Durability and Damage Tolerance Certification for Additive ...€¦ · 3. Structural Design...

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Durability and Damage Tolerance Certification for Additive Manufacturing (AM) of Aircraft Structural Parts 19 March 2019 Chuck Babish U.S. Air Force 2019 Aircraft Structural Integrity Symposium Melbourne, Australia; 18 20 March 2019

Transcript of Durability and Damage Tolerance Certification for Additive ...€¦ · 3. Structural Design...

  • Durability and Damage

    Tolerance Certification for

    Additive Manufacturing (AM)

    of Aircraft Structural Parts

    19 March 2019

    Chuck Babish

    U.S. Air Force

    2019 Aircraft Structural Integrity Symposium

    Melbourne, Australia; 18 – 20 March 2019

  • 2

    Outline

    • Overview

    • Aircraft Structural Integrity Program (ASIP)

    Material & Process (M&P) requirements

    • Challenge for Additive Manufacturing (AM) –

    accurate prediction of Durability and Damage

    Tolerance (DADT)– DADT Analysis (DADTA) foundation

    – Surrogate damage

    – DADT control

    – Parts selection

    • Probabilistic risk analysis for AM parts

    • Summary

  • 3

    Overview

    • Aircraft Structural Integrity Program (ASIP) MIL-STD-1530

    establishes the framework for DADT CertificationTask I Task II Task III Task IV Task V

    Design InformationDesign Analyses &

    Development TestingFull-Scale Testing

    Certification & Force

    Management DevelopmentForce Management Execution

    1. ASIP Master Plan 1. Materials and Structural

    Allowables1. Static Tests 1. Structural Certification 1.L/ESS Execution

    2. Design Service Life & Design

    Usage 2. Loads Analysis

    2. First Flight Verification Ground

    Tests

    2. Strength Summary & Operating

    Restrictions (SSOR)2. IAT Execution

    3. Structural Design Criteria 3. Design Loads/Environment

    Spectra 3. Flight Tests

    3. Force Structural Maintenance

    Plan (FSMP)3. DADTA Updates

    4. Durability & Damage Tolerance

    Control4. Stress and Strength Analysis 4. Durability Tests

    4. Loads/ Environment Spectra

    Survey (L/ESS) System

    Development

    4. L/ESS and IAT System Updates

    5. Corrosion Prevention & Control 5. Durability Analysis 5. Damage Tolerance Tests 5. Individual Aircraft Tracking (IAT)

    System Development 5. NDI Updates

    6. Nondestructive Inspection 6. Damage Tolerance Analysis 6. Climatic Tests 6. Force Management Database

    Development

    6. Structural Risk Analysis

    Updates

    7. Selection of Materials,

    Processes, Joining Methods &

    Structural Concepts

    7. Corrosion Assessment 7. Interpretation & Evaluation of

    Test Findings7. Technical Orders

    7. CPC Plan & Corrosion

    Assessment Updates

    8. Sonic Fatigue Analysis 8. Resolution of Test Findings 8. Analytical Condition Inspection

    9. Vibration Analysis 9. FSMP Updates

    10. Aeroelastic and

    Aeroservoelastic Analysis10. Technical Orders Updates

    11. Mass Properties Analysis 11. Repairs

    12. Survivability Analysis 12. Structural Maintenance

    Database Execution

    13. Design Development Tests 13. Structural Certification

    Updates

    14. Structural Risk Analysis14. Economic Service Life

    Analysis Updates

    15. Economic Service Life

    Analysis15. Others as Required

  • 4

    Overview

    • ASIP MIL-STD-1530 includes

    key requirements for

    selection of M&P

    – Contained in Task I Design

    Information section

    – Applicable throughout life

    cycle whenever new M&P are

    considered

    • Intent of Task V Force

    Management Execution

    (sustainment phase) is to revisit

    any prior Task as required

    – Applicable to AM pursuits!

