Dr. Timothy Spangler The COMET Program

Dr. Timothy SpanglerThe COMET Program

COMET Executive Board2-3 June 2010

2

FY10 Cluster Accomplishments andModule Demonstrations

3

•Jennifer Frazer•Maria Frostic•Vickie Johnson•David Russi•Andrea Smith (.5 FTE)

•NEEF and environmental education

•NWS International Activities Office

•International Projects•Australian Bureau of

Meteorology •WMO•NOAA Tsunami•Translations•Special Projects

Pat Parrish’s Cluster C

FY10 Accomplishments

• The Amazon Rainforest and Climate Change (NEEF – English and Portuguese)

• Flash Flood Early Warning Systems Reference Guide (NWS IAO)

• Virtual Basic Hydrologic Sciences Courses (NWS IAO – VCP)

• Basic Hydrologic Sciences Distance Learning Course - International adaptation and 1 new module (NWS IAO VCP)

4

Cluster C

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/broadcastmet/brazil/

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/hazwarnsys/haz_fflood_review.php

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/hazwarnsys/haz_fflood_review.php

FY10 Accomplishments• WMO critical eLearning Programs (NWS IAO VCP)

• Module compilation and adaptation: Fog: Its Processes and Impacts to Aviation and Aviation Forecasting

• Group on Earth Observations (GEO) Water Cycle Capacity Building Workshop meeting support (NWS IAO VCP)

• Hurricane Strike! – module update (NWS IAO – VCP)

• Community Hurricane Preparedness module update (NWS)

• Radar Signatures for Severe Weather (BoM)

5

Cluster C

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/hurrican/chp/


• Role of the Skywarn Spotter (NWS)• Skywarn Spotter Convective Basics (NWS)• Tsunami Science (NWS)• Tsunami Warning System (NWS)• HYSPLIT Applications for Emergency Decision

Support (NWS)• Recognition and Impact of Vorticity

Maxima and Minima (EUMETSAT)• ASMET Phase 2

6

Cluster C

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/tsunami/temp/animations_demo.html

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/EUMETSAT/vorticity/



7

Total: 7,649 sessions

Climate Change Usage 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

2010 Spanish Translations

Redacción de pronósticos de aeródromo para tiempo

convectivo (Writing TAFs for Convective

Weather)

Principios de convección II: uso de la hodógrafa

(Principles of Convection II: Using Hodographs)

Impacto de la física del modelo en los pronósticos numéricos,

versión 2 (Influence of Model Physics on

NWP Forecasts version 2)

Uso inteligente de los productos derivados de los modelos,

versión 2 (Intelligent Use of Model Derived

Products version 2)

Fundamentos de los modelos: versión 2

(Model Fundamentals version 2)

Impacto de la estructura y dinámica de los modelos:

versión 2 (Impact of Model Structure and

Dynamics version 2)

¿Cómo producen los modelos la precipitación y las nubes?

versión 2 (How Models Produce

Precipitation and Clouds version 2)

Introducción a la meteorología tropical, capítulo 10: Ciclones tropicales

(Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical

Cyclones)

S290 Unidad 7: Sistemas de vientos

(S290 Unit 7: Wind Systems)

Definición de mesoescala (Definition of the Mesoscale)

Comprensión de los sistemas de asimilación: cómo los modelos crean

sus propias condiciones iniciales, versión 2

(Understanding Assimilation Systems: How Models Create Their Initial

Conditions – version 2)

¿Veremos una sonda atmosférica avanzada en el GOES?

(Toward an Advanced Sounder on GOES?)

Recursos sobre alertas de tsunami

(Tsunami Warning Guide)

JASON-2: Uso de la altimetría satelital

en observaciones oceánicas(JASON-2: Using Satellite

Altimetry to Monitor the Ocean)

Huracanes: Preparación de la comunidad

(Community Hurricane Preparedness)

Máximos de vorticidad y estructuras en coma

(Vorticity Maxima and Comma Patterns)

8

Cluster C

2010 French Translation

Plan

JASON-2: Using Satellite Altimetry to Monitor the Ocean Deformation Zone

Distribution

Dynamic Feature Identification: The

Satellite Palette

The "Ten" Commandments of the Satellite Palette

Hurricanes Canadian Style: Extratropical

Transition

Gap Winds

Heavy Banded Snow

Frontogenetical Circulations and

Stability

Satellite Feature Identification:

Blocking Patterns

Satellite Feature Identification:

Ring of Fire

9

Note: Completion of these French translations is now likely to occur in FY11. It is dependent on work to be accomplished by

MSC and final EUMETSAT contract

Cluster C

10

•Patrick Dills•Lon Goldstein•Matt Kelsch•Dolores Kiessling (.6 FTE)•Arlene Laing •Amy Stevermer•Marianne Weingroff

•Satellite Meteorology•NPOESS•NESDIS/GOES-R•EUMETSAT

•Hydrology•Air Force Weather•Tropical Textbook•Climate

Wendy’s Cluster A

FY10 Accomplishments•Climate Variability and Change Virtual Course •Climate Services and Outreach•WAS*IS August 2010 Workshop recordings (pending)•Flash Flood/QPE Residence Course•QPF for Hydrologic Modeling Virtual Course•Precipitation Estimates, Part 2: Analysis•QPF Verification: Challenges and Tools•Distributed Hydrologic Models for Flow Forecasts: Part 2

11

Cluster A

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/hydro/verification/QPFverif1/

FY10 Accomplishments (cont.)•River Ice Process Short Version•Techniques in Hydrologic Forecast Verification•Environmental Satellite Resource Center, V 2.0•2010 Satellite Community Training Meeting•Toward an Advanced Sounder on GOES?•GOES Channel Selection – Version 2•Forecasting Dust Storms (DoD Update and International Adaptation)•Multispectral Satellite Applications: RGB Products Explained

12

Cluster A

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/goes_r/geo_sounding/

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/npoess/multispectral_topics/rgb/

