Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for...

27
Draft Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator to reconstruct spruce budworm abundance Journal: Canadian Journal of Forest Research Manuscript ID cjfr-2017-0009.R2 Manuscript Type: Note Date Submitted by the Author: 13-Jun-2017 Complete List of Authors: Navarro, Lionel; Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Laboratoire d'écologie végétale et animale (local P3-2040) Harvey, Anne-Élizabeth; Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Laboratoire d'écologie végétale et animale (local P3-2040) Morin, Hubert; Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Keyword: boreal forest, insect outbreak, paleoindicator, moth, butterfly Is the invited manuscript for consideration in a Special Issue? : IUFRO 2016 Special Issue https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Transcript of Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for...

Page 1: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator to

reconstruct spruce budworm abundance

Journal: Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Manuscript ID cjfr-2017-0009.R2

Manuscript Type: Note

Date Submitted by the Author: 13-Jun-2017

Complete List of Authors: Navarro, Lionel; Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Laboratoire d'écologie végétale et animale (local P3-2040) Harvey, Anne-Élizabeth; Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Laboratoire d'écologie végétale et animale (local P3-2040) Morin, Hubert; Université du Québec à Chicoutimi,

Keyword: boreal forest, insect outbreak, paleoindicator, moth, butterfly

Is the invited manuscript for consideration in a Special

Issue? : IUFRO 2016 Special Issue

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 2: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

1

Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 1

budworm abundance 2

Lionel Navarro* ([email protected]), Anne-Élizabeth Harvey (anne-3

[email protected]), Hubert Morin ([email protected]) 4

5

Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, 555 6

boulevard de l’université, G7H-2B1, Chicoutimi (QC), Canada. Tel.: 418-545-5011 ext. 7

2330 8

*Corresponding author: [email protected], Tel.: 418-545-5011 ext. 2330 9

10

Running title: Wing scales, a new paleoecological proxy 11

12

Abstract 13

Natural disturbances have a major impact on boreal forest landscape dynamics and, 14

although fire history is well documented at the Holocene scale, spruce budworm (SBW) 15

dynamics are only known for the last three centuries. This is likely due to the difficulty in 16

using and interpreting existing indicators (cephalic head capsules and feces). In this 17

methodological study, we present an original approach using lepidopteran wing scales to 18

reconstruct insect abundance. We analyzed two sediment cores from the boreal forest in 19

central Quebec and extracted wing scales at every stratigraphic level. The required 20

quantity of sediment for paleoecological analysis is relatively small given the large 21

quantity of wing scales produced by Lepidoptera and their small size. Scales are well-22

Page 1 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 3: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

2

preserved due to their chitinous structure and their great variety of shapes offer a high 23

potential for taxonomic identification. A statistical model based on the shape of scales of 24

the three major epidemic lepidopterans in Quebec discriminated 68 % of SBW scales. 25

This indicator allows a more efficient and more precise reconstruction of SBW history 26

with respect to the use of cephalic head capsules or feces. 27

Résumé 28

Les perturbations naturelles ont un impact majeur sur la dynamique des paysages en forêt 29

boréale, et bien que l’historique des feux soit étudié à l’échelle holocène, la dynamique 30

de la tordeuse des bourgeons de l’épinette (TBE) n’est connue que pour les trois derniers 31

siècles. Ce manque peut s’expliquer par la difficulté d’utilisation et d’interprétation des 32

indicateurs disponibles (capsules céphaliques et fèces). Cette étude méthodologique 33

présente une méthode originale qui permet d’utiliser les écailles de lépidoptère pour 34

reconstruire l’abondance de l’insecte. L’étude de deux carottes de surface échantillonnées 35

dans la réserve faunique des Laurentides a permis de retrouver des microrestes à tous les 36

niveaux stratigraphiques. La grande quantité d’écailles produite par papillons ainsi que la 37

taille des microrestes a permis de réduire considérablement le volume de sédiments 38

requis. Les écailles se conservent bien grâce à leur structure chitineuse et leur grande 39

variété de formes présente un fort potentiel d’identification taxonomique. Un modèle 40

statistique basé sur la mesure de la forme des écailles des trois principaux lépidoptères 41

épidémiques au Québec a permis de discriminer 68 % des écailles de TBE. Cet indicateur 42

permet donc une reconstitution plus efficace et plus précise de l’historique des 43

populations de TBE par rapport à l’utilisation des capsules céphaliques ou des fèces. 44

Keywords: boreal forest; insect outbreaks; moth; butterfly; paleoindicator 45

Page 2 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 4: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

3

Introduction 46

Climate change is a major challenge in ecology, greatly affecting forest disturbance 47

dynamics and ecosystem diversity (Gauthier et al. 2015). Boreal forests are the largest 48

terrestrial ecosystems on the planet and produce more than a third of the world’s lumber 49

