /~ " ~j ( ...... ,~ .:.: ]'/12 .'.~ 6' I ·(I,) 0. (i:)": ·20{) I 7. 7,t', 1 ,-'I ·77 .>se, · :i ,) ~~ 1 · (:~ ~) l,) 1· ~~ n !) ·no n·:10

SU .....; ...,AT 1 0.\) SF C ')) LUvI,\! S IN i'AhT ~J {'NO ::1

Page 19: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

;:J 7 • 5<·:J f, I) (, :'/ Ii (, • 109) 7 :\

a.aonooo 0.000000

198.332314 19B.33231~

41.207031 102.6906h2

0.000000 0.000000

y-

YEAR Ai\1i\JUAL CiJi'·1.vi L1 Lt\ T I ' , 1,\; \/E S TF~ [)v

SAVINGS SA \.II i\l (-; S SAVINGS1972 - 1 ·4527 - 1 ·L;S?7 - 1 ·L15~ 7 -f- ~! ~ iLl H.

1973 ;. 1 .361 1 -2e8 137 -2. ') 73::, , ... ~, ..1974 -1 ·3562 -4. 1 699 -L4. 65h;'~ '- .. , V;,- ..

1975 - 1·25.'18 -5. ~?Lj7 -6. 4'~'J ~ 3 ~-~ ~ ,. lJ , .."

1976 - 1·137 1 -6. 6 i 1 ;-~ -:~; ·31 7~,. '0 ~ 0 ~;

1977 -1· 1 347 -7. 7 Mi '5 - 10 ·3/:; 72

19Td -1 ·05S 1 -8 • :~(146 -1 ? ':;657

1 979 - .9341 -'1 ·73'-;7 - J L; ·;~ ~~? [)

1980 - - 1·6450 - 1 1·3337 - 1 .~ · 1 6Lpl

193 1 - 1 .5533 - 12 .937<] -~2 1 ·71 S.!J

1982 - 1 .4094 - 1 LJ • 3 4 6 / 1 -25 ·513:-1983 - 1 .3778 -1 5. 72Li2 - :") 'J ·6':; 77

1984 -1 .21 91 -1 6. 9/133 -3/J. H361985 - 1·12R2 -1;:', ·07 i S -3'1 ·07::::01986 -1 .0058 -19 .0773 -4/<. 37571987 /-:.70. 17 1 1 -F; 09 0 6? - L~9 .0::-;5')

1 9RS 0.2454 - 1f~_. f, h ,,::; - S IJ. 2Lino1939 o. /,5 I 9 - 11<;. 2(j<j 9 -59 ·754'-1

1990 O. 685LI - 17. 52:::u! - () s ·6420

199 1 O. 761 2 - 16* 7623 - 7';; • 1n1 51992 4.30Wl ;.. lQ 453 L, -75 ·7237.. t_....

1993 .I~.462L: -7.99 1 [: - 7:) ·:=:,) In.-199Li 4. ,30E; -3.?60~ --H3 · til :'>21 995 ':) • 0;:::' L'f, I ·7(Lj;j -'~ 7. '7':'~;~ ~j

1996 5.?CJIi9 6. .:) 71 ~~~ -'.i? • >? 3 -{ II 997 5. S ,~-:;;:~ n l? • ''):-,93 - C) (, • 7 ,-:} r)~) .

199.-'; 5. 7 1 73 1 ." ? 7{,(., - 1 '.i 1 · 7') A L,"') ·1 999 (i • O('9'.J ~~~ l~ • :.) /! ir ~_) - 1{lA · .~; l: 1~ ')

?nnn 7. 1,

1 ~, :n <Ol c:: '77 - 1 I I /\],~ t.)0 L~ · ·?OOl 7 ·LI/l'20 3:.;; • 9 i,'·) 7 - \ 1 f,:- • 2':11.17

Page 20: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

Cf\HAN!\

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1535

D~PRFCIAII0N--STRAIG4TLIN~ -101 S6LVAG~

PAyMENTS------LEVEL PAYM~N1S

INFLATION = 6.0%DIESEL ENERGY INFLATIJ~'= 3.52

ELECTRIC ENERGY INFLATION= 1.0%tNTEREST RATE = 11.0%

ELECTRIC

YEAR 'MGTM CASHFUJ ~\. +/\'JjG'i'~--1 C £; S ::-iF L 0 v, +/MGH1 El.ECT DIESl.>'30IlGHT Bf'jUGCiT

1972 5.80 10. 63 183. 24 <j · 1;;) 15B.20 33. 00 55. 001973 6.03 1 1 29 1c. 7. () ,", 9 .95 I 6 /h 83 1 00 2. 00· .n ·197 L; 6.2K 12. 06 192~ 1 9 1 (}o' 79 1 71 ·g6 2.00 ;2 ·001975 6. 53 12.84 196. 70 1 1 ·74 I 79.9'-1 1 .00 3. 0019 76 ,6. 79 13. 75 '20? ·53 1;2 • 75 187.80 2.00 2.001977 7.06 1 Lj • 67 207, 7f) I 3 ' ::\ 9 196. 78 I • 00 3 • 001 97;:', 7. 3Lj 1 5 .• 74 () 1 ,~. 39 I S·. 1 ./1 206.2 /l 2.00 '3. or),-1979 7.64 1 6 .83 220. 41 1 f,. 1.5 21 5 ·51 I ·no 2. 001980 7.94 19 .07 2/,0.21 1 7. 95 2'26~02 14.00 3 .00

19~:n S .26 20. I~ 5 247. 63 19 ·5° 237 ·1 0 2. 00 3. 00u

19:=;2 S. 59 "21 .96 255 ·65 21 ·36 2 LJ;.) ·76 2 ·00 3. 001983 8.93 23. 59 26 11 • 12 n--,

3:~ 2111 79 2.00 Li. 00"-:...). ·198 Li 9 ·29 25. 37 273 ,,1 I; 25 ·S2 214. 72 2 ·00 3. 0019R5 9 • 66 27 .3 I 2~)2.72 27. 93 22;9 · 1 1. 2 ·on Li. 0019R6 10. 05 29 ·,113 292.P,9 30. "9 303 • ./15 2 ·00 3. nn

,.I'."

1987 10. '~5 3 1·12; 29:~ c L, I :is. liS 339 .2'7 2.00 )9 .0019t38 1O.~7 33. 79 31 O.9Q 2:~ ·h~ 355.9 1 3. OD (,. no19S9 1 1·3D 36. 50 J?? ·9;:: I;·;.J .?O 3 73 ·.63 2. no f,. 001990 1 1 ·75 39 ·6i ;:-)3 h. 97 IJ () • I 1 392 ·32 3 ·00 .7 ·on1991 12.22 42. 99 :3~) 1 · -, n 50. 112 ,Ii 12 ·5 C' :3 .00 7 ·1)0• 7

1992 1 2 71 i;3;' 23 3 i i}.Ci3 5S ~)? I! J /1. 35 2 .'~ r' h 00· · • LH I ·1993 13· 2? 1;7 ·20 J')"I.()J (1 {) • ~~, =~ LJ56. ~) n 3 ·(10 7.00! 99;"1 13. 7~) 5 I ·LJ9 ;:-} "I LI • L, (, r:.. "-, • ') ,{I79 • ~;) 3 3. nn 7 · r:, 01995 1LI. 30 5oS.23 39~i.~:·~ "I ,,~.• ,,<,t-, 5 (, f) • (j ,") .., ·(1(1 'J ·nn...'

