Drops to Zero

8/10/2019 Drops to Zero

1/5

10 InvestmentMistakes

Audio Commentary From RanSquawk:

01-09 9:06: US NFP birth/death rate -20K vs. Prev. +80K

01-09 9:06: Markets continue to digest the NFP report which

showed stronger...

01-09 9:06: Goldman Sachs cuts EUR/USD forecast, says

recent slide in EUR is part...

01-09 9:06: Fed's Evans says in favour of being patient on

raising US...

01-09 9:06: Club Med (CU FP) said Gallion invest II offers

EUR 25,98 for each...

01-09 9:06: DAILY US EQUITY OPENING NEWS - FINAL

EDITION:

01-09 9:06: Bill Gross says Fed may raise interest rates by

50bps by end-2015 and...

01-09 9:06: Mexican Industrial Production (Nov) Y/Y 1.8%

vs. Exp. 2.1% (Prev. 2.1...
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09/01/2015 Zero Hedge | On a long enough tim eline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

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longer-term forecasts, bringing the end-2016 forecast to1.00 (from 1.05) and that for end-2017 to 0.90 (from1.00).

COMMENTS: 6 READS: 353

Payrolls Reaction: Crude Lower AsBonds & Stocks Rally

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/09/2015 - 08:56

While headline exuberance over thepayrolls print sparked a kneejerkhigher in stocks, the record drop inearnings and the further drop in the laborforce are leading bond yields and

crude oil lower. Gold is modestly hgher and the USDollar israllying.

COMMENTS: 9 READS: 1,718

Non-Farm Payrolls Rise By More ThanExpected 252K, But Hourly EarningsPlunge Most In At Least 8 Years


On the surface, the December jobs reportwas good, with 252K jobs added, higherthan the 240K expected, leading to afresh cycle low unemployment rate of5.6%, down from 5.8% and below the

5.7% expected, and with the November data revised to awhopping 353K from 321K, a net change of 50K including theOctober revision. However it was the average hourly earningswhere the real details were hid, and it was here that WallStreet was expecting a 0.2% increase. Intead the BLS reporteda whoppping 0.2% decline in average hourly earnings, with thelast month's 0.4% jump revised lower by half to 0.2%.


What Wall Street Expects From Today'sPayrolls Number


Deutsche Bank 200KHSBC 211KCitigroup 220KGoldman Sachs 230KMorgan Stanley 240KJP Morgan 240KCredit Suisse 250KUBS 270K


2 Dead After Another Armed Man Takes5 Hostages In Eastern Paris KosherGrocery Store


Even as the Charlie Hebdo shootingsuspects, who have holed up in the town ofDommartin with a hostage in tow, areengaged in what is likely a final showdownwith the police, a second hostage situation

appears to have developed in a Kosher grocery in eastern

Paris, where according to preliminary reports the shooter fromthe Montrouge policewoman killing yesterday, has takenseveral hostages. According to AFP, Fresh shooting broke outin eastern Paris on Friday, with reports that an armed man hadtaken a hostage at a kosher grocery store. "The gunman wassuspected of being the same man who killed a policewoman insouthern Paris on Thursday, who is thought to have links to theassailants who stormed." AFP just added that at least 5

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(WhyDoesItHurtWh...)

01-09 9:22: We are Japan now.....just (youngman)

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09/01/2015 Zero Hedge | On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero


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hostage are involved in the parallel hostage situation.


Frontrunning: January 9Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/09/2015 - 07:52

Police Surround Paris Terror Suspects Near CDG Airport(BBG)ECB Said to Study Bond-Purchase Models Up to 500Billion Euros (BBG)How OPEC Weaponized the Price of Oil Against U.S.Drillers (BBG)German Industrial Production Falls Amid Plunge inEnergy Output (BBG)Car Loans See Rise In Missed Payments (WSJ)Jim O'Neill threatens he will replace BRICs with ICs(BBG)Oil heads for seventh weekly loss as supply glut drags(Reuters)Armed man takes hostage in kosher grocery in Paris(AFP)Janus Chairman Didnt Know Details of GrosssInvestment (WSJ)Kaisa Bondholders Dream of White Knight as DefaultBecomes Real (BBG)