(Gauthier et al. 2015, Montoro Girona et al. 2016). Due to the ecological and economic 50

impacts of insect outbreaks in this ecosystem, it is important to develop a better 51

understanding of how climate change affect these, often devastating, insect events. 52

Forecasts project an increase in the frequency, duration, and timing of insect outbreaks 53

(Nelson et al. 2013). However, there remains a shortage of indicators that permit a more 54

thorough assessment of cycles and impacts of insect outbreaks at the Holocene scale 55

(Simard et al. 2002). 56

Spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana, Clemens) (SBW) is one of the most 57

important agents of natural disturbance in the boreal forests of North America 58

(Shorohova et al. 2011), causing major loss of productivity and death of host species 59

(Hennigar et al. 2013). In the eastern Canadian boreal forest, SBW is, by far, the most 60

damaging defoliator of conifers, reaching cyclically epidemic population densities that 61

allow the insect to affect large forest areas (Pureswaran et al. 2015). During the last 62

outbreak of the 20th century (1974–1988) SBW affected 55 million hectares causing the 63

loss of 139 to 238 million m3 of fir and spruce (Boulet et al. 1996). This forest pests’ 64

short life cycle, mobility, and high reproductive potential allow a rapid response to 65

changes in environmental conditions (Menéndez 2007). Nevertheless, long-term studies 66

of landscape natural variability focus on the use of charcoal fragments to determine fire 67

activity and often conceal the effect of forest insect outbreaks (Bergeron et al. 1998). 68

Page 3 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 5: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

4

However, in eastern Quebec SBW is considered a more important disturbance than fire 69

and the lack of knowledge about its pluri-millennial dynamics is the cause of a serious 70

bias in the understanding of landscape variability. It is therefore important to assess the 71

relative importance of SBW outbreaks and the role played in the entire boreal forest 72

ecosystem at the longest temporal scale possible. 73

Dendrochronological studies have revealed the epidemic history of SBW over the last 74

three centuries (Boulanger et al. 2012). Tree-ring analysis provides important insights 75

into impact from defoliation as well as the periodicity and synchronism of insect 76

outbreaks across huge areas of forest. Nevertheless, dendrochronology is an indirect 77

measure of SBW impact and its interpretation is limited as multiple factors may influence 78

tree growth (Davis and Hoskins 1980). In addition, dendrochronology is restricted to the 79

age of survivor trees and reconstruction of long-term chronologies using subfossil trees 80

buried in lakes and ponds is promising but, for the moment, remains challenging. 81

Paleoecology allows a longer-term reconstruction of SBW activity. Macrofossils such as 82

cephalic head capsules (Lavoie et al. 2009) or feces (Simard et al. 2006) have been used 83

as direct indicators of the occurrence of insect outbreaks. However, the long-term 84

dynamics remain poorly documented as analysis is time-consuming, and temporal 85

resolution is low due to the amount of sediment to be examined. The number of cephalic 86

head capsules extracted from a relatively large amount of sediment or peat material tends 87

to be low and feces become increasingly difficult to identify with depth due to 88

decomposition. 89

Butterfly and moth wings are covered with thousands of minute overlapping scales of 90

variable shape, forming colour patterns on the wing surface (Dinwiddie et al. 2014). 91

Page 4 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 6: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

5

These scales assume many different functions, from attracting and selecting mates 92

(Burghardt et al. 2000) to camouflage (Brakefield and Liebert 2000), and thermal 93

regulation (Srinivasarao 1999). 94

SBW scales are partly made of chitin fibrils (Richards 1947) that are well-preserved in 95

sediments due to increasingly favorable conservation conditions with depth under 96

anaerobic conditions (Sturz and Robinson 1986). As these scales are produced in a very 97

high quantity, particularly during outbreaks, this should permit many of these 98

microfossils to be retrieved from a very small quantity of sediments. There is also a great 99

potential for taxonomic identification owing to the high diversity of scale shapes. These 100

considerations led us to ask whether lepidopteran scales microfossils are a more suitable 101

paleoindicator of SBW abundance. We hypothesize that this indicator can be extracted in 102

a significant quantity and that its abundance peaks will match known periods of SBW 103

outbreaks. 104

This methodological investigation proposes a practical technique to collect and extract 105

fossil scales from sediment cores and discusses the potential benefits and difficulties of 106

using scale shape as an indicator of Lepidoptera species. We also present examples from 107

two short sediment cores recovered from a pair of lakes in the central boreal region of 108

Quebec. 109

Proposed methodology for scale extraction 110

Scale extraction and analysis 111

To set the extraction parameters (sucrose solution density, sieve mesh size, centrifugation 112

speed and duration…), we used a trial and error approach with test samples in which we 113

Page 5 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 7: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