199(, 1}j. ,',7 ,1 ·""',6 ....:.1 ~{ .. ' .') 'i i I ''1 53?. LI') .14 • {Ii' 00,..,

,.' · ·19 '17 15. Lj7 i}7.?3 1~:3 L! • (./, 1"\ • -":? ", t, 1 · ~-~ ri ~J ·n'-; 9 ·001C} 'J ~\ 1 () .n,-) 73.3~-) Ii ~:I ~.~ · • ~ "oj, 'i S · i"'! ! ')} 1 ·r', ".

~" •nf) 9 ·Of), j,;

199') 1 6. -; ~3 {{C'.J~( /4 .-: ;-, l;. ~3 1 ("; .:: :: (, «'.>'"1, ~J, /1 "" 0jl I I.., ~.) C· · · ·

2(100 I 7. lie) i~6.99 /1',1 ') ·(I ,) I I /J ·"-.J •.J f; '! "I • 7n II ·(if ' ! Ii. (1! "

?ClOl 1 ~ \ .09 95 .:) ') L) ~-) (, • f,":,> I ?~) • ~.I ~) . (,\)3. 7'::" .11 • no 1 ("'1 • UO

SlJi'J,"iAT 1 iJ [\) , DF CO Ll},"I,\I S r ,\) eAid .) {.\ ,'J j) :ic

Page 21: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

f~~LYCT,rC f)Ir~:';FL

Lt;; • ,~ "1 () 7 () Lj '] 7 • <} 9 0 (/( 7

99.ll:?~~nl

a.noonon

121.';>77901

o.O()()()OO

126.4R2196 186.097178

"605.736094 605.73609~

125.S52493 313.63240~

3.349912 7.765930

0.000000 0.000000

6 vI.,.' /1.' L-.~/~-(

YEp.R

197219731974197519761977197R197919801981198219i53198 L;

198519861987195819891990199119921993

.199 LI

1995199619971 Sf '7~)19(;')

20002001

MJ,\iUALSt:.IjINGS-1.4527-1 .3424-1.275fi-1.0935

-.9999-.7751-.598f~

-.37L;3-1.1262

-08742-.5912

0.IL/69D.61?71.06094.'2(,90

5.70126.50597 • 4/~33

11.991213.12~/1

ILj.4~)96

16.1~)73

17'(,:l3319.591521 • 731))'2:3. 'J 9 I 027.43'14

. .10.? ~3L, 7

CU;V:,\l l1 LATI VSP.\j[N(~S

-1.L1527-:2.7951-4.07U7-501 6Ld-6.16/,1)-6·9391-7.5379-7.9121-9.U:::Vj4:"909 12':,

-10.50:1.7-10.7119,-10.~)6L;()

-9. '9 4 72

5.9(;(,Lj

12,,'17;;:>,319.91~,h

J1.9nf,7~5. (-J3;? I59.~-)5)17

75. ?, 1;-) ,~j

93. :?;..; ?~~11?~;7T')

1 3,/; • I; L! .I. 7

1::>>-..'-)')')7

I ~:; (, . n :-i:) \

IN\/ES1E:L)sr, \j f ;Y GS

-1.4527-2.95':19-Ll.5555-(i.lS01-7.>';21'>5-9.'::(-,2:"·

-11.1021-1:::'.1',976-15.2?06-17.7F.90-20.31':7-22. 757r:l-25.1139-27.2587-?9.1C)6:<-;??.l:::nO-2(,.35\'7-23. ~N1?-19.(,3~q

- 1 ij • ::3 :) fJ 1-J'. 9375

2L;.?n7i,Ll:~. 9i 7':)6().~()()"J

-J'?1'117

:."). [ ) f...· • ~) ~._) \1 9~~ :, ':1 • :-~; /J (::f ~~

Page 22: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

C(\ f3 Ai\! (.\

1535

DEP~ECIATIGN--STRAIGHTLIN~ -10Z S~LVAGE

PAyMENTS------LEVEL PAYMENTSINFLATION = 6.070

DIESEL ENERGY INFLATIGN = 3.5~

ELECTRIC ENERGY INFLATION= I.O~

INTERES1' RATE = 11.02~'f! '0,-"';' (. "fl- ? c.'

YEAR

19721973197 Ll197519761977197819791980193119821983198419851986198719f)fl19891990199119921993199.1119951996-1997199?,199920002001

MGTM

5.806.036.286.536.797.067.347.647.948.268.598.939.299.66

10.0510.4510.R71 1 .301 1 • 7512.2212. 7113.2213. 75I/j.301/j. ~n

15.471 (). 091 h. 7317.40If).09

ELECTRIC

CASHFLO l';

10. 711 1 .3512'} 112.f; 613.7514.6515.7016.77lR.9920. 3 /~

21 .8123.4225. I 727.0729.1530.8733.4436. I 139.1742.5042.3346.2550.4::=;5').1(,60. 1;?,

(,!).0272.0779.0?}'is.5693. 7'i-~

+/MGT~

18~.61

1 :.;;;:; • 12192.91197.09202,02207.54213.88219.;;0239. I 1~)/4f,':-'1

253.99262.19?7n.9.t.2;-;(1.::;>'1?90. 1 (,295.1;3307.73319.4833~3.223/j7.7":332.953 Ll ') • ;3 1367011

L;0f,.0C)

4:? (., .; f,

I~ j'~;~ • (; ~=)

.tj 7'2.• 351~91.7,)

DIESEL

CASHFL-Jl'.

9. 189.95

10.7911.7L;12.75

1501.111~.LJ5

1709519.5;:;?1.36~3.38

2:; • ~~)

? 7.933C) • .11935.4')3;:<,. hi).Ij2.~n

L! f,.t 150 • .1<'\

5S.??M).~3~l

6':).9,':;

7'2.367q • 1 '7

IIi, • L: 31 ~) ') • ';:3

+/,ViGTiVi

158.2016L;.83171.:~6

179.9Ll137.30196.78206.24215.51226.02237.10?LJ[~.76

2(,1.7927Ll.722R9.11303. LJ5339.27355.91373 • .tj3392.32412.5943Ll.35.1,56.30.1179.83SO 6.00532.49561.3D5,)1.O;~

6~)3.SL;

657.706'13.7:'

ELECT80UGHT33.00

1.002.001 .002.001 .002.001.00

14.002.002.002.002.00:2.002.002.003.002.003.003.002. no3.003.003.0n.tj.oo

:<.003.00Ij. onII. riOIi.no

DIESLBOUGHT55.002.002.003.002.0C)

3.003.()O2.003. or,3.ao3.004.003.004.003.0n

59.006.006.007.007.0ng.an7.007.009.0C;~ • () n9.()n9.(1)

10.0010.DC'10.0n

Page 23: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

42.232041 101.952280

99.112201 121.277901

0.000000 0.000000

126.402196 186.097178

605.736094 605.736094

125.852493 313.632404

.' 3.349912

0.000000

7.765930

0.000000

YEAR ANNUAL CU;"liVjALAT I V 1I'NESTEDSAVINGS SAVINGS SAVINGS

1972 -1.5322 -1.5322 -1.53??~

1973 -1.4051 -2.9373 -3.1059--197 Lj -1.3205 -4.257;;-; -4.76RO-1975 -1.1194 -5.3773 - 6. Lj 119-1976 -1.0053 -6.3531 -8.1231_1977 -.7597 -7.IL;2;::; -9.77631978 -.5609 -7.7037 -11./d?71979 -.3125 -8.0163 -12.980(,1980 -1.0392 -9.0555 -15.44771981 -.7603 -9.8158 -17.90721982 -.4489 -10.26 LI7 -2·().32591983 -.0357 -10.3005 -22.597519SLj 0.3513 -9.9492 -24.73201985 0.8559 -9.0933 -26.59661986 1 .3350 -7.7583 -22:. 1~ 721987 4.581 1 -3.1772 -26.70(,71983 5.2351 2.0579 -?LJ. LJCJ9 I,

1989 6.0965 8. 1544 -20.99801990 6.9 Ll65 15. 100S -16.36131991 7.9319 23.0327 -10.22921992 12.8907 35.92JLI 1.53631993 14.0789 50.0023 15. F-i, /J'?

