Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

download Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

of 21

Transcript of Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    1/21

    ECO100: Introductory Economics

    inequality and redistribution

    Robert Gazzale, PhD

    Department of EconomicsUniversity of Toronto

    [email protected]

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 1 / 20

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    2/21

    overview

    income inequality in Canada

    According to the OECD1 and the CIA World Factbook:

    Across countries:Canadian incomes distributed relatively equallycompared to other rich countries

    Worse than Sweden, Norway, and GermanyAbout the same as France and ItalyBetter than Russia, the U.S., and Hong KongClose to midway between Sweden and the U.S.

    Across time:Some evidence that distribution becoming moreunequal in Canada

    much evidence that it is worsening in U.S., China.

    1Organization for Economic Cooperation and DevelopmentGazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 2 / 20

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    3/21

    overview

    inequality is an economic goodhow to make yourself unpopular with your non-econ friends

    Inequality is an economic good: The proofImagine a world in which your income in no way depended on yourchoices.

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 3 / 20Text

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    4/21

    overview

    inequality is an economic badJohn Rawls Veil of Ignorance thought experiment

    The assertionHolding everything else constant, and beforeit is determinedwho gets how much of the economic pie, most people prefer arelatively evenly divided pie (of total income) over a slightly

    larger pie that is less evenly divided

    Of course, it depends on the extent to which redistributionshrinks the pie!

    The proof

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 4 / 20

    john rolls: holding everything constant, before anything is

    determined we decide the distribution

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    5/21

    overview

    inequality and economic growth

    What is the relationship between the size of the economic pie and

    how evenly it is divided?

    some recent empirical evidence

    International Monetary Fund (2014)

    higher inequality seems to lower growthredistributing income no effect on growth

    Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (2014)

    income inequality economic growthmechanism: human capital investments of least well off

    duration of any particular growth spell

    the traditional microeconomic analysis

    redistribution of income DWL

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 5 / 20

    redistrbution may caseu totalpie to decrease: taxing

    labour creates more

    deadweight loss. createspotential moral hazard

    problems.

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    6/21

    overview

    the redistribution problemredistribution expected to be costly in terms of efficiency

    take from the well off

    deadweight loss and taxes

    societal benefits from those seeking to get ahead

    give to the not-so well off

    moral hazard problem: difficult to design redistribution programs

    maintaining incentives to fully participate in labour market

    Costly redistribution does not necessarily mean undesirable . . .

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 6 / 20

    mark twain: there are lies, damn lies and statisticsstatistics in inequality:

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    7/21

    overview

    Roadmap

    1 overview

    2 measuring inequality

    some standard measuresdifficulties interpreting the measures

    3 reducing inequality: policy tools

    4 philosophical views on inequality

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 7 / 20

    i i li d d

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    8/21

    measuring inequality some standard measures

    measures

    1 Poverty Rate

    loosely defined in Canada as percent below the low-income cutoff

    2 top-bottom ratios

    e.g.,ratio20 = Average household income, top 20 %

    Average household income, bottom 20 %

    3 Lorenz curve Gini coefficient

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 8 / 20

    missing info..therefore best way to measure inequaity is by the ginicoefficient

    i i lit t d d

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    9/21

    measuring inequality some standard measures

    Lorenz curve Gini coefficient

    the trick:sort households from lowest income/wealth to highest

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 9 / 20

    canada is 2000

    quintilelowest 20%

    (20%-40%) second 20%(40%-60%) third 20%(60-80%) fourth 20%

    (80-100%) fifth 20%

    % of total income22%12.7%17.2%23.0%

    39.9%

    cumulative %7.2%19.9%37.1%60.1%

    100%

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    10/21

    measuring inequality difficulties interpreting the measures

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    11/21

    measuring inequality difficulties interpreting the measures

    interpreting inequality IWhat are we measuring?

    Consider Canada in 2007:

    ratio20 = Average household income, top 20 %

    Average household income, bottom 20 %

    beforetaxes andmoneytransfersratio25

    aftertaxes andmoneytransfersratio8.8

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 10 / 20

    measuring inequality difficulties interpreting the measures

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    12/21

    measuring inequality difficulties interpreting the measures

    interpreting inequality IaWhat are we measuring?

