DTN 21.12

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    DAILY COMMODITY OUTLOOK 21st Dec2011

    Market Review & Outlook

    Precious Metals

    The precious metals traded in the positive territory for the major part of

    yesterdays session. Both, gold and silver closed the session with a gain of

    close to 1%. The current pullback in gold can see it test the `28300--`28500

    levels over the upcoming sessions of trade. Thus the `27000/`27250--

    `28300/`28500 levels will be the broad trading range for gold over the near

    term to short term time frame. On the other hand, silver too is likely to test

    the ` 54000--`54500 levels on the upside.

    Base Metals & Energy

    The base metals opened the session on a weak note but recovered their

    intraday losses and mov ed into the green t erritory as the day progressed. The

    gains increased on the back of positive cues from the Europe & US markets.

    As we had pointed out in our previous few trading notes, Nickel continued to

    outperform the metals pack as it closed the session with a gain of close to

    2%.

    Crude oil recovered from its recent swing lows and closed the session with a

    gain of over 2%. Sustenance above ` 5125 levels will see crude oil continuing

    this upside momentum and thus test levels of `5200 over the upcoming

    sessions of this week.

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    DAILY COMMODITY OUTLOOK 21st Dec2011

    Strategy/Recommendations

    MCX Aluminium Dec ` 105.55

    Traders can look to go long between `105.80--`105.25 levels with a stoplossplaced below ` 104.40 levels for target s of ` 106.85 / ` 107.50 levels.

    MCX Crude Jan ` 5153.00

    Traders can look to go long on dips between `5110--`5080 levels with a

    stoploss placed below ` 5039 levels for targets of `517 0 / ` 5200 levels.

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    DAILY COMMODITY OUTLOOK 21st Dec2011

    Morning Technical Levels for Metals and Energy

    Commodity Exchange Contract Trend S2 S1 LTP R1 R2

    Bullions

    Gold MCX FEB Down 27,555 27,711 27,867 27,964 28,061

    Spot Gold Down 1587 1604 1620.45 1629 1637

    Silver MCX MAR Down 52,239 52,863 53,487 53,843 54,199

    Spot Silver Down 28.43 29.00 29.57 29.88 30.19

    Base Metals

    LME Copper Sideways 3.2459 3.3109 3.3760 3.4154 3.4549

    Copper MCX FEB Sideways 385.5 390.93 396.35 400.1 403.8

    Zinc MCX DEC Down 97.33 98.07 98.8 99.52 100.2

    Lead MCX DEC Down 101.4 102.38 103.4 104.6 105.8

    Aluminium MCX DEC Sideways 103.9 104.70 105.55 106.2 106.9

    Nickel MCX DEC UP 963.2 980.70 998.2 1010 1022

    Energy

    Crude oil MCX JAN Sideways 4,954 5,053 5,153 5,211 5,270

    Crude NYMEX Sideways 99.84 98.73 97.63 95.42 93.22

    Natural Gas MCX Dec Down 162.1 163.23 164.4 166.3 168.3

    Agricultural Commodities

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    DAILY COMMODITY OUTLOOK 21st Dec2011

    Strategy/Recommendations

    NCDEX Chana Jan ` 3380.00

    Traders can go short between `3370--`3400 levels with a stoploss placed above` 3437 levels for downside targets of ` 3260 / ` 3225 levels.

    MCX Menthaoil Dec `1295.30

    Traders can go short on a break below `1289 levels with a stoploss placed above

    ` 1308.10 levels for downside targets of ` 1270 / ` 1255 levels.

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    DAILY COMMODITY OUTLOOK 21st Dec2011

    Morning Technical Levels for Agri - Commodities

    Commodity Exchange Contract Trend S2 S1 LTP R1 R2

    Spice Complex

    Jeera NCDEX JAN UP 14325 14527 14729.00 14974 15219

    Pepper NCDEX JAN UP 35077 35263 35450.00 35678 35907

    Turmeric NCDEX MAY UP 4306 4348 4390.00 4434 4478

    Chilli NCDEX FEB DOWN 6258 6326 6394.00 6488 6582

    Coriander NCDEX JAN DOWN 3814 3922 4031.00 4107 4184

    Oilseed Complex

    Soybean NCDEX JAN UP 2410 2420 2430.50 2447 2464

    Mustard Seed NCDEX JAN UP 3400 3415 3431.00 3456 3482Ref Soya Oil NCDEX JAN UP 676 679 681.10 685 689

    CPO NCDEX DEC Sideways 172 345 516.80 345 172

    Castor Seed NCDEX JAN Sideways 3798 3850 3902.00 3984 4065

    Others

    Guar Seed NCDEX JAN UP 6548 6652 6757.00 6809 6862

    Guar Gum NCDEX JAN UP 21109 21491 21874.00 22065 22257

    Chana NCDEX JAN UP 3331 3355 3380.00 3414 3449

    Sugar NCDEX JAN UP 2849 2866 2882.00 2893 2903

    Sugar NCDEX DEC UP 952 1904 2856.00 1904 952

    Kapas NCDEX Apr UP 743 753 762.00 779 795

    Cotton Oilseed

    Cake

    NCDEX Jan Sideways 1159 1176 1192.00 1220 1247

    Gur NCDEX Jan UP 1074 1079 1083.00 1089 1094

    Potato NCDEX Apr DOWN 554 562 569.80 576 582

    Menthaoil MCX Dec DOWN 1276 1285 1295.30 1313 1330

    Wheat NCDEX Jan Sideways 1174 1183 1193.00 1205 1218

    Maize NCDEX Jan Sideways 1162 1170 1177.50 1189 1200

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    DAILY COMMODITY OUTLOOK 21st Dec2011

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