DSD-INT 2015 - unique delft3 d applications in the usa- edwin elias

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1 december 2015 Delft3D applications in the USA, towards an open model community. Cooperation between Deltares, Deltares USA, USGS… and all interested. Edwin Elias

Transcript of DSD-INT 2015 - unique delft3 d applications in the usa- edwin elias

Page 1: DSD-INT 2015 - unique delft3 d applications in the usa- edwin elias

1 december 2015

Delft3D applications in the USA,

towards an open model community.

Cooperation between Deltares, Deltares USA, USGS…

and all interested.

Edwin Elias

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1 december 2015

.Founded in 1920’s

.Non-profit organisation

.850 staff: 20% Ph.D.’s, 40% M.Sc.’s

.Annual turnover of $ 150 million

.50% Dutch / EU gov’t grants

.50% market

.Serving the public and private sectors

.National (40%) and international (60%)

.Exact sciences, integrated with social

sciences Mission:

development, distribution

and application of expert

knowledge for sustainable

development and preservation

of delta, coastal and fluvial

areas.

Deltares background

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Deltares USA background

1 december 2015

Silver Spring,

Maryland

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1 december 2015

Pacific and Marine Science Centre

Santa Cruz, CA St. Petersburg Coastal

and Marine Science Center

Collaboration with the U.S. Geological Survey

Goal : understanding coastal hazards and coastal

processes using models and data

“they have the data, we have the models”

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1 december 2015

USGS interest:

Obtain the best science possible.

Deltares interest :

Increase our process knowledge for conditions

that are not present, or we will never measure in

the Netherlands

Such knowledge helps us improve our models and

develop model robust and world-wide applicable

models.

Collaboration with the U.S. Geological Survey

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1 december 2015

Projects and Topics

USGS interest:

Obtain the best science possible

Deltares interest :

Increase our process knowledge for conditions

that are not present, or we will never measure in

the Netherlands

Such knowledge helps us improve our models and

develop model robust and world-wide applicable

models.

AND…towards an open model

community. Sharing models, data

and model applications.

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Deltares’ tools

• Delft3D large scale morphodynamical model

• Open-source

• Co-funded by Office of Naval Research

• Used by US Navy (research and operational)

• 570+ US organization have downloaded it

• XBeach local scale morphodynamical model

• Open source

• Launch funding by US Corps of Engineers

• 1000 + users, many in US academic world

• More and more consultants, too!

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SF bay

• Morphology

• Flood protection

• Water Quality

• Software

Pacific Northwest

• Columbia river

• Morphology / dredging

• Water quality and Contaniments

• Flood protection

Puget Sound

• Water quality

• Eco-system restoration

Pacific

• Climate change

• Coral reefs

Artic

• Morphology of thawing shorelines (gravel)

• Wave dynamics and Ice

Southern California

• Sandy shoreline / nourishments

• CosMos

Key areas of Interest

Coastal modelling

Reservoir modelling

Contaminated sediments

Evasive species

Navigation and Dredging

FEWS

DelftFM model (community idea)

Water quality & ecology

CosMos systems

(California, Hawaii)

* Hazards

* economics

* flood maps

Coastal Fews – coupled

FEWS (water shed)

Coupling surface and sub-

surface flow

Coral Reef modelling

Atoll modelling (overwash and

coupling to groundwater)

Climate change and Natural

Hazards

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Coastal model applications in the US

1 december 2015

Puget Sound / Elwha / Skagit / Capitol Lake, WA

Maui/Molokai, HI

Kwajalein Atoll, RMI

St. Lawrence Island, AK

Mouth of Columbia River/Willapa Bay/Grays Harbour, WA

San Francisco Bay Community Model, CA

So California Coast

San Diego Bight/Tijuana River, CA

Mississippi Delta, LA

Chandeleurs/Breton, LA

Santa Rosa FL

Rockaway NY

Assateague, MD/VA

Duck, NC

Camp Osborne, NJ

Ship Island, MS

Dauphin Island, AL

Santa Cruz Harbour

Guam GoM

DelRay, FL

Delaware Bay

Longboat Key, FL

Galveston, TX

Delft3D in black

Xbeach in blue

Fire Island NY

San Francisco Bay Community Model, CA

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Columbia River Studies

• 4th largest river in the us according to volume

• 2000 km long with a drainage basin size of France

• Average discharge 7500 m3/s

• Highest discharge of 35000 m3/s

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Columbia River Studies

• Major (hot-spot erosion) along the MCR beaches

• Jetty maintenance

• Maintenance dredging

• Salmon migration

• Safe shipping

• Contaminent accumulations in the river

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Some examples: Columbia River

1 december 2015

Columbia River

• Understanding the

Sediment Budget end

processes

• Effects of Jetty

Rehabilitation

• Dredging and Dredge

disposal

• Predicting the accumulation

of contaminents in the

Columbia River

• Predicting the effects of

changes in the water

• Collaborations with USACE,

ONR, Washington State.