199LJ 15.5003 65.5025 3~J. 02031995 17~ 1987 iY2.7012 :'3.85171996 18.7 f)[-;9 101.4702 70.5LJ4.3

1997· 20.7953 12??f,54 107.97951998 23.0nf,9 145.272LJ I L',~~, c; 1,4';;

1999 25.3436 17i).f.,ISQ ] ;:; 3. 9::;~:'\

2000 2~.:'"n31 199 • .'1:.';'-;1 1 23~3.n27.'1

2001 31.7545 2:11.2/,35 ?9().LJI49

RI JNN H-H; TIME: 11.6 SEes I/O lIM~ 2(.,.] SEes

Page 24: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

....

..._.~

1535

DE~Pt~ECIATICjN--STF:A,IGHT LJ'~F: -10/ ,c:'I\!_V"\GF.

PAyMENTS------LEVEL PAYMENTSINFUHION =

DIESEL ENERGY INFLATION =ELECTRIC ENERGY INFLATI0N=

INTEEEST RATE =

(-..0%

3.55:;1.02

1 1 .0%

F.LECTRI C DIFS:-:L

YU'r-< MGTi"l CASH~-U:) ~': + li'-:{;'j ,vi CASi-1FL.()l'} +/1")G1'M t:LECT DT ESLBDUGHT BGIJGHT'

19 72 5 ,,20 1O. O~~ 1 73. 7 7 9'. 1n 158 ·2C' ~~3.r~D 55 · flO;' ,

19 73 6. 03 10. 6? 1 77 · 1 r~~ '-=J • '} 5 1 r; .1.1 · :'< 3 1 .cn 2e 0019 7/i 6. 2f'l 1 1 ·111 1n 1 ~ g 5 10 ·79 1 7. 1 .)3 6 2.00 2 ·0019 75 6. 53 12 ·13 IP,S ·q ') 1 1 ·7,,', 1 79 ·9 .r~! 1 ·00 3. 00'" .....'

19 76 6. 7') 12 .99 1 9 I ·35 1 r; 75 1P, 7 .80 2 00 2. GO~ · ·19 77 7" <) 6 13.85 1 96 · I 6 1 .3 .";9 196. 7f'; 1 .00 3. 0019 7rj 7. 34 1 <4 .86 ~~G~ • ~<') 1 c ·1 L! 206.24 2 00 3 ·00-' -1979 7. 5Ll 15.88 207 ·99 1 h ·LiS 215 ·5 1 1 -00 2. 0019fW 7.9 LJ 18 .or:. "227. 3B 1 7. 95 226 • 02 1 .II • 00 3. 001 9;:-~ 1 8. 26 19.36 23/1 ·Lib 1 9 -SC7 237. I 0 2- 00 3- 00~_ .: I

1982 S. 59 ~~n • 79, 5':' L!~? ·02 ? J .3f, 2/,8 ·76 2. DQ 3 ·001983 8.93 22.3L~ 2SQ ·1 1 23 ·3 ;-; 261 ·79 2 ·00 '1.001984 9 ·29 24.03 25;:; ·73 2S ·5~ 'C: 74 ·72 2 .DD 3. 001985 9 ·66 25 .?,s 267.92 2 7- 93 2'-:\9 - I 1 2 .on Ll .001 9R6 1 O. 05 27.90 277 ·7 1 30 ·./! 9 303 ·LiS '2 .00 3 ·001987 10. Lj5 90 ·56 2~:~ · <S "'-' c;-

/~ ~:.' 339 • '2 7 2.0n 59 ·00...• ./ "j ....' ·19:~ f-'; 10- c;-i 7 3'2.06 295 ·() ;:, ~n ·() ~:~ 355 .9 i 3 ·no 6. tJ()

1 9?9 1 J ·30 34- he:. 30 f-.. 65 .It? ·2n~ 313.43 2 .no (, ·001990 1 1·75 37. 6/t 32(j • ~? ("J L! t} ... I 1 392 ·"J.rJ 3. 00 ~I ·00....... r_~

1 99 1 12.22 L-nJ. 90 ] :1.11 ·62 50 ·L::3 <1 1 rJ 59 3. 00 7. 00<...'

19 'Z2 12. 71 40. b ~) :~ I 9 ·7~ ") S. f~2 It ~1 Li .' 3 S 2- 00 :~ ·001993 1 3. ?? .Ii LI • LJ9 ]~f, ·LJI:' (,0. .r.! ;~ Lj~)6. 30 :3 .00 7. 001994 1 :3 • 75 L~Fj ·6~,: ;~ :<:' · ::~ .'> r, ~'\ .. ::.) . L17'1 " 'l 3. nn 7. no.. (i ... /

1 ') ,) 5 1 i\ • ~~ Co 5:3. 2 1 37';-' • J ~) 7~:~ ·'l. ' 506. ( l(l ~1 ·on ') ·orj'. r;

1 ')'0(-, 1 i~ • :'1 :) "~ ·3 ~~ :3 '):':- · .., /1 F; ·1 q S3? · /.10 l~ • (';n :--; · iJC. ,-

1 99 7 1 5. /17 6:-3. :-~ I' .<;1 " -)ft ;.::.:: ,.~ :~ ~(.,1 ~JIO :i on ':' , 1f)r, • · · ·t 9'] -:; 1 6. l)9 (, C) ·~.:~ ~~

( ......q 3 L, ·o ~~ 9:) · () ;') '-) q 1 ·()~ 3 .0 () ') .on

1 ']99 1 6. 73 76. ISS 4~,',~ · 1 (~ 1 , ) ,lJ · :.~ t, {)~) ;~, ·H LI LI.OO 1 0 ·002COl) I " Lili (~:3 • 0 7 477. L~ .I~ 1 1 l~ .. L~ ~j (, 'OJ 7 70 4. Or) 1Ci ·l) ()I • ·?OD 1 1h. 09 9 I ·1 (, :) (;:~ · ;~.~ () J ~) ~, · c "J. 69 ~1 ·75 /~.ClO 1 n·tl()

,) "'

Page 25: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

ELECTJ<lC nIF.::::·=L

9/.9906'37

99.112~~OI 121.277901

0.000000 0.000000

84.435412 186.097178

605.736094 605.736094

125~R52~93 313.632~04

3.349912 7.765930

0.000000 0.000000

YEAR

1972197319741975197619771978197919tW1981i9821983198419851906198719F;f3198919901991199219 9319941C) ') 5

19961 '79 71 ') ,} f~

I'}')')

?CIOn,'001

ANNW\LSAVHJGS

-.9037-.7449-.6270-.3910-.24070.04'~O

0.2833O. 574,~-. 10780.21810.S7ER1 .043-<31.4::0;522.04702.~::'861

5.(-~9S3

6.61557.5/j6L18.46959.5317

1 1•• 571115.C;/j4017.35/I/jlC).lLd,?