    King Bobs proposal to reduce income inequality in Canada:

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 11 / 20

    assume: top 20 %divided by bottom 20% = $150k/$80=5after tax $ transfers

    1) abolish universal healthcare2)give each HH $10000

    3) force all HH to purchase insurance $10000

    $160K/$40K=4

    on average universal healthcare is more beneficial for poorthan rich

    measuring inequality difficulties interpreting the measures

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    13/21

    measuring inequality difficulties interpreting the measures

    interpreting inequality IIWhat are we measuring?

    the absolute versus relative problem

    utility versus income

    some choose money over leisure; some choose leisure over money

    (consider leisure time inequality . . . )

    in-kind transfers generally not included

    food and housing vouchersuniversal healthcare and education

    changes in household composition issues

    dual income families and positive assortative matchingchildren not leaving the nest

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 12 / 20

    income inequality increasing in china. in

    terms of absolute ability to purchasegoods and serices. the income of bottom

    chinese society increase. increase ofbottom not been as rapid as increase of

    top.

    US : 1) increase income inequality2) incrase in leisure time

    measuring inequality difficulties interpreting the measures

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    14/21

    measuring inequality difficulties interpreting the measures

    interpreting inequality IIIinequality is a static measure

    the extreme example: choose the society you preferSociety Ceveryone gets $50,000 per year

    Society Dhalf in group D1; half in group D2Odd years: D1 = $100, 000; D2 = $20, 000Even years: D1 = $20, 000; D2 = $100, 000

    real world issues

    transitory income shocks (see above)

    the economic life cycle

    mobility

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 13 / 20

    the extend of luck determines good years and bad years.

    reducing inequality: policy tools

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    15/21

    g q y p y

    reducing inequalitywhile the line between 1 and 2 is not always clear . . .

    1 increase the earnings of the poor

    ensuring equality of opportunity (e.g., high quality public schools)

    2 redistribute

    minimum-wage laws

    unemployment insurancewelfare and in-kind transfersprogressive taxationthe negative income tax

    cash grant or subsidize wages at low incomesphase-out grant/subsidy as overall incomes increase

    Ideally, we implement redistribution programs that do not destroy

    incentives to participate in the labour force . . .

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 14 / 20

    reducing inequality: policy tools

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    16/21

    The incentive problem in traditional social assistance

    a typical programIf your income Iis less than $1000 per month, the governmentgives you $1000 Iper month. If your income is greater than

    $1000 per month, the government gives you nothing.

    Assume you are currently not working and thus receiving $1000 permonth from the government.

    scenario IDo you accept a job where you receive $800per month for 80

    hours of work?scenario II

    Do you accept a job where you receive $1100per month for 80hours of work?

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 15 / 20

    reducing inequality: policy tools

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    17/21

    negative income tax versus traditional welfare

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 16 / 20

    philosophical views on inequality

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    18/21

    The Gazzale Conjectureluck versus skill

    ConjectureYour beliefs on the desirability of income redistribution

    is highly correlated with whether you believe inequality mostly dueto luck or mostly due to skill and choices

    There appears to be a subjective/cultural component to this belief

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 17 / 20

    philosophical views on inequality

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    19/21

    Should we care about inequality?Other Normative Approaches

    Utilitarianism (Jeremy Bentham, John Stuart Mill)

    Assumption:Government ought to maximize the sum of utilityacross all individuals

    Diminishing marginal utility desirability of redistribution

    Liberalism (John Rawls)

    Assumption:Society ought to be just.

    What allocation would you choose under veil of ignorance?

    Maximin criterion: improve the well-being of the worse off

    Libertarianism

    Society owns no income

    Role of government: ensure property rights; level playing field

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 18 / 20

    philosophical views on inequality

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    20/21

    Some thoughts on redistribution and Utilitarianism

    While we cannot compare utility across individuals . . .

    It is rather plausible that taking $1000 from Bill Gates and giving itto the stereotypical cashier at WalMart will increase the sum of

    utility.

    Not all cases are as straightforward . . .

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 19 / 20

    philosophical views on inequality

  • 8/9/2019 Eco 100 Outline Inequality by Gazelle

    21/21

    A more complicated case

    Upon entrance to the UofT, Miwa and Wilson seemed exactly the

    same . . .

    MiwaStudied 12 hours/day at the UofT. Spent the next 10 years

    working 12 hours per day for BMO. Earns an annual income of

    $250,000.WilsonDropped out of UofT. Currently works part-time in aHawaiian surf shop, spending all of his free time surfing.

    Question 1What do their choices tell us about what brings them

    utility?Question 2How confident are you that taking $1000 from Miwaand giving it to Wilson will increase the sum of utility?

    Gazzale (University of Toronto) ECO100: inequality and redistribution 20 / 20