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Research Approach

• Invested in building a process-based hydrodynamic and

morphodynamic model

• Model was validated with field data

• Depending on problem; base model is adapted and

used to answer specific questions.

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Model Validation “Mega Transect measurements”

Water levels

Waves

Salinity

Currents

sediment transport

morphological change

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Model Validation “Mega Transect measurements”

Water levels

Waves

Salinity

Currents

sediment transport

morphological change

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Identification of dominant sediment

transport processes.

SUMMER WINTER

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Identification of dominant sediment

transport processes.

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ONR – RIVET II Measurements

1 december 2015

• Upward looking ADCP

• Nearbed ADV

• Pressure

• CTD

• OBS (suspended sed conc)

• Rotary sonar

• Pencil-beam sonar

• Acoustic release

• Transponder for AUV

Dis

tan

ce

(m

)

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Present day research:

Sand Waves

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Some examples: Columbia River

1 december 2015

Columbia River

• Understanding the

Sediment Budget end

processes

• Effects of Jetty

Rehabilitation

• Dredging and Dredge

disposal

• Predicting the accumulation

of contaminents in the

Columbia River

• Predicting the effects of

changes in the water

• Collaborations with USACE,

ONR, Washington State.

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Puget Sound; Capitol Lake

1 december 2015

Primary Goal:

Investigate feasibility of restoring tidal

and estuarine processes to lake/estuary

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Puget Sound; Capitol Lake

1 december 2015

Primary Goal:

Investigate feasibility of restoring tidal

and estuarine processes to lake/estuary

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Present day Research

• Effects of restorations on sediment

transport

• Effects of sediment transport on

sea-grass and shell fish habitat

• Effects of deltas on flood risks

1 december 2015

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1 december 2015

USGS interest…. (1) What are the dominant sediment transport

pathways?

- San Francisco Bay Coastal System

- Ocean Beach

- Dredge disposal sites

- Large sand wave fields

- Crissy Marsh Inlet

(2) Long-term evolution of San Pablo and Suison Bay

(3) What is the cause of observed ebb tidal

delta constriction?

(4) What is the cause of the erosional hot spot

at Ocean Beach?

- Sediment supply?

- Wave refraction/focusing patterns?

- Tidal current patterns?

San Francisco Bay Community model v1.0

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Delft3D Base Model Set up

Single domain model application

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De

pth

(m

)

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San Francisco Bay

1 december 2015

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OCOF – Our Coast Our Future.

1 december 2015

• Community model San Francisco Bay

• OCOF – Tools to understand the

anticipated vulnerability to SLR

Marine Geology Volume 345, Pages 1-326, 1 November 2013

A multi-discipline approach for understanding sediment transport and geomorphic evolution in an

estuarine-coastal system: San Francisco Bay.

Edited by P.L. Barnard, B.E. Jaffe and D.H. Schoellhamer.

http://walrus.wr.usgs.gov/coastal_processes/sfbaycoastalsys/SFBay_model/

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Courtesy Mick van der Wegen

“…extend modeling capabilities to

assess Delta ecosystem

response to changes in climate

and physical configuration”

Development of Delft3D Bay Delta

model for calculations with

- Water levels

- Salinity

- Sediment

- Temperature

- Fish habitat

- Phytoplankton dynamics

- Island flooding

San Francisco Bay Community model v2.0

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Courtesy Mick van der Wegen

Bathymetry grid

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In progress: Seamless Bathy-Topo (LIDAR) grid

Courtesy Mick van der Wegen

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San Francisco Bay Delta Community Model

www.d3d-baydelta.org

January 13, 2014

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Boundary conditions from

WaveWatch

Lookup table of local wave height, period,

direction (25-50m resolution) for each

Hawaiian Island.

Climate change predictions Future Coral Reef Community Projections of DOI-Managed Coastal Assets in the Hawaiian Islands

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Roi Namur, Republic of Marshall Islands

• Small atoll in Pacific Ocean

with U.S. base

• Island experiences wave

events with flooding

• Flooding causes damage

and infiltrates drinking water

supply

• Likely to increase due to

climate change due to

• Sea level rise

• Higher waves

• Coral reef degredation

1 december 2015

See : Many Atolls May be Uninhabitable Within Decades Due

to Climate Change.

Storlazzi, Elias & Berkowitz, Nature Scientific Reports 5, 14546

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• Anthropogenic influences in the past are important

for the present day developments and problems.

1939

2002

Take home…..

We observe very similar problems in the US

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Very Similar Problems in The US

• Nature and Humans compete / conflict

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• Decadal scale morphodynamics of

complex systems

Coupling Sediment transport to

“ecology”

Climate change predictions of

flooding and coastal morphology

Operational coastal forecasting

systems

Future and Present day research Interests;