    Task I

    Design Information

    1. ASIP Master Plan

    2. Design Service Life & Design

    Usage

    3. Structural Design Criteria

    4. Durability & Damage Tolerance

    Control

    5. Corrosion Prevention & Control

    6. Nondestructive Inspection

    7. Selection of Materials,

    Processes, Joining Methods &

    Structural Concepts

  • 5

    Outline

    • Overview

    • Aircraft Structural Integrity Program (ASIP)

    Material & Process (M&P) requirements

    • Challenge for Additive Manufacturing (AM) –

    accurate prediction of Durability and Damage

    Tolerance (DADT)– DADT Analysis (DADTA) foundation

    – Surrogate damage

    – DADT control

    – Parts selection

    • Probabilistic risk analysis for AM parts

    • Summary

  • 6

    ASIP Selection of M&P

    (MIL-STD-1530D Paragraph 5.1.7)

    • …“materials, processes, joining methods, and structural

    concepts shall be selected to result in a structurally

    efficient, cost-effective aircraft structure that meets the

    strength, rigidity, durability, damage tolerance, and other

    requirements...”

    • “Prior to a commitment to new materials…an evaluation

    of their stability, producibility, characterization of

    mechanical and physical properties, predictability of

    structural performance, and supportability shall be

    performed...” (aka “Lincoln’s 5 Factors”)

    • “The risk associated with the selection of the new

    materials, processes…shall be estimated and risk

    mitigation actions defined”

    “Satisfy Lincoln’s 5 Factors”

  • 7

    ASIP M&P Requirements

    Lincoln’s 5 Factors (1 of 3)

    1. Stability - “Maturity of material, process, and joining

    method selections shall be evaluated to determine if

    consistent and repeatable quality and if predictable

    costs can be achieved to meet system performance and

    production requirements. Process parameters and

    methods shall be established and controlled via

    specifications, standards, and manufacturing

    instructions”

    2. Producibility - “Material, process, and joining method

    selections shall be evaluated to determine if scale-up to

    production sizes and rates can be achieved without

    adversely affecting performance, costs, and quality. The

    material, process, and joining method selections shall

    consider inspectability during the manufacturing

    process”

  • 8

    ASIP M&P Requirements

    Lincoln’s 5 Factors (2 of 3)

    3. Characterization of mechanical and physical properties -

    “Material, process, and joining method selections shall

    be characterized to determine mechanical and physical

    properties for the appropriate environments in the as-

    fabricated condition using the manufacturing processes

    and joining methods. Key mechanical properties include

    but are not limited to: strength, elongation, fracture

    toughness, damage growth rates, fatigue, stress

    corrosion and damage growth rate thresholds. Key

    physical properties include but are not limited to:

    density, corrosion resistance, damage population,

    surface reflectivity, thermal stability, coefficient of

    thermal expansion, fire resistance, fluid resistance, and

    surface roughness.”

  • 9

    ASIP M&P Requirements

    Lincoln’s 5 Factors (3 of 3)

    4. Predictability of structural performance - “Material,

    process, and joining method selections shall be

    evaluated to determine if validated analysis methods

    and/or empirical methods are established to enable

    accurate prediction of structural performance (for

    example, strength, rigidity, durability, damage

    tolerance). If validated methods don’t exist at the time of

    selection, risk mitigation actions shall be established.”