6

added a relatively constant quantity of scales (one entire forewing of a SBW per sample). 114

The parameters presented here are those that gave the best results. 115

We dried samples from a sectioned sediment core at 105 °C for 24 h. For each interval of 116

interest, we collected a 0.5 g subsample of dry sediment (± 5 cm3) and heated it in a 117

100 mL 10 % potassium hydroxide (KOH) solution at 70 °C for 30 min or until complete 118

deflocculation had occurred (Frey 1986). The slurry was then sieved through a 53 µm 119

mesh to retain most of the scales. Small particles (mostly fragments of organic matter) 120

were discarded to allow us to analyze a more concentrated sediment subsample. We 121

centrifuged the samples at 500 RCF for 10 min in a 10 mL sucrose solution (relative 122

density = 1.24) to remove higher density particles. This centrifuging was repeated three 123

times. After each run, we recovered the supernatant, refilled the vial with the sucrose 124

solution, and centrifuged again. We combined the three supernatants in a 50 mL plastic 125

vial and, to precipitate scales and any remaining particles, we centrifuged the combined 126

supernatant at 3900 RCF for 20 min. The final pellet was mounted onto microscope 127

slides for microfossil counting. This operation permitted most of the scales to be easily 128

extracted, at low cost, without using destructive chemicals. 129

Taxonomic identification of scales and the potential of using scale shape 130

There is very little existing literature about the taxonomic value of lepidopteran scales for 131

paleoecological work. Species of Lepidoptera are usually distinguished by studying wing 132

venation or genitalia, features that are not preserved in the sediment record. Among the 133

other discriminant criteria, the most studied are the iridescent ultrastructure of scales and 134

structural colour production (Dinwiddie et al. 2014). Ultrastructure analysis requires 135

expensive and time-consuming scanning electron microscopy (SEM) that is not easily 136

Page 6 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 8: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

7

applicable to paleoecological studies. In the case of moths, colour patterns are dull and 137

extraction techniques, including the use of hot alkali solution, could alter the 138

pigmentation of scales. In some rare cases, when these identification criteria are not 139

sufficient to distinguish two sibling species, scale shape has been used (Anken and 140

Bremen 1996, Yang and Zhang 2011). 141

To test the interspecific variability of shape parameters and their taxonomic potential, we 142

selected three of the major epidemic defoliator lepidopterans in the North American 143

boreal forest: spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana Clemens), forest tent 144

caterpillar (Malacosoma disstria Hübner) and hemlock looper (Lambdina fiscellaria 145

Guénée) (Shorohova et al. 2011). We used eight specimens for each species, half of each 146

sex to take sexual dimorphism into account, and studied scales from the upper and lower 147

surface of each wing. Scales were separated from the wing using a fine brush and 148

mounted on glycerol-coated microscope slides. To ensure random and systematic 149

selection, we used a 10×10 grid beneath the slide and selected the first scale encountered 150

in each cell. We analyzed 2400 scales per species. We used Elliptic Fourier Descriptors 151

(EFDs) and some non-size correlated shape parameters as quantitative measures of scales 152

shape. EFD coefficients were calculated from the chain-coded contours of each scale 153

obtained with SHAPE package v.1.3 (Iwata and Ukai 2006) using 20 harmonics. These 154

coefficients were normalized to be invariant with respect to the size, rotation, and 155

position. This procedure generated multiple coefficients for each scale. As such, we used 156

principal component analysis (PCA) to summarize the data. We used the six principal 157

components scores as shape characteristics. Using image processing software ImageJ 158

v.1.48v (Schneider et al. 2012), we also measured the aspect ratio (��������

�������), circularity 159

Page 7 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 9: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

8

(4π × ���

��������� ), solidity (

���

�������������) and the number of apical indentations. We 160

used all these shape parameters to build a discriminating model that correctly classified 161

68 % of the SBW scales, 79 % of the hemlock looper scales and 62 % of the forest tent 162

caterpillar scales (Fig. 3). We used well-classified scales having a probability >0.8 to 163

construct ten morphotypes for each species based on a K-mean cluster analysis (Fig. 4). 164

Each cluster was characterized by the shape of the median scale and of the first two 165

standard deviations. We also reconstructed the ten most common morphotypes 166

(misclassified, probability <0.5). Specific shapes were observed such as the very deep 167

indentations in Malacosoma disstria specimens as noted by Grodnitsky and Kozlov 168

(1990) for Lasiocantpidae. Choristoneura fumiferana morphotypes showed a higher 169

circularity with a relatively high number of small indentations. In contrast, most of the 170