FY10 Accomplishments (cont.)• Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 11: Observations, An

alysis, and Prediction of Tropical Weather• Snowpack and Its Assessment• Avalanche Weather Forecasting

13

Cluster A

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/tropical/textbook/ch11/

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/tropical/textbook/ch11/

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/afwa/snowpack/

Precipitation

Estimates, Part 2: Analysis

QPF Verificatio

n 1, Challenge

s and Tools

QPF Virtual Course:

S-290 Unit 7: Wind

SystemsEffective Use of High-

resolution Models

QPF for Flow

ForecastsCOMAP

10Understan

ding Assimilation Systems:

How Models Create Their Initial

Conditions, Version 2

Satellite Feature

Identification: Short

Waves and

Cyclogenesis

Avalanche

Weather Forecastin

g

A Forecaste

r’s Overview

of the Northwest PacificIntroducti

on to Hydrogra

phy

Tsunami Warning System

MSC Winter

Weather Writing TAFs for Ceilings

and Visibility

Community

Hurricane Prepared

ness (Module update)

Introduction to

Tropical Meteorolo

gy, Chapter

11: Observatio

ns, Analysis,

and Prediction of Tropical Weather

Snowpack and Its

AssessmentFlash

Flood/QPE

Residence Course

14

Modules containing LEO or GEO dataCluster A

15

Alan BolBill Bua

Bryan GuarenteStephen Jascourt

Cody Kirkpatrick (post-doc)Dave Linder

Liz PageWarren Rodie

Tsvetomir Ross-Lazarov

Fire WeatherMSC Focused Topics

NWPMesoscale MeteorologyOceanography & Other NMOC Focused Topics

Aviation

Greg’s Cluster B

• Distance Learning Aviation Course-2 (DLAC-2): Terminal Forecasting, Writing TAFs for Ceilings and Visibility

• S-290: Introduction• S-290: Unit 6: Atmospheric Stability• S-290: Unit 7: Wind Systems• S-290: Unit 10: Fuel Moisture• S-290: Unit 11: Extreme Wildland Fire

Behavior• S-290: Unit 12: Gauging Fire Behavior and Gu

iding Fireline Decisions

FY10 Accomplishm

ents

16

Cluster B

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/fire/s290/unit6/



• Boundary Layer Processes Virtual Course• COMAP 10• NWP Course Unit 1: Overview and Orientatio

n• NWP Course Unit 2• NWP Course Unit 3• Ongoing NWP Matrix Maintenance• Introduction to Hydrography• Introduction to Ocean Acoustics• Arctic Ecosystems• Radar Signatures for Winter Weather

FY10 Accomplishm

ents

17

Cluster B

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/course_intro/

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/course_intro/

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/prob_v_determ/

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/oceans/acoustics/

• Forecaster’s Overview of the Northwest Pacific

• Mountain Weather Virtual Course Development

• Dynamic Feature Identification: Short Waves and Cyclogenesis

• Alberta Clipper Case and Supporting Material

FY10 Accomplishm

ents

18

Cluster B

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/norlat/snow/alberta_clipper/

19

FY10 Review and Summary

20

Director’s OfficeTim Spangler – Director

Elizabeth Lessard – Business ManagerLorrie Alberta

Michelle HarrisonHildy Kane

Elllen Martinez

Deputy DirectorJoe Lamos

Operations Manager

Cluster AWendy Abshire

Patrick DillsLon GoldsteinMatt KelschDolores KiesslingArlene LaingAmy StevermerMarianne Weingroff

Cluster BGreg Byrd

Alan BolBill BuaBryan GuarenteStephen JascourtCody KirkpatrickDave LinderTsvetomir Ross-LazarovElizabeth PageWarren Rodie

Cluster CPat Parrish

Jennifer FrazerMaria FrosticVickie JohnsonDavid RussiAndrea Smith

ITTim Alberta

Robert BubonJames HammKen KimMark MulhollandMalte Winkler

Chris Weber (student)Victor Taberski (student)

Media Development Group

Bruce Muller

Steve DeyoSeth LamosBrannan McGillDan RiterCarl Whitehurst

Project Management Operations

COMET Organization

20

21

Training is about getting people ready to execute and put their training to the test when the organization needs it

the most.

Lesson from Flight 1549

COMET Executive

Board

COMET Advisory

Panel

COMET Program

BPS

22

Executive Board Role

Review status of Program and

provide recommendation

s

Assist UCAR in resolving major

budgetary issues regarding the

relative role of sponsors

Advise UCAR on the selection of

the COMET Director

Hold at least one meeting per year

Create subcommittees

as needed• i.e. Budget

and Priority Subcommitte

e

23

E x e c u t i v e B o a r d M e m b e r s

Dr. Rick Anthes Chair, President, UCAR -

Mr. Gary Davis Director, OSD/NESDIS Alternate: Mr. Jim Gurka

Dr. Jack Fellows Director, UCAR Community Programs -

Mr. David Grimes Assistant Deputy Minister, MSC Alternative: Mr. Jaymie Gadal

Dr. Jack Hayes Assistant Administrator, NOAA/NWS Alternate: Mr. David CaldwellAlternate: Mr. LeRoy Spayd

Mr. Carl Hoffman Integrated Program Office, NPOESS Alternate: Mr. John Furgerson

Dr. Fred Lewis (General, Retired) Director, AFW Alternate: Lieutenant Colonel Jeffery Cox

Dr. Alexander MacDonald Deputy Administrator, OAR; Director, ESRL, NOAA Alternate: Dr. Steve Koch

Mr. Greg Mandt GOES-R System Program Director, NOAA Alternate: Mr. James Gurka

Ms. Deborah Sliter Vice President for Programs, NEEF -

Dr. Roger Wakimoto Director, NCAR Alternate: Dr. Maura Hagan

Rear Admiral Jonathan White Commander, NMOC Alternate: Commander John Daziens

24

2004 Louis J. Battan Authors Award, K-12 Category for Hurricane Strike!™

For Polar Lows Ungava Bay 01 December 2000

Bronze Medal for Boundary Detection & Convection Initiation

2005 Honorable Mention in the non-interactive media category of the Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge

