Dr. David Beeton Managing Director, Urban Foresight The Future of Electric Mobility: 50 Big Ideas...

Dr. David BeetonManaging Director, Urban Foresight

The Future of Electric Mobility: 50 Big Ideas From Around the World10th April 2015 | GreenFleet Scotland | Edinburgh, Scotland

PARTNERS:

EV CITY CASEBOOK 2012

16 PIONEERING CITIES FROM 9 COUNTRIES

LAUNCHED IN LOS ANGELES IN MAY 2012

STRONG MEDIA ATTENTION & INTERNATIONAL RECOGNITION

2012

GLOBAL COMMITMENTS TO EVs

CLIMATE CHANGE

FOSSIL FUEL INDEPENDENCE

ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES

AIR QUALITY

CLEAN & RESILIENT ENERGY

smart grids

public

destination

vehicle to grid

vehicle to home

markets & operation

payment

administration

fast (AC/DC)

battery swop

behaviour change

inductive

recharging networks

vehicles

cars

commercial

buses

integrated transport

car clubs

parking

extend journeys

ITS

state of charge

range estimation

eco-driving

location services

e-payment

mobility

fleets

two wheelers

generate & distribute

renewable energy

standards

interoperability

vehicles & batteries

energy storage

management systems

batteries & materials

vehicle tech

hybrids

navigation

range-extenders

drive trains

regulation

education

skills & services

first responders

manufacturing

sales

maintain/ repair

charge type

standard

connectors

AC/DC

safety

installations

energy mgmt

customer mgmt

back office

charging control

demand forecast

remote switching

private

home

microgeneration

demand management

network controls

public transport

smart ticketing

dynamic pricing

smart meters

regeneration

lightweighting

alternative fuels

journey planning

expectation mgmt

tax & incentives

2nd life/ recycling

legal/ commercial

value-add services

leasing

business models

funding

Applied research

Pilot-scale projects

Demonstration-scale projects

Supported commercialisation

Fully commercial

EV CITY CASEBOOK 2014

2014

Technology Push

Demand Pull

2.0 3.0

Beyond the pilots & demonstrations

Preparing for mass market

CROSSING THE CHASM

Innovators Early adopters Early majority Late majority Laggards

HOW?

THE

CHASM

CROSSING THE CHASM

Innovators Early adopters Early majority Late majority Laggards

THE

CHASM

BIGIDEAS

POLICY

TECHNOLOGY

BUSINESS MODELS

OUTREACH

TIMELINE

MAY 2014

COPENHAGEN

EVALUATION

OCT 2014

VANCOUVER

PUBLICATION

SEPT 2014

TOKYO

GLOBAL PREVIEW

1 BIG IDEA

FEB 2014

OKINAWA

ANNOUNCED GLOBAL CALL

50BIG IDEAS

IMPACT OF THE BIG IDEAS

RELATIVE ADVANTAGE

EASE OF USE

VEHICLE PERFORMANCE

AWARENESS & UNDERSTANDING

ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFIT

ENERGY SYSTEM BENEFIT

OF THEBIG IDEAS 6

Image Source: TfL

ULTRA LOW EMISISON ZONES

VISION FOR THE WORLD’S FIRST BIG CITY ULEZ BY 2020

LIKELY TO BE LINKED TO NEW EURO 6 EMISSIONS STANDARDS

PUBLIC CONSULTATION TO DEFINE DETAILLED PLANS

London, United Kingdom

CHANGING THE NARRATIVE ON ‘RANGE’ FROM ‘HOW FAR…’ TO ‘WHERE CAN YOU GO?’