COMMENTS: 3 READS: 805

Futures Fade After Report ECB StillUnsure On QE Format


While the trading world, or at least the kneejerk reactionalgos, is focused on today's US nonfarm payrolls due out in

just 2 hours (consensus expects 240K, with unemploymentdeclining from 5.8% to 5.7%) the key event overnight cameout of China, (where inflation printed at just 1.5% while PPIhas imploded from -1.8% in September to -2.2% in October to-2.7% in November to a whopping -3.3% in December because

as per BofA "soft domestic demand over-capacity issue havekept inflation pressures low") and Europe, after a Bloombergreport that as recently as Wednesday, ECB staff "presentedpolicy makers with models for buying as much as 500 billioneuros ($591 billion) of investment-grade assets... optionsincluded buying only AAA-rated debt or bonds rated at leastBBB-, the euro-area central bank official said. Governors tookno decision on the design or implementation of any packageafter the presentation." In other words less than two weeksbefore the fateful ECB meeting and Mario Draghi not only stillhasn't decided on which of three public QE version he willadopt, but the ECB has reverted back to a private QE plan. Notsurprisingly the EURUSD jumped back over 1.18 on the news(and USDJPY and stock markets dropped) on the news thatEurope still is completely unsure how to proceed with QEdespite the endless jawboning.


Money, Gold And Liberty In 2015 &Beyond


If we review the events of 2014, it seemsthe situation has intensified:governmentsare still overwhelmed with debt, our

fiat money system is unsupported, our

central banks insist on accumulating

debt and making money valueless. Willsomeone realize we have to pull the plug?

And when we do, because it will happen whether we want it or

not, how can we hedge against the damage that we will all beexposed to? Owning physical precious metals stored outsidethe banking system is a proven and essential form ofmonetary insurance against the uncertainties andnegative surprises we see in our world today.

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"The Entire Theory Of Monetarism IsComing Undone In Spectacular AndEmpirical Fashion"


The entire theory of monetarism is comingundone in spectacular and empiricalfashion, which leaves the entire status quoexposed. All that is left in defense is

the same old refrain of it wasnt big enough. Thatsgreat for those in the ivory towers blinding themselves to thereality of a lost generation of Italians, Spaniards, French andnow even Germans a listing to which even the FOMC isworried may yet add Americans. Why anyone everexpected a different outcome is due solely tounrepentant ideology, since these central banks arefollowing almost exactly the Japanese model.


Thursday Humor: To Serve And ToProtect... And "To Shoot Minorities"


Career-ending mistake, or the biggestFreudian slip in history?


Goldman's Payroll Preview: Labor

Market Softened In December, ExpectSlower Earnings Growth


Goldman Sachs expects nonfarm payroll jobgrowth of 230k in December, slightly belowthe consensus forecast of 240k. Labormarket indicators continue to point to astrong pace of employment gains, butsoftened on balance in December. Inparticular, jobless claims rose modestly

and the employment components of service sector businesssurveys weakened somewhat. With respect to wages, weexpect a softer +0.1% gain in average hourly earningsfollowing an unusually large gain in November. On balance,labor market indicators looked somewhat softer in

December, but remain consistent with a solid trend rate

of employment growth.


"Europe Can't Afford A Greek Exit"German Opposition Warns Merkel Is"Playing With Fire"


The mainstream media narrative - thatGermany is ready and prepared for Grexit

and that it is no longer a threat to financial

stability - is all hype, according to Germanopposition finance minister Joachim Poss.

As Bloomberg reports, all that is mostlyposturing for an electorate tired of the aid

and angst Greece has demanded since 2010. Simply put, thepotential for Euro instability from a Grexit is a detriment toGermany's massive benefits from the single currency -"Europe cant afford a Greek exit," Poss concludes,

complacency by Merkel is "playing with fire."

The Only FinancialCareers That Exist in

Movies

5 Things People Think OfAs Necessities That Really

Aren't
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Welcome To The Matrix: Enslaved ByTechnology & The Internet Of Things


Make no mistake: the Internet ofThings is just Big Brother in a moreappealing disguise. Even so, we're notsuggesting we all become Luddites.

However, we need to be aware of how quickly a helpful device

that makes our lives easier can become a harmful weapon that

enslaves us.


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