American Geophysical Union Excellence in Geophysical Education Award 2006

2000 Hurricane Conference Outstanding Achievement Award for Community Hurricane Preparedness

25

2009 National Weather Association Public Education Award

2008 NSF and the Journal ScienceInternational Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge: Semi-Finalist

Award Winning Program

Finalist Recognition International Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge 2009

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/hydro/precip_est/part1_measurement_AMS/index.htm

Review and recommend a program plan to the Executive Board

Coordinate funding with all sponsors of the program and recommend annual budgets to the Executive Board

Relieve the COMET Director from negotiating funding levels Membership:

Designated sponsor representatives

Budget Priority Subcommittee (BPS) Role

26

Promote maintenance of high scientific and professional standards

Review and advise on the policies, instructional programs, and priorities of

the COMET Program

Prepare an annual evaluation of the COMET Program and provide

recommendations

Recommend candidates for members-at-large

Review the COMET Program Plan

The Panel meets at least once a year

Advisory Panel Role

27

A d v i s o r y P a n e l M e m b e r sMr. Stephen Augustyn AFWA Representative

Mr. Kenneth Carey Private Sector RepresentativeDr. Vilma Castro At-Large Representative

Mr. Jaymie Gadal MSC RepresentativeDr. Andrew Gibbons Education Representative

Mr. James Gurka NESDIS RepresentativeDr. John Gyakum University Representative

LCDR Matthew Henigan NMOC RepresentativeDr. John Horel University Representative

Mr. Rodney Jacques NMOC RepresentativeMr. Ryan Knutsvig NWS RepresentativeMr. Bill Mahoney NCAR Representative

Mr. Gary McWilliams NPOESS RepresentativeDr. Mohan Ramamurthy UOP Representative

Maj. Wendy Seaman AFWA Representative Dr. Sepidah Yalda, Chair University Representative

28

29

Director’s Report


Note: All projected

accomplishments are estimates

based on project status as of

1 June.

Publication of new content - 56 hours

Update of existing content - 26 hours (satellite, hurricane, NWP)

Adaptation of existing content - 8 hours (hydro, aviation)

Spanish translations - 35 hours

French translation - 1.5 (modules in process are pending MSC input)

ESRC Version 2.0

Maintain NPOESS Userport (begin evaluation to convert/update Userport and exiting modules to JPSS)

Infuse satellite data into new modules

Flash Flood Reference Guide (~208 page printed guide – available by print, PDF and CD)

30


3 week COMAP course

2 week Winter Weather course

3 day Flash Flood/QPE course

International Basic Hydrology virtual course

Boundary Layer Processes virtual course

Climate Variability and Change virtual course

QPF for Hydrologic Modeling virtual course

31

33

Metrics

Registrant

• Someone who has registered in the website

User

• Someone who has actually been in a module

Session

• A visit to a module by a User that is greater than 1 minute

34

Metrics Terminology

35

MetEd DashboardWorldwide Meted Users (example)

36

MetEd DashboardMonthly Totals of New Meted Users

http://inside.comet.ucar.edu/dashboard/index.php

http://inside.comet.ucar.edu/dashboard/index.php

MetEd Statistics as of

1 June 2010Total Registration140,000

Total International Users 47,000

Total Countries200

Total US Universities 1,075

37

Topic Modules Approximate Content Hours

Aviation Weather 41 117

Climate 20 26

Coastal Weather 25 39

Convective Weather 31 91

Emergency Management 18 38

Environment & Society 16 31

Fire Weather 34 43

Fog & Low Stratus 25 55

Hydrology/Flooding 47 60

Marine Meteorology/Oceans 41 64

Mesoscale Meteorology 34 78

Mountain Meteorology 16 25

NWP (Modeling) 68 129

Other 24 60

QPF (Precipitation) 19 26

Radar Meteorology 5 14

Satellite Meteorology 72 112

Space Weather 4 9

Tropical/Hurricane 33 72

Winter Weather 42 9038

COMET Modules By Topic as of May 2010

Modules can be double counted

because they appear in multiple

categories

March ‘10 2nd Quarter FY10 Grand Total through March

New Registrants / Total Registered Users: 6,020 15,863 129,885

New Countries / Total Countries Represented: 6 8 237

New Universities / Total Universities Represented: 24 68 1052

New/Total International Registrants: 2,194 5509 43,258

Unique MetEd Users This Month: 8,742

Unique MetEd Users (> 1 minute)/Total Unique: 6,534 13,698 84,172

Module Sessions (> 1 minute): 23,142 61,915 557,313

Avg Time Spent in Module (minutes): 52 53 51

Hours of Online Education: 20,403 55,516 487,731

Modules Downloaded: 2,592 7,810 56833

Print Versions Accessed: 6,847 15,960 92,608

Quizzes Started: 4,112 11,177 115,160

39

Format of Monthly Report Distributed to Sponsors

40

Module Content Hours by Year

41

Total Registrants by Affiliation 29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010

42

Total Registrants by Affiliation (without Education )29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010

1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009

Average Time in Module in minutes 53 53

Number of Print Versions 49,202 31,061Number of Downloads 24,824 20,230Number of Quizzes Completed 37,049 30,724

43

Module Access Statistics

as of April 2010as of 30 April

2009

English 275 241

Spanish 73 60

French 19 17

Portuguese 2 1

Russian 2 2

Indonesian 1 -

Total 372 321

44

Module Available on MetEd by Language

45

User Sessions 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

45

Modules Sessions

1 Skew-T Mastery 10,131

2 Anticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk 9,862

3 Hurricane Strike! 9,642

4 Climate Change: Fitting the Pieces Together 7,649

5 Community Hurricane Preparedness 6,509

6Operational Models Matrix: Characteristics of Operational NWP Models

2,648

7 Antarctica: Challenging Forecasts for a Challenging Environment 2,472

8 A Convective Storm Matrix: Buoyancy/Shear Dependencies 2,291

9 Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical Cyclones 2,289

10 Principles of Convection I: Buoyancy and CAPE 2,259

Modules SessionsAnticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk 14,020