Lambdina fiscellaria morphotypes have little to no indentation. Moreover, shape analysis 171

revealed a high intra-specific variability for shape variation, confirming a hypothesis of 172

mostly common scale shapes and some specialized ones (Ghiradella 1994). 173

These morphotypes based on shape measurement still have limitations as a systematic 174

taxonomic identification tool. Indeed, accurate identification of fossil scales extracted 175

from sediment is not always possible due to the conservation state of scales (broken or 176

folded) (Fig. 7e) or the soft focus effect. However, it can help differentiate peaks that 177

may be caused by outbreaks of two or more lepidopteran species. 178

In Canada, 18 species, representing 1 to 2 % of forest lepidopterans, are cyclically 179

outbreaking (Faeth 1987, Mason 1987). From long-term abundance reconstruction 180

studies of SBW in Quebec, we can exclude potentially introduced and western species. 181

Moreover, since 1975, 95 % of areas affected by defoliation were caused by SBW. In 182

Page 8 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 10: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

9

addition, spatial extension of bioclimatic domains have been quite stable in eastern 183

Canada since 5 ka BP (Dyke 2005). SBW feces in the sediment record from the northern 184

part of its distribution area attests to its presence since 8 ka BP (Simard et al. 2006). As 185

such, we can assume, with a low risk of misinterpretation, that high variations in fossil 186

scales abundance in Quebec are mainly due to SBW dynamics. 187

Case study: results and interpretation 188

Study sites 189

The paleoecological protocol was tested on surface sediment cores from two lakes 190

located at the Simoncouche Experimental Forest of the Université du Québec à 191

Chicoutimi, Quebec. Lac Flévy (48°13’00.04’’N; 71°12’57.21’’W) covers an area of 192

2.33 ha at an altitude of 376 m. Lac Hautbois (48°12’30.65’’N; 71°13’22.92’’W) covers 193

3.9 ha and is at an altitude of 398 m (Fig. 2).We chose small lakes having low outflows, 194

to ensure high sedimentation rates (Millspaugh and Whitlock 1995, Ali et al. 2009). Both 195

studied sites lie on undifferentiated glacial till and fluvioglacial deposits constituted of 196

loose or compact unsorted deposit (Ministère de l’Énergie des Mines et des Ressources 197

1976). Each lake is surrounded by even-aged trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides) 198

stands and mixed even-aged stands of black spruce (Picea mariana) and poplar. The age 199

structure indicated that these forest stands originated from an intense fire that occurred in 200

1922 (Gagnon 1989). SBW has been present in the area for a minimum of 8240 years 201

(Simard et al. 2006) and recurrent outbreaks were reported during the last three centuries, 202

becoming more frequent during the 20th century (Blais 1983). Aerial surveys indicate 203

that defoliation has occurred in the study area since 2012 reaching severe levels after 204

Page 9 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 11: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

10

2015 (Ministère des Ressources Naturelles et de la Faune 2012, Ministère des Forêts de 205

la Faune et des Parcs 2015). 206

Sediment core recovery and preparation 207

We collected two sediment cores from the deepest portion of each lake, one for isotopic 208

dating and the second core for extracting scales. We used a Glew gravity corer for 209

sediment sampling to ensure the sediment/water interface was not disturbed (Glew 1988). 210

The core lengths for the microfossil cores were 32 cm and 24 cm for Lac Flévy and Lac 211

Hautbois, respectively. The cores collected for the analysis of micro-remains were 212

subsampled in the field at a 1-cm-thick resolution using a vertical extruder (Glew 1988). 213

Isotopic dating 214

Samples used for dating were dried (105 °C for 24 h) and then sent to the 215

Radiochronology Laboratory at the Centre d’études nordiques, Université Laval for 210Pb 216

and 137Cs analyses by gamma spectrometry (San Miguel et al. 2005). We selected a 217

constant rate of supply (CRS) model for the 210Pb dating of both cores (Turner and 218

Delorme 1996). 219

Results from scale extraction 220

Despite the small subsample size (0.5 g dry sediment) and the fact that surface samples 221

are not the most suitable for this kind of analysis (high levels of bioturbation, high water 222

content…), we obtained a substantial quantity of scales from each sampled interval of the 223

sediment cores from both lakes (Fig. 5 and 6). This result is inconsistent with Kristensen 224

and Simonsen’s (2003) assumption that Lepidoptera fossils are strikingly scarce in 225

lacustrine sediments. All the collected microfossils were well-preserved and the 226

Page 10 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 12: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

11

accumulation rate of scales presented a similar order of magnitude in both lakes. Lac 227

Flévy presented two distinctive peaks, the first corresponding to the mid-20th century (± 228

