Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance...

27
Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award

Transcript of Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance...

Page 1: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Dr. Russ T. BrownCWEMF Annual Meeting 2011CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011

Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award

Page 2: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

My Formative Years LA aqueduct and St. Francis DamUC Santa Cruz‐Creeks and Redwoods UC Santa Cruz Creeks and Redwoods UC Irvine‐Wastewater & Ocean DischargesMIT O  E i i   d W t  MIT‐ Ocean Engineering and Water Resources

k bUSACOE‐ Vicksburg Experiment Station and HEC

Page 3: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

“I’ b il d d d l i I b ”“I’ve built and used models since I was a boy”

Page 4: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

“Here I am 30 years 30 years later still trying to understand 

t  water movement and mixing processes”p

“I bought and read Professor Fischer’s books (1978,1981), so I was ready to make a living in Environmental Hydraulics”

Page 5: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

M E l W ki YMy Early Working Years TVA‐ Reservoir Temperatures and Water TVA Reservoir Temperatures and Water Quality, Aeration, and Suspended SedimentTennessee Tech Students and Modeling Tennessee Tech‐ Students and Modeling Studies

“Reading the old reports and studies Reading the old reports and studies is  the best place to begin modeling”

Page 6: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

TVA Engineering Lab Norris TNTVA Engineering Lab‐Norris TNAnalyzing hourly water temperature data from reservoirs and reservoirs and power plants

Analyzing daily Analyzing daily suspended sediment data from tributary streams

Page 7: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

TVA Daily Rainfall‐TVA Daily RainfallRunoff and SS Data “Hydrographs andHydrographs and Sediment‐graphs”

Page 8: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Reservoir Water Quality ModelingSeasonal stratified temperature and DO depletionSeasonal stratified temperature and DO depletionAlgae growth with SS settling/light effectsInflow placement effects on travel time and nutrientsInflow placement effects on travel time and nutrientsAeration (turbine venting, O2 diffuser, Garton‐ pump)BETTER Model‐ seasonal simulation with daily time‐BETTER Model seasonal simulation with daily timestep using layered boxes with 2‐D graphs Normandy Reservoir storm event sampling/modelingApplied to 20 Reservoirs at TVA, COE, BOR (and Lewiston and New Exchequer)“We should have a model for every reservoir”

Page 9: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative
Page 10: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

California Water and EnvironmentalCalifornia Water and Environmental Impact Assessments

“Models are perfect tools for impact assessments”Mono Lake Diversions‐ Los Angeles Aqueduct Monthly Program (Fortran and Lotus spreadsheet)Delta Wetlands ‐Delta SOS monthly adjustments of DWRSIM and Daily SOS spreadsheet modelsDWRSIM and Daily SOS spreadsheet modelsGuadalupe River‐ JSATEMP model of daily stream temperature using CIMIS data for hourly heat budgetSacramento Wastewater Treatment‐ CWFATE Constructed Wetlands fate and transport of nutrients and metals“A    d l  h  th  ld b     d   t   k”“A new model each month would be a good way to work”

Page 11: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Delta Operations and ProtectionsDelta Operations and Protections Simulation Modeling for the EWA

DAYFLOW with channel flow splits and gates with adjustable objectives for outflow, X2, E/I, and QWESTD il  CVP  d SWP fi h  l  d i  (fi h/ f)Daily CVP and SWP fish salvage density (fish/taf)Interactive “gaming forum” with water managers and fish protection agencies (MAs and PAs) for decisionfish protection agencies (MAs and PAs) for decision‐making and tracking of fish protection actions/resultsProjector display of data and model results Projector display of data and model results Modeler Stress “Our modeling‐mistakes and missing features‐ were immediately revealed to everyone”

Page 12: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

EWA Modeling for CALFED CombiningEWA Modeling for CALFED‐ CombiningDaily Delta Flows and Salvage Fish Densities

Page 13: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Daily Fish Salvage Density Reveals Delta FishDaily Fish Salvage Density Reveals Delta Fish Movement Patterns and Entrainment Events

Page 14: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

“All Trawls and Surveys should be integrated and“All Trawls and Surveys should be integrated and interpreted with fish movement models”

Page 15: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Delta Fish Modeling Opportunities “San Joaquin River daily flows, temperatures, and fish q y phabitat simulations” FWUA and NRDC 2001“Battle Creek Daily Flows, Temperatures and Fish Habitat Evaluation” BOR 2003Evaluation  BOR 2003“Methods for Assessment of Fish Entrainment in SWP and CVP Exports” SDIP EIS/EIR Appendix J 2005“A  ibl  A h f  I t ti  D lt  A ti  S i  “A possible Approach for Integrating Delta Aquatic Species Survey Data” CALFED Science Conference 2006“Evaluation of Fish Protection from Installation of the Head of Old River Temporary Barrier” CVPIA 2007“Evaluation of Delta Smelt Entrainment Events in 1995‐2007” CALFED Science Conference 20082007  CALFED Science Conference 2008

Page 16: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

DeltaMOVE“movement of organisms vulnerable to entrainment”