Skew-T Mastery 13,684

Hurricane Strike! 11,052

Community Hurricane Preparedness 9,882

Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical Cyclones 3,900

Operational Models Matrix: Characteristics of Operational NWP Models

3,748

Introduction to Climatology 3,535

Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 5: Tropical Variability 3,507

Impact of Model Structure & Dynamics 3,438

A Convective Storm Matrix: Buoyancy/Shear Dependencies 3,079

1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009

46

Top 10 Modules

47

Total Registrants by Education Sub-Affiliationas of 30 April 2010

Sub-Affiliation1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009

College/University/Faculty 1,988 1,679College/University/Student 8,940 7,079International/Faculty 342 270International/Student 875 692K-12 Educator 1,202 1,310K-12 Student 2,284 2,211Other 1,203 1,023Total 16,834 14,264

48

New Education Users by Sub-Affiliation

49

Sessions by Education Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

50

Sessions by Canadian Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

51


1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009

National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Service 96 79

National Marine Fisheries Service 37 11

National Ocean Service 124 54National Weather Service 693 561

Office of Education 18 16Office of Marine and Aviation

Operations 14 5Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research 72 69

Other 69 46Programming Planning and

Integration 2 5Total 1,125 846

New NOAA Registrants by Sub-Affiliations

52

Total Registrants by NOAA Sub-Affiliation 1 January 2007 – 1 January 2010

National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Service 227

National Marine Fisheries Service 47

National Ocean Service 161

National Weather Service 3,368

Office of Education 33

Office of Marine and Aviation Operations 30

Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research 168

Other 313

Programming Planning and Integration 12

53

Sessions by NOAA Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

54

Total Registrants by DoD Sub-Affiliations29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010


1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009

Air Force 624 742Army 281 280Navy 547 507Other 123 100USMC 90 138Total 1,665 1,767

55

New Registrants by Sub-Affiliation DoD

56

Sessions by DoD/Air Force/Navy Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

On MetEd Website

1 May 2009 - 30 April

2010

1 May 2008 –

30 April 2009

Navy 3,124 user sessions

5,326 user sessions

Air Force 4,085 user sessions

5,387 user sessions

NOAA 24,485 user sessions

30,382 user sessions

On Service Website

1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009

Navy ~4,000 course completions ~4,000 course completions

Air Force 766 user sessions 511 user sessions

Does not include download and archive usage 57

Agency Totals

58

AFW user

Principal of Convection I: Buoyancy and CAPEQuestion 6:

What did you like least about this module or webcast? How could it be improved?

“It was amazing. I love it in every way.”

59

Total Registrants by US State or Local Gov’t Sub-Affiliations29 January 2007 - 30 April 2010

60

Sessions by US State or Local Government1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

61

Total Registrants by Private Sector Sub-Affiliations29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010


1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009

Agriculture 52 60 Aviation 350 314 Broadcasting 313 404 Ground Transportation 75 83

Other 1,463 1,654 Utilities 135 144 Total 2,388 2,659

62

New Users by Sub-Affiliation Private Sector

63

Sessions by Private Sector Users1 May 2009 - 30 April 2010

64

Sessions by International Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

65

1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

Country Sessions

Spain 2,792

Mexico 2,525

Colombia 1,424Argentina 1,323

Perú 1,036Chile 888

United States 523Venezuela 377Ecuador 346Portugal 262

1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009

Country Sessions

Spain 2,940

México 2,771

Colombia 1,316Chile 1,009Perú 997

Argentina 909Venezuela 660

United States 553Bolivia 357

El Salvador 262

Top 10 Spanish Module Usage by Country

1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 Sessions 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 Sessions

Dominio del diagrama oblicuo T-log p 1,453Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 6: Distribución de humedad y

precipitación1,165

Procesos de escorrentía 599 Dominio del diagrama oblicuo T-log p 1,031

Cambio climático: Cómo encajan las piezas 540Matriz de modelos operativos:

características de los modelos de PNT operativos

482

Tránsito de avenidas 471 Tipos de olas y sus características 464

Comprensión del ciclo hidrológico 458 Introducción a las corrientes oceánicas 446

Matriz de modelos operativos: características de los modelos de PNT operativos 458 Ondas de montaña y vientos de ladera

descendentes 389

Tipos de olas y sus características 438 Comprensión del ciclo hidrológico 380

Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 6: Distribución de humedad y

precipitación431 Consideraciones de meteorología sinóptica:

pronósticos de nieblas y estratos bajos 373

Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 3: Aplicaciones de percepción remota

en los trópicos422 Procesos de escorrentía 354

Ondas de montaña y vientos de ladera descendentes 414 Teoría del hidrograma unitario 302

66

Top 10 Modules in Spanish

Pre-test Sample Size

Pre-test Average

Score

Post-test Sample

Size

Post-test Average

ScoreDistributed Hydrologic Models for Flow

Forecasts - Part 1 145 61 61 91

DLAC 2 Unit 1 - Basic Terminal Forecast Strategies 1153 65 543 74

Ensemble Forecasting Explained 1,086 52 487 77

Fire Behavior 388 59 385 75

Flash Flood Processes 933 65 1,171 89

Flood Frequency Analysis 589 59 553 84

Introduction to Distributed Hydrologic Modeling 20 59 51 82

Introduction to Ocean Models 377 63 269 77

Introduction to Verification of Hydrologic Forecasts 190 45 60 80

Precipitation Estimates, Part 1: Measurement 415 54 357 82

67

Pre/Post Tests as of May 2010

Pre-test Sample Size

Pre-test Average

Score

Post-test Sample

Size

Post-test Average

ScorePrecipitation Estimates, Part 2:

