Dr. Sıdıka BaşçıDr. Sıdıka BaşçıStatistical Economic and Statistical Economic and Social Research and Social Research and Training Centre for Training Centre for Islamic CountriesIslamic Countries(SESRTCIC)(SESRTCIC)

What is Real Progress?

Is it the improvement in

GDP per capita?

trade balance?

No No !!

The Cost of Development should not The Cost of Development should not be Global Failures!be Global Failures!

Climate change — Global Climate change — Global

warmingwarming

Ozone layer depletionOzone layer depletion

How Should We Measure Progress?How Should We Measure Progress?

National or Global? How to separate and National or Global? How to separate and combine? combine?

Can one talk about national successes in Can one talk about national successes in the the presence of global failures?presence of global failures?

Then, a Local Sustainable Then, a Local Sustainable Development ? Not Development ? Not

Possible Anymore!Possible Anymore!

How Should We Measure Progress? How Should We Measure Progress?

Generations bequesting their Generations bequesting their descendants a more lively place to descendants a more lively place to live, not new problems. What kind of live, not new problems. What kind of progress are we talking about if progress are we talking about if future generations will have problems future generations will have problems in even breathing clean air, and will in even breathing clean air, and will have difficulty in access to clean have difficulty in access to clean drinking water! drinking water!

How Should We Measure Progress?How Should We Measure Progress?

As pointed out in the report of the As pointed out in the report of the Secretary General to the Millennium Secretary General to the Millennium Assembly of the United Nations (2000), each Assembly of the United Nations (2000), each state has a dual role in the global world, state has a dual role in the global world, and this duality recognizes that each state and this duality recognizes that each state not only bears responsibilities in relation to not only bears responsibilities in relation to its own people but also collectively shares its own people but also collectively shares responsibility for the whole planet.responsibility for the whole planet.

Therefore, defining ‘Real Progress’ is not an Therefore, defining ‘Real Progress’ is not an easy task as it may appear. easy task as it may appear.

What can the Role of What can the Role of International Organizations be?International Organizations be?

Comparisions across the countries in Comparisions across the countries in terms of statistics can be possible terms of statistics can be possible only if the data sets of each country only if the data sets of each country have common standards.have common standards.

At this point, international At this point, international organisations may have an important organisations may have an important role in preparing, processing and role in preparing, processing and presenting comparable data.presenting comparable data.

Time is Valuable!Time is Valuable!

Reducing time cost is extremely Reducing time cost is extremely important for data accession important for data accession during research.during research.

Deterministic Role of R&DDeterministic Role of R&D

One of the most prevelant gaps between developed One of the most prevelant gaps between developed

and developing world is the current stance of and developing world is the current stance of Science and Technology in these countries. In fact, it Science and Technology in these countries. In fact, it can even be reasonably argued that almost all gaps can even be reasonably argued that almost all gaps between developed and developing world can be between developed and developing world can be narrowed down by developing, managing and narrowed down by developing, managing and properly applying appropriate knowledge.properly applying appropriate knowledge.

It is almost impossible for any country to achieve It is almost impossible for any country to achieve and sustain prosperity and a high quality of life and sustain prosperity and a high quality of life without using the results of science and ensuring a without using the results of science and ensuring a well-educated population.well-educated population.

An important aspect and determinant of progress: An important aspect and determinant of progress: Transition to knowledge-based economies and Transition to knowledge-based economies and societiessocieties..

World GDP, Population,and R&D Expenditure and World GDP, Population,and R&D Expenditure and PersonnelPersonnel

Share of World Gross Expenditure on R&D, (2000)Share of World Gross Expenditure on R&D, (2000)

GERD (As Share of GDP, %)

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

3,00

OECD EU-15 World Europe Asia OIC

Source: UIS S&T database, World Bank, Calculations are made by SESRTCIC

The relationship between R&D expenditure The relationship between R&D expenditure and GDP per capita (1997-2004)and GDP per capita (1997-2004)

CountryCountry Share of R&DShare of R&D (%)(%)

