Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000...

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Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader

Transcript of Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000...

Page 1: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Earthquake swarms

Ge 277, 2012Thomas Ader

Page 2: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Outline

• Presentation of swarms• Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW

Bohemia:Indications for a successively triggered rupture growth

underlying the 2000 earthquake swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia, S. Hainzl & T. Fischer, JGR 2002

Page 3: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Definition of swarms ?

• Large number of earthquakes clustered strongly in space and time

• Not characterized by a dominant earthquake

No law comparable to the Omori law: no exact definition of swarms can be formulated

Page 4: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Examples

Long valley Caldera:

dome-like uplift of the caldera:- 1ft in summer 1979- 2.5ft since then

swarm of earthquakes (3 M6 earthquakes the same day)

(USGS)

Page 5: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Examples

(Cappa et al., JGR, 2009)

Page 6: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

(Cappa et al., JGR, 2009)

Page 7: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

- surface rupture- local uplift of about 75cm- outflows of deep origin brine water (i.e., NaCl) saturated with CO2

Page 8: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

• Mostly associated with volcanic activity• Sometimes to geothermal activity• Occasionally observed at the boundary of

tectonic plates [Holtkamp & Brudzinski, 2011]

Swarms ?

Possible mechanisms:- fluids trigger swarms, which trace the migration of fluids- self-organization of earthquakes in regions which prevent the occurrence of mainshocks

Page 9: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

2000 earthquake swarm in Bohemia

swarm area

more than 8000 earthquakes

quaternary volcanoes in the region

Page 10: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

b-value

Usually:- for swarms 1<b<1.5- for tectonic plate boudaries 0.7<b<1.1

Decrease of b-value: earthquakes tend to become larger

Page 11: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

b-valueDecrease of b-value: earthquakes tend to

become larger.

Increase of mean seismic moment release

Page 12: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Increase of the Coulomb failure stress:- shear stress increase- pore pressure rise

2 possible scenarios:- successive stress accumulation due to propagating rupture front- gradual inflow of fluids in the seismogenic zone.

Why do the b-value increase ?

Page 13: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Interevent time distribution

First phase: exp distribution

random occurrence in time

Other phases seem time correlated

different triggering mechanisms

Page 14: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Spatial migration in fault plane

No specific organization of the migration

Page 15: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Spatiotemporal analysis

Propagation not controlled by fluids diffusion.

Rupture starts at the edge of the previous ruptured area

Page 16: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Spatiotemporal analysis

Moment-radius relationship:

Rupture starts at the edge of the previous ruptured area

Page 17: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

Comparison with tectonic earthquakes

The swarms appears to behave like a single large earthquake that would develop slowly.

Page 18: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

cum

ulat

ed s

lip

fault length

Slowly developing rupture

new earthquake triggering

Page 19: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

• Intrusion of fluids probably initiated the swarm seismicity

• Swarm evolution then influenced by earthquakes and stress transfer (locally induced fluid flows ?).

• Cumulative behavior of the swarm activity single large earthquake that ruptures the fault segment at once.

Conclusions of the study

Page 20: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

• Dynamic pore creation: fluid flows out of a localized high-pressured fluid compartment with onset of earthquake rupture [Yamashita, 1999]

• Structural inhomogeneities + visco-elastic coupling (magma filled dikes) [Hill, 1977]

• Behavior reproduced by block model with local stress transfer and viscous coupling [Hainzl et al., 1999]

Discussion: which mechanism(s) ?

Page 21: Earthquake swarms Ge 277, 2012 Thomas Ader. Outline Presentation of swarms Analysis of the 2000 swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia: Indications for a successively.

• USGS website (Long Valley Caldera): http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs108-96/• Modeling crustal deformation and rupture processes related to upwelling of

deep CO2-rich fluids during the 1965 – 1967 Matsushiro earthquake swarm in Japan, F. Cappa, J. Rutqvist, and K. Yamamoto, JGR, 114, 2009

• Indications for a successively triggered rupture growth underlying the 2000 earthquake swarm in Vogtland/NW Bohemia, S. Hainzl & T. Fischer, JGR, 107, 2002

• Pore creation due to fault slip in a fluid-permeated fault zone and its effect on seismicity: Generation mechanism of earthquake swarm, T. Yamashita, Pure Appl. Geophys., 155, 625 – 647, 1999.

• Similar power laws for foreshock and aftershock sequences in a spring-block model for earthquakes, S. Hainzl, G. Zoller, and J. Kurths, JGR, 104, 7243 – 7254, 1999.

• Earthquake swarms in circum-Pacific subduction zones, S.G. Holtkamp, M.R. Brudzinski, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 305, 215-225, 2011

References