Economic Analysis MGM626-0801A-02 2.P1P Mark Carlson.
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Transcript of Economic Analysis MGM626-0801A-02 2.P1P Mark Carlson.
U.S. - Trend Analysis
Why are these factors important for the expansion?
• Economic Indicators– Recent past– Current values– Projected Outlook
• Analysis
Brazil - Trend Analysis
Why are these factors important for the expansion?
• Economic Indicators– Recent past– Current values– Projected Outlook
• Analysis
Germany - Trend Analysis
Why are these factors important for the expansion?
• Economic Indicators– Recent past– Current values– Projected Outlook
• Analysis
Japan - Trend Analysis
Why are these factors important for the expansion?
• Economic Indicators– Recent past– Current values– Projected Outlook
• Analysis
Comparison
•GDP real growth rate•GDP per capita•Unemployment•Inflation rate•Central bank interest rate (not pictured)
Final Analysis
• Japan– Little risk, but also little economy momentum
• U.S.– Stability and accessibility
• Germany– Potential political issues, but stable economy
• Brazil– Political issues, but high economic momentum
References
Brasileiro, A. (2008). Brazil won’t reduce interest rates this year, Goldman says. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=ahvYVWx3RqnI
Cenimar. (2008). World trends, projections and predictions. January 16, 2008 from http://www.cenimar.com/factbook/trend_list.jsp
Dailyfx. (2007). Central Bank Watch. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.dailyfx.com/page/central_bank_interest_rate.html
Dailyfx. (2007). EUR/USD 2008 outlook. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from http://www.dailyfx.com/story/currency/eur_fundamentals/EUR_USD_2008_Outlook_1199118568338.html
DW-World.DE. (2007). Expert says mafia murders pose new risks in Germany. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,2741538,00.html
Ernest & Young. (2006). Industry leaders discussed emerging markets. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.ey.com/global/content.nsf/WebPrint/AFAC984FA3ED039B8525729F0057E9E6?openDocument&
References ContinuedGlobal Issues. (2006). WTO Doha “Development” Trade Round Collapse, 2006. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from
http://www.globalissues.org/TradeRelated/FreeTrade/dohacollapse.asp
Peterson Institute. (2007). Global economic prospects 2007/2008: Moderately slower growth and greater uncertainty . Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/print.cfm?doc=pub&ResearchID=815
Towers Perrin. (2007) Global high tech compensatin planning report. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.towersperrin.com/tp/getwebcachedoc?webc=HRS/USA/2007/200711/2007_Global_High_Tech_Compensation_Planning_Report_nl.pdf
U.S. Departmetn of State. (2007). Background note: Brazil. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/35640.htm