Analysis 84 42 50 73

Rip Currents Forecasting 202 50 175 79

Runoff Processes 1041 67 848 84S-290 Unit 12: Gauging Fire

Behavior and Guiding Fireline Decisions

42 57 45 77

Snowmelt Processes 415 59 387 80

Using the WRF Mesoscale Model 24 58 75 73

68

Pre/Post Tests as of May 2010

Pre Avg Post Avg CountDistributed Hydrologic Models for Flow

Forecasts - Part 1 66 90 37

DLAC 2 Unit 1 - Basic Terminal Forecast Strategies 65 78 279

Ensemble Forecasting Explained 58 79 256Fire Behavior 62 78 167

Flash Flood Processes 63 89 522Flood Frequency Analysis 60 86 270

Introduction to Distributed Hydrologic Modeling 66 81 14

Introduction to Ocean Models 66 80 123Introduction to Verification of Hydrologic

Forecasts 47 78 41

Precipitation Estimates, Part 1: Measurement 54 86 166

69

Pre/Post Assessment Scores for those who have completed both as of April 2010

Pre Avg Post Avg Count

Precipitation Estimates, Part 2: Analysis 46 78 15

QPF Verification: Challenges and Tools 0 0 1

Rip Currents Forecasting 51 81 69

Runoff Processes 68 88 473

S-290 Unit 12: Gauging Fire Behavior and Guiding Fireline Decisions 57 80 32

Snowmelt Processes 59 81 171

Using the WRF Mesoscale Model 56 76 18

70

Pre/Post Assessment Scores for those who have

completed both as of April 2010 (continued)

71

Top Ten Modules by Affiliation1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010

72

Budget

Staffing History

73

FY10 and FY11 Funding

74

FY10 Actual Grand Total FY11 Projected Funding Grand TotalNOAA NOAA

NWS Aviation 300,000$ NWS Aviation 300,000$ NOAA Tsunami 300,205$ NOAA Tsunami 190,000$ NWS Hydrology 402,000$ NWS Hydrology (Amount tentative) 125,000$ NWS Outreach 450,000$ NWS Outreach (Office of Science and Technology) 450,000$ NWS NWP 324,500$ NWS NWP 335,000$ NWS IAO 398,549$ NWS Module O&M 125,000$ NWS Core Funding 1,671,000$ NWS Core Funding 1,946,000$ NWS Courses 94,000$ NWS IAO 328,000$ NWS International (PNS IA01) 25,000$ NWS Climate TBDVirtual Classroom Setup 68,000$ NWS IMET (Fire Weather) 175,000$ SOO Focal Point Workstation 12,000$ NESDIS 350,000$ NWS FY10 Projects Funded in FY09 947,000$ JPSS 265,000$ NESDIS (includes international projects funded in FY09) 364,000$ Non-NOAANWS IMET (Fire Weather) 400,000$ Air Force TBDNPOESS 265,000$ Navy 315,000$ NOS Disaster Risk Reduction (FY10 portion of $25K project) 10,000$ Meteorological Service of Canada 345,000$

Non-NOAA EUMETSAT ASMET Phase 2 Module 2 36,000$ Air Force Weather Agency 291,263$ WMO 18,000$ Meteorological Service of Canada 335,000$ Subtotal 5,303,000$ NMOC 300,000$ Anticipated FY10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 385,000$ EUMETSAT 50,977$ FY11 Anticipated Funding with Carryforward 5,688,000$ NEEF Brazil Climate 31,514$ Univ. of WI (SARP Sea Grant) 100,000$ BoM Australia 35,000$ WMO Virtual Hydro Course 8,595$ NFS Fire Behavior Field Guide 11,799$ NYU - Arctic Ecosystems 39,376$

FY10 Funding 7,234,778$ Anticipated F&10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 (385,000)$

Available FY10 Funding 6,849,778$

75

FY10 Funding Breakdown

Salaries and Benefits 4,412,754$ Materials and Supplies 131,410$ Purchased Services 442,830$ Travel 167,671$ Participant Support Cost Travel 14,000$ Equipment 33,651$ UCAR Overhead 1,580,975$

Total Expenses 6,783,291$

FY11 Spending Plan

76

FY10Starting Reserve $ 0

Starting Carry-Forward $ 2,849,000 Income $ 4,400,000

Committed Carry-Forward $ (345,000)

Available after Committed Carry-Forward

$ 6,912,000 Expenses $ (6,750,000)

Reserve Applied $ 0New Anticipated Reserve $ 162,000

Budget Status

77

78

Budget Retreat Conclusions

NWS pays full base costs

NWS Programs pay the MDG and Cluster costs

NOAA Programs pay

MDG and cluster costs and 10% for

base (retained for

reserve)

Non-NOAA Program pay

MDG and cluster costs + 20% for base

One Time Grants pay

incremental costs (may

have minimal base recovery

if it can be supported

under proposal)

79

Business Management

Program Management/Development

Budget/Agreements Management

NSTEP Process

Program Plan

Office Services

International Representation

IT Infrastructure

MetEd Website

AWIPS Support

Case Studies

Field Support

FDTB Support

Base Services

80

Funding Agreement Status

Navy• IPAs end June 2011

AFW• Contract worked in FY10• FY11 - Pending

MSC• 5 year Contribution Agreement

pending

BoM Australia• Contracts working• Exploring more flexible blanket

agreement

NMOC Funding in FY11 and beyond

IPAs

• Increase IPAs to full-time through May

• Extend Rodie IPA through Sept 2011

• New funding mechanism would begin Oct 2011

• 3 of 4 IPAs cannot be extended past May 2011

Contract

(begin either June or

Oct 2011)

• Requires careful planning and flexibility

• Decreases flexibility and requires SME commitment to timelines

Grant or Cooperative Agreement

(begin either June or

Oct 2011)

• Would require different “color of money”