;>.Q.Hl'~6

??9/1/1}

?S.26 /lO27.71 /j/,

CUi"1:")£.\ !J, T I VSAVINGS

-.9037-1.6/j~36

-2.2756-2.66(,6-209073-2.8633-2.51"300-2. 005~3-2.1136-1.3955-1.3166-.2729

-1·21233.25935.:3 L!5 / 1

1 1 • ! .Mi718.:'b612S.9p2S34.372043.90~n

110.:-'}194J:n • (-,:;1)01')/;.57f~;1

179'04~~1

~:n7.5~1()c,

INVESTEDSAVINGS

-.9037~ 1 • 748 (J

-2.5673-3.2407-3.3316-L'!.2160-L).3965

-<6.3059-~.8873

-5.20(-,8-:).2008-4.7291-3.7641-2.I311

f).228SA.ILiOI

13.430922. ,(~5-'~7

3~3.39L;3

Lj(,.S99J

6(,.2963

1-<:1.7(,(1')~.~~? ') • 13;· \ ~-~

;?r/~/ .. (:07./1

:3:\:,(.0 7 i \ 7/iC' Ii- «<,(1";

Page 26: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

? 4" I \ " 1 0 • ~, 1 f) , (, , 1 , 3 • :,

,? y( /3It... U..-J

.,~-..-----' .-'

IS3S

(,.07,

2·.5%1. [)7:

1 J • (1'1,:

4 'Yo

DEPF~EC 1;:\T I ON- -STi~PdGdT L L\)E -\ C;~

PA¥l"1ENTS------L;:;:\lr=L f~IW,'",E>n~;

INFLATIJN :=DIESEL ENERGY INFLATION =

ELECTRIC ENE~G¥ INFLATIGN:=INTEnEST fU:,TE =

r;' '1',',' "

ELECTin C DIESi.o=L

YEAR

197219731974197519761977197819791980198119E21983193419f;S193619 .;~ 7

'19")819391'99019911992J993199 II

1995199{'19 ) "1 ,) ') '~;

1') f 9? I) C) ()

2001

i>; G1!'<J

5.806.036.236.536.797.067.3 LI

7.647.9 Ll

8.268.59;=; .939.299.66

10.05lCJ.4510.inJ 1 .3,J1 1 • 7512.22t ;::.7113.2213.751,,11.:30l.i-!.;~-'

1 S. I.J. 71(.,.0')

1r). 731 7 • /1 ,')

Ig.09

CASHFLO (.;

10·0210.631 1.3512.0712.9113.7714.72,"

<5.7917.9619.2620.(,;=;

2?2323.9225.7627.7729.4231 .9134.5037.Ll;::j

,,110.73LJ(). ito

4LJ.~~.9

52.995 ''; • 1 463.(1](,9.5576.37'\ ~J. • 779(J.;')5

1 72. (>';

17(,-16

I:3L\.~~7

19('. ? 7195.06201.26

?26.2;~

233.27

2L.:.) c" -i

257./1726,':',.6L:

2iil.5229:1. (,,";3ns.~7

J,3~3. 1;-;

3F:.273 ~1/i • \) -,

35~'.1(}

~~ 'II,! .5739Ci.')A

Ll ,3 ~ ...) ,'\LJ ~'j (,. (, "'1

~) • 1 :39dS

10. 7911.74,12. 7')13-'::915olL;

16.451 '1.'J S1 (~ • 5'':

~ I • J f-,

;~S. ::>2?7.9"J3 C. Lj ')

3S·,(~5

38.6::;i;? ?ij

7 ~~ • :367'J.t';

1 1 LJ • "I:'

+/MGTi'i

156.20 '164.f:S3J71.861 79.9 L',

137.20196·7f3206.24215.51226.02237.1(12Ljc;;.7f,

261 • 79?7/1.7~

?B9.Jl303.453 39.27355.91373.LJ3

Id~:.,,)9

';]L•• 35456.30479 • ~J 3506.CO532. LI9

561.;',(1~ 'j] • o,~

ELECTBOUGHT33.00

1 .0 ()2.001.002.(JO1 .002.001 .00

1-4.00:"'. on2.002.002.00~~. (}O

2.002-003.002.003.003.002.()O3.003.[)03.(104.003. O;~l

3.e,a~~.r;r)

Ll. J(j

Lj. 0 ()

OIESLBOUGHT55.00

2.0(..\2.003.002.003.003.0n2.0fJ3·(I()

3·00~~. 004.003.00L; • 00:3. Of)

59.0Ch.OO6.007.007.CO8.007.007. (}[)

9.00

1 ;] • (':;

J u • t: ;,'

10.\1(]

Page 27: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

10:'-."('"(r .. I.(: UI F';,~:L

.99.112?CI121.277':101

0.000000 o.onoooo

8~.435fl12 186.077170

.605.736094 605.736094

125~B52493 313.632404

/e-c-tc"tCL.( ..IjJ r7,4-/A/,­

(/% b" ~<.

0.000000

7.765930

0.000000

\ .

19721973197419751976197719751979193019811982198319 i3 4198519861987193819:391990199119921993199419'} 519 ')6

19971 ') ') ,':

19992()OO

2001

ANNUALSAV};i'Y<;3S,-.3~~7'"

. ".j }'

-·92;34-.56lf~

\. 4- I

-. ~~19-. 1675,Ool2160.36560.6614-.01530.31610.63271.15391.60192.17072.71726.031l36.762c)7.7026g.63519.7071

1.,11.757116.0141 ?17.563.1119.3tS7()21 .0/1') /,

?~~. 1930;~5.5?79

?7.::i)td31.659')

CU,\'H{ILAT I\}

SA\JHJ(,S-. is 45 7

-1.5291-2.091!:;-2.41?9-2.5803-2. LlS::; 7-'2.0932- 1 .42,1 7-1 • .Id!71-1.1310

0.7(51)2.3075

7.195.,111:-).229719.992527.695136.3301Lt6.03'7360.7'74/17 h. ;L3:1 (,

1 :"', L'~ .. :~:~ t (.) ~~?

15 ::-; • C! () 9 ~)

1 .:; ,j • <i 'I i;~: 1 I • ~.; J l'?1J:3.1·:.ill~~ "1 '/ • ;:; 7 :, '(

IN\iF.:STEDSA'JINGS-. S 45 r--"

- 1 • 6221--

-3-4355___-3.691':~

-3. 7~3y'L:

-3.42-1:;-3. R79::)

-3.9905-3.7.,1,67

-;<.0050-1.7337

9.3539170145f;26. r,3 L.,?

52.~::JIJ

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1 ') I: • 9::;.q:)1 :,!~ . I OI.l f,1 <) ,~ • ~ .t.~ 1 1

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Page 28: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

1535 .

DEPRECIATIGN--STRAIG~T LINE -lO~ SALVAGEPAYMENTS--~---LEVEL PAYM~NTS

INFLATION = 6.0XDIESEL ENERGY INFLATI3N = 3.5%

ELECTRIC ENERGY INFLATI8N=1.0%

/.? I .;1/VI e c 1.-<' C '.:/ ~zc' {F"" ''-

(u( uJ

/£~ - -<. 1_ ..I. ~(~ L

ELECTRIC

1 1 .0 X

DIESEL

YEAR

19 7';-~

19131974

-.? 1975, 1976

19771978197919((019E119821983198LJ198519\3619871 9 }-~ 8

19391990199119921993199/..

