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Dr. Heew Kim• 2016 IFPRI Egypt Seminar Series: Measuring and Monitoring SDGs in Egypt
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Transcript of Dr. Heew Kim• 2016 IFPRI Egypt Seminar Series: Measuring and Monitoring SDGs in Egypt
SDGs Cross-Country and Trend Analysis (Goals 1: End Poverty)
Heew Kim (@HeewKim)Programme SpecialistPoverty Reduction & Sustainable LivelihoodsUNDP Egypt
UNDP-IFPRI Seminar “Measuring & Monitoring SDGs in Egypt”23 June 2016 | UNDP Conference room
Sustainable Development Goals
• Adopted in Sept 2015• Plan of action for the People,
Planet and Prosperity• Agenda of ‘Inclusive,
Sustainable and Resilience Development’
• ‘Leave no one behind’• 17 Goals & 169 Targets & 230
indicators
Target 1.1. By 2030, eradicate extreme poverty for all people everywhere, currently measured as people living on less than $1.25 a day.
Target 1.2. By 2030, reduce at least by half the proportion of men, women and children of all ages living in poverty in all its dimensions according to national definitions
Target 1.1. By 2030, eradicate extreme poverty for all people everywhere, currently measured as people living on less than $1.25 a day.0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
2.52m
1.33m
[Y VALUE]%
[Y VALUE]%
[Y VALUE]%
[Y VALUE]%
[Y VALUE]%
SDG1: Egypt Poverty Headcount Percentage ($1.25 PPP a day)
Poverty Headcount
Target 1.2. By 2030, reduce at least by half the proportion of men, women and children of all ages living in poverty in all its dimensions according to national definitions
• First published in 2010 HDR.• Why MPI? - Poverty is not just about money - People’s view of poverty - Policy implications• How? - 3 dimensions / 10 indicators - deprived in over 1/3 of indicators• SDGs have endorsed the MPI
Multidimensional Poverty Index
Survey Year MPI(H*A)
MPI Headcount ratio: % of poor (H)(k=33.3%)
Average intensity of poor (A)
Vulnerable to Poverty (k=20-33.3%)
In severe poverty (k>50%)
DHS 2014 0.014 3.6% 38.1% 5.4% 0.4%
Egypt Multidimensional Poverty
Number of Multidimensional Poor in Egypt (2014): 2,966,000
2005 2008 20140.000
0.010
0.020
0.030
0.040
0.034
0.024
0.014
MPI Egypt: Change in MPI 2005-2014
Years of Schooling
Child School Attendance
Child Mortality
Nutrition
Electricity
ImprovedSanitation
Drinking Water
Flooring
AssetOwnership
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
MPI Egypt: Censored Deprivation in each Indicator
Egypt Multidimensional Poverty
SDGs Cross-Country Regressions
• Method promoted by WB for Country Diagnostics on SDGs
• Use GNI per capita as determinant factor to regress relevant SDGs
• Provide cross-country analysis on identifying gaps or lag in achievement
• Can only be used for SDGs that are correlated with GNI per capital (e.g. poverty, health, education, infrastructure).
Source: WDI (2016); MPI (2016)
Target 1.2. By 2030, reduce at least by half the proportion of men, women and children of all ages living in poverty in all its dimensions according to national definitions500 1000 1500 2000
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
5000000
7000000
9000000
11000000
13000000
15000000
17000000
19000000
21000000
23000000
25000000
11.2m
14.4m
17.1m
20.7m
22.5m
16.7
19.6
21.6
25.226.3
SDG1: Egypt National Poverty Rate & Population
Poor Population
Sustainable Development Goals
Assuit
QenaSo
hag
North Si
nai
Aswan
Beni Suef
Fayo
umMenya Giza
Luxo
r
Matrouh
New Valley
Qualubia
Behera
Kafr el S
heikhCairo
Port Sa
id
Menoufia
Sharki
a
Dakahlia Alex
Ismailia
Gharbia
DamiettaSu
ez
Red Sea
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
61.759.6
55.8
47.744.3
38.5 36.933.1 32.3
30.6 29.6 28.8
22.3 21.818.7 18.316.9 16.8
14.6 13.4 13.111.3 10.6 9.0
5.3 3.8
2.47m 2.33m
1.63m
SDG1 : National Poverty Rate by Governorate
Poverty Rate # of Poor
Innovations in Measurement
PREMISE: Tracking real time prices thru user generated photos
UN Global Pulse: Using Satellite Imagery to estimate poverty levels in rural villages in Uganda
Estimating Poverty based on Mobile Activity data Example in Cote D’Ivoire (Smith et al. 2012)
Thank youHeewoong KimProgramme SpecialistPoverty Reduction & Sustainable LivelihoodsUNDP Egypt [email protected]@HeewKim
Target 2.1. By 2030, end hunger and ensure access by all people, in particular the poor and people in vulnerable situations, including infants, to safe, nutritious and sufficient food all year round
Target 2.2. By 2030, end all forms of malnutrition, including achieving, by 2025, the internationally agreed targets on stunting and wasting in children under 5 years of age, and address the nutritional needs of adolescent girls, pregnant and lactating women and older persons