15 years) and the second corresponding to the beginning of the 21st century (Fig. 5). Both 229

peaks match with known periods of high SBW abundance in the study area. Although the 230

stratigraphy of Lac Hautbois is less clear, it is comparable to that of Lac Flévy: we 231

extracted the most scales from depths corresponding to the early 21st century and the 232

scale accumulation rate decreases slightly prior to the 20th century (Fig. 6). Due to our 233

conservative identification criteria, our results represent a quite low morphotype 234

identification rate suggesting that this method should be used as a validation tool rather 235

than as a systematic identification method. Nevertheless, in both lakes the species with 236

the highest rate of morphotype match was Choristoneura fumiferana (Fig 5 and 6), 237

confirming that SBW is the most common outbreaking Lepidoptera in the area. Finally, 238

the identified SBW were similar to the unidentified scales suggesting that some SBW 239

scales were unidentified due to a lack in identification criteria or a degraded physical 240

condition. However, surface core scale abundance requires careful interpretation as 210Pb 241

dating precision decreases with depth (Fig. 5). A lower resolution long-term 14C dated 242

stratigraphy should be undertaken for SBW abundance analysis, which will be the subject 243

of a later study. 244

Advantages and shortcomings 245

The use of fossil scales of Lepidoptera presents some advantages over other 246

paleoecological proxies. Scales are less degradable than feces and much more abundant 247

than cephalic head capsules. They have been found in nearly every sample analyzed to 248

date, including the examples presented above and within longer sediment cores analyzed 249

Page 11 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 13: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

12

for an upcoming publication. Moreover, the use of wing scales requires a relatively small 250

amount of sediment to prepare, simplifying the sampling procedure and allowing wing 251

scales to be analyzed along with additional proxies such as charcoal and pollen from the 252

same core material. Insect infestations should thus be included in any future studies of 253

long-term disturbance dynamics to allow forest management policies to be based on more 254

complete and realistic information. Finally, scale count data can benefit from data 255

processing methods such as the use of a LOESS smoothing to distinguish background 256

variation from locally defined peaks (Higuera et al. 2010). 257

Nevertheless, as all paleoecological studies, this kind of research is time-consuming, 258

restricting the replicability across multiple sites. In addition, the development of other 259

discriminant criteria (texture, pigmentation, ultrastructure characteristic…) to improve 260

the relevance of interpretation is pertinent due to the taxonomic potential of scales. This 261

method could be adapted for use in different environments such as bogs, fens, ponds, or 262

peat deposits to be directly comparable with existing proxies (feces and cephalic head 263

capsules). Finally, future studies should explore the taphonomic processes affecting scale 264

deposition, transport and sedimentation, and the magnitude of scale accumulation in 265

endemic areas versus epidemic areas. 266

This study demonstrates that wing scales can be used as a paleoecological indicator for 267

reconstructing insect outbreak history, being a more effective proxy than feces and 268

cephalic head capsules. Fossil scales have a great potential to improve our understanding 269

of the long-term dynamics of lepidopteran defoliator species that are still poorly known, 270

especially in the boreal forest. This contribution will be essential for improving the 271

accuracy of natural disturbance projections within the context of future climate change. 272

Page 12 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 14: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

13

Acknowledgements 273

This study was supported by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of 274

Canada. We thank Patrick Nadeau for his help in the field and Milla Rautio, Claire 275

Fournier, Marianne Desmeules, and Noémie Blanchette-Henry for their help and advice 276

in the laboratory. We also thank Miguel Montoro, Alison Garside and Murray Hay for 277

their help in reading and improving the quality of this manuscript. 278

References 279

Ali, A.A., Higuera, P.E., Bergeron, Y., and Carcaillet, C. 2009. Comparing fire-history 280 interpretations based on area, number and estimated volume of macroscopic charcoal in 281 lake sediments. Quat. Res. 72(3): 462–468. doi:10.1016/j.yqres.2009.07.002. 282

Anken, R.H., and Bremen, D. 1996. On the morphology of basal hindwing recto black 283 scales in some Papilionidae (Lepidoptera : Rhopalocera). Entomol. Rec. J. Var. 108(1–2): 284 11–15. 285

Bergeron, Y., Engelmark, O., Harvey, B., Morin, H., and Sirois, L. 1998. Key issues in 286 disturbance dynamics in boreal forests: Introduction. J. Veg. Sci. 9(4): 464–468. 287 doi:10.1111/j.1654-1103.1998.tb00931.x. 288

Blais, J.R. 1983. Trends in the frequency, extent, and severity of spruce budworm 289 outbreaks in eastern Canada. Can. J. For. Res. 13(4): 539–547. doi:10.1139/x83-079. 290

Boulanger, Y., Arseneault, D., Morin, H., Jardon, Y., Bertrand, P., and Dagneau, C. 291 2012. Dendrochronological reconstruction of spruce budworm (Choristoneura 292 fumiferana) outbreaks in southern Quebec for the last 400 years. Can. J. For. Res. 42(7): 293 1264–1276. doi:10.1139/x2012-069. 294