    5. Supportability - “Material, process, and joining method

    selections shall be evaluated to determine if cost-

    effective inspection and repair methods are either

    available or can be developed in a timely manner

    considering the sustainment environment throughout

    the entire life cycle…”

  • 10

    Outline

    • Overview

    • Aircraft Structural Integrity Program (ASIP)

    Material & Process (M&P) requirements

    • Challenge for Additive Manufacturing (AM) –

    accurate prediction of Durability and Damage

    Tolerance (DADT)– DADT Analysis (DADTA) foundation

    – Surrogate damage

    – DADT control

    – Parts selection

    • Probabilistic risk analysis for AM parts

    • Summary

  • 11

    Most Difficult Challenge for AM of

    Aircraft Structural Parts

    • Validated analysis method for accurate

    prediction of durability and damage tolerance

    (ASIP M&P selection factor 4) which requires:

    1. Established DADTA foundation

    2. Established surrogate damage

    3. Established DADT control

    4. Methodical parts selection

    “Work the Hardest Problem Up Front”

  • 12

    1. DADTA Foundation

    Introduction

    • How many locations are potentially critical and

    therefore require DADTA?

    Subtractive Manufacturing Additive Manufacturing

    2 to 3 Locations? 5 to 7 Locations?

  • 13

    1. DADTA Foundation

    Requirements (1 of 2)

    1.1 Develop validated DADTA method

    – Results in reasonable correlation with test data

    – Accounts for complex geometries, load interaction,

    residual stresses, etc. as needed

    1.2 Generate material data

    – Material data (fatigue crack growth rates, fracture

    toughness) developed using the same processes,

    machines, build orientation, etc. for the production parts

    – Sufficient replicates to demonstrate material

    consistency recognizing AM technology is particularly

    susceptible to producing parts with discontinuities that

    can serve as sites for crack nucleation reinforcing the

    need for statistical characterization

  • 14

    1. DADTA Foundation

    Requirements (2 of 2)

    1.3 Establish DADT criteria– Specific to the AM application for use in the DADTA

    and to establish part-specific inspections

    – For reference, current DADT criteria includes: • Average usage for damage tolerance stress spectra

    • 90th percentile usage for durability stress spectra

    • Nominal part dimensions

    • Average crack growth rate

    • Lower bound fracture toughness

    • Typically no explicit residual stresses

    • Specified initial crack sizes

    • Factor of 2 on DADTA predictions to establish the initial

    inspection requirement

    • Note: If material data scatter is judged to be too high,

    adjustments to 1 or more criteria are made

  • 15

    2. Surrogate Damage

    Introduction (1 of 5)

    • MIL-STD-1530 defines damage as “any flaw, defect,

    crack, corrosion, disbond, delamination, discontinuity,

    or other type that degrades, or has the potential to

    degrade, the performance of the affected component”

    • MIL-STD-1530 states that “damage tolerance criteria

    shall be applied to all safety-of-flight structure” and

    “include establishment of surrogate damage types,

    sizes, orientations, locations, with consideration of all

    phases of the life cycle to include: material processing,

    shipping, handling, manufacturing, flight operations, and

    maintenance”

    Surrogate Damage has 4 Attributes

  • 16

    2. Surrogate Damage

    Introduction (2 of 5)

    • For DADT of structural parts made from wrought metallic

    materials, surrogate damage type is a fatigue crack, in

    the most critical orientation, in all critical locations (this

    covers 3 of the 4 damage attributes)

    • USAF developed Equivalent Initial Damage Size (EIDS)

    distribution data to establish surrogate damage sizes for

    use in the DADTA in the 1970s– MIL-STD-1530 states that the EIDS “is an analytical

    characterization of the initial quality of the aircraft structure at

    the time of manufacture, modification, or repair. The EIDS

    distribution is derived by analytically determining the initial

    damage size distribution that characterizes the measured

    damage size distribution observed during test or in service”

    • EIDS data used in structural risk analysis during past 20

    years indicate this early work is still representative

  • 17

    2. Surrogate Damage

    Introduction (3 of 5)

    0.000 0.005 0.010 0.015 0.020 0.025 0.030

    Pro

    ba

    bilit

    y D

    en

    sit

    y F

    un

    cti

    on

    Equivalent Initial Damage Size (inches)