1. 99519'61997199tl

19992000;?r'l) 1

i'i GT:Vi

5.806.036.286.5:36.797.067.3/17.6470 ') 48.268.598.939.299.66lO~05

10.4510.S71 1 • 301 1 .75

12. 7113.221:1,. 751,'1.301'~.;~:7

IS.1l716.1]916. 'I j1 "I. LiO

CASHFL0 t·)

9.77q.. 'l't10.37 Hi·, n11.03 /e'.S31 1 • 75 Ii, <,,/"

12 • 60 /1 .• . ,

13.451 4. 2.r'3IS.LJS17.5718.8720.1921.11j23.4325.2727. 1628.8131 .1 7'33.9036.7]39.R239.81<'!].63/.17 .635-?20':) 7. 1562.(;361';.6275. 1 I";1.:33

+liViGH1

168-33171.:iS175.77180.02185.6019iJ·56195.93202.74221 .23228.LJ7235.122LJ3.39252.19261.56270.35?7~.h9

<>if,.Rh299.9431.?rL~

J130lJ;'.:1c:.OllLjI'1O :i '7

=~ (1 S • () 63~<Li .. 2S4() L\ • 1;~: 9

I\;~ (.: • 6 () I

ll/,,·~. i.j oJ

-"41)7./-.;5

9. 189.95

!().79I 1 • 7412.7513.89lS.}LJ16 • .1,5J 7.95

19.5321 .3623.3325.52?7093::\0. L935. L~ ~,)

(.. ~-l • './ (~

7~).:}/,

7'). I '~j

1i; i: • =J (,I1jl • .II:-~

+/MGTiVl

158.20164.63171.861 79.94161'.80196.7f5206.2L1215.51

226.02231.102 LJR • 76261 .79274.72289.11303.LJ5339.27355.91] 73.'43392.3-2II!? 5 9434.35LJS!S.30/; 7) • ::::; 3~,n6.0n

5:32. L'9561 .30591 • (}::;6"23.:0;/,6S7 .. 7069::J.75

ELECT·B0UGHT28.00

1.00I • 001 .002.001.001.002.00

13.002.001.002.002.002.001 • 002.002.003.002.002.;)()

2.()O3.0n2.0()2·.0():3.0;;3.003.0D

3.nn3.00

DIESL8;JUGHT55.00

2.002.00·3.002.003.003.002.003.003.003.00

'3.00L\.OO3.00

59.00

6.('10

7.0n7.00;::;.(1()

7.0n7.nn9. (I (OJ

') • ;) 09.009.nn

10.001Ci • 0 I!!(j.UO

Page 29: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

·SL!i·'j',11Yf I C)(\! OF eeL! F"lW; IN FAFT ~) (\:>';1) J

p: ~j h • ? n 1 ~ 1;'" ! (] ! ,:S • 79 524 (1

36.695530 101.952280

RA.075R66 121.277901

0.000000 0.000000

605.736094 605.736094

12S.852~93 313.632404

2.843698 7.765930

0.000000 0.000000

YE.4R

197219731974197519761977197819791980193119821933198iJ198519n619371988(98919901991199219'73199 1/

1995-19<J6

1997199 :11~}')l}

;~ooo

~)o\)t

Ai\lNUf~L

SA\iINGS-.5375-.4251-.2453-.0()51O. 1496(J.4389D. 756L~0.9750,0.:38030.71261 • 17211.6.!~38

2.09232.66173 •. 32:'>66.643/17.50388.30559.3gb1

10.6155!S.·';11416.6967IH.3L,H92("J. 1 ")/19

~2~? OLI72~?i:. 19;~('

;)(,. /1:) 71

~'.'.::~;11

~n.l019

:-I;). ,H19 0

CW·F·';!;LATI vsrw! NGS

-.5F575-1.0!27-1.2530-i.26~31

-1-1136-.67470.OS171.05661 .43742.15013.32224.96597.05:33').7200

13.045619.6:?;F<?27.I'h~7

35. 49f~2i; /Jc ~~ fU. 35~:;'.''l')98

70. ') 1 1 2":7.A07')

lO').')~)()9

1 ~: (, • 1 1 1 714?15'JO17?:~~)1(}

19 ::c; .:: II,;; 7

~) (, 1 • 1 (, 1 7?77. ",'({,',

I i'J'.1ts TEDSAVINGS

-. 5~n5-1.0773-l.L; ...nl-1.604t"3-1.6317- 1 • 3 'i;2 1;

-.76690.12371).51>"311.25762.6GlLiIJ.~~313

7. 1 :221,10.56731').0552

33 •./1275

59.79127(...':H~37

100.g633

2Li?9794';~ \) :-~ .:) ') '-) :~':'

~1~-J ; ~ .. () ~< ::; 9/~ ~'.~ D • 7 ~:; ? ......1~'j (10 • 1 I ij q

~) '/ 1 • '<~ tS ~

Page 30: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

.--) .

1535

DEP~(ECIATlf,3N--SnU\1(;Wr LI\";~-: -10;: ~;'},Lvr\(~F:

PAyMENTS------LEVEL PAYMENTS· INFLATI0N = 6.0X

DIESEL ENERGY INFLATION = 3.5%ELECTRIC ENERGY INFLATIGN= l~n%

INTEI~r=ST i-<?\TE _. 11.0%4-0}• .,/ d

L v'- k- cZe {7r - LA/,,~;; f , {~,;/

/fectt-(<:~/ JjJ /7A7J/'J/-I, .'1

/1EY!Ui..C ~f lL{~ .... l',J... ,:~.d.'-}

h/'u~c{d1~ i (ff' <:,).-<:/'- /2 I J-

ELECTin C DIESEL

YSAR iVIGHi CPS-!F'LG \.,' +/\"IGTi"1 CASHFLG ~':' +/i'<iGTI''1 ELECT DIESLu. / )~:o BOUGHT BOUGHT

1972 5.80 9.-77 ? .. ~ ~r

~2;· }t~ 9 ·1 8 158.20 23. 00 55.001973 6·03 1&.. 37 j). j'1

t'I-h:";:;~ 9 • 9 5 1 bLI.f)3 1 ~O(J 2.009> { -; ':> . ". ~

197.4 6.28 1,1-.-83 Hi 4.:tjs-"'i~ 1 () • 79 1 71 • g /) 1.00 2.00I . Ef·

i 3.00-? 1975 6. 53 1+~-75 lJ, l~}f.) • I~ 2 i · 7/1 1 79 .94 I .. 00r ,. 'I.:. v,"

1976 6. 79 i--2--.-(yf! J2 J'""l . +-65.60 1'? • 75 un.so 2. 00 2.(')01977 7.06 1 3.45 lor. ·56 1 :-1 ~R9 196. 78 1 .00 3.00.. u

1,973 7.34 1 4.3(5 195. 93 15. 1 11 206. 24 1 .00 3.001979 7. 64 15. Ljg 202. 74 I f, • ~.~ 5 215.5 I 2.00 2.001980 -'.94 1 6.59 208 -93 1 7.9':5 226.02 1 .00 3.00198 1 8.26 17.89 21 6. 65 19 ·53 237. 10 2 .00 3.001982 B. 59 19 .22 223. 75 21 ·':l ' 248 ·76 1 .00 3.00ut')

1983 8.93 20. 76 23:::>'· fj6 t)~ .3R 261 ·79 2 .00 4 .00r ....1

19SLj 9.29 22.45 2 Lj I ·69 25. 52 274. 72 2.00 3.0019R5 9. 66 25. 60 26 /:.9 g 27093 289 ·1 1 1 4.00 .4. 0017fj 6 10.05 '2. 7 • 1~9 273. 64 ~W· LJ9 303. 45 I .00 3. 001987 10. "15 29 ·1 4 2 7S. [3 5 3 ~l. <',5 339.27 2. 00 59 .,001938 10.B7 31 ·50' 289 .90 38 ·68 355.9 1 ? .00 6. 001989 1 1·30 34.23 302.(36 M~.20 373. "13 3. 00 6. 001990 1 1· 75 37. 06 31 5.27 /-1(1. ! 1 392 •.'32 ? .DO 7.00199 1 12. 2'') 40. 1 5. 32!~j ·115 50. li3 "I 12. 59 2 .00 7. GOL,

1992 12. 71 /;0. 1/1 3 1 0' 7? 5~. 2 ~2 L!34. 35 2.00 g .00-) ·1993 13.22 .Ii]. 9 b 332. S I (,rt • ;-53 456. 3D 3 .00 7. 001. 994 1:3 • 75 LI7. 96 3/~~\ ·79 6 ~i ·96 479 .83 P- .00 7. 001995 1 /1. 30 52.5/1 3(,7 ·37 7? • 0(:-t 506.00 3.00 9. 00199 f-r 1 Lj. ;37 57. 48 3~ ~. ij 7 -19 · ! ...-~ ~)32 • LIS' 3.CiQ f) .00I 9 -, -. I 5. Ll1 tS:?.96 .4D7.(l3 .. ~ {~ .::~: ~~ 5 (, I .JD 3.00 () .on'7 I

199::<; 16. 09 6;::.95 ,(~ :?,~-; fJ) '-/ ~....