Boulet, B., Chabot, M., Dorais, L., Dupont, A., Gagnon, R., and Morneau, L. 1996. 295 Entomologie forestière. In Manuel de foresterie. Edited by J.A. Bédard and M. Côté. Les 296 Presses de l’Université Laval, Québec, Québec. pp. 985–1008. 297

Brakefield, P.M., and Liebert, T.G. 2000. Evolutionary dynamics of declining melanism 298 in the peppered moth in the Netherlands. Proc. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 267(1456): 1953–299 1957. doi:10.1098/rspb.2000.1235. 300

Burghardt, F., Fiedler, K., Knüttel, H., and Becker, M. 2000. Flavonoid wing pigments 301 increase attractiveness of female common blue (Polyommatus icarus) butterflies to mate-302 searching males. Naturwissenschaften 87(7): 304–307. doi:10.1007/s001140050726. 303

Page 13 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 15: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

14

Davis, R.B., and Hoskins, B.R. 1980. A new parameter for paleoecological 304 reconstruction: head capsules of forest-tree defoliator microlepidopterans in lake 305 sediment. In Abstracts and Program of the 6th Biennial Meeting of the American 306 Quaternary Association, August 18-20. Edited by Institute of Quaternary Studies. 307 University of Maine, Orono, Maine, USA. p. 21. 308

Dinwiddie, A., Null, R., Pizzano, M., Chuong, L., Leigh Krup, A., Ee Tan, H., and Patel, 309 N.H. 2014. Dynamics of F-actin prefigure the structure of butterfly wing scales. Dev. 310 Biol. 392(2): 404–418. doi:10.1016/j.ydbio.2014.06.005. 311

Dyke, A.S. 2005. Late quaternary vegetation history of northern North America based on 312 pollen, macrofossil, and faunal remains. Géographie Phys. Quat. 59(2–3): 211-262. 313 doi:10.7202/014755ar. 314

Faeth, S.H. 1987. Community structure and folivorous insect outbreaks: the roles of 315 vertical and horizontal interactions. In Insect Outbreaks, Academic P. Edited by P. 316 Barbosa and J.C. Schultz. Elsevier, London. pp. 135–171. doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-317 078148-5.50010-5. 318

Frey, D.G. 1986. Cladocera analysis. In Handbook of Holocene paleoecology and 319 paleohydrology,. Edited by B.E. Berglund. John Wiley, New York. pp. 667–692. 320

Gagnon, R. 1989. Maintient après feu de limites abruptes entre des peuplements 321 d’épinette noire (Picea mariana) et des formations de feuillus intolérants (Populus 322 tremoloides et Betula papyrifera) dans la region du Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean (Québec). 323 Nat. Can. 116: 117–124. 324

Gauthier, S., Bernier, P., Kuuluvainen, T., Shvidenko, A.Z., and Schepaschenko, D.G. 325 2015. Boreal forest health and global change. Science 349(6250): 819–822. 326 doi:10.1126/science.aaa9092. 327

Ghiradella, H. 1994. Structure of butterfly scales: Patterning in an insect cuticle. Microsc. 328 Res. Tech. 27(5): 429–438. doi:10.1002/jemt.1070270509. 329

Glew, J. 1988. A portable extruding device for close interval sectioning of 330 unconsolidated core samples. J. Paleolimnol. 1(3): 235–239. doi:10.1007/BF00177769. 331

Grodnitsky, D.L., and Kozlov, M.V. 1990. Structure and evolution of the wing cover of 332 lasiocampid moths (Papilionida, Lasiocampidae). Zool. Zhurnal 69(4): 44–51. 333

Hennigar, C.R., Erdle, T.A., Gullison, J.J., and MacLean, D.A. 2013. Re-examining 334 wood supply in light of future spruce budworm outbreaks: A case study in New 335 Brunswick. For. Chron. 89(1): 42–53. doi:10.5558/tfc2013-010. 336

Higuera, P.E., Gavin, D.G., Bartlein, P.J., and Hallett, D.J. 2010. Peak detection in 337 sediment-charcoal records: impacts of analytical choices on fire-history interpretations. 338 Int. J. Wildl. Fire 19(8): 996–1014. 339

Page 14 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 16: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

15

Iwata, H., and Ukai, Y. 2006. SHAPE: a computer program package for quantitative 340 evaluation of biological shapes based on elliptic Fourier descriptors. J. Hered. 93(5): 341 384–385. doi:10.1093/jhered/93.5.384. 342

Kristensen, N.P., and Simonsen, T.J. 2003. “Hairs” and scales. In Lepidoptera, Moth and 343 Butterflies Vol 2: Morphology, Physiology, and Development. Edited by N.P. Kristensen. 344 Walter de Gruyter, Berlin. pp. 9–22. 345