GDP per CapitaGDP per Capita

UgandaUganda 00..8181 225225

MalaysiaMalaysia 00..6969 33,,884884

IranIran 00..6767 22,,362362

TurkeyTurkey 00..6666 22,,675675

TunisiaTunisia 00..6363 22,,153153

MoroccoMorocco 00..6262 11,,237237

MozambiqueMozambique 00..5959 222222

SudanSudan 00..3434 551551

AzerrbaijanAzerrbaijan 00..3030 760760

KazakhstanKazakhstan 00..2222 11,,490490

PakistanPakistan 00..2222 502502

KuwaitKuwait 00..2020 1515,,753753

KrgyzstanKrgyzstan 00..2020 321321

EgyptEgypt 00..1919 11,,550550

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso 00..1717 260260

IndonesiaIndonesia 00..0505 773773

BruneiBrunei 00..0303 1818,,800800

The relationship between R&D personnel The relationship between R&D personnel and GDP per capita (1997-2004)and GDP per capita (1997-2004)

CountryCountry Researchers and Researchers and Technicians Employed in Technicians Employed in R&R&DD(pe(per r million People)million People)

GDP per CapitaGDP per Capita

IranIran 44,,782782 22,,362362

TunisiaTunisia 22,,903903 22,,153153

JordanJordan 22,,636636 11,,731731

KazakhstanKazakhstan 11,,760760 11,,655655

TurkeyTurkey 11,,445445 22,,675675

AzerbaijanAzerbaijan 11,,431431 760760

BruneiBrunei 11,,091091 1818,,800800

MoroccoMorocco 782782 11,,237237

IndonesiaIndonesia 645645 773773

KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan 457457 321321

SudanSudan 394394 657657

MalaysiaMalaysia 357357 33,,884884

GuineaGuinea 357357 391391

KuwaitKuwait 241241 1515,,753753

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia 140140 88,,785785

MozambiqueMozambique 132132 222222

GabonGabon 109109 55,,505505

PakistanPakistan 8686 502502

BangladeshBangladesh 7777 336336

UgandaUganda 3838 225225

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso 3333 260260

Tasks for the StatisticianTasks for the Statistician

Enlargement of the conventional Enlargement of the conventional tasktask

A non-conventional taskA non-conventional task

Enlargement of the Conventional TaskEnlargement of the Conventional Task

Indicators of environmentIndicators of environment

Share of protected area to total surface areaShare of protected area to total surface areaCarbon dioxide emissionCarbon dioxide emission

Indicators of progress in Science and Indicators of progress in Science and TechnologyTechnology

Share of high technology products in exports Share of high technology products in exports and importsand imports

Indicators of Millenium Development GoalsIndicators of Millenium Development Goals

Number of undernourished personsNumber of undernourished personsDietry energy consumption Dietry energy consumption

A Non-Conventional Task for the A Non-Conventional Task for the StatisticianStatistician

Under the circumstances, one can think of a Under the circumstances, one can think of a new role for a statistician in monitoring the new role for a statistician in monitoring the trends to identify new technological trends to identify new technological developments and new revolutionary waves developments and new revolutionary waves (with supporting evidences from pertinent (with supporting evidences from pertinent information) and channel this to decision-information) and channel this to decision-makers in a timely manner:makers in a timely manner:

A non-conventional task for the A non-conventional task for the statisticianstatistician ! !

OECD World ForumOECD World Forum

Fostering the development of evidence-Fostering the development of evidence-based public choice and facts-based civic based public choice and facts-based civic dialogue.dialogue.

Improving the effectiveness of indicator Improving the effectiveness of indicator work and their use for policy making. work and their use for policy making.

Fostering a global conversation about Fostering a global conversation about what progress actually means.what progress actually means.

OECD World Forum, an important OECD World Forum, an important undertaking, deserves our support .undertaking, deserves our support .

Ensuring its SuccessEnsuring its Success

A Carefully Designed Action PlanA Carefully Designed Action Plan Encompassing All Stakeholders Encompassing All Stakeholders

(allready strong indications for this (allready strong indications for this through the regional meetings)through the regional meetings)

Desired Targets be strategically Desired Targets be strategically chosen and transperancy be chosen and transperancy be embedded throughout the Forum embedded throughout the Forum road maproad map

Enthusiasm, excitement and support Enthusiasm, excitement and support from developing countries essential from developing countries essential

Thank you.Thank you.