• Provides the most flexibility

81

82

Status of the CI vs. CA – Fellows/Spayd/Contorno

83

Agency Presentations

84

FY11 Plans

FY11 Expected Accomplishments

65+ hours of new module

content anticipated

10+ hours of updates to

existing materials

2 International

Hydrologic Science Virtual courses

Advanced Hydrologic

Science blended course

Boundary Layer

Processes virtual course

Winter Weather course

Flash Flood/QPE

course

Virtual QPF and Flash

Flood Forecasting

courseClimate Variability and

Change Course

(possible advanced course as

well)

85

FY11 Expected Accomplishments continued

PDS developmen

t support

Meeting and conference

support

New community

pages

Tropical Meteorology

course developmen

tFire Weather

training curriculum

development

EM Academy

JPSS integration

and updates to existing materials

86

87

Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected

DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments

Volcanic Ash (Subject area) FY10 or FY11 3-4 hrs FY11 NOAA Pending

DLAC-3: Improving Aviation Weather Services: Managing an Effective Aviation Program

FY11 or FY12 2 hrs FY12 or FY13 NOAA Delayed by volcanic ash

module

Aviation Meteorology

88



Coastal Climate Change FY10 2-2.5 hrs FY11 NOAASARP Module Title TBD

Climate Variability and Change Virtual Course FY11 3 days FY11 NOAA Two offerings may be

fundedAdvanced Climate Variability and Change Course FY11 TBD FY11 NOAA Pending Final Approval

Climate and Climatology

89



HYSPLIT Applications for Nuclear Incident Response FY11 1-1.5 hrs FY11 NOAA Pending

Dispersion

90



Integrating Social Science into Forecast Operations FY10 ~4 hrs FY11-12 NOAA Pending

Environment and Society

91



IMET PDS Development FY11 N/A FY11 NOAATopics TBD based on

outcome of PDS requirements

Develop Wildland Fire Community Page on MetEd FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA

Develop EM Academy – Interagency Fire Weather Resource Use

FY11 N/A FY11 NOAAPartner with other

agencies to coordinate access to training

resourcesFire Weather Training Curriculum Development FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA Based on Fire Weather

PDS

Fire Weather

NWS Required Participants (170) $ 460,000

NWS Desirable Participants (900) $2,400,000

Total $2,860,000

Advanced Fire Weather Course

NWS Required Participants (1,160) $ 1,160,000

Government-wide Required Participants (20,000) $20,000,000

Total $21,160,000

S290

92

Fire Weather Savings Five-year period

93



QPF Verification II: Working with Discontinuous Fields FY11 1-1.25

hrs FY11 NOAA Postponed

Virtual QPF and Flash Flood Forecasting Course FY11 3 days FY11 NOAA

Advanced Hydrologic Science Blended Course FY11 2 weeks FY11 NOAA

Flash Flood/QPE Residence Course FY10 1 wk FY10 NOAADepends on

prioritization by NSTEP Process

Hydrometeorolog

y

94



Translation of COMET MetEd Distance Learning Modules Ongoing N/A Ongoing NWS IAO

VCPTypically 15-20 hrs of

material

Cooperation with WMO to Develop Critical eLearning Programs (Aviation Focus)

FY11 N/A FY11 NWS IAO VCP

2nd year of a three year project

International Hydrologic Sciences Virtual Courses FY11 two 4 wk

courses FY11NWS IAO

VCPWMO

2 courses funded (WMO will provide additional support)

Support for RA-IV Online Degree Programs: Tropical Meteorology Course

FY11 N/A FY12 NWS IAO VCP

Partner: University of West Indies

WMO Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) Meeting Support FY11 N/A FY11 NWS IAO

VCP

International Activities

WMO EC Panel of Experts Education and Training and various expert teams

(Dr. Spangler, US Representative)

WMO Training Symposium (every 4 years)

Regional WMO Education and Training Workshops (as requested)

SCHOTI Coordinating Committee (COCOM)

CALMet Conference(Dr. Pat Parrish, Committee Chair)

Associate member of Eumetcal (European Program for Computer-aided Learning in Meteorology and Hydrology)

95

International Activities Continued

96



Boundary Layer Processes Virtual Course FY11 3 days FY11 NOAA

Second course pending NSTEP

presentation

Mesoscale Meteorology

97



Optimizing the Use of Model Data Products FY10 1 – 1.25 hrs FY11 NOAA

Recognizing Where and When the Human can Add Value to NWP FY10 1 – 1.25 hrs FY11 NOAA

NWP Unit 4: NWP Use in Gridded Forecast Generation & NWPUnit 5: Special Forecast Problems

FY11 8-12 hrs FY12 NOAA

Numerical Weather Prediction

98



Ensemble Forecasting of Winds and Seas FY10 1.25 – 1.5

hrs FY11 NMOC

Sea Ice FY10 1 hr FY11 NMOC

Marine Module update FY11 Module Updates FY11 NOAA

Module Topics TBD NMOC Topics for FY11 are pending

Marine PDS update FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA Depends on prioritization by NSTEP Process

Oceanography/Marine

99



Radar Signatures for Winter Weather FY10 1-2 hrs FY11 MSC

Radar Meteorology

100


DeliveryPrimary Agency

Arctic Meteorology and Oceanography FY10 .75 – 1hr FY11 NMOC

Western Pacific meteorology and oceanography series Ongoing TBD Ongoing NMOC

Potential topic areas,

specific topics will be determined

in consultation with NMOC

Arctic Meteorology and Oceanography FY10 .75 – 1hr FY11 NMOC

Regional Phenomena

101



Include and Highlight GOES and POES Satellite data into all relevant COMET projects

FY11 N/A FY11 NESDIS GOES Ongoing Effort

ESRC support, updates marketing, submission QA

FY11 N/A FY11 NESDIS GOESNPOESS Ongoing Effort

Climate Monitoring from Satellites FY09 1 hr FY11 EUMETSAT

NPOESSSignificant delays caused by lack of

SME resources

Dynamic Feature Identification: Conveyor Belts FY10 1 hr FY11 MSC Module may be split

into two parts

Dynamic Feature Identification: Jet Streaks FY11 .75 hrs FY11 MSC

Dynamic Feature Identification: Topics TBD FY11 TBD FY11 MSC Topics TBD

Satellite Meteorology

102



2011 Satellite Curriculum Development Workshop FY11 4 days FY11 NESDIS GOES

JPSS

GOES-R JPSS module FY11 TBD FY11 NESDIS GOES-RBenefits of satellite to transportation

industry?