5Y 1 Cf~ 3 ...... 0 ') .PC· · ; -c,, ·19,)Y I .. -/3 75 • Lj /1 4Sn. 9 (, lOLl. 36 6:-? 3 • ;:~;.c~ 3.00 i ("'I .. ()(Ji') •

2 ('l{iO I 7. 40 '-) ~? • GLJ i' 'ill ·,~, () I 1 ~l .. I'" 657. 70 3. I) i) 1(I • onI.'

:2 i) c) 1 1 (;~ • 0/) ':1 c}. ,1~3 Lj')'i. -; ":v 1 ~? ') · ~ :3 693. 75 3.0n ! o. I) (J

Slli')ivlATI;JN (jF COLUi¥I;\J~ Ii\) t) p. 1'< T n A l\i L) ;5c.

Page 31: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

o.noooon

B4.~35412 186.097173

605.736094 605.736094

125.352493 313.632404

o.oonooCt

yf.{H~

'1.765930

0.000000

1972-1973197 L;

::> 1S17S197619771978197919~:;O

19~J

193219t6' .198419;~5

19F;r;19;:;719:3::':1 9 ::) 919901991

19 9-:~

lC;iLt

19951996199719 0 c;19 ') ,)

~~oo 1

SAVI.\;C;S

-.5875-.L:2S1-.2<'153

-.005t10.1 LOb!O. L!33 '10.75640.9750

.1.3570 ~

1.6=;gg2.1LJS32.6::'OC'3.U6fiS2.33162.JCfS46.31~?

701 7367.975-:,').0560

1 tJ. ?;~'; :",315.0;~~i!3

16.3(,·c,n

19.:7,;)/17

~?1.717!-;

~~ ~~ • ;,,~ h ~.~ ~)

26. j :') 6)2/). 9~~O']

~11.795,:)

::~5.1027

SfW Ii'-1 C;S- • 5':; 7 5

-1.OL?7-1.25«(1.-1.~:'t:.::~1

-1.113(,-.67L!7

0.n'3171.05662. Lil36L\. j U~:/I

6.25CJ7

11.9J9:214.?7f)F,17.2f,6?

30.75~3r)

L~7. 7;"'; L~~~

5 ..~ c C! (; .:) S7,). 1 ~)r-' -;

\;').517:5

1l)'; • ~<; r; 11;, -i • :~ :, n,':

1 7:) • '.l /in~,

199. i '.67?? ~~ 7 •. , .; 'i ;:>

?59. 'I':; 3 7

S {\ V I ;\ tJ S

-.5i-;7~

- 1 • 0 7 7::.Jr--1''':I/;lL.

-1 ~ Il rJL':r-1 • (,31 7-- 1 • ~~ 7:'; L,

-.7669n. 1?:i '{

3.34745.<:;639

'J • 1? ;c; ']

13.;:::',:1161(, • 9 i~ 53'2 J • ~:; /j') 1

~_~i)~S()~)7

4jo1!l16s:,t. :.)'r:.iJ

1 1 i-J • ',l ~J'~ !

1:-,9. :JJi) 11 '/' - ..;:; '/ I

61,!.f,?31

Page 32: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

? /1, 1 1 , 1 Ii • 5, 1 (1, (" 1 , 3 • 5

1535

J.')"!,

1 • (i'iS

11.n%.",

D~: PI; f;:G I !~ T I ;;. i'J - - ;) T f: I'd Gi T L T ;,n,; - 1 !'j},

PAyMENTS------LEVEL PAYMENTSI NFLAT I oJ,\) =

DIESEL ~,)JF:RGY INFLATICH~ =ELECTRIC EN~~GY INFLATION=

INT[FF:~ST RATF:1 =L 'l,? r :':. 'f"

ELECTRIC 'DIESEL

YEAf~

197~:

/1973~1974

1975197619771978197919fW19811992198319::3419R519 S 619~; 7~90R

\7:39I'} '1 0i 991!9921993·1994199 S.

199619971 ') 9 ~,,,

19-7)~")OOO

20ni

ivJGTi"'l

5.806.036.286.536. 797.067.347-.647.948.268·598.939.299.66

10.0510.1;5

-10.B71 1 .3011.7512.2212.7113.2213.751/).30111. :.::715./17l(,.OC)1A.?31 7 • 401B.(19

CASHFLOt:

~. 5-4 q. / '~..;

10.13 <)'73+B-.--"'rr· II) • 5,'1

-l +.,(18 if, :sf/'I ~"--0-1 .I:L jf

13.l'J14.0615. 1316.221 7.5018.8020.3321.9925. 1 126. ') 7?9. 1'431.5034.2337.0640.1540. 1 "143.96/17.9655=l.5Lj57.Lit;62.966f!' 09 575.Ll / l

f);?6L~

+ / !'1GJtoljI r") .)-LJ

16/,.Jf

-?fF~-~'~.(.-I'i~~ oft oJ" ---r<..f, 0 (.I

~q;.~~:j}:J-l-e-+-.~2

1B6.20191./1 0

19;'".2120L;.32211.9 /;212:.95227.':-,7236.70259.9026R.L;f,

P7S.P;52g9.9CJ302d6315.?732E; • LIS

31 5. 7'r::332.:':113 LJ ';; • 79

367.37

.Illj 7 • (') 3

4')0.9(,

1!71'·')6

49 ') • 7 'i

"). 1 n

9.9510. 7911.7/j12.7513.891501416.LJS17.9519.5,:;21.3;;23.3825.5227.9330."Q35.45

/:2.2046.1 150. LI3

55.:.'?~~

60033

7?3679. 19

9S .CH1 ()-4.,Jf1! 1.1, ..";3

I~S.5:3

158.20Ibn.i-;;J

171.S61 79.9 L:187.:::n1196. 7~-;;

206.24215.51226.02237. 10248.76261 • 7927LJ.72289.11303.45339.27355.91373 • .113

392.32L!l2.59434.35<'156.30479.83SO/'i.OO532. /!')