    Wrought Aluminum, Individual & Combined Data

    All 1.1

    2.1 3.1

    4.1 4.2

    4.3 4.4

    4.5 5.1

    6.1 7.1

    Initial Crack Size Assumption for

    Durability

    ("Upper Bound of Normal Manufacturing

    Quality")518 Total Cracks:

    7 Aircraft

    11 Materials

  • 18

    2. Surrogate Damage

    Introduction (4 of 5)

    0.000 0.005 0.010 0.015 0.020 0.025 0.030 0.035 0.040 0.045 0.050 0.055 0.060

    Pro

    ba

    bilit

    y D

    en

    sit

    y F

    un

    cti

    on

    Equivalent Initial Damage Size (inches)

    Wrought Aluminum, Combined Data

    Initial Crack Size

    Assumption for Damage Tolerance

    ("Rogue Damage Size")

    Initial Crack Size

    Assumption for Durability

    ("Upper Bound of Normal

    Manufacturing Quality")

    ~Best NDI Capability

    Combined

    518 Cracks

  • 19

    2. Surrogate Damage

    Introduction (5 of 5)

    1.0E-07

    1.0E-06

    1.0E-05

    1.0E-04

    1.0E-03

    1.0E-02

    1.0E-01

    1.0E+00

    0.000 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.060 0.070 0.080 0.090 0.100

    Exceed

    an

    ce P

    rob

    ab

    ilit

    y

    Equivalent Initial Damage Size (inches)

    Wrought Aluminum, Individual & Combined Data

    All 1.1

    2.1 3.1

    4.1 4.2

    4.3 4.4

    4.5 5.1

    6.1 7.1

  • 20

    2. Surrogate Damage

    Requirements (1 of 3)

    2.1 Establish surrogate damage type(s)– Generate data that demonstrates the surrogate

    damage type(s) covers the full range of potential

    damage such as lack of fusion, porosity, cracking,

    and lack of penetration in AM parts

    2.2 Establish surrogate damage locations– Most critical location(s) for the part

    2.3 Establish surrogate damage orientation(s)– Most critical orientation(s) for the part

  • 21

    2. Surrogate Damage

    Requirements (2 of 3)

    2.4 Establish surrogate damage sizes– Damage size for Normal Control (NC) parts based on a

    probability of exceeding the EIDS of 1x10-1; but not

    less than 0.01 inches

    – Damage size for Durability Critical (DC) parts based on

    a probability of exceeding the EIDS of 1x10-3; but not

    less than 0.01 inches

    – Damage size for Fracture Critical (FC) parts based on

    a probability of exceeding the EIDS of 1x10-7; but not

    less than 0.05 inches

    Note: NC, DC, and FC Defined in Section 4

  • 1.0E-07

    1.0E-06

    1.0E-05

    1.0E-04

    1.0E-03

    1.0E-02

    1.0E-01

    1.0E+00

    0.000 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.060 0.070 0.080 0.090 0.100

    Ex

    ce

    ed

    an

    ce

    Pro

    ba

    bilit

    y

    Equivalent Initial Damage Size (inches)

    Wrought Aluminum, Individual & Combined Data

    All 1.1

    2.1 3.1

    4.1 4.2

    4.3 4.4

    4.5 5.1

    6.1 7.1

    22

    2. Surrogate Damage

    Requirements (3 of 3)

    NC

    DC

    FC

    2 of 11 > 0.01”

    Combined < 0.01”

    6 of 11 > 0.01”

    Combined ~0.02”

    2 of 11 > 0.05”

    Combined ~0.05”

  • 23

    3. DADT Control

    Requirements (1 of 5)

    3.1 Demonstrate process control– Address the stability and producibility factors

    – Include residual stress management efforts such as

    stress relief and additional manufacturing steps such

    as heat-treating, Hot Isostatic Pressing (HIPing), and

    machining to achieve surface finish requirements

    3.2 Generate mechanical property data– Statistically-based design data from specimens using

    the “production” processes and include worst-case

    orientations and regions of the part

  • 24

    3. DADT Control

    Requirements (2 of 5)

    3.3 Develop, validate, verify, and implement Non

    Destructive Investigation (NDI)– Enable effective Quality Assurance (QA)

    – If an NDI-based initial damage size assumption is

    used (not preferred), verify the NDI capability for all

    damage types, damage orientations, and damage

    locations within specific regions of each part

    considering access, part thickness, and other

    important factors (this is not a trivial task!!!)