JPSS Topics TBD (Possible revival of NPP: On the Road to JPSS)

FY11 TBD FY11 JPSSTopic TBD in

consultation with new JPSS Program

office

JPSS Userport Maintenance FY11 N/A FY11 JPSS TBD

EUMETSAT Webcast FY11 TBD FY11 EUMETSAT Topic and Funding TBD

ASMET Support FY11 2-3 hrs FY11 EUMETSAT

Satellite Meteorology

Should COMET meet regarding DWSS training with NWS, Air Force and Navy?

103

Project TitleFY

Project Initiated

Length Expected Delivery

Primary Agency Comments

Additional Skywarn Spotter Training Modules (winter weather, hurricanes, marine, etc.)

FY11 or FY12 1.5 hrs FY11 or

FY12 NOAA Pending

Spotter Training

104



Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 1: Introduction FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA*

Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 4: Global Circulation FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA*

Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 9: Tropical Weather Systems FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA*

Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 7: Vertical Transport of Energy and Moisture

FY11 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA*

Launch of Version 2.0 of Tropical Textbook Coding Update for Textbook

Support for RA-IV Online Degree Programs: Tropical Meteorology Course FY11 N/A FY12 NWS IAO

VCP

Partner: University of West Indies (also

mentioned in International section)

*COMET Program Development Account

Tropical Meteorology

105

Project TitleFY Project Initiated

LengthExpected Delivery

Primary Agency

Comments

Tsunami Strike! (title tentative) FY10 2-3 hrs FY11 NOAA

Community Tsunami Preparedness FY10 1 hr FY11 NOAA Includes Spanish

translation

Tsunami Strike! Caribbean Version (Title tentative) FY11 2-3 hrs FY11 NOAA Includes Spanish

translation

Tsunami

Tsunami animation

http://deved.meted.ucar.edu/tsunami/temp/comet_meteor_ocean.html

106



MSC Winter Weather Course FY10 2 Week FY11 MSC

Mountain Weather Workshop Presentations FY10 or FY11 12-16 hrs FY11 MSC Pending

AFW Projects TBDPlaceholder for

AFW projects TBD in this or another

topic area

Winter Weather

Navy: 3 modules beginning in FY10 will publish in FY 11 Still Needed: Guidance for new module topics to total ~2 hours of instruction. MSC Satellite Feature ID: Conveyor belts will publish in FY 11 FY 11 Plans:

• Satellite Feature ID: Jet Streaks • 2-week Winter Weather Course• Radar Feature ID module for Winter Weather• Depending on the final scope known modules an additional 1-2 hours of capacity may be available. • Need priorities

• Feature ID modules• New topic

AFW No guidance on new topics or funding levelNEEF Proposal and other projects pending

Unresolved Sponsor Plans

107

108

Outreach Program

109

Established to bridge gap between research and operations

University researchers team with weather service offices

•Ability to quickly fund applied research projects•Scientific support for forecast offices•Students often become NWS employees•Better appreciation of operational constraints by university researchers•Improved forecasting

Benefits

Outreach Program

110

Cooperative Projects: • Broad multi-year interactions

between university meteorology program and local weather service office

• Focuses on single large research effort or on several smaller, regional forecasting problems

• Average funding ~ $35,000 per year

Partners Projects:• One year collaboration between a

single university professor or laboratory researcher and an operational forecaster

• Focuses on:• Topic of mutual interest• Sponsor regional workshops

• Research conducted generally focuses on case studies rather than the broader research goals of the typical Cooperative Project

• Average funding ~ $12,000

Outreach Program Projects

111

FY10 Outreach Program

112


113

• Receive help understanding particular problem

• Increased interest in science among staffWFO

• Gain understanding of constraints forecasters work underUniversities

Main Comments about Outreach Program Benefits

114

FY10 Cooperative Projects University

NWS Flash Flood Forecasting in Two Hydrologically Distinct Regions Using an Improved Distributed Hydrologic Model

University of Arizona, Penn State

Improving Clear air Turbulence Forecasts at the AWC University of Georgia -Athens

Evaluation of High-Resolution WRF Simulations for use in Operational Forecasting Oklahoma State University

A Storm Tide Observation, Analysis and Forecast System for NWLON Water Level Stations in Coastal Oceans and Estuaries

Virginia Institute of Marine Science

Development of a High-resolution Ensemble Kalman Filter for Operational Analysis and Short-term Forecasting at the National Weather Service University of Washington

FY10 Outreach Program Five Cooperative Projects

115

FY10 Partners Projects UniversityMeteorological Conditions Influencing Sea Breeze Convergence and Resulting Rainfall Patterns and Hazards in Pinellas County, FL University of South Florida

Warning System Considering Social Characteristics Regarding Population at Risk University of South Florida

Improved Integration of Slosh Model Simulations and Local Landmark Data in a Hurricane Surge Visualization Model College of Charleston

Development of a Heat/Health Watch-Warning System for Glasgow, MT University of Miami

A Composite Analysis of Major Ice Storm Events in the County Warning Area of Springfield, MO Saint Louis University

Identifying and Understanding Displacement Biases in Numerical Forecasts of Elevated Convective Systems Texas A&M

Development of the WN09 Dry Thunderstorm Forecast Procedure Desert Research Institute

Vertically Pointing Radar Reflectivity and Rainfall Measurements at Different Heights and Comparison with a Tipping Bucket Rain Gauge and WSR-88D Level II Reflectivity

University of Texas at San Antonio

FY10 Outreach Program Eight New Partners Projects

116

Funding will likely remain levelExpect 10-12 new Partners Projects


117

Significant Issues

118

We’re Moving!