MORE CITIES IMPLEMENT LEZs AND STRICTER EMISSIONS CONTROLS ARE ADOPTED IN EXISTING ZONES

Image Source: Toyota

INTEGRATED URBAN INTELLIGENCE

EVs IDEALLY SUITED TO SHORT URBAN JOURNEYS

INTEGRATION WITH PUBLIC TRANSPORT

INTEGRATED TICKETING & JOURNEY PLANNING

CONNECTING EVs WITH ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE & WIDER TRANSPORT SYSTEMS

Ha:mo, Toyota City, Japan

BREAKING SILOS TO MAKE URBAN SYSTEMS MORE EFFICIENT AND INTELLIGENTLY RESPONSIVE TO INDIVIDUAL NEEDS

Image Source: SGL

LIGHTWEIGHTING

BMW i3 IS 20% LIGHTER THAN SIMILARLY SIZED NISSAN LEAF

NEARLY MATCHES LEAF’s RANGE WITH A SMALLER BATTERY (18.8kWh)

ADVANCED MANUFACTURING PROCESS

BMW, Munich, Germany

CARBON FIBRE AND LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS INCREASE RANGE, LOWER COSTS, EMISSIONS, ENHANCE SAFETY AND PERFORMANCE

GREATER DISTANCES ACHIEVABLE WITH EXISTING BATTERIES AND SMALLER (CHEAPER) BATTERIES ACHIEVE EXISTING RANGE

Image Source: FIA Formula E

CHALLENGING MISCONCEPTIONS

WORLD’S FIRST FULLY ELECTRIC RACING SERIES

OBJECTIVE TO MAKE PEOPLE BELIEVE IN ELECTRIC CARS

POTENTIAL TO SUPPORT MARKET UPTAKE OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES

FIA Formula E, United Kingdom

INNOVATIVE WAYS TO PERSUADE PEOPLE THAT EVs ARE DESIRABLE & PRACTICAL FIT WITH THEIR LIFESTYLE

IMPROVING PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING BY CHALLENGING COMMONLY HELD MISCONCEPTIONS, SCEPTICISM & BIAS

Image Source: Japan Smart City Portal

MANAGED CHARGING

EV CHARGING MANAGEMENT CENTER TO STUDY WAYS TO CONTROL DEMAND

COLLECTS DATA ON 100 EVs INCLUDING LOCATION & REMAINING BATTERY LEVELS

SENDS OUT DEMAND RESPONSE REQUESTS TO DRIVERS VIA EMAIL & SAT NAVs

CENTRALLY MANAGED DEMAND RESPONSE STRATEGIES TO CONTROL ENERGY DEMAND AND AVOID CLUSTER CHARGING

Kansai Science City, Kyoto, Japan

ANALYTICAL INTELLIGENCE, COMMUNIATION & REWARD STRATEGIES REDUCE NEED FOR GRID REINFORCEMENT & EXPANSION

THE AIR WE BREATHE

GREATER KNOWLEDGE OF DISEASES AND MEASUREMENT OF HUMAN EXPOSURE

WHO DATABASE OF AIR QUALITY IN 1,600 CITIES ACROSS 91 COUNTRIES

ONLY 12% OF THIS POPULATION HAS SAFE GUIDLELINE LEVELS FOR AIR QUALITY

INCREASED UNDERSTANDING OF THE RISKS, CONSEQUENCES AND HEALTHCARE COSTS OF POOR AIR QUALITY

WHO Urban Air Quality Database

SHIFT IN EMPHASIS IN POLICIES LEADING TO DEMARKETING CAMPAIGNS, HIGH IMPACT PUBLIC STATEMENTS AND BANS

CLOSINGTHOUGHTS3

BIG IDEAS ARE SHAPING THE FUTURE OF EVs.

CREATING OPPORTUNITIES FOR MASS MARKET ADOPTION.

THE

CHASM

BIGIDEAS

POLICY

TECHNOLOGY

BUSINESS MODELS

OUTREACH

EVs MAKE CITIES SMARTER AND MORE SUSTAINABLE.

UrbanForesight.org/Casebook.html

David BeetonManaging Director | Urban Foresight Limited

Newcastle upon Tyne | United Kingdom

[email protected]

twitter: @dbeeton

web: urbanforesight.orgtwitter: @UrbanForesightemail: [email protected]

THANK YOU

http://urbanforesight.org/

Dr. David Beeton Managing Director, Urban Foresight The Future of Electric Mobility: 50 Big Ideas...

Documents

Transcript of Dr. David Beeton Managing Director, Urban Foresight The Future of Electric Mobility: 50 Big Ideas...