561.30591.0;;()?3.?";/j

(,57.7069:3.75

ELECTB2iUGHT23.00

I .001 .001 .002.001 • DO1 .002.001 .002.001 .002.002.00

}.II. 001 .002.002.003.002.002.002.003.002:003.0n3·011

3.003.003.003.003.00

DIESLB3Ll G:--1T55.002.002.00~{. 002.003.003.002.003.003.003.00Lj.OO3.00Lj.OO3.00

59.006.006.007.007.00f3. DO7.007·009.00PI. Of)

9.009.nO

10.00In.co10.00

Page 33: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

9 9 • 1 ~; I CJ 9 ? 1 -n •62;; ') ~~ 1

1 n I :.; • 79 '; ~) Ii () C- i " ,N" \

-97 • 991) (,;.~ 7

101.9522,)0

121 .2779 [) 1

L ./h.d- Cl e.__rv, (::-"''''':>-J 7 {'"<>j,/-­

/?10~c{t;C <c ~I £5 .r ,7J?- J-fA, ~r-

"t'. 'TTt." /v,// ,~/ t' .rJ

0.000000 0.000000[<,,-cry-

;d ,J-r- /( L. L'L <{/J

34.435412 lRA.09717R

605.73h094 605.736094,{/~

-12~.B52493 313.632404

0.000000

7.71',5930

O.OOOODO

YE.CiR ANNUAL ClJ!"'1;\-;ALAT I \j I i\l\lF.5 TFJ)SAVINGS SAVINGS S{I,\i I i\jGS

1972 -.3575 -·3575 - ·35751973 -. 1 81 3 - ·5389 - ·57d2·1974 0 .0 131 -·5257 - ·62Fi71975 0.2688 -·2570 - ·42901976 0 ·4399 ~ O. 1830 -·03631 977 O. 7/167 O. 9296 t! ·706L;1978 1 • 0826 2 • 01 23 1 ·36671979 1 .3200 3. ::-~33 1

., ·392:=<;w

1930 1·7236 5 ·O~,66 5 ·Ll89619 f) 1 2.077/.1 7 ·1 3 L!l~) p~ · I if!?'

1982 2. 5602 9 · (,9.112 1 1· (,2981983 3. 0566 12. 750:::; I :) ·9 6S 719 f~ LJ 'l ·53 1 3 1 6 .2()2 1 21 ·2S~·2".J

I 985 2. B22~ IS' ·1OL!2 2 (,. .Ii ! 321936 3 .5 15LJ 22 ·6 196 ~r' ·33L') 1'__ Co

1987 f,. J 132 2::-~ _.9 32i~; L;2. 75901 9t~g 7. '1 736 ~, / · 1 C6/1 5 LJ. 63 () I'-~ t:)

19:::;9 7 9753 4L'j ~.-; .-1' 1 7 6:,:; ·6Q 1 Ii· • '..).:!-

1990 9 ·OS()O 5:'~ • 1 37 7 ;::;5 • ;>;) S "/

199 1 ! n • 2;=; 5~ f';l ·L~?3CJ I o~~ • :-) ::; 5;,1 992 I 5 • O{~ 13 7f~ ·5 () Ll::; 1 .3 1 ·SO/;~·199.3 1 6. 3666 q h · ,~ 7(1:-' 1 (,:-) ·3-3 (, I)

199/J 1 " ,·I) 1~ ~~) ! 1;') • <: '. : C) f: 1 0:~ ·>,) 1 ~) :.3-- J

19C15 1 'J ."39/'1 132 7 I ; r,~? 39 I,. ; Ii· ., ...., · ';.,1

1 9'-) (, ? 1 · ., I 70 1 5 ,~ ·/'.3 1 :J ?~ 7. i) ~;, q C)

I -'}9 7 ~:~ J. ,-; (,25 I '/, <· ~~\ 'l :_~ F; :'\/.13 · --1 ~" 7I-

I 99(\ 2 IS. 1y.(.7 ~:C ../j 4 ./i:,-:'ri ., ,/~O "( . ~? .' Sl

1999 2f~ .'.i?O') 233 ·J II 1 t).....:.::) ! · I l ~} :-~

2000 :.-~ I · 79S5 ~: ():J ·1 ~~ 7 ~-~ ') (, ~:j ·::< :5 (, ~..:.

200 1 3::> ·1O::-~7 aon. ::'3'H 663 ·1 ,', 1»

Page 34: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

~. L> VYt M Frf~'t(9 F- V~htr h4B£,rES

DESCRrPTION OF SPEED TIME DISTANCE PROGRAM 2LSODL

The General Electric Speed Time Distance Digital Computer Program simulates trainperformance bct\'Jeen two terminals. The program 'is designed to factor .in grades,curves and speed restrictions encountered' in the ,actual right-of-way profi le.Variations in locomotive characteristics (horsepower, weight, number of axle),train chara~teristics .(type of cars, No. of cars, w~ight of cars, etc.) and otheroperatl'ng-: parameters can be accommodated.

. .nput': for the Speed Time Distance Program ':s as. follows:'

".

!:

, ;!

)i

. I

•,

. .

J.'. ..

......... ",-

:.... "..

.... -......'. ,

•••••~.:. 0'

....:

.. ,.-' ",:- ~ ... .' '.-:~'-:,' .. ' . . .

, "

I. locomotive Dataa. Resistance formulab. Tract i ve effort vs speed curve .--­c.' Adhes ion factor __·d. Fue 1 rat i 0 .

'e. Idl tng fuel (5 gal/hr/unit)O~ f. Amps/motor curve

. g. No. axles/unith. No. unitsi. fron~al area

\It./unitMaximum acceleration rateMaximum deceleration rate "

.'.... -

JJI .

."

; '.-

Output for the Speed Time Distance Program is as follows:

For each card of Input, speed ;time, distance, fuel ,amps. per motor-arrE!--~'~~.. are printed out. Time,. distance, fuel and amps squared minutes are accu-mulated. . , ~ '" .

r- .. ~. : • ~.. :

One can thus determine total running time, total dis~ance,~otal fue~~ .~.s-sq.~..

Iso available are minimum time, minimum speed, time in braking and miles at speedlimit.

fuel consumptIon Is available In kwhrs or gallons as desired.

i '.

Page 35: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

-2-. ,."..- :, ,

"to'

. ,

Amps ~nd amps squared m1nutesprl ntouts.

&

1s an option available and does not appear on all

.'.', .

Results are avaIlable In either Engl ish or meirtc units.· ,';'J t,

' ... . "

· . .' '" ~

....,', .: ......

....

: ..

JP Kuhar6/18/68

...., .

.,'

.'

.'

;-: .: :.'

'.:'"

"

.• . . ~!.

~. .-",

".. ,.,~. ": ~:

.:.;.. :~..~ .~>::.~::: '.~: r:' :;-.",: .~... ~~~.. ~". ;'.:' ~.

-,," .. ; .......". ". ~ .

.~ .", ..-.

'.' 0' ....

,......;...

, "

... ~.. ~:.

• '. ~ 't-

:-. ·r·

.,'

i .•

' .

.'.....

'.'

'!." '. '•• ~. ·~l . .. '; ••• '

,'......;.-:.,-,

" .:":

..-

Page 36: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

·.'OJ(.-.

.,..:r ,.", .fJ.._~. • __~ "_.__

SpEEDLiMIT

MILEPOST--

STATIONNAME

LOWETH

--_.._-----

'---r'HUO;UKES ,RO·Jm---·.,--'-· -HARLO~TON TO VAN ASSELT ~ I'

3 M~A LOCOMOTIVES ~--------- ---U:S6'C'--SPEEt5'--r:E~------' '. I

4000 TRAILING TONS (~ I---,-,------·-;I-~-;'-·~ST~NCE ACCEL KWHS AH-P';'SQUARED . C: I

GRADE' SPEE 0 M~_~~_!..§.~__-.:._M_I.~.§_?__ ~~.~~.£_? AT RAI L HI NUT,.E S ..I

C, I___HA~,~~_~

0~-i~ ;~~~ ~.~--~ ~-;-~--'~'~'~~-~-.'-'r~~·~~---~'~·~ ~._--,.. ~ : ~ g~_ ...--- -~ :-~ ~ ~~ 4.~g-;-~,~._--_._----. g .~ !