  • 25

    3. DADT Control

    Requirements (3 of 5)

    3.4 Establish dimensional control and verification– After the AM process is completed and after all post-

    processing is completed

    3.5 Dissect “Production” parts and characterize

    material– Perform mechanical testing of specimens made from

    excised material to verify properties to include worst-

    case orientations and regions of the part

    – Perform metallographic and micrographic

    examinations to determine if defects/damage are

    within expectations and to evaluate/demonstrate NDI

    performance

  • 26

    3. DADT Control

    Requirements (4 of 5)

    3.6 Conduct mechanical property testing of

    production parts– Fabricate and test “Witness” coupons from each

    production part to verify properties, and to provide

    data and experience to support the use of the AM

    process to more critical/complex parts

    – Fabricate the coupons using the same AM parameters

    as production parts to include: scan schedule,

    interpass time, and orientation on build plate

  • 27

    3. DADT Control

    Requirements (5 of 5)

    3.7 Establish accept/reject criteria– Considering all of the DADT control results

    – This includes establishing criteria to reject an AM part

    based on the frequency of defects/damage, even if

    none of the defects/damage exceed the initial damage

    size assumption

  • 28

    4. Methodical Parts Selection

    Introduction (1 of 2)

    • MIL-STD-1530 establishes part classification & definitions

  • 29

    4. Methodical Parts Selection

    Introduction (2 of 2)

    • Safety-of-flight– Fracture-Critical (FC) traceable part

    • Either single load path or judged to require serialization and

    traceability

    – Fracture-Critical (FC) part• Not single load path nor judged to require serialization and

    traceability

    • Not safety-of-flight– Durability-Critical (DC) part

    • Judged to require additional controls beyond those for normal-

    controls parts

    – Normal Controls (NC) part• Standard aerospace practices are sufficient in the design,

    manufacturing, and maintenance of the part to ensure

    structural integrity

  • 30

    4. Methodical Parts Selection

    Requirements

    4.1 Start with NC parts only– Lowest risk if unanticipated issues occur

    – Still requires durability crack growth analysis, all

    supporting material data, surrogate damage, etc.

    – Expectation: an aggregate of NC parts will provide data

    and experience necessary to evaluate risk of

    proceeding with DC aircraft structural parts due to:• Varying geometries & complexities

    • Multiple lots of materials

    • Multiple AM machines & operators

    • Characterized material property variability

    • Additional data for EIDS characterization

  • 31

    4. Methodical Parts Selection

    Requirements

    4.2 Then move to DC parts– Next level of risk

    – Use NC & DC parts experience to provide confidence

    for pursuing FC parts

    4.3 Then pursue FC parts– Requires damage tolerance analysis and different

    surrogate damage sizes (as a minimum)

    – Requires improved understanding of variability

    – Requires improved understanding of supportability

    – Requires additional NDI development & validation

    – Requires robust accept/reject criteria

  • 32

    DADT Certification of AM Parts

    Summary (1 of 2)

    1. Established DADTA foundationa. Method

    b. Data

    c. Criteria

    2. Established surrogate damagea. Type

    b. Orientation

    c. Location

    d. Size

  • 33

    DADT Certification of AM Parts

    Summary (2 of 2)