Confluence (Unit 2) EC Estimates Delta Smelt Lengthgrowth = .4mm/day to 0.1mmday

8000

10000

12000

14000

uS/c

m)

growth .4mm/day to 0.1mmday

50

60

70

80

90

100

engt

h (m

m)

20

25

30

ratu

re (C

)

0

2000

4000

6000

OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP

EC

(u

0

10

20

30

40

01-Oct 01-Nov 02-Dec 02-Jan 02-Feb 05-Mar 05-Apr 06-May 06-Jun 07-Jul 07-Aug 07-Sep

Mea

n Le

5

10

15

Tem

per

Estimated EC Internal Spawning Colinsville EC Antioch EC

Central San Joaquin (Unit 11) Turbidity

100

1999

SWP Salvage March 1 length CVP Salvage April 1 Length R&R Temp

Delta Smelt Densitiesmortality = 0.015/day

10000 25

30

40

5060

70

8090

Turb

idity

(NTU

)

10

100

1000

10000Sm

elt D

ensi

ty (f

ish/

TAF)

10

15

20

25

Tem

pera

ture

(C)

0

10

20

OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP

Estimated Turbidity Jersey Point Potato Point San Joaquin Inflow

0.1

1

01-Oct 01-Nov 02-Dec 02-Jan 02-Feb 05-Mar 05-Apr 06-May 06-Jun 07-Jul 07-Aug 07-Sep

1999

Del

ta

0

5

SWP Salvage April 1 density CVP Salvage March 1 density Stockton Temp

Page 17: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Stockton Deep Water Ship Channel DO and theStockton Deep Water Ship Channel DO and the SJR DO TMDL –Measurements and Models

San Carlos ship surveysMossdale and RRI water quality monitors

RMA tidal and WQSystechWater Quality

quality monitorsUSGS Garwood tidal flowsStockton RWCF Effluent 

DSM2 Hydro and QualHydroQual 3D

Stockton RWCF Effluent and River SurveysCALFED studies in DWSC 

d SJR 

DWSC DO‐BOD ProfileDO Increment model

and SJR upstreamDWR DO probes for Aeration demonstration

SJR DO TMDL Accounting Procedures

Aeration demonstration

Page 18: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

DO‐BOD modeling 

i  fl  requires flow, inflow DO & BOD, Temp, BOD decay yand reaeration rates.

The DO deficit is proportional is proportional to the BOD:Ratio = Reaeration/Decay rate

Page 19: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

UOP DO Survey and high tide DO and high‐tide DO Profile from monitoring stations on Sept 11, 2009

“DO Increment DO Increment Model” estimated distribution of added DO on Sept     t hi h 11, 2009 at high 

tide

Page 20: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Can you tell yhow much DO is from the Aeration Facility?Facility?

The DO The DO Increment Model may be able to estimate the natural DO.

Page 21: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

The greatest DO increments are estimated at Li h  Light 42

Th  DO The DO increments at Light 40 are largest a e a gesat low tide.

Page 22: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Q. The flows in 2004 and 2008 2004 and 2008 were similar. Why was the DO in 2008 higher than in 2004?

A  The City A. The City of Stockton’s RWCF nitrification bio‐towers began operation in 20072007.

Q. Did the DO models 

di t thi  predict this big effect?

Page 23: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

The RWCF CBOD concentration is relatively low (5‐10 mg/l). The   maximum ammonia‐N ammonia‐N concentration was about 25 mg/l through 2006

The RWCF it ifi ti  f ilit  nitrification facility 

has converted all of the ammonia‐N to nitrate‐N since 2007.  The nitrate‐N represents the ammonia that was eliminated (credit)  eliminated (credit). 

Page 24: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

The daily DO range at The daily DO range at Mossdale appears to be correlated to the algae biomass and pigment 

( dconcentration ( and fluorescence).

UC Davis data suggest that 1 mg/l daily DO range is equivalent to about equivalent to about 25 µg/l of algae pigment and 2.5 mg/l of BOD. 

Page 25: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

SJR Flow is important for river important for river algae; DWSC flow is important for transporting algae t  th  DWSC  d to the DWSC and for dilution of the RWCF effluent

Algae BOD and Algae BOD and RWCF BOD are both high during low flows in the 

  summer.  Ammonia BOD can be high in the winter with low flows

Page 26: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

Estimated inflow Estimated inflow BOD (from river algae and diluted RWCF effluent 

d dand estimated inflow DO both look  promising.

The estimates of The estimates of inflow DO and 5‐day (minimum) DO with a BOD d   f     decay of 0.1 per day appear to match the daily minimum DWSC  DO data at RRI

Page 27: Dr. Russ T. Brown CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance …russbrownriverconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/...CWEMF Annual Meeting 2011 Acceptance of the Hugo B. Fischer Award. My Formative

“The highlight of my working year is coming toThe highlight of my working year is coming to Asilomar and talking with you!”

lk hWe talk the same languages (data, equations, relationships, graphs)W   h  “   i ”  f We share “new views” of the world with each otherWe understand that we k    littl   b t know very little about water or fish or …We think and share and work together to0 help work together to0 help protect and manage California’s natural and developed water resourcesdeveloped water resources

“I am ready for 20 more years of daily modeling with you!”