Lavoie, M., Filion, L., and Robert, É.C. 2009. Boreal peatland margins as repository sites 346 of long-term natural disturbances of balsam fir/spruce forests. Quat. Res. 71(3): 295–306. 347 doi:10.1016/j.yqres.2009.01.005. 348

Mason, R.R. 1987. Nonoutbreak species of forest Lepidoptera. In Insect Outbreaks, 349 Academic Press. Edited by P. Barbosa and J.C. Schultz. Elsevier, London. pp. 31–57. 350 doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-078148-5.50006-3. 351

Menéndez, R. 2007. How are insects responding to global warming ? Tijdschr. voor 352 Entomol. 150(2): 355–365. 353

Millspaugh, S.H., and Whitlock, C. 1995. A 750-year fire history based on lake sediment 354 records in central Yellowstone National Park, USA. The Holocene 5(3): 283–292. 355 doi:10.1177/095968369500500303. 356

Ministère de l’Énergie des Mines et des Ressources. 1976. Carte pédologique, Rivière 357 Pikauba 22D/3. 358

Ministère des Forêts de la Faune et des Parcs. 2015. Aires infestées par la tordeuse des 359 bourgeons de l’épinette au Québec en 2015 − Version 1.0, Québec gouvernement du 360 Québec, Direction de la protection des forêts, 17 p. 361

Ministère des Ressources Naturelles et de la Faune. 2012. Aires infestées par la tordeuse 362 des bourgeons de l’épinette au Québec en 2012 − Version 1.1, Québec gouvernement du 363 Québec, Direction de la protection des forêts, 19 p. 364

Montoro Girona, M., Morin, H., Lussier, J.-M., and Walsh, D. 2016. Radial growth 365 response of black spruce stands ten years after experimental shelterwoods and seed-tree 366 cuttings in boreal forest. Forests 7(10): 240. doi:10.3390/f7100240. 367

Nelson, W.A., Bjornstad, O.N., and Yamanaka, T. 2013. Recurrent insect outbreaks 368 caused by temperature-driven changes in system stability. Science 341(6147): 796–799. 369 doi:10.1126/science.1238477. 370

Pureswaran, D.S., De Grandpré, L., Paré, D., Taylor, A., Barrette, M., Morin, H., 371 Régnière, J., and Kneeshaw, D.D. 2015. Climate-induced changes in host tree–insect 372 phenology may drive ecological state-shift in boreal forests. Ecology 96(6): 1480–1491. 373 doi:10.1890/13-2366.1. 374

Richards, A.G. 1947. Studies on arthropod cuticle. I. The distribution of chitin in 375

Page 15 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 17: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

16

lepidopterous scales, and its bearing on the interpretation of arthropod cuticle. Ann. 376 Entomol. Soc. Am. 40(2): 227–240. doi:10.1093/aesa/40.2.227. 377

San Miguel, E.G., Pérez-Moreno, J.P., Bolı́var, J.P., Aguado, J.L., and Garcı́a-Tenorio, 378 R. 2005. Efficiency calibration for 210Pb gamma-spectrometric determinations in 379 sediment samples. In Radioactivity in the Environment. Edited by J. McLaughlin, E. 380 Simopoulos, and F. Steinhäusler. Elsevier, Amsterdam. pp. 166–174. doi:10.1016/S1569-381 4860(04)07019-6. 382

Schneider, C.A., Rasband, W.S., and Eliceiri, K.W. 2012. NIH Image to ImageJ: 25 years 383 of image analysis. Nat. Methods 9(7): 671–675. National Institute of Health. 384 doi:10.1038/nmeth.2089. 385

Shorohova, E., Kneeshaw, D., Kuuluvainen, T., and Gauthier, S. 2011. Variability and 386 dynamics of old-growth forests in the circumboreal zone: Implications for conservation, 387 restoration and management. Silva Fenn. 45(5): 785–806. 388

Simard, I., Morin, H., and Lavoie, C. 2006. A millennial-scale reconstruction of spruce 389 budworm abundance in Saguenay, Québec, Canada. The Holocene 16(1): 31–37. 390 doi:10.1191/0959683606hl904rp. 391

Simard, I., Morin, H., and Potelle, B. 2002. A new paleoecological approach to 392 reconstruct long-term history of spruce budworm outbreaks. Can. J. For. Res. 32(3): 428–393 438. doi:10.1139/x01-215. 394

Srinivasarao, M. 1999. Nano-optics in the biological world: beetles, butterflies, birds, and 395 moths. Chem. Rev. 99(7): 1935–1962. 396

Sturz, H., and Robinson, J. 1986. Anaerobic decomposition of chitin in freshwater 397 sediments. In Chitin in Nature and Technology. Edited by R. Muzzarelli, C. Jeuniaux, 398 and G.W. Gooday. Springer US, Boston, MA, USA. pp. 531–538. doi:10.1007/978-1-399 4613-2167-5_63. 400