    3. Established DADT controla. Process control

    b. Mechanical property testing for design data

    c. NDI

    d. Dimensional control

    e. Dissection of production parts

    f. Mechanical property testing of production parts

    g. Accept/reject criteria

    4. Methodical parts selectiona. Normal control parts, then

    b. Durability critical parts, then

    c. Fracture critical parts

  • 34

    Outline

    • Overview

    • Aircraft Structural Integrity Program (ASIP)

    Material & Process (M&P) requirements

    • Challenge for Additive Manufacturing (AM) –

    accurate prediction of Durability and Damage

    Tolerance (DADT)– DADT Analysis (DADTA) foundation

    – Surrogate damage

    – DADT control

    – Parts selection

    • Probabilistic risk analysis for AM parts

    • Summary

  • 35

    Probabilistic Risk Analysis

    Introduction

    • Modified Lincoln method, see references:– Lincoln, J.W., ASD-TR-80-5035, “Method for Computation of

    Structural Failure Probability for an Aircraft,” July 1980

    – UDR-TR-2005-00240, “PRoF v3 PRobability Of Fracture Aging

    Aircraft Risk Analysis Update,” December 2005

    • Freudenthal method, see references:– Domyancic, L.; McFarland, J.; Cardinal, J.; and Burnside, H.,

    “Review of Methods for Single Flight Probability of Failure

    (SFPOF),” Southwest Research Institute, March 2011

    – Brussat, T. R., “Recommended Methodology Updates to Improve

    Single Flight Probability of Failure Estimation,” 2012 ASIP

    Conference, San Antonio TX

    – UDR-TR-2015-15, “PROF v3.2 Probability Of Failure – A-10 Fleet

    Management Analysis Update,” July 2015

  • 36

    Probabilistic Risk Analysis

    Inputs & Output

    1.E-09

    1.E-08

    1.E-07

    1.E-06

    1.E-05

    1.E-04

    1.E-03

    0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000

    Sin

    gle

    Flig

    ht P

    robabili

    ty o

    f F

    ailu

    re

    Flight Hours

    SFPoF

    Similar Details

    Hours per Flight0.02.04.0

    6.0

    8.0

    10.0

    12.0

    14.0

    16.0

    18.0

    20.0

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6

    K/s

    igm

    a

    Crack Size (in.)

    Alpha Plot

    BaselineK/σ vs

    Crack

    Size

    1.E-07

    1.E-06

    1.E-05

    1.E-04

    1.E-03

    1.E-02

    1.E-01

    1.E+00

    0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00

    Exce

    ed

    an

    ce

    Pro

    ba

    bili

    ty

    Stress

    Max Stress per Flight

    BaselineMax

    Stress

    per Flight

    Initial

    Crack

    Size 00.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    0.000 0.005 0.010 0.015 0.020

    Cum

    ula

    tive

    Pro

    ba

    bility

    Crack Size (in.)

    Initial Crack Size Distribution

    Baseline

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1.0

    0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00

    Cu

    mu

    lative

    Pro

    ba

    bili

    ty

    Crack Size (Inches)

    Probability of Detection

    Baseline

    Probability

    of

    Detection

    Inspection

    Intervals

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    4

    0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000

    Cra

    ck S

    ize

    (in

    .)

    Flight Hours

    Crack Growth Curve

    Baseline

    Crack

    Growth

    Curve

    Fracture

    Toughness0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1.0

    20 25 30 35 40 45 50

    Cu

    mu

    lative

    Pro

    ba

    bili

    ty

    Fracture Toughness (Ksi * Inch ^ 0.5)

    Fracture Toughness

    Baseline

    Repair

    Crack

    Size 00.10.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    0.000 0.005 0.010 0.015 0.020 0.025 0.030

    Cum

    ula

    tive P

    rob

    ab

    ility

    Crack Size (in.)