119

Support for Large and New Communities

Wildland Fire Community: ~100,000

Spotter training: ~300,000

Disaster Risk Reduction: ~1,000,000

120

New Strategies for NWS:Smart Readiness and Learning Objects

Need operational definitionChallenge to decompose modules into learning objectsEvaluation methods

Improved Support for University Instruction

Introductory Course

Curriculum Integration

Paul Quelet, Community College

Instructor

Identifying on line materials

supporting elements of course

outline

Primarily COMET, but some from other sources

Will complete this summer

Identifying Learning Objects

to Support Dynamics Courses

John Cahir, Penn State

Identified learning objects from

COMET modules, including: thermal

wind, transport phenomena,

general circulation

PDA Activities

On line tropical

textbook developme

nt

Developing learning

objects to support

dynamics courses

New Website Features

Media search: 11660+ images and animations

now accessible via MetEd Search

New module template:

bookmarking for all pages in a module, fully

accessible content via enhanced print

version

121

122

Module Obsolescence

NWS funds $125K for FY11FY11 priority: Marine

123

Succession Planning

No one has volunteered to leave!

124

Project Management

Improved internal trackingNew project progress milestones

125

Online Degrees

Dynamics learning objectsTropical course with UWIWMO consortiumMSU and ASU

126

International Growth

Funding more consistent nowNWS and UCAR provide line itemsRequests to attend meetings exceeds resources

127

MetEd Redesign

Educational Strategies, Design Strategies, and University Support

Recommendation 2: COMET should continue to study the comparative values of incorporating new Web technologies and services especially those that facilitate social interaction of developers,

instructors, students, and experts in instructional conversations.

Recommendation 3: COMET should explore the idea of producing materials for specific user groups in such a way that they can be tailored and exported for blended learning solutions.

Recommendation 9: COMET should provide catalogs of educational resources, and their key features. This catalog should cross-reference educational resources closely related in subject matter (ontology

service).

MetEd Redesign: Why?

Advisory Panel Recommendations from 2009

128

MetEd Redesign: Why?

129

MetEd Redesign: How?

130

Rebuild of databases: tighter integration with our project management databases, more extensible schema.

New look and feel: better access to module information, better usability, easier integration for new and future functionality.

Updated programming approach to reduce maintenance and allow for easier updating.

Addition of social networking and productivity tools: user ratings and comments, module bookmarking and notes, sharing of custom distance learning courses.

To address the recommendations and concerns, the MetEd redesign

includes the following:

http://dev-meted2.comet.ucar.edu

http://dev-meted2.comet.ucar.edu/

MetEd Improvements 2010

Clean up of thousands of records: 11,660+ images and animations searchable

Eases search and reuse of media both internally and externally

Provides the foundation for creating automated media galleries for all modules (part of MetEd redesign)

Media integrated into MetEd search

131

MetEd Improvements 2010

Provides bookmarking of all module pages

Automates creation of module download file

More conservative use of Flash without sacrificing interactivity

Easier process for updating modules

Provides for easier reuse of content

New module template in full use

132

133

Budget

FY10 and FY11 Funding

134

FY10 Actual Grand Total FY11 Projected Funding Grand TotalNOAA NOAA

NWS Aviation 300,000$ NWS Aviation 300,000$ NOAA Tsunami 300,205$ NOAA Tsunami 190,000$ NWS Hydrology 402,000$ NWS Hydrology (Amount tentative) 125,000$ NWS Outreach 450,000$ NWS Outreach (Office of Science and Technology) 450,000$ NWS NWP 324,500$ NWS NWP 335,000$ NWS IAO 398,549$ NWS Module O&M 125,000$ NWS Core Funding 1,671,000$ NWS Core Funding 1,946,000$ NWS Courses 94,000$ NWS IAO 328,000$ NWS International (PNS IA01) 25,000$ NWS Climate TBDVirtual Classroom Setup 68,000$ NWS IMET (Fire Weather) 175,000$ SOO Focal Point Workstation 12,000$ NESDIS 350,000$ NWS FY10 Projects Funded in FY09 947,000$ JPSS 265,000$ NESDIS (includes international projects funded in FY09) 364,000$ Non-NOAANWS IMET (Fire Weather) 400,000$ Air Force TBDNPOESS 265,000$ Navy 315,000$ NOS Disaster Risk Reduction (FY10 portion of $25K project) 10,000$ Meteorological Service of Canada 345,000$

Non-NOAA EUMETSAT ASMET Phase 2 Module 2 36,000$ Air Force Weather Agency 291,263$ WMO 18,000$ Meteorological Service of Canada 335,000$ Subtotal 5,303,000$ NMOC 300,000$ Anticipated FY10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 385,000$ EUMETSAT 50,977$ FY11 Anticipated Funding with Carryforward 5,688,000$ NEEF Brazil Climate 31,514$ Univ. of WI (SARP Sea Grant) 100,000$ BoM Australia 35,000$ WMO Virtual Hydro Course 8,595$ NFS Fire Behavior Field Guide 11,799$ NYU - Arctic Ecosystems 39,376$

FY10 Funding 7,234,778$ Anticipated F&10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 (385,000)$

Available FY10 Funding 6,849,778$

135

Current Outstanding Proposals

Pending Proposals

• NOAA Climate - $500K (pending)• NWS Social Sciences (WAS*IS) ~

$320K (pending)• NWS Saudi WRF support $160K

(pending)• NEEF NOAA Education - $151K

(pending)

136

Climate International

Education Support Disaster Risk Reduction

137

Business Development Priorities 2011

138

Discussion

139

Executive Session

Dr. Timothy Spangler The COMET Program

Documents

Transcript of Dr. Timothy Spangler The COMET Program