Turner, L.J., and Delorme, L.D. 1996. Assessment of 210Pb data from Canadian lakes 401 using the CIC and CRS models. Environ. Geol. 28(2): 78–87. 402 doi:10.1007/s002540050080. 403

Yang, Z., and Zhang, Y. 2011. Comparison of ultrastructure among sibling species of 404 Ostrinia (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) from China. Can. Entomol. 143(2): 126–135. 405 doi:10.4039/n10-049. 406

407

408

409

Page 16 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 18: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

17

410

Page 17 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 19: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

18

Figure captions 411

Figure 1: Scale analysis protocol. 412

Figure 2: Location of the two studied lakes. 413

Figure 3: Discriminant analysis of the three species of outbreaking lepidopterans based 414

on EFDs principal component scores and four scale shape parameters. Colour points 415

represent highly specific shapes and faded points represent more common shapes. 416

Figure 4: Scales morphotypes extract from K-mean cluster analysis of (a) Choritoneura 417

fumiferana, (b) Lambdina fiscellaria, and (c) Malacosoma disstria specific scales and (d) 418

more common scales of the three species . The bold scale represents the median shape for 419

each cluster and light grey scales represent the first standard deviation shape in each 420

cluster. 421

Figure 5: Stratigraphy of Lac Flévy. (a) Lead-210 dating based on a constant rate of 422

supply (CRS) model; (b) Total accumulation rate for the extracted scales; (c) 423

Accumulation rate of unidentified scales (scales that did not match any morphotypes, 424

common scale morphotypes, damaged scales, etc.); (d–f) Scales matching a specific 425

morphotype of one of the three outbreaking species. 426

Figure 6: Stratigraphy of Lac Hautbois. (a) Lead-210 dating based on constant rate of 427

supply (CRS) model; (b) Total accumulation rate of extracted scales; (c) Accumulation 428

rate of unidentified scales (scales that did not match any morphotypes, common scale 429

morphotypes, damaged scales, etc.); (d–f) Scales that matched a specific morphotype of 430

one of the three outbreaking species. 431

Page 18 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 20: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

19

Figure 7: Examples of (a) unidentified scales; (b) scales matching a Choristoneura 432

fumiferana morphotype; (c) scales matching a Lambdina fiscellaria morphotype; (d) 433

scales matching a Malacosoma disstria morphotype; (e) a damaged scale. 434

Page 19 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 21: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

Scale analysis protocol.

134x142mm (300 x 300 DPI)

Page 20 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 22: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

Location of the two studied lakes.

157x196mm (300 x 300 DPI)

Page 21 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 23: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

Discriminant analysis of the three species of outbreaking lepidopterans based on EFDs principal component scores and four scale shape parameters. Colour points represent highly specific shapes and faded points

represent more common shapes.

154x107mm (300 x 300 DPI)

Page 22 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 24: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

Scales morphotypes extract from K-mean cluster analysis of (a) Choritoneura fumiferana, (b) Lambdina fiscellaria, and (c) Malacosoma disstria specific scales and (d) more common scales of the three species .

The bold scale represents the median shape for each cluster and light grey scales represent the first

standard deviation shape in each cluster.

154x107mm (300 x 300 DPI)

Page 23 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 25: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

Stratigraphy of Lac Flévy. (a) Lead-210 dating based on a constant rate of supply (CRS) model; (b) Total accumulation rate for the extracted scales; (c) Accumulation rate of unidentified scales (scales that did not match any morphotypes, common scale morphotypes, damaged scales, etc.); (d–f) Scales matching a

specific morphotype of one of the three outbreaking species.

153x105mm (300 x 300 DPI)

Page 24 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 26: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

Stratigraphy of Lac Hautbois. (a) Lead-210 dating based on constant rate of supply (CRS) model; (b) Total accumulation rate of extracted scales; (c) Accumulation rate of unidentified scales (scales that did not match any morphotypes, common scale morphotypes, damaged scales, etc.); (d–f) Scales that matched a specific

morphotype of one of the three outbreaking species.

153x105mm (300 x 300 DPI)

Page 25 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Page 27: Draft · 2017-07-11 · Draft 1 1 Lepidoptera wing scales: a new paleoecological indicator for reconstructing spruce 2 budworm abundance 3 Lionel Navarro * (lionel.navarro@uqac.ca),

Draft

Examples of (a) unidentified scales; (b) scales matching a Choristoneura fumiferana morphotype; (c) scales matching a Lambdina fiscellaria morphotype; (d) scales matching a Malacosoma disstria morphotype; (e) a

damaged scale.

205x490mm (300 x 300 DPI)

Page 26 of 26

https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cjfr-pubs

Canadian Journal of Forest Research