133 a,' 800 55, 0 ,0 . 010 42 • 68 5 • 86 3 • 199 a•0052 6119 • 61 0 C.~ I1339.300 55,0 0,500 47.18 6,53 3,699 0.1025 728.49 0 ~ ~

i~: g:g ~~-'-~~':~'---~":jI~-~6:~-~---1 ~":'~ ~'---'-'j :'~ ~ ~._-~:- ~~; ~ 1 ~.~'~:~'~ ~ c ~ I1343.800 40.0 o,iaa 40.00 12.12 ~.198 ;.4000 1346.32 0 ..~ I

------·····'---1344·, 600--50';0---0:72-5-40''','00--'T3';'32----'-a ';998 -'·'-0'-;"0'0'0 if--r4To"'; 7'4" . 0 . ~ !1345~600 55.6 0.270 39.56.14.83 9,997 @.0035 1585.89 0 (.~ I

_______1.346. ~8 0.O_.~.~_~..9 0_~.4.~_Q--~'86_-,-_~421 ?i'~'79._·_.;'~".~ 9.?__.g~ -Q5..~Ji._.12? ~*_~_? 7 . 0_ !

1349,700 ;.15,0 0.810 4 • .13 0.1 J.4.096 .0.004 .. 217.41 ..... <>'. 'v." 0·" • I13 5 0;600 .. 55,0.' 0.3 70' .'.44 •. 41,,: .. 21.34:, i4·.996-·--,····<t\l.0448··'·2355~79.'·:··~··. "' 0" r-; i..

-}~ ~~~ ~~~--;~-; ~ ~.~;~~---~~-:-~~--~;~,}~---i-~.;~;~._~.;~~~;._-§~~~~~~- ....-.._:~._---~ ~ ~ f.1354~900 55,0 0.2 4 0 43,86 27~io 19.295 0.0158 3036.10 0 (:§f

__.1'33 55 a5.~ i~ O_O__~55.!.P o.·~"·67.94 50--~·r '~27--'32~~22~_1.~__:.? 99·~--q~q,?·57'~-~·~-~-~ .!_~~ 0 . I1 • 00 oJ, 0 0 ' ., .", . 1. "I 2 t:. • 4 '1 0 • 01 0 .V ;.J 4 6 • U'1 01361;000 55,6 0~880 40.15 .35~69 25~394 0,0022 4044.03 0 (~ !13 63.900 55,0 0.520 35.07 40.40 28.293 D.0055 4595.12 ° ~!

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1365.400 55,6 oi720 47.01 42.65 29.793 0,1052 4859.41 0 (;21369.900 25.0 0;860 25.00 49~10 34.293 ~.4000 5542.75 0 -~13 7r','6(fd--2S~'0 f-;-05"5--2s-;(rO--5~T8--~5-.--993--0_;_O(foO__S'8·7<r:02 0 ~ I1372,900 30,6 O,93b 25,00 56~30 37~293 g,oooo 6i72,25 0 C !1374,600 25.0 1;050 25.00 59.83 38.993 ",4000 6543.18 0 I •

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:1 t~ ~ ~:,~-g~~~~.~§--~~.~.~ ~ ~§~-~ 6--~§-:~j--;g-:·~ ~ ~--~:-}~ d6---'-···-:~ g; -: ~ }--~.- .-. -..- ~.~ 0 MoyNE: 1395~200 45'9 ~,'780 45,00 9,9-~i6 59,390 0,0000 8653.71 0 ~. j 13 96 • 2 0 0 3 0 , 0 0 ~ a0a 3 0 • a0 1 0O. 6 a 60 , 3 9 0 . It'. 4 0 00 865 3 • 7 1 0_, 13 9774-0-0-30, 0 ":-cnJ"o--:rB, 00 10-3-7(fo--6i~5'90--6-;-o'(j"OO--87'O-o-,'86 6--I 0 " i 3 98 ; 7 00 . 2 5 , 9 P:' '.82 0 25 . 0 0 1 05~ 62 62 , 89 0 ~ • 4a0 0 87 0 0 , B6 0j F'ANALUUJ 1400,200 55,0 0;715 25.0010 9 .22 64.390 0,0000 8700,86 __.0.. _. _1 --' .- i 4 tJl~.-ib-o---·5 5-; 0 "','-1:; 0---4'9';-97-£1 o-:62--6'5'~290---0--;'2346'---88 6~C8 5---~--- .. a'! 0 1401~900 55'Q,~.820 55.00 111!?2 6(,0 9 0 0.0000 8958.96 0 c:1 1403.200 55,0 ~~390 55,00 113.16 67.590 0,0000 8958.96 01 f404';2'OO~O-; 0 ~. 9'5-0-30---;(i'o-rr~r.-4'9--6Er;-590--",,---;-4o-o-0-8958-',-96 0"----J () 1404;900 30~Q ~;600 30.00 115~89 69~290 0.0000 8958.96 0 CJ ---i:~~·c:-1~~---~~-:-§--~~'~'~~---~~':-~~--1~~-~-~g---_.;~.;.~~.~-~-:~~§~-_.-.~~~~-;-~~---------~----~-I 0 F'RANCIS 1411~800 25,0 o:~570 25,00.130.42 76.190 ;'.4000 8985,72 -0 0J i:i ~.~~-~ ~._.~ ~ ..;.~._-~-;~ ~~- --~-~-~g~--i~;~:-~~'-'; ~-.:~~~--~ :~-~.~-~--~ ~~~.~-~-~ ~

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I () SHORT MIL 1468~000 25,0 oii 90 25.00 224.35 131.840 _0.4000 127 91.53 0I SHORT MIL i469.700 40,6 0~240 25.00 ~27.95 i33.340 0.0000 12897.91 01 '--------:f4Tf'~-8-0·B--2'5';-o--'O':-24'o-'25'-;-'b"0-'23r:'5~-T3 5-';·44(f--,,~·40'o o-T:s 1'7 cf:'24 0I~) 1474~700 55~6 0.200 25.00 238.48 138,340 0.0000 13411.59 0

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1485.000 55.6 1~200 40,28 251.46 149.440 ~.2638 14741,10 0fA!3 7~' 60'0-5 :;-;0 1':9 9(f-2'8'~-62--'2 55-.- i(j"---i 56".'4 39--o-~O'15r-i 5{64-:0 4 0

SHORr MIL 1489.100 25.6 1;880 1 6 .92 2 61.31 152.389 0.0000 15874.22 014 90.100 25,0 2'000 18.1 8 264.67 153.389 0.0000 16257.95 0

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1515 ~ 800 5:5 , ci 0 ',0 4a 25 • 00 342 ; 84 _178 _' 639 _0 • 0000 _ 22:5 2n · 11, P__ 8--lbNG--~lI l E'--1516 '.200------55, 0--'-----r;; 860'---34 .68- '''3 t, 3 '; 64'" '179. 03 9 '--'0. :l. 651'-- 22 42 0 • 82"': o·

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1521;000 25,0 0.660 15.00 352,79 183.839 0,0000 22565,00 0I :,)---~~~~ =~-I-~-~--'i ~ ~~'~. ~ ~f-,'~~ :~'-'----":::~ ~ ~'---'~~: ~ ~---~~~ ':~~-"i ~~-: ~~ ~--"--f: ~ ~ ~ f-'~~~~~: ~~- ~---- ;= I

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Page 39: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

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Page 43: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

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Page 57: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OTHELLO TO AVERY ELECTRIFICATION

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