    Repair Crack Size Distribution

    Baseline

  • 37

    Risk Analysis Inputs & Output

    Related to DADT for AM Challenges

    1.E-09

    1.E-08

    1.E-07

    1.E-06

    1.E-05

    1.E-04

    1.E-03

    0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000

    Sin

    gle

    Flig

    ht P

    robabili

    ty o

    f F

    ailu

    re

    Flight Hours

    SFPoF

    Similar Details

    Hours per Flight0.02.04.0

    6.0

    8.0

    10.0

    12.0

    14.0

    16.0

    18.0

    20.0

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6

    K/s

    igm

    a

    Crack Size (in.)

    Alpha Plot

    BaselineK/σ vs

    Crack

    Size

    1.E-07

    1.E-06

    1.E-05

    1.E-04

    1.E-03

    1.E-02

    1.E-01

    1.E+00

    0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00

    Exce

    ed

    an

    ce

    Pro

    ba

    bili

    ty

    Stress

    Max Stress per Flight

    BaselineMax

    Stress

    per Flight

    Initial

    Crack

    Size 00.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    0.000 0.005 0.010 0.015 0.020

    Cum

    ula

    tive

    Pro

    ba

    bility

    Crack Size (in.)

    Initial Crack Size Distribution

    Baseline

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1.0

    0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00

    Cu

    mu

    lative

    Pro

    ba

    bili

    ty

    Crack Size (Inches)

    Probability of Detection

    Baseline

    Probability

    of

    Detection

    Inspection

    Intervals

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    4

    0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000

    Cra

    ck S

    ize

    (in

    .)

    Flight Hours

    Crack Growth Curve

    Baseline

    Crack

    Growth

    Curve

    Fracture

    Toughness0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1.0

    20 25 30 35 40 45 50

    Cu

    mu

    lative

    Pro

    ba

    bili

    ty

    Fracture Toughness (Ksi * Inch ^ 0.5)

    Fracture Toughness

    Baseline

    Repair

    Crack

    Size 00.10.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    0.000 0.005 0.010 0.015 0.020 0.025 0.030

    Cum

    ula

    tive P

    rob

    ab

    ility

    Crack Size (in.)

    Repair Crack Size Distribution

    Baseline

    DADTA

    Found.

    DADTA

    Found.

    DADTA

    Found.

    Surrogate

    Damage

    DADT

    Control

  • 38

    Probabilistic Risk Analysis

    Priorities• #1: Get the loads/environment and usage severity right

    for each aircraft– Used in crack growth analysis

    – Used in equivalent flight hours (EFH) calculations

    – Used to generate max stress per flight distribution

    • #2: Get the crack growth model right– Used to convert actual flight hours into EFH so that fleet and test

    results can be combined

    – Used to convert crack sizes at EFH into EIDS values to generate

    flaw size distribution

    – Used to project flaw size distribution in time

    – Used to determine when failure criterion is reached

    • #3: Get the EIDS distribution right and update it as

    additional inspection results are obtained– Must consider that NDI is used to find/miss cracks and therefore

    directly influences result

    • #4: Get the NDI PoD function right

  • 39

    Outline

    • Overview

    • Aircraft Structural Integrity Program (ASIP)

    Material & Process (M&P) requirements

    • Challenge for Additive Manufacturing (AM) –

    accurate prediction of Durability and Damage

    Tolerance (DADT)– DADT Analysis (DADTA) foundation

    – Surrogate damage

    – DADT control

    – Parts selection

    • Probabilistic risk analysis for AM parts

    • Summary

  • 40

    Summary

    • DADT certification of structural parts requires significant

    test data to characterize the variability in DADT properties

    and to establish the initial damage type and size

    assumptions used in the DADTA

    • The pursuit of AM for structural parts should begin with

    NC parts only

    • If the test data and experience from building hundreds of

    various NC parts supports it, the pursuit of DC parts can

    begin

    • Only when the test data and experience from building

    many hundreds of various NC and DC parts exists and is

    favorable, should the pursuit of FC parts begin

    • This approach is expected to be more efficient in the long

    run than performing significant testing for part-specific

    AM applications only

  • 41